Cal Poly Mustangs
Montana State lays 7.5 at Worthington Arena with the total at 166.5, and Jeremiah Davis at 16.0 points per game leads a 1-2 side against Cal Poly, which is 2-2 and 2-1 against the spread in lined games.
Montana State Bobcats
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
Best Free Prop Pick
This page gives you one free prop. Upgrade for premium sides, totals, more props, and the full daily AI board.
Unlock Premium AI PicksOdds Comparison Center
Shop for the best lines in one place.
| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | CALPLY +6.5 MONTST -6.5 | CALPLY +245 MONTST -310 | O 166.5 U 166.5 |
| DraftKings | CALPLY +7.5 MONTST -7.5 | CALPLY +245 MONTST -305 | O 166.5 U 166.5 |
| BetMGM | — | CALPLY +240 MONTST -300 | O 166.5 U 166.5 |
| BetRivers | CALPLY +7.5 MONTST -7.5 | CALPLY +235 MONTST -315 | O 166.5 U 166.5 |
| Fanatics | CALPLY +7 MONTST -7 | CALPLY +240 MONTST -300 | O 166 U 166 |
| Bovada | CALPLY +7.5 MONTST -7.5 | CALPLY +250 MONTST -300 | O 166.5 U 166.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | CALPLY +7 MONTST -7 | CALPLY +241 MONTST -295 | O 166 U 166 |
| LowVig.ag | CALPLY +7 MONTST -7 | CALPLY +241 MONTST -295 | O 166 U 166 |
| BetUS | CALPLY +7 MONTST -7 | CALPLY +245 MONTST -295 | O 166 U 166 |
| Caesars | CALPLY +7 MONTST -7 | CALPLY +235 MONTST -292 | O 165.5 U 165.5 |
Injury Report
No significant injuries were listed for either team on the pregame report at time of writing. Cal Poly leans on Hamad Mousa at 20.8 points per game, while Montana State runs through Jeremiah Davis at 16.0, so any late change to either player's status would move this number. Confirm lineups before the 6:00 PM ET tip.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Montana State's edge starts with scoring margin at -4.0 per game, while Cal Poly sits at -5.7. Jeremiah Davis at 5.7 rebounds is the top rebounder on the floor, and winning the glass is Montana State's clearest path to covering 7.5.
3 Things to Watch
- Hamad Mousa scoring volume against Montana State
- Jeremiah Davis controlling the glass
- Pace against a 166.5 total
Betting Breakdown
Montana State hosts Cal Poly at Worthington Arena at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Cal Poly is 2-2 after an 83-74 win over Idaho, a 99-71 loss at Grand Canyon and a 104-84 loss at Arizona. Hamad Mousa leads at 20.8 points and 5.5 rebounds, and Cayden Ward adds 2.8 assists. Montana State is 1-2 after an 86-71 loss at BYU, an 83-70 win over Long Beach State and an 84-74 loss at Colorado State. Jeremiah Davis leads at 16.0 points and 5.7 rebounds, and Cavin Holden adds 3.7 assists. Montana State is a 7.5-point favorite with the total at 166.5. Cal Poly has scored 79.0 and allowed 84.8 per game, while Montana State has scored 76.0 and allowed 80.0. The number asks whether Montana State's form edge holds for 40 minutes, and Cal Poly needs Hamad Mousa to carry the scoring load to stay inside it.
Cal Poly Betting Outlook
Cal Poly is 2-2 after an 83-74 win over Idaho, a 99-71 loss at Grand Canyon and a 104-84 loss at Arizona. Hamad Mousa leads at 20.8 points and 5.5 rebounds, and Cayden Ward adds 2.8 assists. Cal Poly is scoring 79.0 and allowing 84.8 per game. Covering requires limiting second chances, protecting the ball and getting efficient production from Hamad Mousa against a 7.5-point number. Cal Poly is 2-1-0 against the spread with a 1-2 road mark, and it enters as a 7.5-point underdog with the total at 166.5.
Montana State Betting Outlook
Montana State is 1-2 after an 86-71 loss at BYU, an 83-70 win over Long Beach State and an 84-74 loss at Colorado State. Jeremiah Davis leads at 16.0 points and 5.7 rebounds, and Cavin Holden adds 3.7 assists. Montana State is scoring 76.0 and allowing 80.0 per game. Covering requires turning stops into transition chances and leaning on Jeremiah Davis to create separation before the final media timeout. Montana State is 3-0-0 against the spread with a 1-0 home mark, and it enters as a 7.5-point home favorite with the total at 166.5.
Latest Team Buzz
FINAL | Mustangs win!
— Cal Poly Men’s Basketball (@calpolymbb) November 14, 2026
Hamad Mousa 1⃣9⃣points
Jess Esso Essis1⃣6⃣points
Austin Goode1⃣3⃣points
Jake Davis1⃣1⃣points
Cal Poly closes its four-game road trip Sunday at Montana State at 3 p.m. PT on ESPN+.
#RideHigh
📰https://gopoly.com/news/2026/11/13/mens-basketball-mustangs-outlast-defending-big-sky-champ-idaho-83-74
Final from the Beehive State
— Montana State Men’s Basketball (@MSUBobcatsMBB) November 12, 2026
#Attitude | #GoCatsGo
Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats FAQ
What is the current spread for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
The current home spread is MONTST -7.5, while the away spread is CALPLY +7.5.
How far has the spread moved for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
The spread opened at MONTST -7.5 and is now MONTST -7.5.
What is the current moneyline for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
The current moneyline is CALPLY +245 / MONTST -305.
How far has the moneyline moved for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
The moneyline opened at CALPLY +235 / MONTST -290 and is now CALPLY +245 / MONTST -305.
What is the current total for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
The current total is 166.5.
How far has the total moved for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
The total opened at 166.5 and is now 166.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
You can watch this game on ESPN+. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
You can stream this game on ESPN+.
What is the best free prop bet for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
Remi's Still Searching
What is the biggest matchup edge for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Montana State Bobcats?
Montana State's edge starts with scoring margin at -4.0 per game, while Cal Poly sits at -5.7. Jeremiah Davis at 5.7 rebounds is the top rebounder on the floor, and winning the glass is Montana State's clearest path to covering 7.5.
CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.