Away Team
Record 4-0
Last 5 4-1 last five
ATS 1-3 ATS
Road 1-0 road
Standings
CFB Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
6d 09:58:11
Start Time 7:30 PM EST
Date October 03, 2026
Venue Folsom Field
Where To Watch FOX
Where To Stream Fubo
Season Series Series tied 0-0.

Texas Tech is 4-0 but only 1-3 ATS, while Colorado returns home after consecutive road losses and a midgame quarterback switch, creating sharp tension between unbeaten pedigree, shaky cover form, and Buffaloes uncertainty.

Home Team
Record 2-2
Last 5 2-3 last five
ATS 1-3 ATS
Home 1-0 home
Analysis Updated: 7:28 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 7:25 AM ET
Odds Updated: 9:19 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

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Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Remi's Still Searching
Joseph Williams Over 74.5 receiving yards is below his 90.3-yard season average. Joseph Williams Over 74.5 receiving yards targets Texas Tech's 253.5 passing yards allowed per game. Joseph Williams Over 74.5 receiving yards benefits from his 18-target workload at Baylor.

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Best Home Spread
FanDuel | COLO +15.5
Best Home Moneyline
FanDuel | COLO +540
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 51.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | TXTECH -15.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetRivers | TXTECH -715
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 51.5
Updated 9:19 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelTXTECH -15.5
COLO +15.5
TXTECH -800
COLO +540
O 51.5
U 51.5
BetRiversTXTECH -15.5
COLO +15.5
TXTECH -715
COLO +480
O 51.5
U 51.5

Injury Report

The main Texas Tech injury concern is starting tight end Terrance Carter Jr., who missed Sam Houston with a foot injury after returning against Houston. Wide receiver Kenny Johnson and linebacker Trey White both played Saturday, easing earlier availability concerns. Colorado wide receiver Danny Scudero is listed questionable for the Texas Tech game with an undisclosed issue and did not appear in the Baylor box score. Colorado's second-half quarterback switch at Baylor was a coaching decision, not an injury.

Key Players

Texas Tech
Will Hammond
968 passing yards with a 69.0 percent completion rate through four games.
Colorado
Joseph Williams
Eleven catches for 127 yards and a touchdown at Baylor.

Key Matchup Edge

Texas Tech owns the cleaner offensive profile, averaging 36.3 points and 427.3 yards per game, while Colorado has scored only 20 points across its last two losses. The Buffs can still stress Tech's vulnerable pass defense, but their quarterback uncertainty and recent protection issues make sustained drives the central handicap.

3 Things to Watch

  • Colorado's quarterback decision after Baylor
  • Texas Tech's first-half turnover control
  • Joseph Williams against Tech's secondary

Betting Breakdown

Texas Tech arrives in Boulder 4-0 after pulling away from Sam Houston 49-14, but the betting profile is less spotless than the record. The Red Raiders are 1-3 ATS, with the first cover finally coming Saturday as a 34.5-point favorite. Will Hammond has thrown for 968 yards at 69.0 percent completions, yet five interceptions keep turnover risk live, including three against Sam Houston. Colorado is 2-2 and 1-3 ATS after back-to-back road losses to Northwestern and Baylor. The Buffs generated 280 passing yards in Waco, but Julian Lewis was replaced by Isaac Wilson at halftime, introducing a major decision point for the offense. Colorado's best path is attacking a Texas Tech pass defense that had allowed 273 passing yards per game through its first three contests before holding Sam Houston to 195. Texas Tech's path is steadier: avoid giveaways, lean on a balanced backfield, and make Colorado sustain drives against an opportunistic defense. With no broad consensus line posted Sunday morning, quarterback clarity and opening price will matter heavily.

Texas Tech Betting Outlook

Texas Tech has won all four games but has not consistently rewarded backers, sitting 1-3 ATS. The offense averages 36.3 points and 427.3 yards per game, with Hammond at 968 passing yards and J'Koby Williams at 285 rushing yards. Saturday's 49-14 win showed the ceiling, though Hammond's three interceptions highlighted the volatility. The defense also created three picks, including two Austin Romaine touchdowns, which can flip a road game quickly. For bettors, the Red Raiders' balance and superior recent scoring form are positives, but laying a premium in Boulder requires confidence that the turnover problems stay contained.

Colorado Betting Outlook

Colorado returns to Folsom Field 2-2 after road losses of 41-7 at Northwestern and 23-13 at Baylor. The Buffs are also 1-3 ATS, with their only cover coming in the opener at Georgia Tech. Joseph Williams remains the most reliable explosive piece, posting 11 catches for 127 yards and a touchdown at Baylor and reaching 361 receiving yards for the season. The key uncertainty is quarterback. Julian Lewis was benched at halftime in Waco for Isaac Wilson, who helped erase a 13-3 deficit before Baylor pulled away. Colorado's home field and passing weapons create upset pressure, but protection and quarterback efficiency must improve.

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What is the biggest matchup edge for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Texas Tech owns the cleaner offensive profile, averaging 36.3 points and 427.3 yards per game, while Colorado has scored only 20 points across its last two losses. The Buffs can still stress Tech's vulnerable pass defense, but their quarterback uncertainty and recent protection issues make sustained drives the central handicap.

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CFB Past Picks

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Matchup Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Game Date October 03, 2026
Venue Folsom Field
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI CFB PAST PICKS

29-22 56.9% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
JMAD@SDGST
UNDER 46.5
57.1%
7
WIN
MISSST@SC
OVER 58.5
58.1%
8
WIN
FRESNO@SJST
OVER 47.5
58.1%
8
LOSS
UL@USC
OVER 59.5
56.9%
6
WIN
MEMP@BOISE
UNDER 56.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
CAL@CUSE
UNDER 57.5
56.9%
6
WIN
RICE@ND
OVER 54.5
57.0%
6
LOSS
RUT@BC
UNDER 54.5
56.9%
6
WIN
WASHST@WASH
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
TOWSON@NAVY
OVER 51
57.4%
7
WIN
FURMAN@TENN
OVER 67.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
MIAOH@PITT
UNDER 47.5
57.2%
7
LOSS
UTEP@OKLA
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
ALBANY@BUFF
ALBANY +18.5
54.1%
4
WIN
ALBANY@BUFF
UNDER 47.5
57.1%
7
WIN
UAB@ILL
KATIN HOUSER OVER 18.5 PASS COMP
54.2%
4
LOSS
HAWAII@STNFRD
HAWAII +4.5
54.8%
4
LOSS
MEMP@UNLV
UNLV -4
53.2%
3
LOSS
SJST@USC
OVER 61.5
57.0%
6
WIN
JAXST@NDAKST
UNDER 46.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NCST@UVA
CJ BAILEY OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.2%
4
LOSS
MIAMI@IND
ROMAN HEMBY UNDER 15.5 RUSH ATT
55.2%
5
LOSS
OLEMISS@GEORGIA
KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD
56.7%
6
WIN
BAMA@IND
FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@TXTECH
OREG -126
58.9%
6
WIN
NEB@UTAH
DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NOTEX@SDGST
NOTEX -7
54.2%
4
LOSS
BAMA@OKLA
ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD
54.2%
4
WIN
BYU@TTU
PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION
54.3%
4
WIN
UNLV@BOISE
BOISE -4.5
56.7%
6
WIN
ECU@FAU
FAU +7
57.8%
7
LOSS
OREG@WASH
WASH +7
54.9%
4
LOSS
WYO@HAWAII
WYO +7.5
55.1%
5
LOSS
COLO@KSTATE
COLO +17.5
54.0%
4
WIN
OHIOST@MICH
MICH +10.5
56.4%
6
LOSS
VATECH@UVA
VATECH +8
57.8%
7
LOSS
NWEST@ILL
LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP
54.3%
4
WIN
ORE@WAS
DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
MIAMI@VATECH
VATECH +18.5
54.2%
4
WIN
GAST@TROY
TROY -9.5
55.7%
5
WIN
DEL@WAKE
DEL +18
56.7%
6
LOSS
NMEX@AF
NMEX -3.5
56.1%
5
WIN
WASHST@JMAD
WASHST +14.5
55.3%
5
WIN
ILL@WISC
WISC +9
55.1%
5
WIN
WKY@LSU
WKY +23.5
56.3%
6
WIN
WASH@UCLA
DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT
56.3%
6
WIN
TCU@HOU
AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
TEX@UGA
NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS
55.5%
5
WIN
PUR@WASH
ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS
54.1%
4
WIN
UVA@DUKE
DUKE -3.5
54.7%
3
LOSS
OKLA@BAMA
BAMA -6
54.5%
3
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.