Mets vs. Astros
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 28 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros on March 28, 2025, at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Both teams aim to start the season strong, with the Mets introducing key acquisitions and the Astros integrating emerging talents.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 28, 2025

Start Time: 8:10 PM EST​

Venue: Daikin Park​

Astros Record: (1-0)

Mets Record: (0-1)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: +116

HOU Moneyline: -136

NYM Spread: +1.5

HOU Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

NYM
Betting Trends

  • In the 2024 season, the Mets had a 30-22 record in road games, reflecting a solid performance away from home.

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Astros concluded the 2024 season with an 88-73 overall record, indicating a competitive edge at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets’ strong road performance in 2024 suggests they may have an advantage in away games, which could influence betting considerations for this matchup.

NYM vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Soto over 0.5 Total Bases

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New York Mets vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 3/28/25

As the New York Mets and Houston Astros prepare to open their 2025 MLB seasons on March 28 at Daikin Park, both teams bring a mix of seasoned veterans and promising newcomers to the field. The Mets, coming off an 89-73 record in 2024, have bolstered their lineup with significant acquisitions, aiming to advance deeper into the postseason. The Astros, who secured the American League West title with an 88-73 record last year but faced an early playoff exit, are focused on reclaiming their dominance in the AL. The Mets’ offseason was highlighted by the blockbuster signing of outfielder Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765 million contract, underscoring the organization’s commitment to offensive firepower. Soto joins a lineup featuring shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Pete Alonso, creating a formidable trio poised to challenge opposing pitchers. However, the Mets face early-season challenges with key pitchers Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas starting on the injured list, prompting the team to adjust its rotation. Clay Holmes, transitioning from a bullpen role with the Yankees to a starter for the Mets, will take the mound on Opening Day. Holmes has expanded his pitching repertoire during Spring Training, incorporating a changeup and cutter to enhance his effectiveness.

The Astros enter the season with notable roster changes, including the departure of All-Star outfielder Kyle Tucker, traded to the Chicago Cubs. In return, Houston acquired top prospect Cam Smith, a versatile 22-year-old who impressed during Spring Training by batting .342 with four home runs. Smith’s ability to play both third base and outfield adds depth to the Astros’ lineup. Veteran second baseman Jose Altuve is making a transition to left field, aiming to accommodate the team’s evolving roster dynamics. On the mound, left-hander Framber Valdez will start on Opening Day, bringing consistency and experience to the rotation. Historically, matchups between these two teams have been competitive. Their last series in June 2024 saw the Astros securing a 10-5 victory in an 11-inning game, highlighting the closely contested nature of their encounters. As both teams integrate new players and adjust to roster changes, this Opening Day game will provide insights into their readiness and potential for the 2025 season.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets open their 2025 season on March 28 against the Houston Astros with sky-high expectations following a strong 89-73 campaign in 2024 that culminated in a trip to the National League Championship Series and an offseason that sent shockwaves through the baseball world with the record-shattering 15-year, $765 million signing of superstar outfielder Juan Soto, immediately transforming the Mets into one of the most dangerous offensive clubs in baseball and reinforcing owner Steve Cohen’s win-now philosophy. Soto, known for his elite on-base skills, bat speed, and postseason experience, now forms a superstar trio alongside franchise shortstop Francisco Lindor and slugging first baseman Pete Alonso, giving the Mets arguably the most potent middle-of-the-order combination in either league. Soto’s presence not only improves lineup depth but also forces opposing pitchers into tougher decisions, with protection around Alonso and designated hitter J.D. Martinez, who remains a feared bat in his own right. But while the offense appears loaded, the early weeks of the season present challenges for the Mets’ rotation, as starters Frankie Montas and Sean Manaea open the year on the injured list, placing added pressure on right-hander Clay Holmes—formerly a Yankees reliever—to deliver in a new role as the team’s Opening Day starter. Holmes, who earned a three-year, $38 million deal from the Mets, has spent Spring Training expanding his arsenal with a new changeup and cutter to complement his high-spin sinker and slider, impressing coaches enough to earn the nod despite limited starting experience at the big-league level.

Behind Holmes, the Mets will rely on a rotation filled with upside and questions, including Tylor Megill, David Peterson, Griffin Canning, and Kodai Senga, who emerged as a breakout ace last season and is expected to return soon from a minor injury. The bullpen, a weakness in 2023, is now a major strength with the return of elite closer Edwin Díaz, who missed all of 2024 recovering from knee surgery but looks sharp after a dominant Spring, joined by high-leverage options like Brooks Raley, Drew Smith, and Trevor Gott. Defensively, the Mets made improvements up the middle with the continued growth of catcher Francisco Alvarez and the addition of Luis Guillorme’s steady glove at second base, while third baseman Brett Baty is expected to take a big step forward offensively and defensively. The Mets also benefit from their bench depth, with Mark Vientos and DJ Stewart capable of delivering timely hits in platoon situations. Off the field, the influence of new manager Carlos Beltrán, back in the dugout for his long-anticipated first season at the helm, is expected to be significant as he instills a calm, aggressive, and winning-minded culture rooted in accountability and veteran savvy. Facing a perennial powerhouse like Houston on Opening Day provides an immediate test for a Mets team hungry to prove it belongs among the elite and is ready not just to compete for a playoff spot but to chase a World Series title now, driven by a powerful lineup, motivated pitching staff, and a front office determined to end the franchise’s long-standing championship drought.

The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros on March 28, 2025, at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Both teams aim to start the season strong, with the Mets introducing key acquisitions and the Astros integrating emerging talents. New York Mets vs Houston AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Mar 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Houston Astros MLB Preview

The Houston Astros begin the 2025 MLB season with a renewed sense of urgency and recalibrated identity as they host the New York Mets on March 28 at Daikin Park, looking to build upon their 88-73 record from the previous year that earned them another AL West title but ended in playoff disappointment, fueling an offseason of subtle but strategic roster shifts aimed at balancing experience with youth and keeping their competitive window open while transitioning to a younger core. One of the most significant changes was the trade of All-Star outfielder Kyle Tucker to the Chicago Cubs, a surprising but calculated move that brought back elite prospect Cam Smith, who quickly made waves during Spring Training by slashing .342 with four home runs and showcasing the kind of power, speed, and positional versatility that Houston believes can become a staple in their lineup. Smith is expected to split time between third base and the outfield as manager Joe Espada seeks to optimize defensive matchups while maximizing offensive firepower. His addition is part of a broader plan to inject new energy into an already experienced lineup that still features cornerstone names like Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman, and Jeremy Peña, all of whom carry both regular season and postseason pedigree. Altuve, now 34, is making the transition to left field in 2025, an unusual but tactical adjustment intended to reduce physical strain and extend his career while opening opportunities for younger infield talent to gain reps at second base. On the mound, the Astros will turn to left-hander Framber Valdez, the Opening Day starter and one of the league’s most effective groundball pitchers who remains a steady force atop the rotation, providing innings, weak contact, and poise in high-pressure spots.

Valdez will lead a rotation that also includes Cristian Javier, Hunter Brown, and JP France, while the backend remains in the steady hands of closer Ryan Pressly and high-leverage relievers like Bryan Abreu and Rafael Montero, giving Houston a bullpen that can shorten games with strike-throwing efficiency and matchup flexibility. Offensively, the Astros are banking on a bounce-back year from Bregman, continued production from Alvarez, and breakout potential from players like Chas McCormick and Jake Meyers, while defensive shifts and athleticism remain key traits of the team’s overall run-prevention strategy. Playing in the ever-competitive AL West where teams like the Mariners and Rangers continue to apply pressure, the Astros know that maintaining their divisional supremacy will require both durability and adaptability, especially as younger players take on larger roles. Hosting the Mets in a high-profile Opening Day matchup not only provides a stage to showcase their retooled roster but also serves as a litmus test against a National League contender that boasts its own power-packed lineup and revamped pitching staff. With Daikin Park likely to be sold out and buzzing, the Astros will look to leverage their home-field advantage, elite clubhouse culture, and postseason-tested veterans to set an early tone in what they hope will be another championship-caliber campaign, driven by both the lessons of past October disappointments and the fresh legs of rising stars ready to write the next chapter in Houston’s dynastic run.

New York Mets vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Mets and Astros play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Daikin Park in Mar can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Soto over 0.5 Total Bases

New York Mets vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Mets and Astros and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on New York Mets’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly strong Astros team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Houston picks, computer picks Mets vs Astros, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

In the 2024 season, the Mets had a 30-22 record in road games, reflecting a solid performance away from home.

Astros Betting Trends

The Astros concluded the 2024 season with an 88-73 overall record, indicating a competitive edge at home.

Mets vs. Astros Matchup Trends

The Mets’ strong road performance in 2024 suggests they may have an advantage in away games, which could influence betting considerations for this matchup.

New York Mets vs. Houston Game Info

New York Mets vs Houston starts on March 28, 2025 at 8:10 PM EST.

Spread: Houston -1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets +116, Houston -136
Over/Under: 8

New York Mets: (0-1)  |  Houston: (1-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Soto over 0.5 Total Bases. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets’ strong road performance in 2024 suggests they may have an advantage in away games, which could influence betting considerations for this matchup.

NYM trend: In the 2024 season, the Mets had a 30-22 record in road games, reflecting a solid performance away from home.

HOU trend: The Astros concluded the 2024 season with an 88-73 overall record, indicating a competitive edge at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Houston Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Mets vs Houston Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: +116
HOU Moneyline: -136
NYM Spread: +1.5
HOU Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

New York Mets vs Houston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
In Progress
Orioles
Yankees
0
3
+950
-2000
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-130)
O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
0
0
 
-185
 
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (-125)
U 9.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
-105
-115
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+190
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-140
+115
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+105
-125
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-215
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Houston Astros on March 28, 2025 at Daikin Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS