Away Team
Record 3-3-1
Last 5 1-4 last five
ATS 4-3-0 ATS
Road 1-2-1 road
Standings
NHL Game Preview
Schedule
Puck Drop Countdown
14:05:42
Start Time 9:10 PM EST
Date 16, 2026
Venue Ball Arena
Where To Watch Altitude Sports
Where To Stream Altitude+
Season Series Season series tied 0-0.

Colorado is favored by more than two dollars on the moneyline, but Pittsburgh won 7-2 in Denver last March. With a 6.5-goal total and both defenses under scrutiny, puck-line value demands a closer look.

Home Team
Record 4-2-1
Last 5 2-3 last five
ATS 3-4-0 ATS
Home 2-1-1 home
Analysis Updated: 6:55 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 6:50 AM ET
Odds Updated: 7:04 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
COL -1.5
Open: COL -1.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/16 7:04 AM ET
Moneyline
COL -218
Open: COL -245
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/16 7:04 AM ET
Total
6.5
Open: 6.5
Total Steady

Total Movement

Loading line history...
Odds Updated: 10/16 7:04 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Evgeni Malkin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots fits his four or more attempts in four of seven games. MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots targets Pittsburgh defensive depth weakened by multiple blue-line absences. MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots benefits from first-line deployment and heavy home-ice power-play usage.

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Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
FanDuel | COL -1.5
Best Home Moneyline
MyBookie.ag | COL -197
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 6.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | PIT +1.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetRivers | PIT +185
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 6.5
Updated 7:04 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +176
COL -215
O 6.5
U 6.5
DraftKingsPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +180
COL -218
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetMGMPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +180
COL -220
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetRiversPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +185
COL -225
O 6.5
U 6.5
FanaticsPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +175
COL -215
O 6.5
U 6.5
BovadaPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +178
COL -215
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetOnline.agPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +183
COL -210
O 6.5
U 6.5
LowVig.agPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +183
COL -210
O 6.5
U 6.5
MyBookie.agPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +159
COL -197
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetUSPIT +1.5
COL -1.5
PIT +180
COL -210
O 6.5
U 6.5
Caesars—PIT +184
COL -225
O 6.5
U 6.5

Injury Report

Pittsburgh defensemen Trevor van Riemsdyk and Ryan Graves are sidelined, testing blue-line depth against a high-output Colorado attack; forward Justin Brazeau is also listed out. Colorado forward Logan O'Connor remains out with a lower-body injury, while Nicolas Roy and Zachary L'Heureux carry day-to-day designations. Cale Makar returned against Dallas after a personal absence. Confirm final line combinations and goaltenders before wagering.

Key Players

Pittsburgh
Sidney Crosby
Crosby scored twice against Chicago after a quiet start to the season.
Colorado
Nathan MacKinnon
MacKinnon has five goals, seven assists, and 29 shots through seven games.

Key Matchup Edge

Colorado owns the stronger early scoring profile, with 31 goals in seven games against Pittsburgh's 24. MacKinnon drives a high-volume attack that can exploit Pittsburgh's thin defense, but Colorado's 3-4 puck-line mark makes laying 1.5 goals less automatic than the moneyline suggests. Goalie confirmation matters.

3 Things to Watch

  • MacKinnon shot volume against weakened defense
  • Pittsburgh top-line defensive assignments
  • Confirmed starters and special teams

Betting Breakdown

The Avalanche host the Penguins Friday at Ball Arena with the market favoring Colorado around -215 and listing a 6.5-goal total. Colorado has scored 31 times in seven games, powered by Nathan MacKinnon and a deep group of finishers, while Pittsburgh has scored 24. That offensive gap helps explain the moneyline, but recent results complicate a puck-line wager. Colorado is only 3-4 against the spread, and its latest game ended in a 3-2 shootout loss to Dallas. Pittsburgh enters 3-3-1 after losing 5-3 in Chicago, its fourth defeat in five outings. The Penguins nevertheless have a 4-3 puck-line record and won 7-2 in Denver in March, a reminder that past meetings have produced major swings. Pittsburgh is missing defensive depth, potentially exposing its penalty kill and slot coverage to MacKinnon. For Colorado, Logan O'Connor is out while Nicolas Roy and Zachary L'Heureux need monitoring. The central decision is whether the Avalanche's superior attack justifies the full puck-line margin, or whether Pittsburgh can hang within one goal.

Pittsburgh Betting Outlook

Pittsburgh arrives with three wins in seven games and a 1-2-1 road mark. A 5-3 loss in Chicago featured two Sidney Crosby goals but also exposed the difficulty its first line has had controlling play. The Penguins have lost four of their last five, although a 4-3 puck-line record indicates they have stayed within betting margins more often than outright results suggest. Their blue line is missing Trevor van Riemsdyk and Ryan Graves, a serious concern against Colorado's transition speed. Pittsburgh will need disciplined defensive-zone exits, cleaner goaltending and production beyond its veteran stars. The plus-1.5 goal option offers a different risk profile from an outright upset.

Colorado Betting Outlook

Colorado is 4-2-1 with a 2-1-1 home record, and its 31 goals lead the early offensive comparison. Nathan MacKinnon already has 12 points, while Martin Necas and the supporting forwards create additional problems beyond the first line. The Avalanche split consecutive games with Dallas, most recently falling 3-2 in a shootout after allowing a shorthanded breakaway goal. Cale Makar returned for that contest, easing concerns following his personal absence. Colorado has covered only three of seven puck lines despite its strong scoring totals. Bettors backing the favorite should distinguish an attractive straight-up matchup from the tougher requirement of winning by multiple goals.

Latest Team Buzz

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche FAQ

What is the current spread for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

The current home spread is COL -1.5, while the away spread is PIT +1.5.

How far has the spread moved for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

The spread opened at COL -1.5 and is now COL -1.5.

What is the current moneyline for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

The current moneyline is PIT +180 / COL -218.

How far has the moneyline moved for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

The moneyline opened at PIT +200 / COL -245 and is now PIT +180 / COL -218.

What is the current total for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

The current total is 6.5.

How far has the total moved for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

The total opened at 6.5 and is now 6.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

You can watch this game on Altitude Sports. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

You can stream this game on Altitude+.

What is the best free prop bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Evgeni Malkin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

What is the biggest matchup edge for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Colorado owns the stronger early scoring profile, with 31 goals in seven games against Pittsburgh's 24. MacKinnon drives a high-volume attack that can exploit Pittsburgh's thin defense, but Colorado's 3-4 puck-line mark makes laying 1.5 goals less automatic than the moneyline suggests. Goalie confirmation matters.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche
Game Date 16, 2026
Venue Ball Arena
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI NHL PAST PICKS

23-28 45.1% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
CAR@LV
CARTER HART OVER 2.5 GOALS ALLOWED
52.8%
2
WIN
LV@CAR
JALEN CHATFIELD UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
53.4%
3
WIN
CAR@LV
JEREMY LAUZON OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
52.6%
2
LOSS
LV@CAR
CARTER HART UNDER 3.5 GOALS ALLOWED
53.2%
3
LOSS
LV@CAR
RASMUS ANDERSSON UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
54.2%
4
LOSS
MON@CAR
LANE HUTSON UNDER 0.5 ASSTS
54.1%
4
LOSS
CAR@MON
FREDERIK ANDERSEN UNDER 20.5 SAVES
53.4%
3
WIN
CAR@MON
FREDRICK ANDERSON UNDER 20.5 SAVES
54.2%
4
WIN
CAR@MON
COLE CAUFIELD UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
53.8%
3
WIN
MON@CAR
MON +171
52.7%
3
WIN
MON@CAR
JAKUB DOBES UNDER 3.5 GOALS ALLOWED
54.0%
3
WIN
BUF@MON
ALEX NEWHOOK OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
53.7%
3
WIN
LV@ANA
PAVEL MINTYUKOV OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
53.2%
3
WIN
BUF@MON
NICK SUZUKI UNDER 0.5 ASST
53.2%
3
WIN
BUF@MON
COLE CAUFIELD UNDER 0.5 POINTS
53.2%
3
LOSS
COL@MIN
SCOTT WEDGEWOOD OVER 25.5 SAVES
53.8%
3
LOSS
ANA@LV
RASMUS ANDERSSON OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
54.6%
4
LOSS
DET@BUF
OVER 6
54.5%
3
WIN
OTT@DET
OVER 5.5
54.4%
4
LOSS
CAR@CLB
CAR -135
60.9%
4
LOSS
LA@NYR
LA -115
53.7%
3
WIN
FLA@CHI
OVER 5.5
57.1%
3
WIN
CLB@PIT
PIT -120
54.7%
3
LOSS
MIN@BUF
BUF -120
55.6%
4
LOSS
NSH@COL
UNDER 6.5
53.8%
3
LOSS
CGY@CHI
CHI -118
54.8%
3
LOSS
DAL@ANA
DAL -116
54.0%
3
LOSS
FLA@BUF
BUF -115
55.8%
4
LOSS
NJ@WPG
WPG -122
55.5%
4
WIN
NSH@CGY
CGY -118
57.5%
4
LOSS
BUF@CLB
BUF -108
59.7%
4
LOSS
WPG@TOR
TOR -133
58.8%
4
WIN
WAS@FLA
FLA -118
56.6%
3
WIN
MIN@WPG
MIN -113
55.1%
4
WIN
PHI@CHI
PHI -125
56.1%
4
WIN
DAL@DET
DAL -125
58.0%
6
LOSS
ANA@CLB
ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS
54.4%
4
LOSS
NSH@STL
NSH -105
53.3%
3
WIN
OTT@WPG
OVER 5.5
54.0%
3
LOSS
TB@NYI
TB -130
60.9%
6
LOSS
MIN@CGY
MIN -115
56.5%
6
LOSS
PIT@TB
UNDER 6.5
54.8%
3
LOSS
TOR@FLA
OVER 6
53.8%
3
PUSH
MON@LV
OVER 6
54.4%
4
LOSS
PHI@FLA
SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL
54.1%
4
LOSS
BOS@NYI
MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS
54.4%
4
LOSS
CLB@WAS
OVER 6.5
54.2%
3
LOSS
CLB@DET
DET -135
67.0%
6
WIN
STL@PHI
UNDER 5.5
54.6%
4
WIN
CAR@MIN
OVER 6
56.4%
4
WIN
PHI@STL
JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES
54.4%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.