Memphis Tigers
Memphis enters Tampa with a 7-2 record and an explosive offense averaging 37.6 points, but South Florida has allowed only 15.1 points per game. The contrast between scoring strength and defensive resistance drives this American Conference matchup.
South Florida Bulls
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | MEMP -7.5 SFLA +7.5 | MEMP -255 SFLA +210 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| DraftKings | MEMP -6.5 SFLA +6.5 | MEMP -250 SFLA +205 | O 49.5 U 49.5 |
| Fanatics | MEMP -7 SFLA +7 | MEMP -275 SFLA +220 | O 49 U 49 |
Injury Report
Memphis receiver B. Kluse carried a questionable listing with an undisclosed issue for the East Carolina game, and South Florida receivers A. Branch and J. Alexis were listed questionable for the UAB game. Those listings came from earlier weeks, so watch Thursday's game-week report for their status. Receiver rotations and passing efficiency could shift if any of them sits, so no numerical injury adjustment is built in.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Memphis produces 514.0 yards and 37.6 points per game, compared with South Florida's 316.2 yards and 25.9 points. The Bulls counter by allowing only 15.1 points and 183.3 passing yards per game. That creates a clear strength-on-strength matchup: Memphis has the larger offensive ceiling, but USF has demonstrated stronger scoring prevention.
3 Things to Watch
- Memphis 290.6 passing yards per game
- South Florida allows 15.1 points per game
- Tigers 2-2 ATS in road games
Betting Breakdown
Memphis visits South Florida on Thursday, November 12, for an 8:00 p.m. Eastern kickoff at Raymond James Stadium. The Tigers are 7-2 overall and 4-1 in American Conference play, while the Bulls stand 6-3 overall and 2-3 in the league. Memphis has won four of its last five and enters after consecutive victories over East Carolina and Army. Its offense averages 514.0 yards and 37.6 points per game, with Marcus Stokes throwing for 2,532 yards and 25 touchdowns. South Florida has split its last four and most recently fell 20-17 at East Carolina. The Bulls produce 25.9 points per game but have restricted opponents to 15.1, making scoring efficiency the central tactical question. Memphis is 5-4 against the spread, including 2-2 away, compared with South Florida at 4-5 ATS and 3-2 at home. Totals trends diverge: six Memphis games have gone over, and six South Florida games have gone under. Those histories provide context alongside the Thursday market and final lineup availability.
Memphis Betting Outlook
Memphis has rebounded from its October 16 defeat at Tulane with a 41-34 overtime victory against East Carolina and a 49-22 win over Army. The Tigers are 4-1 straight up over their most recent five games and 3-2 against the spread in that stretch. Marcus Stokes has supplied 2,532 passing yards and 25 touchdowns, while Jaylin Carter leads the rushing attack with 929 yards and 10 scores. The offense averages 223.4 rushing yards as well as 290.6 passing yards per contest. Memphis is only 2-2 both straight up and ATS away from home, a useful caution when weighing its strong overall scoring averages against USF's defensive performance.
South Florida Betting Outlook
South Florida returns home following a 20-17 defeat at East Carolina, leaving the Bulls 2-3 in their last five and 4-1 at Raymond James Stadium this season. The team is 4-5 against the spread, including 3-2 at home; its last five contests have produced two covers. Defensively, South Florida allows just 15.1 points, 183.3 passing yards, and 129.3 rushing yards per game. Offensively, Michael Van Buren Jr. has 1,273 passing yards, six touchdown passes, and no interceptions across his listed appearances. The Bulls average 168.0 passing yards per game, so sustaining drives against a high-output Memphis offense is critical. Six of nine South Florida games have finished under their closing totals.
Latest Team Buzz
Down to the Details
— Memphis Football (@MemphisFB) November 5, 2026
#CloseTheGap | @Iam1Cent
Final.
— South Florida Football (@USFFootball) November 7, 2026
Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls FAQ
What is the current spread for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
The current home spread is SFLA +6.5, while the away spread is MEMP -6.5.
How far has the spread moved for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
The spread opened at SFLA +6 and is now SFLA +6.5.
What is the current moneyline for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
The current moneyline is MEMP -250 / SFLA +205.
How far has the moneyline moved for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
The moneyline opened at MEMP -230 / SFLA +190 and is now MEMP -250 / SFLA +205.
What is the current total for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
The current total is 49.5.
How far has the total moved for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
The total opened at 49.5 and is now 49.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
You can watch this game on ESPN. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
You can stream this game on ESPN App.
What is the best free prop bet for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?
Memphis produces 514.0 yards and 37.6 points per game, compared with South Florida's 316.2 yards and 25.9 points. The Bulls counter by allowing only 15.1 points and 183.3 passing yards per game. That creates a clear strength-on-strength matchup: Memphis has the larger offensive ceiling, but USF has demonstrated stronger scoring prevention.
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