Lightning vs Penguins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Jan 13)

Updated: 2026-01-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-13-3) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (21-14-9) at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, January 13, 2026 in what figures to be a marquee Eastern Conference battle. Tampa Bay arrives riding a significant winning streak and strong offensive form, while Pittsburgh has also been playing well, making this an intriguing clash between two high-octane clubs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 13, 2026

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: PPG Paints Arena​

Penguins Record: (21-14)

Lightning Record: (27-13)

OPENING ODDS

TBL Moneyline: -127

PIT Moneyline: +107

TBL Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 6.5

TBL
Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay has been solid against the spread overall this season, particularly on the road where it holds a strong ATS mark, and recently they’ve covered multiple times while favored.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh’s recent ATS results have been mixed, showing struggles to cover at home despite periods of winning, particularly when underdog; their last stretch shows ups and downs versus the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has shown volatility in this matchup, with Penguins home games often trending OVER when facing teams with strong road records; Tampa Bay has tended to perform well as a road favorite with overs breaking often in recent outings.

TBL vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Point over 0.5 Points.

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Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 1/13/26

The January 13 meeting between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins brings together two Eastern Conference clubs trending in strong directions as the season crosses into mid-January. Tampa Bay has been one of the more dominant teams in the league recently, riding a season-best winning streak that has showcased their offensive depth, elite skill players, and defensive strength. Their star right wing, Nikita Kucherov, has been outstanding with an extended point streak, leading the club in scoring and consistently driving Tampa Bay’s attack. Meanwhile, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has provided a stable presence in net, giving Tampa Bay confidence in tight games. The Penguins, as the home side, have also been playing quality hockey, with a recent winning streak of their own driven by balanced scoring and strong performances from captain Sidney Crosby and secondary contributors. Pittsburgh has managed to climb the standings and finds ways to outscore opponents, though their defensive lapses at times have presented challenges against top scorers.

Watching how Tampa Bay’s structured offense and disciplined defensive corps match up with Pittsburgh’s aggressive forecheck and veteran-led attack will be key. Special teams could swing momentum; if Pittsburgh’s power play can capitalize early, it may force Tampa Bay to adjust its neutral-zone pressure. Conversely, if the Lightning impose their transition game and pressure Pittsburgh’s defense, they could open seams for high-danger chances. The contrasting styles — Tampa Bay’s explosive scoring against Pittsburgh’s calculated, adaptable attack — make this a compelling encounter. Home ice gives Pittsburgh a boost, but Tampa Bay’s current form and overall record this season suggest they have the edge in consistency and execution, shaping this contest into a classic chalk vs. challenger narrative.

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Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning arrive in Pittsburgh as one of the NHL’s hottest teams, riding a substantial winning streak that reflects their elite mix of offensive firepower, defensive discipline, and goaltending excellence. Tampa Bay’s offense has been clicking on all cylinders, led by elite performers like Nikita Kucherov, whose prolonged point streak has consistently put pressure on opposing defenses. Secondary scoring has also played a part, with forwards like Brandon Hagel and Anthony Cirelli chipping in timely goals to complement the club’s high event scoring. Defensively, Tampa Bay remains cohesive, limiting high-danger chances and playing with structure in their own end, which allows goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to see pucks cleanly and make the saves that keep leads intact. Their road performance this season has been especially impressive; they’ve consistently neutralized home-ice advantages and controlled puck possession in neutral and offensive zones.

Tampa Bay’s special teams are another big component of their success: a power play capable of striking quickly and a penalty kill that stifles sustained pressure give them an edge in tight games. In transition, Tampa Bay’s speed and precision make them a threat every time they enter the offensive zone, and their ability to convert odd-man rushes into goals has been a differentiator. This trip to Pittsburgh tests how Tampa Bay can adapt to a raucous home crowd and a Penguins team eager to leverage its recent success — but the Lightning’s balanced attack and veteran leadership should keep them composed. Their ability to sustain scoring depth, limit turnovers, and force opponents into low-percentage shots will be keys to success on enemy ice. If Tampa Bay can tilt the ice early and control the pace through disciplined defense and opportunistic offense, they could extend their dominant run and further distance themselves in the Eastern Conference standings.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-13-3) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (21-14-9) at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, January 13, 2026 in what figures to be a marquee Eastern Conference battle. Tampa Bay arrives riding a significant winning streak and strong offensive form, while Pittsburgh has also been playing well, making this an intriguing clash between two high-octane clubs. Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Jan 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins enter this game at PPG Paints Arena with plenty of momentum from recent wins that have bolstered confidence and raised expectations for the rest of the season. Pittsburgh’s success has come from a balanced offensive attack that doesn’t rely solely on one line; while Sidney Crosby continues to lead the charge, contributions from secondary scorers and role players have helped keep the scoring diverse. Their success in recent games has been built on timely offense, transition plays, and a generally opportunistic approach that exploits opponents’ defensive lapses. However, Pittsburgh’s defense has been tested at times, especially against high-power offenses, leading to a need for more consistent zone exits and stronger net-front coverage. Goaltending has been a storyline of fluctuation, with performances that can swing the game for or against them — finding stability between the pipes will be crucial against a Lightning attack that thrives on puck movement and high shot volumes. Special teams will also play a pivotal role; Pittsburgh’s power play can be dangerous when their puck movement and timing are synced, but penalty killing must be sharp to mitigate Tampa Bay’s scoring threats with the man advantage.

On home ice, the crowd’s energy often elevates their play, especially in close games, giving the Penguins a valuable edge in puck battles and physical intensity. Matchups against Tampa Bay’s skilled forwards and dynamic transition rushes will test Pittsburgh’s systems, particularly in how they defend odd-man rushes and breakouts. Getting pucks deep, winning board battles, and creating sustained zone pressure will be critical for the Penguins to tilt play in their favor. If they can disrupt Tampa Bay’s rhythm early, force turnovers, and capitalize on rebounds, Pittsburgh can control tempo in key moments. Their resilience and recent form indicate they’re capable of competing with the league’s upper echelon; this game will be a litmus test of how well they can maintain that against one of the Eastern Conference’s hottest teams.

Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Lightning and Penguins play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PPG Paints Arena in Jan almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Point over 0.5 Points.

Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Lightning and Penguins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Lightning team going up against a possibly improved Penguins team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Lightning vs Penguins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NHL 1/12 FLA@BUF UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NHL 1/12 EDM@CHI UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.

Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Tampa Bay has been solid against the spread overall this season, particularly on the road where it holds a strong ATS mark, and recently they’ve covered multiple times while favored.

Pittsburgh Betting Trends

Pittsburgh’s recent ATS results have been mixed, showing struggles to cover at home despite periods of winning, particularly when underdog; their last stretch shows ups and downs versus the spread.

Lightning vs. Penguins Matchup Trends

The total has shown volatility in this matchup, with Penguins home games often trending OVER when facing teams with strong road records; Tampa Bay has tended to perform well as a road favorite with overs breaking often in recent outings.

Tampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

January 13, 2026 • 8:00 PM EST • PPG Paints Arena

Tampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Jan 13, 2026 7:10PM EST
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pittsburgh Penguins
1/13/26 7:10PM
Lightning
Penguins
-136
+110
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 6 (-120)
U 6 (-105)
Jan 13, 2026 7:10PM EST
Vancouver Canucks
Ottawa Senators
1/13/26 7:10PM
Canucks
Senators
+200
-250
+1.5 (-132)
-1.5 (+107)
O 6.5 (-107)
U 6.5 (-117)
Jan 13, 2026 7:10PM EST
Calgary Flames
Columbus Blue Jackets
1/13/26 7:10PM
Flames
Blue Jackets
+118
-148
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+170)
O 6 (-125)
U 6 (+102)
Jan 13, 2026 7:10PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals
1/13/26 7:10PM
Canadiens
Capitals
 
-155
 
-1.5 (+160)
O 6 (-120)
U 6 (-105)
Jan 13, 2026 7:40PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
St Louis Blues
1/13/26 7:40PM
Hurricanes
Blues
-175
+138
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-182)
O 6 (-109)
U 6 (-113)
Jan 13, 2026 7:40PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Boston Bruins
1/13/26 7:40PM
Red Wings
Bruins
+107
-132
+1.5 (-240)
-1.5 (+188)
O 6 (-113)
U 6 (-110)
Jan 13, 2026 8:10PM EST
New York Islanders
Winnipeg Jets
1/13/26 8:10PM
Islanders
Jets
+114
-141
+1.5 (-230)
-1.5 (+180)
O 5.5 (-104)
U 5.5 (-120)
Jan 13, 2026 8:10PM EST
Edmonton Oilers
Nashville Predators
1/13/26 8:10PM
Oilers
Predators
-118
-105
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-265)
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-125)
Jan 13, 2026 10:10PM EST
Dallas Stars
Anaheim Ducks
1/13/26 10:10PM
Stars
Ducks
-121
-103
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-265)
O 6.5 (-132)
U 6.5 (+107)
Jan 14, 2026 7:00PM EST
Seattle Kraken
New Jersey Devils
1/14/26 7PM
Kraken
Devils
+133
-167
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
Jan 14, 2026 7:30PM EST
Ottawa Senators
New York Rangers
1/14/26 7:30PM
Senators
Rangers
+102
-127
-1.5 (+225)
+1.5 (-275)
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
Jan 14, 2026 7:30PM EST
Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres
1/14/26 7:30PM
Flyers
Sabres
+125
-157
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 6 (-118)
U 6 (-102)
Jan 14, 2026 10:00PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
Los Angeles Kings
1/14/26 10PM
Golden Knights
Kings
 
-112
 
-1.5 (+220)
O 6 (-102)
U 6 (-118)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins on January 13, 2026 at PPG Paints Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
NJ@WPG WPG -122 55.5% 4 WIN
SEA@CGY SEA +137 46.5% 1 WIN
NSH@CGY CGY -118 57.5% 4 LOSS
BUF@CLB BUF -108 59.7% 4 LOSS
WPG@TOR TOR -133 58.8% 4 WIN
MIN@SJ SJ +150 47.4% 1 WIN
WAS@FLA FLA -118 56.6% 3 WIN
MIN@WPG MIN -113 55.1% 4 WIN
PHI@CHI PHI -125 56.1% 4 WIN
DAL@DET DAL -125 58.0% 6 LOSS
ANA@CLB ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS 54.4% 4 LOSS
NSH@STL NSH -105 53.3% 3 WIN
OTT@WPG OVER 5.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
TB@NYI TB -130 60.9% 6 LOSS
LV@NYI NYI +120 46.1% 1 WIN
BUF@CGY OVER 5.5 52.2% 1 WIN
MIN@CGY MIN -115 56.5% 6 LOSS
PIT@TB UNDER 6.5 54.8% 3 LOSS
TOR@FLA OVER 6 53.8% 3 PUSH
MON@LV OVER 6 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@FLA SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.1% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYI MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
CLB@WAS OVER 6.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CLB@DET DET -135 67.0% 6 WIN
STL@PHI UNDER 5.5 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@MIN OVER 6 56.4% 4 WIN
PHI@STL JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES 54.4% 4 LOSS
CLB@SEA CLB +110 44.6% 1 WIN
MIN@NYI MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@NSH NSH -122 55.7% 3 LOSS
SJ@SEA JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
CAR@NYR OVER 5.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
PIT@TOR OVER 6.5 53.5% 3 WIN
VAN@NSH OVER 5.5 53.9% 3 WIN
NJ@ANA ANA +110 44.8% 1 WIN
DET@ANA DET -100 51.5% 3 LOSS
NYI@CAR UNDER 6.5 54.1% 4 LOSS
WPG@MIN WPG -115 56.4% 4 WIN
NYI@BOS UNDER 6.5 55.0% 3 LOSS
MIN@NYR OVER 5.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
ANA@CHI ANA -125 56.9% 3 LOSS
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN