Away Team
Record 10-3-2
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 9-6-0 ATS
Road 2-3-2 road
Standings
NHL Game Preview
Schedule
Puck Drop Countdown
9:12:51
Start Time 8:10 PM EST
Date 07, 2026
Venue Grand Casino Arena
Season Series 2026-27 season series: Tampa Bay leads 1-0 after winning 3-2 on October 8.

Minnesota enters with a 12-3-3 record and a seven-game point streak, while Tampa Bay seeks a season-series sweep after winning 3-2 in October. The Wild have covered 12 of 18 puck lines, making the underdog spread a central consideration.

Home Team
Record 12-3-3
Last 5 4-1 last five
ATS 12-6-0 ATS
Home 5-0-1 home
Analysis Updated: 5:40 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 5:40 AM ET
Odds Updated: 10:49 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
MIN +1.5
Open: MIN +1.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

Loading line history...
Odds Updated: 11/7 10:49 AM ET
Moneyline
MIN +120
Open: MIN +102
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

Loading line history...
Odds Updated: 11/7 10:49 AM ET
Total
6.5
Open: 6.5
Total Steady

Total Movement

Loading line history...
Odds Updated: 11/7 10:49 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Brayden Point Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Kucherov registered 16 assists and 20 points across 14 Lightning games. Kaprizov recorded one goal and three assists against San Jose on Friday. Wallstedt stopped 23 of 24 shots against San Jose in Minnesota's latest victory.

This page gives you one free prop. Upgrade for premium sides, totals, more props, and the full daily AI board.

Unlock Premium AI Picks

Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
FanDuel | MIN +1.5
Best Home Moneyline
BetOnline.ag | MIN +123
Best Over Line
BetMGM | 6
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | TB -1.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetRivers | TB -139
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 6.5
Updated 10:49 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -146
MIN +122
O 6.5
U 6.5
DraftKingsTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -142
MIN +120
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetMGMTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -145
MIN +120
O 6
U 6
BetRiversTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -139
MIN +117
O 6.5
U 6.5
FanaticsTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -145
MIN +120
O 6.5
U 6.5
BovadaTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -142
MIN +122
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetOnline.agTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -140
MIN +123
O 6.5
U 6.5
LowVig.agTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -140
MIN +123
O 6.5
U 6.5
MyBookie.agTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -142
MIN +116
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetUSTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -140
MIN +120
O 6.5
U 6.5
CaesarsTB -1.5
MIN +1.5
TB -141
MIN +120
O 6.5
U 6.5

Injury Report

Minnesota lists defensemen Brock Faber and Jared Spurgeon, forwards Nick Foligno and Marcus Foligno, and goaltender Filip Gustavsson among its injured players. Those absences affect blue-line depth, forward rotations and goalie options. Michael McCarron exited Friday's game against San Jose with an undisclosed injury and was described as questionable for Saturday. Tampa Bay center Yanni Gourde has been listed out with a hip injury, while Zemgus Girgensons has appeared as day to day. Starting goaltenders and final lineups were not confirmed at this review.

Key Players

Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Kucherov recorded 16 assists and 20 points through his first 14 games.
Minnesota
Kirill Kaprizov
Kaprizov scored his league-leading 16th goal and added three assists Friday.

Key Matchup Edge

Minnesota has allowed roughly 2.2 goals per game compared with about 3.0 for Tampa Bay, making defensive resistance a potential home advantage. The Lightning average approximately 3.7 goals per game, though, and won the first matchup 3-2. Minnesota's injuries on defense and Tampa Bay's sub-.500 road record complicate a straightforward favorite assessment.

3 Things to Watch

  • Minnesota defensive absences against Tampa scoring
  • Kaprizov production and Wild power play
  • Confirmed goaltenders and the 6.5 total

Betting Breakdown

Minnesota welcomes Tampa Bay to Grand Casino Arena on Saturday for the second and final regular-season meeting between the teams. The Lightning won 3-2 in Tampa on October 8, getting two goals from John Carlson and 34 saves from Dennis Hildeby. The Wild now arrive at 12-3-3 after beating San Jose 4-1 on Friday, extending their point streak to seven games at 6-0-1. Kirill Kaprizov contributed a goal and three assists against the Sharks, while Jesper Wallstedt made 23 saves. Tampa Bay enters 10-3-2 and has won three of its previous five games, though its road record is 2-3-2. Published puck-line grading puts the Lightning at 9-6 ATS and Minnesota at 12-6 ATS. A commonly posted total of 6.5 goals frames the attack-versus-defense question: Tampa Bay averages around 3.7 goals per game, while Minnesota concedes around 2.2. Health and goaltending remain essential checks. The Wild have multiple injured defensemen and forwards, plus Filip Gustavsson unavailable, and Michael McCarron's status needs monitoring after Friday's exit. Saturday's matchup follows a Friday game for Minnesota and precedes Tampa Bay's Sunday trip to Winnipeg.

Tampa Bay Betting Outlook

Tampa Bay enters with a 10-3-2 record and three wins in its last five contests. The Lightning defeated Chicago 4-1 on Thursday after beating Detroit 4-2, and their October 8 victory over Minnesota gives them a chance to complete the season sweep. Their offense has averaged approximately 3.7 goals per game, with Nikita Kucherov providing 20 points and 16 assists through 14 appearances. However, the club is 2-3-2 away from home and 3-4 ATS on the road, compared with 9-6 ATS overall. Yanni Gourde is listed out, and the status of Zemgus Girgensons merits confirmation before betting. Tampa Bay's goaltending choice is also important.

Minnesota Betting Outlook

Minnesota improved to 12-3-3 by defeating San Jose 4-1 Friday and has earned points in seven straight games, going 6-0-1 in that span. The Wild are 5-0-1 at home and have covered 12 of 18 puck lines this season. Kirill Kaprizov scored his 16th goal of the campaign against the Sharks and assisted on three more goals. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 23 of 24 shots in that win, helping sustain a strong team defensive profile of about 2.2 goals allowed per game. Injuries to Brock Faber, Jared Spurgeon, Marcus Foligno, Nick Foligno and Filip Gustavsson could shape the lineup. Michael McCarron is questionable after leaving Friday's contest, adding uncertainty on the second night of a back-to-back.

Latest Team Buzz

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild FAQ

What is the current spread for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

The current home spread is MIN +1.5, while the away spread is TB -1.5.

How far has the spread moved for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

The spread opened at MIN +1.5 and is now MIN +1.5.

What is the current moneyline for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

The current moneyline is TB -142 / MIN +120.

How far has the moneyline moved for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

The moneyline opened at TB -122 / MIN +102 and is now TB -142 / MIN +120.

What is the current total for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

The current total is 6.5.

How far has the total moved for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

The total opened at 6.5 and is now 6.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

You can watch this game on Wild+ (Minnesota); The Spot - Tampa Bay 66 (Tampa Bay). For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

You can stream this game on Wild+ on Prime Video (Minnesota); ESPN+ (out of market).

What is the best free prop bet for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Brayden Point Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

What is the biggest matchup edge for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild?

Minnesota has allowed roughly 2.2 goals per game compared with about 3.0 for Tampa Bay, making defensive resistance a potential home advantage. The Lightning average approximately 3.7 goals per game, though, and won the first matchup 3-2. Minnesota's injuries on defense and Tampa Bay's sub-.500 road record complicate a straightforward favorite assessment.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild
Game Date 07, 2026
Venue Grand Casino Arena
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI NHL PAST PICKS

23-28 45.1% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
CAR@LV
CARTER HART OVER 2.5 GOALS ALLOWED
52.8%
2
WIN
LV@CAR
JALEN CHATFIELD UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
53.4%
3
WIN
CAR@LV
JEREMY LAUZON OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
52.6%
2
LOSS
LV@CAR
CARTER HART UNDER 3.5 GOALS ALLOWED
53.2%
3
LOSS
LV@CAR
RASMUS ANDERSSON UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
54.2%
4
LOSS
MON@CAR
LANE HUTSON UNDER 0.5 ASSTS
54.1%
4
LOSS
CAR@MON
FREDERIK ANDERSEN UNDER 20.5 SAVES
53.4%
3
WIN
CAR@MON
FREDRICK ANDERSON UNDER 20.5 SAVES
54.2%
4
WIN
CAR@MON
COLE CAUFIELD UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
53.8%
3
WIN
MON@CAR
MON +171
52.7%
3
WIN
MON@CAR
JAKUB DOBES UNDER 3.5 GOALS ALLOWED
54.0%
3
WIN
BUF@MON
ALEX NEWHOOK OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
53.7%
3
WIN
LV@ANA
PAVEL MINTYUKOV OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
53.2%
3
WIN
BUF@MON
NICK SUZUKI UNDER 0.5 ASST
53.2%
3
WIN
BUF@MON
COLE CAUFIELD UNDER 0.5 POINTS
53.2%
3
LOSS
COL@MIN
SCOTT WEDGEWOOD OVER 25.5 SAVES
53.8%
3
LOSS
ANA@LV
RASMUS ANDERSSON OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
54.6%
4
LOSS
DET@BUF
OVER 6
54.5%
3
WIN
OTT@DET
OVER 5.5
54.4%
4
LOSS
CAR@CLB
CAR -135
60.9%
4
LOSS
LA@NYR
LA -115
53.7%
3
WIN
FLA@CHI
OVER 5.5
57.1%
3
WIN
CLB@PIT
PIT -120
54.7%
3
LOSS
MIN@BUF
BUF -120
55.6%
4
LOSS
NSH@COL
UNDER 6.5
53.8%
3
LOSS
CGY@CHI
CHI -118
54.8%
3
LOSS
DAL@ANA
DAL -116
54.0%
3
LOSS
FLA@BUF
BUF -115
55.8%
4
LOSS
NJ@WPG
WPG -122
55.5%
4
WIN
NSH@CGY
CGY -118
57.5%
4
LOSS
BUF@CLB
BUF -108
59.7%
4
LOSS
WPG@TOR
TOR -133
58.8%
4
WIN
WAS@FLA
FLA -118
56.6%
3
WIN
MIN@WPG
MIN -113
55.1%
4
WIN
PHI@CHI
PHI -125
56.1%
4
WIN
DAL@DET
DAL -125
58.0%
6
LOSS
ANA@CLB
ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
54.4%
4
LOSS
NSH@STL
NSH -105
53.3%
3
WIN
OTT@WPG
OVER 5.5
54.0%
3
LOSS
TB@NYI
TB -130
60.9%
6
LOSS
MIN@CGY
MIN -115
56.5%
6
LOSS
PIT@TB
UNDER 6.5
54.8%
3
LOSS
TOR@FLA
OVER 6
53.8%
3
PUSH
MON@LV
OVER 6
54.4%
4
LOSS
PHI@FLA
SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
54.1%
4
LOSS
BOS@NYI
MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS
54.4%
4
LOSS
CLB@WAS
OVER 6.5
54.2%
3
LOSS
CLB@DET
DET -135
67.0%
6
WIN
STL@PHI
UNDER 5.5
54.6%
4
WIN
CAR@MIN
OVER 6
56.4%
4
WIN
PHI@STL
JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES
54.4%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.