Minnesota enters Toronto with a 13-3-4 record and 13-7 puck-line mark, while the Maple Leafs have lost four consecutive games. The Wild defense allows only 2.2 goals per game, a notable contrast with Toronto.
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
Best Free Prop Pick
This page gives you one free prop. Upgrade for premium sides, totals, more props, and the full daily AI board.
Unlock Premium AI PicksOdds Comparison Center
Shop for the best lines in one place.
Injury Report
Minnesota lists defenseman Brock Faber on injured reserve and goaltender Filip Gustavsson on injured reserve, potentially tightening the defensive rotation and increasing reliance on Jesper Wallstedt. Toronto has Colton Sissons out and Kirill Marchenko, Miles Wood and Max Domi listed on injured reserve. Defenseman Morgan Rielly and forward Zack MacEwen have been listed day-to-day. Final availability and starting goaltenders require confirmation closer to puck drop.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Minnesota holds the clearest statistical advantage in goals prevention, yielding 2.2 goals per game against Toronto at 3.5. The Wild also allow 25.8 shots per game compared with the Maple Leafs at 29.5. Toronto can still pressure opponents offensively, averaging 3.4 goals, so puck-line value depends partly on whether Minnesota turns defense into a multigoal margin.
3 Things to Watch
- Minnesota 2.2 goals allowed per game
- Toronto 3.5 goals allowed per game
- Wild 9-4 road puck-line record
Betting Breakdown
Minnesota travels to Scotiabank Arena with 30 standings points from 20 games and a 13-3-4 record, having defeated Montreal 2-1 in overtime on November 10. The Wild won four of their last five, scoring 3.6 and conceding 1.8 goals per game in that stretch. Toronto has 18 points and an 8-10-2 record following a 6-3 defeat to Colorado. Four consecutive regulation losses underline its defensive concerns. The matchup is particularly interesting against the puck line: Minnesota has covered 13 of 20 contests overall and 9 of 13 away, while Toronto has covered only 9 of 20 overall and 3 of 12 at home. The listed total of 6.5 requires balancing Minnesota defense against Toronto offensive production. Minnesota averages 3.3 goals and permits 2.2; Toronto scores around 3.4 and allows roughly 3.5. Kirill Kaprizov enters with 32 points in 20 games, while Auston Matthews has 28. Starting-goalie confirmation and late injury updates could materially change the betting outlook.
Minnesota Betting Outlook
The Wild have built a 13-3-4 start on a strong defensive foundation, allowing only 44 goals through 20 games. Their 8-3-2 road record and 9-4 road puck-line mark make their travel profile especially relevant in Toronto. Minnesota has won four of five, with recent victories over Washington, Philadelphia, San Jose and Montreal. Kirill Kaprizov has 17 goals and 32 points across 20 games, and Jesper Wallstedt made 27 saves in the 2-1 overtime win over Montreal. The injuries to Brock Faber and Filip Gustavsson remain important roster and goaltending considerations. Minnesota is priced as a favorite, but a one-goal win still fails to cover a standard minus-1.5 puck line.
Toronto Betting Outlook
Toronto enters at 8-10-2 after losing four straight to Utah, Montreal, New Jersey and Colorado. Its most recent defeat was 6-3 against the Avalanche, while the Maple Leafs have allowed 69 goals through 20 games, approximately 3.5 per contest. They are 4-7-1 at home and have covered only 3 of 12 home puck lines. Their offense remains a meaningful counterweight, scoring 67 goals with Auston Matthews contributing 11 goals and 17 assists for 28 points. Toronto may have to generate more pressure from its top scorers while limiting high-quality looks against a defensively disciplined Minnesota lineup. Injury uncertainty on the blue line, including Morgan Rielly, merits monitoring.
Latest Team Buzz
The impact of KK97 goes beyond the ice. He's become more than a teammate, but a key communicator for the team.
— Minnesota Wild (@minnesotawild) November 11, 2026
Go behind the scenes with Kirill the Thrill in the second episode of Wild Unknown.
Watch here » https://t.co/GvCFHxAVi5
#mnwild | @drivetoyota
Cowboy's Lucky Numbers
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) November 11, 2026
Watch The Leaf: Blueprint 📺 https://t.co/Wbj6hsIiFL
Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs FAQ
What is the current spread for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
The current home spread is , while the away spread is .
How far has the spread moved for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
The spread opened at and is now .
What is the current moneyline for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
The current moneyline is / .
How far has the moneyline moved for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
The moneyline opened at / and is now / .
What is the current total for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
The current total is .
How far has the total moved for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
The total opened at and is now .
Is the market taking the underdog in Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Current market signal: .
Is the market taking the favorite in Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Current market signal: .
Is the total dropping for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Current totals signal: .
Is the total rising for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Current totals signal: .
Where to watch Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
You can watch this game on Sportsnet. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
You can stream this game on Sportsnet+.
What is the best free prop bet for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Quinn Hughes Over 0.5 Points
What is the biggest matchup edge for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?
Minnesota holds the clearest statistical advantage in goals prevention, yielding 2.2 goals per game against Toronto at 3.5. The Wild also allow 25.8 shots per game compared with the Maple Leafs at 29.5. Toronto can still pressure opponents offensively, averaging 3.4 goals, so puck-line value depends partly on whether Minnesota turns defense into a multigoal margin.
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.