Michigan vs Penn State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Jan 06)
Updated: 2026-01-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (13‑0, 3‑0 Big Ten) travel to Penn State (9‑5, 0‑3 Big Ten) on January 6, 2026 in a Big Ten clash featuring one of the nation’s elite undefeated teams against a Nittany Lions squad fighting to snap its conference skid. Michigan enters as a heavy favorite thanks to dominant scoring and efficiency on both ends, while Penn State looks to use home court and recent improvements to stay competitive.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 06, 2026
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Bryce Jordan Center
Nittany Lions Record: (9-5)
Wolverines Record: (13-0)
OPENING ODDS
MICH Moneyline: -7692
PSU Moneyline: +2200
MICH Spread: -22.5
PSU Spread: +22.5
Over/Under: 164.5
MICH
Betting Trends
- Michigan is 8‑1 ATS in its last 9 games, showing strong value relative to expectations despite some lopsided favorites this season.
PSU
Betting Trends
- Penn State has been 3‑7 ATS in its last 10 games, reflecting inconsistency against expectations even at Bryce Jordan Center.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In recent Big Ten history versus Michigan, Penn State has covered 4 of the last 5 games at home against the Wolverines, despite Michigan’s overall dominance, hinting at possible resistance in this matchup. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Penn State’s last 8 games against Michigan, signaling past struggles to keep pace with fast‑tempo scoring.
MICH vs. PSU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Mingo over 22.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Michigan vs Penn State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 1/6/26
The Big Ten clash between the Michigan Wolverines and Penn State Nittany Lions on January 6 in Happy Valley presents a matchup of starkly contrasting fortunes and styles, with Michigan undefeated and atop the conference while Penn State seeks to stabilize a rocky start. Michigan comes into the contest with a 13‑0 overall record and a 3‑0 Big Ten mark, featuring one of the nation’s most efficient offenses that averages nearly 97 points per game while shooting above 53 percent from the field. The Wolverines’ balanced attack is led by Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson Jr., Trey McKenney, Roddy Gayle Jr., and Aday Mara, creating multiple scoring threats that can punish any defensive lapse. Michigan’s ball movement and transition efficiency allow them to stretch defenses and generate high-percentage shots, while their depth enables them to maintain pace and intensity for all 40 minutes. Defensively, the Wolverines have limited opponents to just 66.5 points per game, combining size, athleticism, and discipline to contest shots, protect the rim, and force turnovers that fuel their high-scoring tempo.
Penn State enters the game with a 9‑5 overall record and winless 0‑3 start in Big Ten play, relying on guard Kayden Mingo, Freddie Dilione V, and Melih Tunca to generate offense. While the Nittany Lions have shown flashes of potential — particularly in creating transition opportunities and stretching defenses with three-point shooting — inconsistency in shooting efficiency, turnovers, and rebounding has hindered their ability to keep pace with elite opponents. Historically, Penn State has had some success covering spreads at home versus Michigan, but keeping up with Michigan’s scoring depth and efficiency will be a daunting challenge. This game will likely hinge on Michigan’s ability to control tempo and dominate the glass while Penn State looks to generate turnovers, hit timely threes, and leverage home-court energy to stay competitive. Execution in transition, defensive rotations, and late-game composure will determine how close the Nittany Lions can keep the score, while Michigan aims to extend its unbeaten streak and assert itself as a national title contender in the Big Ten.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Rez’s big week earns him Big Ten Player of the Week 👏👏 pic.twitter.com/f4TYtoWgkY
— Michigan Men's Basketball (@umichbball) January 5, 2026
Michigan Wolverines CBB Preview
The Michigan Wolverines arrive in Happy Valley on January 6 as one of the most dominant teams in college basketball, carrying a 13‑0 overall record and 3‑0 mark in Big Ten play. Michigan’s success this season has been fueled by elite offensive efficiency, averaging nearly 97 points per game while shooting over 53 percent from the field. The Wolverines boast a balanced scoring attack led by Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson Jr., Trey McKenney, Roddy Gayle Jr., and Aday Mara, all capable of creating offense both inside and beyond the arc. Michigan’s depth allows the team to maintain a high tempo, sustain defensive intensity, and rotate players effectively to keep legs fresh throughout the game. Ball movement and spacing are central to the Wolverines’ identity, generating open looks and high-percentage shots that have overwhelmed opponents repeatedly this season. Transition offense is a particular strength, as Michigan converts defensive stops into fast-break points, putting additional pressure on opposing defenses.
Defensively, Michigan has been elite, holding opponents to just 66.5 points per game while forcing turnovers and contesting shots at all levels. Their rebounding presence, both offensively and defensively, limits second-chance opportunities and fuels transition scoring. The Wolverines’ ability to dictate pace and execute late-game strategies has allowed them to win both tight contests and blowouts, highlighting their consistency and championship-caliber discipline. On the road, Michigan’s experience and depth will be tested in a hostile environment at Penn State’s Bryce Jordan Center. Maintaining composure, controlling turnovers, and sustaining offensive efficiency are key factors for a team playing away from home. If Michigan executes on both ends of the floor, protects the ball, and leverages its transition game, the Wolverines have the talent and cohesion to dominate this matchup. With their combination of balanced scoring, defensive discipline, and elite efficiency, Michigan is positioned to extend its unbeaten streak while reinforcing its status as a national title contender.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Penn State Nittany Lions CBB Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions host the Michigan Wolverines on January 6 looking to halt a difficult start to Big Ten play and show progress against a top-ranked opponent. Penn State enters with a 9‑5 overall record and 0‑3 conference mark, reflecting a team with offensive potential but inconsistency against elite competition. The Nittany Lions rely heavily on scoring from guards Kayden Mingo and Freddie Dilione V, with contributions from forward Melih Tunca providing balance. Penn State averages roughly 78 points per game, but struggles with shooting efficiency and turnovers have limited their ability to sustain momentum in past Big Ten contests. The Bryce Jordan Center offers home-court energy and familiarity, which can help the Nittany Lions stay competitive against an opponent as talented as Michigan. Historically, Penn State has covered several spreads at home against Michigan, demonstrating that they can perform well even against elite teams when playing in a familiar environment. Defensively, Penn State has shown effort and intensity, contesting shots and battling on the boards, but the Nittany Lions have struggled against high-powered offenses like Michigan’s, especially when trying to control transition and prevent fast-break points.
Limiting turnovers, securing rebounds, and converting defensive stops into points will be crucial for the team to stay in striking distance. Coach Mike Rhoades has emphasized disciplined execution in both half-court sets and transition defense, seeking to counter Michigan’s efficiency and depth. Offensively, Penn State must leverage spacing, ball movement, and three-point shooting to keep the Wolverines off balance. Capitalizing on opportunities from fast breaks and second-chance points will be key to generating momentum. If Penn State executes consistently, maintains defensive focus, and uses the energy of the Bryce Jordan Center, they can remain competitive throughout the game and potentially cover the spread. The Nittany Lions’ performance at home will hinge on both offensive efficiency and defensive resilience in what is expected to be a challenging Big Ten showdown.
It's Mingo time ⏰🙂↕️#WeAre | 📺: @BigTenNetwork pic.twitter.com/B8rTpSEThR
— Penn State Men’s Basketball (@PennStateMBB) January 4, 2026
Michigan vs Penn State Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Wolverines and Nittany Lions play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Bryce Jordan Center in Jan seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Michigan vs Penn State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Wolverines and Nittany Lions and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Penn State’s strength factors between a Wolverines team going up against a possibly deflated Nittany Lions team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Michigan vs Penn State picks, computer picks Wolverines vs Nittany Lions, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBB | 3/12 | XAVIER@UCONN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CBB | 3/12 | MTSU@LATECH | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/12 | LOYCHI@DAVID | GET FREE PICK NOW | 2 | – | |
| CBB | 3/12 | TCU@KANSAS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/12 | LOYCHI@DAVID | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/12 | SCARST@NORFLK | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/12 | OLEMISS@GEORGIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
Michigan Betting Trends
Michigan is 8‑1 ATS in its last 9 games, showing strong value relative to expectations despite some lopsided favorites this season.
Penn State Betting Trends
Penn State has been 3‑7 ATS in its last 10 games, reflecting inconsistency against expectations even at Bryce Jordan Center.
Wolverines vs. Nittany Lions Matchup Trends
In recent Big Ten history versus Michigan, Penn State has covered 4 of the last 5 games at home against the Wolverines, despite Michigan’s overall dominance, hinting at possible resistance in this matchup. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Penn State’s last 8 games against Michigan, signaling past struggles to keep pace with fast‑tempo scoring.
Michigan vs. Penn State Game Info
Michigan vs Penn State starts on January 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Bryce Jordan Center.
Spread: Penn State +22.5
Moneyline: Michigan -7692, Penn State +2200
Over/Under: 164.5
Michigan: (13-0) | Penn State: (9-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Mingo over 22.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In recent Big Ten history versus Michigan, Penn State has covered 4 of the last 5 games at home against the Wolverines, despite Michigan’s overall dominance, hinting at possible resistance in this matchup. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Penn State’s last 8 games against Michigan, signaling past struggles to keep pace with fast‑tempo scoring.
MICH trend: Michigan is 8‑1 ATS in its last 9 games, showing strong value relative to expectations despite some lopsided favorites this season.
PSU trend: Penn State has been 3‑7 ATS in its last 10 games, reflecting inconsistency against expectations even at Bryce Jordan Center.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Michigan vs. Penn State Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Michigan vs Penn State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MICH Moneyline | -7692 |
|---|---|
| PSU Moneyline | +2200 |
| MICH Spread | -22.5 |
| PSU Spread | +22.5 |
| Over / Under | 164.5 |
Michigan vs Penn State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Abilene Christian Wildcats
Utah Tech Trailblazers
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ABIL
UTTECH
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28
46
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+1400
-3500
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+14.5 (-120)
-14.5 (-110)
|
O 150.5 (-105)
U 150.5 (-125)
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San Jose State Spartans
New Mexico Lobos
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SJST
NMEX
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20
20
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-850
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-11.5 (-120)
|
O 156.5 (-120)
U 156.5 (-110)
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|
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In Progress
UC Davis Aggies
CSU Fullerton Titans
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UCDAV
CSFULL
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22
34
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+575
-950
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+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-120)
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O 144.5 (-115)
U 144.5 (-115)
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Mar 13, 2026 11:30AM EDT
GW Revolutionaries
Saint Louis Billikens
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GWASH
STLOU
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–
–
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+215
-265
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+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
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O 161.5 (-112)
U 161.5 (-108)
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Mar 13, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Michigan Wolverines
3/13/26 12PM
OHIOST
MICH
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–
–
|
+600
-900
|
+12.5 (-102)
-12.5 (-118)
|
O 154.5 (-115)
U 154.5 (-105)
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Mar 13, 2026 12:30PM EDT
Charlotte 49ers
UAB Blazers
3/13/26 12:30PM
CHARLO
UAB
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–
–
|
+160
-192
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+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
|
O 145.5 (-108)
U 145.5 (-112)
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Mar 13, 2026 12:30PM EDT
Missouri State Bears
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
3/13/26 12:30PM
MIZZST
LATECH
|
–
–
|
-120
|
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 134.5 (-112)
U 134.5 (-108)
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|
|
Mar 13, 2026 1:00PM EDT
Kentucky Wildcats
Florida Gators
3/13/26 1PM
UK
FLA
|
–
–
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+390
-590
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+10.5 (-107)
-10.5 (-115)
|
O 159.5 (-110)
U 159.5 (-113)
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|
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Mar 13, 2026 2:00PM EDT
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Dayton Flyers
3/13/26 2PM
STBON
DAYTON
|
–
–
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+230
-295
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+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 140.5 (-110)
U 140.5 (-110)
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|
|
Mar 13, 2026 2:00PM EDT
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
3/13/26 2PM
PVAM
ALA&M
|
–
–
|
-102
|
+1.5 (-118)
|
O 143.5 (-110)
U 143.5 (-110)
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|
|
Mar 13, 2026 2:30PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Illinois Fighting Illini
3/13/26 2:30PM
WISC
ILL
|
–
–
|
+240
-300
|
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 155.5 (-115)
U 155.5 (-105)
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|
|
Mar 13, 2026 3:00PM EDT
Kennesaw State Owls
Sam Houston State Bearkats
3/13/26 3PM
KENSAW
SAMST
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–
–
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|
pk
pk
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O 163.5 (-110)
U 163.5 (-110)
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|
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Mar 13, 2026 3:30PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Vanderbilt Commodores
3/13/26 3:30PM
TENN
VANDY
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 147.5 (-110)
U 147.5 (-110)
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Mar 13, 2026 5:00PM EDT
Umass Minutemen
Toledo Rockets
3/13/26 5PM
UMASS
TOLEDO
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–
–
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-162
|
-3.5 (-110)
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O 158.5 (-110)
U 158.5 (-110)
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|
Mar 13, 2026 5:00PM EDT
Duquesne Dukes
VCU Rams
3/13/26 5PM
DUQ
VCU
|
–
–
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+295
-375
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+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
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O 152.5 (-115)
U 152.5 (-105)
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Mar 13, 2026 5:30PM EDT
Seton Hall Pirates
St. John's Red Storm
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STJOHN
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–
–
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+265
-360
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+7.5 (-109)
-7.5 (-114)
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O 132.5 (-112)
U 132.5 (-112)
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Mar 13, 2026 6:00PM EDT
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Howard Bison
3/13/26 6PM
SCST
HOWARD
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–
–
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-1600
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-14.5 (-118)
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O 145.5 (-115)
U 145.5 (-105)
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Mar 13, 2026 6:30PM EDT
Purdue Boilermakers
Nebraska Cornhuskers
3/13/26 6:30PM
PURDUE
NEB
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–
–
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-180
+150
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-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
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O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
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Mar 13, 2026 7:00PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
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3/13/26 7PM
MIAMI
UVA
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–
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+154
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+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
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O 143.5 (-112)
U 143.5 (-108)
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Mar 13, 2026 7:00PM EDT
Ole Miss Rebels
Alabama Crimson Tide
3/13/26 7PM
OLEMISS
BAMA
|
–
–
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+360
-470
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+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-105)
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O 163.5 (-110)
U 163.5 (-110)
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Mar 13, 2026 7:00PM EDT
Iowa State Cyclones
Arizona Wildcats
3/13/26 7PM
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ARIZ
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–
–
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+150
-180
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+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
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O 143.5 (-105)
U 143.5 (-115)
|
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|
Mar 13, 2026 7:30PM EDT
Davidson Wildcats
Saint Joseph's Hawks
3/13/26 7:30PM
DAVID
STJOE
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–
–
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+105
-125
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 131.5 (-115)
U 131.5 (-105)
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Mar 13, 2026 7:30PM EDT
Kent State Golden Flashes
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3/13/26 7:30PM
KENT
AKRON
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–
–
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+215
-265
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+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
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O 163.5 (-110)
U 163.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 13, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Southern Jaguars
Florida A&M Rattlers
3/13/26 8:30PM
STHRN
FLAAM
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–
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-155
+130
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-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
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O 145.5 (-115)
U 145.5 (-105)
|
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|
Mar 13, 2026 9:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
Michigan State Spartans
3/13/26 9PM
UCLA
MICHST
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–
–
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+176
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+5.5 (-112)
|
O 142.5 (-105)
U 142.5 (-115)
|
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Mar 13, 2026 9:00PM EDT
UT Arlington Mavericks
Utah Valley Wolverines
3/13/26 9PM
UTARL
UTVAL
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–
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-325
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-7.5 (-105)
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O 135.5 (-110)
U 135.5 (-110)
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Mar 13, 2026 9:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Utah State Aggies
3/13/26 9:30PM
NEVADA
UTAHST
|
–
–
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+215
-265
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+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 144.5 (-115)
U 144.5 (-105)
|
CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions on January 06, 2026 at Bryce Jordan Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKY@WISCGB | NKY -2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NIOWA@UIC | NIOWA -3.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ARK@MIZZOU | ARK +130 | 45.7% | 1 | WIN |
| SMU@FSU | SMU +110 | 46.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +114 | 49.2% | 1 | WIN |
| TXTECH@BYU | BYU -125 | 55.6% | 3 | WIN |
| UNC@DUKE | UNDER 147.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| VANDY@TENN | TENN -3.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| NDAK@STTOM-MN | NDAK +12.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GWASH@LOYCHI | LOYCHI +10.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ALBANY@UMASSLO | UMASSLO -2.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PORT@SANFRAN | PORT +7.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| UNC@DUKE | DUKE -17 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@BRAD | NIOWA -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| QUEENS@PEAY | QUEENS +1.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLMBIA@HARV | CLMBIA +4.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LONGWD@NCASH | LONGWD -1 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| VMI@NCGRN | NCGRN -7.5 | 52.7% | 2 | WIN |
| LATECH@LIB | LATECH +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MVSU@JACKST | MVSU +10.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| STETSON@EKTY | EKTY -4 | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| DUQ@RI | RI -2 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| OREG@ILL | ILL -18 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| BRYANT@NH | BRYANT +1 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| MISSST@FLA | FLA -21.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAMAR@HOUBP | LAMAR -114 | 55.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| IOWAST@ARIZ | ARIZ -7 | 53.1% | 1 | WIN |
| RIDER@SIENA | SIENA -15.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| CHARLO@FAU | CHARLO +7.5 | 58.6% | 8 | WIN |
| NOTEX@UAB | UAB -5.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@DRAKE | NIOWA -4 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| SCARST@MDESHORE | SCARST +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| YALE@CLMBIA | YALE -5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| SFAUSTIN@HOUBP | SFAUSTIN -8 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TXTECH@IOWAST | TXTECH +10.5 | 52.3% | 2 | WIN |
| PITT@CAL | PITT +8.5 | 57.3% | 7 | WIN |
| KANSAS@ARIZ | ARIZ -9.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| EILL@SIUE | EILL +5.5 | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -10 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| BUCK@LEHIGH | BUCK +5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| IOWA@PSU | IOWA -9.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARK@FLA | FLA -10.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CALPOLY@UCSD | CALPOLY +6.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| NAU@EWASH | NAU +9.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| VANDY@UK | UK -0.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| DEL@KENSAW | DEL +11.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| BAMA@TENN | AMARI ALLEN UNDER 6.5 REB | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GONZAG@MARYCA | PAULIUS MURAUSKAS UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| QUINN@NIAGARA | NIAGARA +9 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| MICH@ILL | ILL +1 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| BROWN@CLMBIA | BROWN +4.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |