Baylor Bears
Arizona State gets a two-week reset before hosting a Baylor team playing seven days after DJ Lagway's uneven ankle return, putting rest, quarterback health, and ASU's explosive Boley-to-Harris passing game at the center of the early handicap.
Arizona State Sun Devils
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | BAYLOR +4.5 ARIZST -4.5 | BAYLOR +155 ARIZST -188 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
Injury Report
Baylor quarterback DJ Lagway returned from his ankle injury against Colorado, but his mobility and efficiency remain worth tracking. Safety Jacob Redding is out for the season, while receiver Ashton Jones and defensive lineman Devonte Tezino missed the Colorado game. Arizona State lost starting tight end Khamari Anderson for the season to a left-leg injury, and starting guard Wade Helton remains sidelined; linebacker Zyrus Fiaseu is also out for the season.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Arizona State's two-week rest versus Baylor's seven-day turnaround is the clearest situational edge. The Sun Devils can spend the bye stabilizing an offense that sputtered against Kansas, while Baylor travels after a physical Colorado game and asks Lagway to build on an uneven return from an ankle injury.
3 Things to Watch
- Lagway mobility after ankle return
- Baylor pressure versus ASU protection
- Boley to Harris explosive plays
Betting Breakdown
Baylor arrives 3-1 after grinding out a 23-13 win over Colorado, a result driven more by defense and special teams than offensive rhythm. The Bears generated five sacks and 13 tackles for loss, but DJ Lagway completed just 19 of 39 passes for 221 yards in his first game back from an ankle injury. Arizona State is 2-1 and comes off a bye, giving Kenny Dillingham's team two weeks between games after a 24-17 win over Kansas in London. The Sun Devils' offense has been uneven, yet Cutter Boley still owns 736 passing yards and nine touchdowns through three games, with Reed Harris accounting for 374 receiving yards and five scores. The situational edge favors the rested home side, while Baylor's best counter is a disruptive front facing an ASU offense missing starting tight end Khamari Anderson and guard Wade Helton. With no broad traditional spread posted yet, the early handicap starts with rest, quarterback health, protection, and explosive-pass prevention.
Baylor Betting Outlook
Baylor's betting case starts with a defense allowing 13.0 points per game through four contests and fresh off its best pass-rush showing of the season. The concern is offensive efficiency. Lagway returned against Colorado but finished 19-of-39, and Baylor needed three Rhett Armstrong field goals in a 23-point output. Dawson Pendergrass did provide 85 rushing yards, giving the Bears a workable path to stay balanced. Baylor is 3-1 ATS, but this is its first true road game of 2026 and the Bears face a significant rest disadvantage. Sustaining drives and protecting Lagway will determine whether Baylor can neutralize Tempe and keep ASU's explosive passing game on the sideline.
Arizona State Betting Outlook
Arizona State returns home 2-1 after an open week, with its latest win coming 24-17 over Kansas in London. Cutter Boley has thrown for 736 yards with nine touchdowns and two interceptions, while Reed Harris is the clear explosive centerpiece with 374 receiving yards and five scores. The warning sign is the Kansas tape: ASU managed only 228 total yards and Boley threw for 95. The Sun Devils are 2-1 ATS, and the extra rest should help them reset before Baylor's active front arrives. Protection is the key concern with guard Wade Helton sidelined and starting tight end Khamari Anderson out for the season.
Latest Team Buzz
Got the job done ✅#SicEm | @bswhealth pic.twitter.com/r0kXzzSmQh
— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) September 26, 2026
Bronko Nagurski National Defensive Player of the Week -> @owenlong22 pic.twitter.com/rSI42dqxw8
— Sun Devil Football (@ASUFootball) September 22, 2026
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
Arizona State's two-week rest versus Baylor's seven-day turnaround is the clearest situational edge. The Sun Devils can spend the bye stabilizing an offense that sputtered against Kansas, while Baylor travels after a physical Colorado game and asks Lagway to build on an uneven return from an ankle injury.
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