Away Team
Record 2-2
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 2-1-1 ATS
Road 0-1 road
Standings
CFB Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
6d 02:57:06
Start Time 12:30 PM EST
Date October 03, 2026
Venue Camp Randall Stadium
Where To Watch Big Ten Network
Where To Stream FOX One
Season Series Series tied 0-0.

Wisconsin returns home off a 17-point comeback win at Penn State, while Michigan State arrives after a second straight loss and with major injury questions around Cam Edwards and Jordan Hall. Early market pricing remains unsettled.

Home Team
Record 3-1
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 2-2-0 ATS
Home 2-0 home
Analysis Updated: 6:37 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 6:37 AM ET
Odds Updated: 9:19 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
WISC -10
Open: WISC -10
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/27 9:19 AM ET
Moneyline
WISC -360
Open: WISC -360
Market Steady

Moneyline Movement

Loading line history...
Odds Updated: 9/27 9:19 AM ET
Total
44.5
Open: 44.5
Total Steady

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/27 9:19 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Remi's Still Searching
Alessio Milivojevic Under 198.5 passing yards fits his 187-yard season average through four games. Alessio Milivojevic Under 198.5 passing yards is supported by Wisconsin holding Penn State to 129. Alessio Milivojevic Under 198.5 passing yards benefits if Wisconsin controls pace at home.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
DraftKings | WISC -10
Best Home Moneyline
DraftKings | WISC -360
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 44.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | MICHST +10.5
Best Away Moneyline
FanDuel | MICHST +350
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 44.5
Updated 9:19 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelMICHST +10.5
WISC -10.5
MICHST +350
WISC -465
O 44.5
U 44.5
DraftKingsMICHST +10
WISC -10
MICHST +285
WISC -360
O 44.5
U 44.5
BetRiversMICHST +10.5
WISC -10.5
MICHST +350
WISC -530
O 44.5
U 44.5

Injury Report

Michigan State left the Nebraska loss with major concerns: leading rusher Cam Edwards exited with a right knee or leg injury, captain Jordan Hall left with a left-leg injury, and starting guard Conner Moore also did not return. Brady Pretzlaff had already been unavailable. Wisconsin got Abu Sama III and Malachi Coleman cleared for Penn State, while Cai Bates, Jaylon Domingeaux, Michael Roeske and Xavier Ukponu were listed out.

Key Players

Michigan State
Alessio Milivojevic
Completed 18 of 26 passes for 208 yards against Nebraska.
Wisconsin
Colton Joseph
Threw for 235 yards and two touchdowns in the 24-20 comeback at Penn State.

Key Matchup Edge

Wisconsin owns the cleaner offensive setup: Colton Joseph has pushed the ball vertically and just delivered two late touchdown drives at Penn State, while Michigan State ran for only 39 yards against Nebraska. If Cam Edwards is limited or out, the Spartans lose their most reliable rushing threat and become easier to pressure.

3 Things to Watch

  • Cam Edwards availability and backfield usage
  • Michigan State protection against Wisconsin pressure
  • Colton Joseph versus Spartan secondary depth

Betting Breakdown

Wisconsin returns to Camp Randall with momentum after a 24-20 comeback at No. 13 Penn State, moving to 3-1 and 1-0 in Big Ten play. Colton Joseph threw for 235 yards and hit Jacob Harris for the decisive 72-yard touchdown with 1:13 left, showing the vertical ability Michigan State must respect. The Spartans dropped to 2-2 after a 31-13 home loss to Nebraska in which they managed only 257 total yards and 39 rushing yards. That offensive concern is magnified by the status of Cam Edwards, who left with a right knee or leg injury, while linebacker Jordan Hall and guard Conner Moore also exited. Michigan State still has a capable passer in Alessio Milivojevic, who completed 18 of 26 for 208 yards against Nebraska, but Wisconsin's defense just held Penn State to 129 passing yards. With the standard spread and total not yet posted Sunday morning, bettors should treat Michigan State's midweek availability reports as the biggest market-moving variable before locking in a side or player angle.

Michigan State Betting Outlook

Michigan State is 2-2 after back-to-back losses to Notre Dame and Nebraska. The Spartans covered a huge number at Notre Dame but failed to stay inside roughly six points against Nebraska, leaving them 2-1-1 ATS through four games. Milivojevic was efficient enough against Nebraska at 18-of-26 for 208 yards, yet the offense produced only 39 rushing yards and turned the ball over. The bigger concern is availability. Cam Edwards, Jordan Hall and Conner Moore all left Saturday's loss, while the secondary was already depleted. Michigan State's betting case strengthens if Edwards returns and the defense gets healthier; without that help, the early road spot at Camp Randall becomes much tougher.

Wisconsin Betting Outlook

Wisconsin is 3-1 after rallying from 17 points down to beat Penn State 24-20 as about a 10-point road underdog. The Badgers are 2-2 ATS and have now produced consecutive covers, including a 54-10 rout of Eastern Michigan. Joseph has been the engine, topping 200 passing yards against Notre Dame, Eastern Michigan and Penn State, and he showed late-game explosiveness with touchdown throws of 11 and 72 yards in State College. Wisconsin also got Abu Sama III and Malachi Coleman back into the Penn State lineup after both carried injury questions. Returning home for Homecoming gives the Badgers a favorable environment, especially against a Michigan State team dealing with fresh health issues.

Latest Team Buzz

Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers FAQ

What is the current spread for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The current home spread is WISC -10, while the away spread is MICHST +10.

How far has the spread moved for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The spread opened at WISC -10 and is now WISC -10.

What is the current moneyline for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The current moneyline is MICHST +285 / WISC -360.

How far has the moneyline moved for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The moneyline opened at MICHST +285 / WISC -360 and is now MICHST +285 / WISC -360.

What is the current total for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The current total is 44.5.

How far has the total moved for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The total opened at 44.5 and is now 44.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the total dropping for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

You can watch this game on Big Ten Network. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

You can stream this game on FOX One.

What is the best free prop bet for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Remi's Still Searching

What is the biggest matchup edge for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Wisconsin owns the cleaner offensive setup: Colton Joseph has pushed the ball vertically and just delivered two late touchdown drives at Penn State, while Michigan State ran for only 39 yards against Nebraska. If Cam Edwards is limited or out, the Spartans lose their most reliable rushing threat and become easier to pressure.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Game Date October 03, 2026
Venue Camp Randall Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI CFB PAST PICKS

29-22 56.9% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
JMAD@SDGST
UNDER 46.5
57.1%
7
WIN
MISSST@SC
OVER 58.5
58.1%
8
WIN
FRESNO@SJST
OVER 47.5
58.1%
8
LOSS
UL@USC
OVER 59.5
56.9%
6
WIN
MEMP@BOISE
UNDER 56.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
CAL@CUSE
UNDER 57.5
56.9%
6
WIN
RICE@ND
OVER 54.5
57.0%
6
LOSS
RUT@BC
UNDER 54.5
56.9%
6
WIN
WASHST@WASH
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
TOWSON@NAVY
OVER 51
57.4%
7
WIN
FURMAN@TENN
OVER 67.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
MIAOH@PITT
UNDER 47.5
57.2%
7
LOSS
UTEP@OKLA
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
ALBANY@BUFF
ALBANY +18.5
54.1%
4
WIN
ALBANY@BUFF
UNDER 47.5
57.1%
7
WIN
UAB@ILL
KATIN HOUSER OVER 18.5 PASS COMP
54.2%
4
LOSS
HAWAII@STNFRD
HAWAII +4.5
54.8%
4
LOSS
MEMP@UNLV
UNLV -4
53.2%
3
LOSS
SJST@USC
OVER 61.5
57.0%
6
WIN
JAXST@NDAKST
UNDER 46.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NCST@UVA
CJ BAILEY OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.2%
4
LOSS
MIAMI@IND
ROMAN HEMBY UNDER 15.5 RUSH ATT
55.2%
5
LOSS
OLEMISS@GEORGIA
KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD
56.7%
6
WIN
BAMA@IND
FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@TXTECH
OREG -126
58.9%
6
WIN
NEB@UTAH
DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NOTEX@SDGST
NOTEX -7
54.2%
4
LOSS
BAMA@OKLA
ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD
54.2%
4
WIN
BYU@TTU
PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION
54.3%
4
WIN
UNLV@BOISE
BOISE -4.5
56.7%
6
WIN
ECU@FAU
FAU +7
57.8%
7
LOSS
OREG@WASH
WASH +7
54.9%
4
LOSS
WYO@HAWAII
WYO +7.5
55.1%
5
LOSS
COLO@KSTATE
COLO +17.5
54.0%
4
WIN
OHIOST@MICH
MICH +10.5
56.4%
6
LOSS
VATECH@UVA
VATECH +8
57.8%
7
LOSS
NWEST@ILL
LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP
54.3%
4
WIN
ORE@WAS
DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
MIAMI@VATECH
VATECH +18.5
54.2%
4
WIN
GAST@TROY
TROY -9.5
55.7%
5
WIN
DEL@WAKE
DEL +18
56.7%
6
LOSS
NMEX@AF
NMEX -3.5
56.1%
5
WIN
WASHST@JMAD
WASHST +14.5
55.3%
5
WIN
ILL@WISC
WISC +9
55.1%
5
WIN
WKY@LSU
WKY +23.5
56.3%
6
WIN
WASH@UCLA
DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT
56.3%
6
WIN
TCU@HOU
AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
TEX@UGA
NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS
55.5%
5
WIN
PUR@WASH
ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS
54.1%
4
WIN
UVA@DUKE
DUKE -3.5
54.7%
3
LOSS
OKLA@BAMA
BAMA -6
54.5%
3
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.