Pirates vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 28 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins will host the Pittsburgh Pirates on March 28, 2025, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Both teams aim to start the season strong, with the Pirates looking to build upon their 76-86 record from 2024 and the Marlins seeking improvement after a 58-104 finish.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (1-0)

Pirates Record: (0-1)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: -144

MIA Moneyline: +122

PIT Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • In the 2024 season, the Pirates were underdogs in 130 games, winning 56 of those contests, resulting in a 43.1% win rate as underdogs.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • During the 2024 season, the Marlins had a record of 34-18 in games where they were moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter, indicating a 65.4% success rate in such scenarios.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Pirates have performed well against the Marlins, completing a season sweep in 2024 by winning all seven matchups. This trend may influence betting considerations for their 2025 encounters.

PIT vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bride over 0.5 Total Bases

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Pittsburgh vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 3/28/25

As the Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins prepare to face off on March 28, 2025, both teams are eager to set a positive tone for the new season. The Pirates, coming off a 76-86 record in 2024, aim to build momentum early, while the Marlins seek to rebound from a challenging 58-104 season. The Pirates’ offense is anchored by outfielder Bryan Reynolds, who in 2024 led the team with a .275 batting average, 24 home runs, and 88 RBIs. Shortstop Oneil Cruz also contributed significantly, posting a .259 average with 21 home runs and 76 RBIs. These players will be pivotal in generating runs against the Marlins’ pitching staff. On the mound, the Pirates are placing considerable hope in Paul Skenes, the reigning National League Rookie of the Year. Skenes had an impressive debut season, and his performance will be crucial in setting the tone for Pittsburgh’s pitching rotation. The Marlins, meanwhile, are focusing on revitalizing their roster after a disappointing 2024 season. Offensively, they will rely on players like Jonah Bride, who, despite positional adjustments, demonstrated potential with a .760 OPS over 36 games. The development of young talents such as Connor Norby, acquired in the Trevor Rogers trade, will also be closely watched.

Pitching remains a concern for Miami. In 2024, their staff struggled, contributing to the team’s subpar record. Addressing these issues, the Marlins have made changes to their front office and coaching staff, aiming to implement strategies that will enhance performance on the mound. Defensively, both teams have areas to address. The Pirates’ infield defense, particularly with Cruz at shortstop, showed flashes of brilliance but lacked consistency. The Marlins, integrating new players into key positions, will need to focus on cohesion to prevent defensive lapses. Given the Pirates’ success against the Marlins in 2024, including a season sweep, Pittsburgh may have a psychological edge entering this matchup. However, with offseason changes and the inherent unpredictability of a new season, the Marlins have opportunities to reverse this trend. In terms of betting considerations, the Pirates’ underdog status in 2024, with a 43.1% win rate in such games, contrasts with the Marlins’ 65.4% success rate when favored with odds of -129 or shorter. These statistics suggest a potentially competitive game, with both teams having points to prove. Ultimately, this early-season contest will offer insights into the effectiveness of each team’s offseason adjustments and set the stage for their respective campaigns in 2025.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates head into their March 28, 2025 Opening Day clash against the Miami Marlins with renewed confidence and legitimate expectations following a 76-86 season that, while short of the playoffs, showed clear growth in both talent development and competitive edge, setting the stage for a potential leap in a wide-open National League Central. Leading that optimism is the emergence of right-hander Paul Skenes, the 2024 National League Rookie of the Year and No. 1 overall pick from the previous draft who exceeded even the loftiest expectations in his debut season by posting a 2.88 ERA with 196 strikeouts over 173 innings, solidifying himself as the ace of the rotation and the face of the franchise’s next era. Skenes will make his first career Opening Day start and has become a symbol of Pittsburgh’s player development success, showing poise, elite velocity, and command well beyond his years, and if he can replicate or even build upon last season’s production, the Pirates could field one of the most underrated rotations in the National League. Backing Skenes is a talented and increasingly confident lineup led by Bryan Reynolds, who slashed .275 with 24 home runs and 88 RBIs in 2024, and Oneil Cruz, whose raw power and range at shortstop continue to wow scouts despite a tendency to swing-and-miss; Cruz finished last year with 21 home runs and 76 RBIs, and the Pirates expect even more as he matures at the plate. Ke’Bryan Hayes remains one of the premier defensive third basemen in the game and brings Gold Glove-caliber glove work to the hot corner, while his bat has begun to show more gap power and better plate discipline.

In the outfield, Jack Suwinski and Ji Hwan Bae add speed and energy, while the catcher position remains a strength defensively with Endy Rodríguez developing quickly as a game caller and blocker, though his bat remains a work in progress. The bullpen, anchored by All-Star closer David Bednar, is expected to be one of the team’s best assets again, after finishing with one of the highest save conversion rates in the NL last season, and middle relief has been bolstered with offseason depth additions. Defensively, the Pirates boast one of the best infield units in terms of range and arm strength, and their commitment to run prevention through defensive shifts and smart positioning has paid dividends, particularly in series against contact-heavy teams like the Marlins. Perhaps most tellingly, Pittsburgh dominated Miami last season, going a perfect 7-0 and outscoring them by a 3-to-1 margin overall, giving them both confidence and a mental edge coming into this matchup. Manager Derek Shelton has emphasized building off last year’s success, especially with a young core that’s now tasted real momentum and understands the grind of a full MLB season. The Pirates believe they are no longer rebuilding—they’re ready to win, and Opening Day represents not just a fresh start, but an opportunity to assert themselves as playoff threats right out of the gate.

The Miami Marlins will host the Pittsburgh Pirates on March 28, 2025, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Both teams aim to start the season strong, with the Pirates looking to build upon their 76-86 record from 2024 and the Marlins seeking improvement after a 58-104 finish. Pittsburgh vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Mar 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins enter the 2025 MLB season hoping to turn the page after a disastrous 58-104 campaign in 2024 that not only exposed serious deficiencies on the mound and in the batter’s box but also led to sweeping changes in the front office, signaling a renewed focus on long-term development, organizational depth, and finally escaping the basement of the National League East. The Marlins’ offseason was highlighted by a flurry of trades and youth-centric acquisitions, none more notable than landing top infield prospect Connor Norby from the Baltimore Orioles in the Trevor Rogers deal—a move emblematic of the club’s emphasis on building a sustainable core. Norby impressed in limited MLB action last year, logging a .760 OPS over 36 games and showing defensive versatility by playing both second and third base, and he is expected to take on a full-time role in 2025. Meanwhile, Jonah Bride transitions into a starting job at first base despite growing pains in 2024, and while his glove remains a work in progress, his solid on-base skills and plate discipline could make him a steady contributor in the lower half of the lineup. Offensively, the Marlins will continue to rely on contact-first hitters like Jazz Chisholm Jr., who despite injuries continues to be one of the most electric players in baseball when healthy, and Bryan De La Cruz, who has shown flashes of middle-of-the-order pop but must improve on his consistency.

The big question for Miami remains pitching, especially after last season’s collective ERA ranked among the worst in the majors and the starting rotation was decimated by injuries and poor performance. With Sandy Alcántara still working his way back from Tommy John surgery and Trevor Rogers no longer in the picture, the team will lean heavily on young arms such as Eury Pérez and Edward Cabrera, both of whom possess elite stuff but have struggled with command and health. New pitching coach changes and player development protocols are expected to help, but it may be a slow climb to league-average production. Defensively, Miami is reshaping its infield around youth and flexibility, which could lead to growing pains early in the season, especially in double play scenarios and infield communication, but the athleticism and raw tools are undeniable. In the bullpen, the Marlins will turn to a closer-by-committee approach after losing several veterans, with prospects like Anthony Maldonado and Jeff Lindgren potentially earning high-leverage roles depending on early performance. Hosting the Pirates on Opening Day offers Miami a valuable chance to measure progress, particularly after being swept in all seven games against Pittsburgh in 2024, a stat that’s been openly acknowledged by the clubhouse as motivation. The team is embracing its underdog identity, eager to show that the roster reconfiguration and offseason changes weren’t just cosmetic but part of a genuine commitment to turning the franchise around. If their young talent can take the next step and the pitching holds up, the Marlins might not be postseason-ready yet, but they’re no longer planning to be the doormat of the National League, and a strong Opening Day would be the first step in proving that to the league.

Pittsburgh vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bride over 0.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Pirates and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly improved Marlins team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Miami picks, computer picks Pirates vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

In the 2024 season, the Pirates were underdogs in 130 games, winning 56 of those contests, resulting in a 43.1% win rate as underdogs.

Marlins Betting Trends

During the 2024 season, the Marlins had a record of 34-18 in games where they were moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter, indicating a 65.4% success rate in such scenarios.

Pirates vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

Historically, the Pirates have performed well against the Marlins, completing a season sweep in 2024 by winning all seven matchups. This trend may influence betting considerations for their 2025 encounters.

Pittsburgh vs. Miami Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Miami starts on March 28, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -144, Miami +122
Over/Under: 7.5

Pittsburgh: (0-1)  |  Miami: (1-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bride over 0.5 Total Bases. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Pirates have performed well against the Marlins, completing a season sweep in 2024 by winning all seven matchups. This trend may influence betting considerations for their 2025 encounters.

PIT trend: In the 2024 season, the Pirates were underdogs in 130 games, winning 56 of those contests, resulting in a 43.1% win rate as underdogs.

MIA trend: During the 2024 season, the Marlins had a record of 34-18 in games where they were moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter, indicating a 65.4% success rate in such scenarios.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Miami Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: -144
MIA Moneyline: +122
PIT Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Pittsburgh vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+122
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+110
-130
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins on March 28, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN