Flyers vs Maple Leafs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 02)
Updated: 2026-02-28T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Philadelphia Flyers face off on the road against the Toronto Maple Leafs on March 2, 2026 in a key late‑season Eastern Conference matchup that will have playoff positioning implications for both clubs. Philadelphia arrives looking to build positive momentum after a fluctuating run of form, while Toronto aims to right the ship after a tough stretch following the Olympic break.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Mar 02, 2026
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs Record: (27-24)
Flyers Record: (27-21)
OPENING ODDS
PHI Moneyline: +113
TOR Moneyline: -134
PHI Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
PHI
Betting Trends
- Through the 2025‑26 NHL season on the spread, Philadelphia has a moderately strong ATS performance, recording a 35‑24‑0 ATS mark, indicating they’ve covered more often than they’ve failed despite inconsistency in some stretches.
TOR
Betting Trends
- Toronto’s ATS record this season has been less intimidating, with the Maple Leafs posting around a 25‑35‑0 ATS result, suggesting they’ve underperformed against expectations especially at home in certain matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In the recent head‑to‑head series between these clubs, while Philadelphia owns a better all‑time historical record, Toronto has dominated recent meetings, winning 13 of the last 14 matchups, including a recent overtime thriller and earlier victories this season, hinting at a potential divergence between overall history and current performance trends.
PHI vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Matthews over 0.5 Points.
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Philadelphia vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/2/26
The March 2, 2026 clash between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Toronto Maple Leafs is a classic Eastern Conference matchup that not only offers exciting on‑ice action but also meaningful implications as the NHL regular season hurtles toward its final stretch. Both teams sit in positions where each point matters — Toronto looking to bolster its Atlantic Division credentials and the Flyers aiming to solidify a wild‑card or divisional slot. Philadelphia enters this game with a moderately respectable overall record but has shown inconsistency; recent news coverage highlights that they were beaten 3‑1 by the Washington Capitals shortly after the Olympic break and have won only a handful of their last outings. This ebb and flow of performance reflects a team that possesses offensive capability but struggles with consistency in execution, particularly against stronger defensive systems or goaltending setups. Travis Konecny and other Flyers forwards have been relied upon for offensive production, but Philadelphia’s workflow has been patchy at times with defensive lapses and special teams performance fluctuating. On the flip side, the Maple Leafs have hit a rough patch of late; Toronto has dropped multiple games since the Olympic break, including a 5‑2 loss to the Ottawa Senators, extending a brief skid that has seen them struggle to find the same offensive rhythm that once made them a consistent threat. The Leafs, led by key scorers like William Nylander and Auston Matthews, still possess lethal firepower capable of exploding for multiple goals in any period, but defensive issues and goaltending lapses — underscored by Joseph Woll’s replacement late in a recent Senators game — have exposed vulnerabilities.
Toronto’s recent results also include a hard‑fought overtime victory over the Flyers earlier in the season, suggesting that Philadelphia can push the Leafs in tight situations, particularly if they play a disciplined, structured game and capitalize on odd‑man rushes. Betting narratives around this matchup will likely focus on puck line value and total goals markets, given Toronto’s recent struggles against the spread as a home team and Philadelphia’s moderate ATS strength. Toronto’s ATS challenges indicate that while they may win games, they often fail to cover the spread, opening potential value for those who back underdog or neutralized betting scenarios. That said, Toronto’s head‑to‑head dominance over Philadelphia, including a victory earlier this season and historic success against this opponent, suggests the Leafs may still have the tactical edge if they tighten up defensively and allow their offensive stars to set the pace early. Special teams could be pivotal: Toronto’s power play can efficiently shift momentum in tight games, whereas Philadelphia must execute disciplined penalty killing to stay competitive. Ultimately, the outcome might hinge on which team sustains 60 minutes of reliable hockey — Philadelphia needing to weather Toronto’s offensive pressure and seize transitional opportunities, while Toronto must prevent sloppy turnovers and leverage home icing advantages. This dynamic clash between a historically energetic Flyers squad and a potent Maple Leafs lineup promises exciting and potentially unpredictable hockey from puck drop to final buzzer.
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Ladies and gentlemen: Dan Vladar.#BOSvsPHI | @BankofAmerica pic.twitter.com/aSgMTbO5RT
— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) March 1, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers NHL Preview
On the road for their March 2, 2026 contest against the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Philadelphia Flyers face an intriguing challenge that encapsulates both the promise and the inconsistency that has marked their 2025‑26 season. Philadelphia has demonstrated on multiple occasions that it can compete with strong opposition, but the Flyers have also struggled to maintain that level across full 60‑minute performances, a factor that has led to mixed results and fluctuating form throughout the campaign. Led offensively by Travis Konecny and supported by contributors like Trevor Zegras and Noah Cates, Philadelphia’s attack is capable of generating scoring opportunities at a respectable clip. Konecny’s playmaking ability and scoring instincts provide a consistent threat, while secondary scoring from the bottom lines can create opportunities when the top unit is neutralized. Recently, Philadelphia rebounded with a solid showing against the Boston Bruins, indicating that when the offense clicks and defensive responsibilities are shared, the Flyers can be difficult to contain. However, the broader narrative of their season highlights a team that has seen stretches of defensive vulnerability and special teams challenges. For example, a 3‑1 loss to the Washington Capitals shortly after the Olympic break showcased moments where the Flyers struggled to close down scoring opportunities and contain sustained offensive pressure from their opponent. These defensive lapses — particularly in transition and in the slot — underscore areas where Philadelphia will need to tighten up if they want to compete against a high‑octane offensive lineup like Toronto’s. When it comes to special teams, the Flyers have had moments of success but have also encountered inconsistencies that have undermined their ability to maintain momentum. Penalty kill efficiency and power play conversions will be crucial in this road environment, as Philadelphia’s ability to capitalize on opponent infractions or stave off Toronto’s potent power play could dictate the flow of the game.
Additionally, goaltending on the road becomes an even more prominent storyline. Dan Vladar or the netminder entrusted in goal must provide reliable stops, particularly early in the game, to prevent Toronto from jumping to an early lead and dictating pace. Road games against Atlantic Division opponents are often characterized by chance creation and transition speed, and Philadelphia must leverage disciplined defensive zone play to prevent odd‑man rushes that could result in high‑danger scoring opportunities against. Structurally, Philadelphia’s game plan will likely emphasize controlled exits from their own zone, crisp puck movement to generate offense, and limiting turnovers that could provide Toronto with short‑handed chances or quick counters. If the Flyers can establish strong neutral‑zone control and disrupt Toronto’s entry patterns, they can create a more even possession battle and force the Maple Leafs to work harder through the mid‑ice. That said, Toronto’s depth scoring and ability to generate sustained pressure means Philadelphia must sustain high energy levels and avoid collapsing defensively. Road adversity is a factor in every NHL season, and Philadelphia’s ability to embrace the challenge — particularly against a divisional foe with historical success in recent matchups — will be a storyline throughout this contest. If the Flyers can execute a disciplined game plan, capitalize on transitional opportunities, and lean on key scoring contributors, they have a chance to keep the game tight and even steal a result. However, maintaining consistency across all phases — 5‑on‑5, special teams, and defensive structure — will be the true test of Philadelphia’s mettle in this pivotal late‑season road battle.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview
For the Toronto Maple Leafs, the March 2, 2026 matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers represents a critical juncture in their Atlantic Division campaign. Toronto’s season has been defined by moments of impressive scoring punch balanced with stretches of defensive struggle and inconsistent goaltending, particularly since the NHL returned from its Olympic break. The Maple Leafs possess one of the more dynamic offensive cores in the league, headlined by elite talents like William Nylander and Auston Matthews, both of whom have the ability to change a game’s tempo with a single shift. These high‑caliber forwards are complemented by complementary scorers and secondary contributors who, when on form, provide multi‑line threats that can overwhelm defenses. This scoring depth becomes crucial in matchups against a disciplined opponent like Philadelphia, which can frustrate unbalanced attacks if the Leafs become overly reliant on isolated plays. However, Toronto’s offensive prowess can flourish when the team adopts a cohesive system that emphasizes puck possession, crisp passing, and high‑value shots from the slot. When that offensive rhythm is established early, Toronto often dictates the pace — forcing opponents to react rather than initiate. Yet in recent weeks, Toronto’s momentum has sputtered. After facing stiff competition following the Olympic break, including a disappointing 5‑2 loss to Ottawa in which the Leafs struggled to contain opposing forwards and surrendered five goals, Toronto has wrestled with defensive lapses and erratic goaltending. In that game, starting goalie Joseph Woll conceded multiple goals before being replaced late in the contest, pointing to a position that demands stability if Toronto hopes to maintain divisional relevance.
Offensively, the Leafs have still managed to generate scoring opportunities, and the franchise’s deep roster can exploit transitional mistakes from opponents. Head coach Craig Berube has a variety of tactical wrinkles at his disposal, from deploying Matthews and Nylander in high‑leverage situations to using depth forwards to exploit mismatches on special teams. Indeed, Toronto’s power play remains a significant weapon; an efficient man advantage can turn the tide in close battles and provide the Leafs with crucial breathing room. On the defensive side, Toronto must tighten coverage and reduce the number of odd‑man transitions that can lead to scoring chances against. Philadelphia can be opportunistic, especially when given space in the neutral zone or time to set up in the offensive end, so minimizing giveaways and maintaining structural discipline are priorities for Toronto’s blue line and defensive forwards. At home in Scotiabank Arena, the Leafs should benefit from crowd energy and familiarity with the ice surface, but they must leverage that advantage by establishing early tempo and not ceding momentum to Philadelphia. Winning the opening period — both on the scoreboard and possession metrics — could set the tone for the remainder of the game, allowing Toronto to dictate flow and force Philadelphia into reactive play. Special teams, particularly disciplined penalty killing and timely power‑play conversions, could swing momentum in Toronto’s favor. Ultimately, if the Maple Leafs can harness their scoring depth, tighten defensive coverage, and provide consistent goaltending, they have a strong chance not only to win but to cover the spread and reinforce their status as a competitive force in the Atlantic Division.
Styles sticks with it 😎@OREO | #LeafsForever pic.twitter.com/lAqLrOiUOZ
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) March 1, 2026
Philadelphia vs Toronto Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Flyers and Maple Leafs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scotiabank Arena in Mar almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Philadelphia vs Toronto Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Flyers and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Toronto’s strength factors between a Flyers team going up against a possibly deflated Maple Leafs team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Toronto picks, computer picks Flyers vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Philadelphia Betting Trends
Through the 2025‑26 NHL season on the spread, Philadelphia has a moderately strong ATS performance, recording a 35‑24‑0 ATS mark, indicating they’ve covered more often than they’ve failed despite inconsistency in some stretches.
Toronto Betting Trends
Toronto’s ATS record this season has been less intimidating, with the Maple Leafs posting around a 25‑35‑0 ATS result, suggesting they’ve underperformed against expectations especially at home in certain matchups.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends
In the recent head‑to‑head series between these clubs, while Philadelphia owns a better all‑time historical record, Toronto has dominated recent meetings, winning 13 of the last 14 matchups, including a recent overtime thriller and earlier victories this season, hinting at a potential divergence between overall history and current performance trends.
Philadelphia vs. Toronto Game Info
Philadelphia vs Toronto starts on March 02, 2026 at 8:30 PM EST.
Venue: Scotiabank Arena.
Spread: Toronto -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia +113, Toronto -134
Over/Under: 6
Philadelphia: (27-21) | Toronto: (27-24)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Matthews over 0.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In the recent head‑to‑head series between these clubs, while Philadelphia owns a better all‑time historical record, Toronto has dominated recent meetings, winning 13 of the last 14 matchups, including a recent overtime thriller and earlier victories this season, hinting at a potential divergence between overall history and current performance trends.
PHI trend: Through the 2025‑26 NHL season on the spread, Philadelphia has a moderately strong ATS performance, recording a 35‑24‑0 ATS mark, indicating they’ve covered more often than they’ve failed despite inconsistency in some stretches.
TOR trend: Toronto’s ATS record this season has been less intimidating, with the Maple Leafs posting around a 25‑35‑0 ATS result, suggesting they’ve underperformed against expectations especially at home in certain matchups.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Philadelphia vs. Toronto Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| PHI Moneyline | +113 |
|---|---|
| TOR Moneyline | -134 |
| PHI Spread | +1.5 |
| TOR Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6 |
Philadelphia vs Toronto Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
Columbus Blue Jackets
New York Rangers
In Progress
Blue Jackets
Rangers
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4
4
|
-115
-113
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-1.5 (+900)
+1.5 (-2800)
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O 9.5 (+375)
U 9.5 (-590)
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In Progress
Philadelphia Flyers
Toronto Maple Leafs
In Progress
Flyers
Maple Leafs
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1
1
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+102
-130
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+1.5 (-450)
-1.5 (+305)
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O 4.5 (-130)
U 4.5 (+100)
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Mar 2, 2026 10:10PM EST
Dallas Stars
Vancouver Canucks
3/2/26 10:10PM
Stars
Canucks
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–
–
|
-196
+162
|
-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-164)
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O 5.5 (-132)
U 5.5 (+108)
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Mar 2, 2026 10:10PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Seattle Kraken
3/2/26 10:10PM
Hurricanes
Kraken
|
–
–
|
-182
+150
|
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-172)
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O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+106)
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|
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Mar 2, 2026 10:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
3/2/26 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
|
–
–
|
-176
+146
|
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-176)
|
O 5.5 (-140)
U 5.5 (+114)
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|
|
Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Pittsburgh Penguins
Boston Bruins
3/3/26 7:10PM
Penguins
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
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+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+205)
|
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
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|
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Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Nashville Predators
Columbus Blue Jackets
3/3/26 7:10PM
Predators
Blue Jackets
|
–
–
|
+118
-142
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+172)
|
O 6.5 (-102)
U 6.5 (-120)
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|
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Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Florida Panthers
New Jersey Devils
3/3/26 7:10PM
Panthers
Devils
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
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O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
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|
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Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
Buffalo Sabres
3/3/26 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Sabres
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–
–
|
-130
|
-1.5 (+195)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
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|
|
Mar 3, 2026 8:10PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Winnipeg Jets
3/3/26 8:10PM
Blackhawks
Jets
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+160)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
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Mar 3, 2026 9:10PM EST
Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames
3/3/26 9:10PM
Stars
Flames
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
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Mar 3, 2026 9:10PM EST
Ottawa Senators
Edmonton Oilers
3/3/26 9:10PM
Senators
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+118
-142
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+172)
|
O 6.5 (-112)
U 6.5 (-108)
|
|
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Mar 3, 2026 9:40PM EST
Tampa Bay Lightning
Minnesota Wild
3/3/26 9:40PM
Lightning
Wild
|
–
–
|
-125
+105
|
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 10:10PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
San Jose Sharks
3/3/26 10:10PM
Canadiens
Sharks
|
–
–
|
+114
|
+1.5 (-218)
|
O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 10:10PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
Anaheim Ducks
3/3/26 10:10PM
Avalanche
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-162
+134
|
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-180)
|
O 6.5 (-118)
U 6.5 (-104)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on March 02, 2026 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA@NYI | NYI +127 | 48.9% | 1 | WIN |
| WPG@NJ | WPG +110 | 49.3% | 1 | WIN |
| NJ@SEA | NJ -120 | 54.9% | 2 | WIN |
| FLA@CHI | OVER 5.5 | 57.1% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@EDM | NJ +151 | 44.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CLB@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@BUF | BUF -120 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| ANA@LA | ANA +128 | 47.6% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@COL | UNDER 6.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CGY@CHI | CHI -118 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@NSH | NSH +115 | 51.0% | 1 | WIN |
| DAL@ANA | DAL -116 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@BUF | BUF -115 | 55.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NJ@WPG | WPG -122 | 55.5% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CGY | SEA +137 | 46.5% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@CGY | CGY -118 | 57.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLB | BUF -108 | 59.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.8% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SJ | SJ +150 | 47.4% | 1 | WIN |
| WAS@FLA | FLA -118 | 56.6% | 3 | WIN |
| MIN@WPG | MIN -113 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@CHI | PHI -125 | 56.1% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@DET | DAL -125 | 58.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| ANA@CLB | ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NSH@STL | NSH -105 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@WPG | OVER 5.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@NYI | TB -130 | 60.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| LV@NYI | NYI +120 | 46.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BUF@CGY | OVER 5.5 | 52.2% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@CGY | MIN -115 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@TB | UNDER 6.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | PUSH |
| MON@LV | OVER 6 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@FLA | SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@WAS | OVER 6.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |