Away Team
Record 1-1
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 1-1 ATS
Road 0-1 road
Standings
CFB Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
4d 20:45:55
Start Time 10:30 PM EST
Date September 12, 2026
Venue Valley Children's Stadium
Where To Watch CBS Sports Network
Where To Stream Hulu + Live TV
Season Series Series tied 0-0.

Fresno State is laying roughly 19 points despite a 39-0 opener loss, while Sacramento State arrives off a 52-0 rebound. The key handicap is whether the Bulldogs' home defense can overwhelm a Hornets offense carrying quarterback uncertainty.

Home Team
Record 0-1
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 0-1 ATS
Home 0-0 home
Analysis Updated: 8:26 PM ET
Injuries Checked: 8:24 PM ET
Odds Updated: 1:34 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
FRESNO -18.5
Open: FRESNO -18.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/8 1:34 AM ET
Moneyline
FRESNO -950
Open: FRESNO -1050
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/8 1:34 AM ET
Total
45.5
Open: 48.5
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/8 1:34 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Remi's Still Searching
Rayshon Luke opened with 21 rushing yards, supporting Under 41.5 rushing yards. Sacramento State allows 2.7 yards per carry, reinforcing Luke Under 41.5 rushing yards. Fresno State split 14 opener carries between Luke and Donelson, favoring Luke Under 41.5 rushing yards.

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Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
Bovada | FRESNO -18
Best Home Moneyline
DraftKings | FRESNO -950
Best Over Line
BetOnline.ag | 45
Best Away Spread
Fanatics | SACST +19
Best Away Moneyline
FanDuel | SACST +760
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 45.5
Updated 1:34 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +760
FRESNO -1300
O 45.5
U 45.5
DraftKingsSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +625
FRESNO -950
O 45.5
U 45.5
BetMGMSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +700
FRESNO -1000
O 45.5
U 45.5
BetRiversSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +700
FRESNO -1250
O 45.5
U 45.5
FanaticsSACST +19
FRESNO -19
SACST +700
FRESNO -1100
O 45.5
U 45.5
BovadaSACST +18
FRESNO -18
SACST +650
FRESNO -1100
O 45.5
U 45.5
BetOnline.agSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +661
FRESNO -1000
O 45
U 45
LowVig.agSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +661
FRESNO -1000
O 45
U 45
MyBookie.agSACST +19
FRESNO -19
SACST +680
FRESNO -1408
O 45.5
U 45.5
BetUSSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +650
FRESNO -1000
O 45
U 45
CaesarsSACST +18.5
FRESNO -18.5
SACST +675
FRESNO -1200
O 45.5
U 45.5

Injury Report

Sacramento State carries quarterback uncertainty after Carson Conklin missed the Mississippi Valley State game with an undisclosed issue and remains listed questionable, leaving Jackson Sharman as the proven alternative after four touchdown passes in his first start. Several Hornets skill players are also questionable. Fresno State will be without running back Brandon Ramirez for the season, reducing its backfield depth behind Rayshon Luke and Bryson Donelson.

Key Players

Sacramento State
Matt Coleman
Coleman posted 141 receiving yards and three touchdowns against Mississippi Valley State.
Fresno State
Rayshon Luke
Luke led Fresno State with 702 rushing yards and six touchdowns in 2025.

Key Matchup Edge

Sacramento State's early defensive efficiency gives the underdog a path to stay inside a huge number. The Hornets have allowed only 247.5 yards per game and 2.7 yards per rush, while Fresno State managed just 116 total yards and converted 2-of-10 third downs at USC.

3 Things to Watch

  • Sacramento State quarterback availability
  • Fresno State early-down efficiency
  • Total staying below 48 points

Betting Breakdown

The market is forcing bettors to weigh two extreme early-season results. Fresno State was overwhelmed 39-0 at USC, producing only 116 total yards, 39 rushing yards and a 2-of-10 third-down rate. Sacramento State answered an opening loss at Eastern Michigan with a 52-0 demolition of Mississippi Valley State, piling up 453 yards while allowing only 147. The strength-of-opposition gap matters, but so does the price: Fresno State is laying 18.5 points despite an offense that has not scored this season. Sacramento State's quarterback situation is the biggest variable after Carson Conklin missed last week and Jackson Sharman threw four touchdowns in his first start. Fresno State still owns the stronger historical series profile and home-field advantage, but the Hornets' early defensive production makes a large spread uncomfortable. Both Sacramento State games and Fresno State's opener have finished under, so the 45.5 total reflects legitimate concern about scoring efficiency on both sides.

Sacramento State Betting Outlook

Sacramento State enters 1-1 with a profile that can make a big underdog dangerous. The Hornets average 362 yards and 34.5 points through two games, but their defense has been the cleaner early-season signal, allowing 247.5 yards per game and just 2.7 yards per rush. Jackson Sharman's 247-yard, four-touchdown performance against Mississippi Valley State gave the offense a viable option while Carson Conklin deals with an undisclosed issue. Matt Coleman is the matchup-changing skill threat after a 141-yard, three-touchdown game. The concern is opponent quality: the 52-0 win came against Mississippi Valley State, and Sacramento State lost 28-17 at Eastern Michigan.

Fresno State Betting Outlook

Fresno State's handicap starts with how much of the USC loss bettors are willing to forgive. The Bulldogs managed only 116 total yards, with Jayden Mandal throwing for 77 yards and Rayshon Luke rushing for 21. This is a dramatically softer matchup, and the return to Valley Children's Stadium matters for a program that has won five straight home openers. Luke remains the best candidate to stabilize the offense after leading Fresno State with 702 rushing yards in 2025, while the defense returns much of last season's production. The issue is price: laying 18.5 points requires offensive separation that Fresno State did not show at USC.

Latest Team Buzz

Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs FAQ

What is the current spread for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

The current home spread is FRESNO -18.5, while the away spread is SACST +18.5.

How far has the spread moved for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

The spread opened at FRESNO -18.5 and is now FRESNO -18.5.

What is the current moneyline for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

The current moneyline is SACST +625 / FRESNO -950.

How far has the moneyline moved for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

The moneyline opened at SACST +675 / FRESNO -1050 and is now SACST +625 / FRESNO -950.

What is the current total for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

The current total is 45.5.

How far has the total moved for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

The total opened at 48.5 and is now 45.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

You can watch this game on CBS Sports Network. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

You can stream this game on Hulu + Live TV.

What is the best free prop bet for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Remi's Still Searching

What is the biggest matchup edge for Sacramento State Hornets vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Sacramento State's early defensive efficiency gives the underdog a path to stay inside a huge number. The Hornets have allowed only 247.5 yards per game and 2.7 yards per rush, while Fresno State managed just 116 total yards and converted 2-of-10 third downs at USC.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Sacramento State Hornets vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
Game Date September 12, 2026
Venue Valley Children's Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI CFB PAST PICKS

30-21 58.8% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
ALBANY@BUFF
ALBANY +18.5
54.1%
4
WIN
ALBANY@BUFF
UNDER 47.5
57.1%
7
WIN
UAB@ILL
KATIN HOUSER OVER 18.5 PASS COMP
54.2%
4
LOSS
HAWAII@STNFRD
HAWAII +4.5
54.8%
4
LOSS
MEMP@UNLV
UNLV -4
53.2%
3
LOSS
SJST@USC
OVER 61.5
57.0%
6
WIN
JAXST@NDAKST
UNDER 46.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NCST@UVA
CJ BAILEY OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.2%
4
LOSS
MIAMI@IND
ROMAN HEMBY UNDER 15.5 RUSH ATT
55.2%
5
LOSS
OLEMISS@GEORGIA
KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD
56.7%
6
WIN
BAMA@IND
FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@TXTECH
OREG -126
58.9%
6
WIN
NEB@UTAH
DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NOTEX@SDGST
NOTEX -7
54.2%
4
LOSS
BAMA@OKLA
ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD
54.2%
4
WIN
BYU@TTU
PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION
54.3%
4
WIN
UNLV@BOISE
BOISE -4.5
56.7%
6
WIN
ECU@FAU
FAU +7
57.8%
7
LOSS
OREG@WASH
WASH +7
54.9%
4
LOSS
WYO@HAWAII
WYO +7.5
55.1%
5
LOSS
COLO@KSTATE
COLO +17.5
54.0%
4
WIN
OHIOST@MICH
MICH +10.5
56.4%
6
LOSS
VATECH@UVA
VATECH +8
57.8%
7
LOSS
NWEST@ILL
LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP
54.3%
4
WIN
ORE@WAS
DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
MIAMI@VATECH
VATECH +18.5
54.2%
4
WIN
GAST@TROY
TROY -9.5
55.7%
5
WIN
DEL@WAKE
DEL +18
56.7%
6
LOSS
NMEX@AF
NMEX -3.5
56.1%
5
WIN
WASHST@JMAD
WASHST +14.5
55.3%
5
WIN
ILL@WISC
WISC +9
55.1%
5
WIN
WKY@LSU
WKY +23.5
56.3%
6
WIN
WASH@UCLA
DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT
56.3%
6
WIN
TCU@HOU
AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
TEX@UGA
NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS
55.5%
5
WIN
PUR@WASH
ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS
54.1%
4
WIN
UVA@DUKE
DUKE -3.5
54.7%
3
LOSS
OKLA@BAMA
BAMA -6
54.5%
3
LOSS
OREGST@TULSA
OREGST -120
55.6%
5
LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST
MIZZST -5
54.3%
4
WIN
COLOST@NMEX
NMEX -14
57.1%
6
LOSS
PSU@MICHST
MICHST +7.5
56.5%
6
LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU
MISSST +7.5
57.2%
7
LOSS
FAU@TULANE
FAU +17.5
56.0%
6
WIN
NCST@MIAMI
NCST +15.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
KENTST@AKRON
AKRON -6.5
55.4%
5
LOSS
JAXST@UTEP
JAXST -105
57.0%
7
WIN
FSU@CLEM
CLEM -118
57.1%
5
WIN
UNLV@COLOST
UNLV -4
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@IOWA
IOWA +6.5
53.3%
2
WIN
NEB@UCLA
NEB +1.5
55.8%
5
WIN
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.