The Idaho State Bengals arrive in Missoula on January 24, 2026 looking to upset the Montana Grizzlies and leverage their competitive offensive play and disciplined attack to cover or even steal a road win. Idaho State’s overall season mark of 10‑9 belies a team capable of strong offensive nights; they average roughly 76.9 points per game, shoot well from distance — hitting about 8.3 threes per contest at 34.4% — and distribute the ball effectively, creating high‑quality scoring opportunities even against tougher defenses. Their offense shows respectable efficiency, with a field‑goal percentage in the mid‑40s and free throw accuracy that allows them to convert late‑game possessions into points. Leaders in the lineup have the ability to take over games when shots fall, and their assist rates reflect a team that moves the ball well in half‑court sets, reducing reliance on isolation scoring and helping them stay within reach of top teams in the conference. On the defensive side, Idaho State has had mixed results. They allow opponents to score around 73.9 points per contest, which is solid nationally and keeps them within striking distance in high‑tempo games. Their rebounding numbers — around 31.6 per game — lag slightly behind conference peers, so controlling the glass and limiting second‑chance opportunities will be crucial in the face of Montana’s efficient offense.

When Idaho State crashes the offensive boards and secures defensive rebounds early, they create extra possessions that can swing momentum, especially in close games. The Bengals’ ATS performance this season — 9‑5‑0 ATS — underscores their ability to stay competitive even when they don’t always win outright, and their road cover metrics (3‑5 ATS away) show they can keep games closer than expected away from home. They’ve had success keeping opponents under totals, and early tempo control often comes down to execution in set defense and limiting turnovers, key areas for Idaho State. Importantly, Idaho State already beat Montana in their Jan 18, 2025 matchup by 86‑62, a result that demonstrates they can dominate if shots land and defensive pressure forces miscues. For Idaho State to succeed on this road trip, they’ll need to limit early fouls, secure defensive rebounds, and find perimeter shooting consistency to counter Montana’s scoring runs. If they can slow the pace early and convert transition chances after defensive stops, they have a legitimate chance to cover the spread or make this a close battle deep into the second half. Their offensive balance and ability to create open looks provide optimism that they won’t be overmatched — even in a tough Dahlberg Arena environment — making them a team to watch for competitiveness and potential upset intrigue.