Stars vs Capitals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Jan 07)

Updated: 2026-01-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Dallas Stars travel to take on the Washington Capitals on January 7, 2026 at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., with puck drop set for 7:00 p.m. ET. Washington enters as the favorite in what shapes up to be a high-scoring divisional battle between two offensively dynamic but defensively inconsistent teams.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 07, 2026

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Capital One Arena​

Capitals Record: (22-15)

Stars Record: (25-10)

OPENING ODDS

DAL Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON

WSH Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON

DAL Spread: ODDS COMING SOON

WSH Spread: ODDS COMING SOON

Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Stars have struggled against the spread recently, posting an 0–5 ATS mark in their last five games, reflecting their uneven form despite strong offensive metrics this season.

WSH
Betting Trends

  • Washington has been more reliable ATS of late, going 4–2 ATS over its last six contests, showing better ability to cover as a favorite at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • These teams have combined for above-average scoring this season, with games involving both clubs frequently going over betting totals, and historical head-to-head results slightly favor the Stars despite their current ATS skid.

DAL vs. WSH
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Robertson over 2.5 Shots on Goal.

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NHL ODDS COMPARISON

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Dallas vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 1/7/26

The Dallas Stars and Washington Capitals face off in a compelling NHL matchup that pits one of the league’s top offensive teams against a Capitals club looking to regain its defensive foundation and consistency. Dallas enters this game with one of the best records in the league — boasting 25-10-8 — but come in on the back end of a tough stretch that has seen them drop multiple games, including a recent 6-3 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes where their goaltending and defensive structure were tested. Despite that skid, the Stars still remain one of the NHL’s most dangerous offensive units, averaging around 3.4 goals per game and ranking among the league leaders in scoring. Their power play is especially potent and can change the course of a game quickly if they establish early dominance. In contrast, Washington has shown a mix of high-octane scoring and occasional defensive lapses. The Capitals most recently broke through with a 7-4 win over the Anaheim Ducks, highlighted by a standout performance from rookie Justin Sourdif, who scored his first career hat trick.

That offensive burst underscores Washington’s ability to generate scoring across multiple lines and create momentum at key moments. However, their defense hasn’t always been airtight, with recent stretches featuring breakdowns and an overall middling goals-against trend compared with top defensive teams. Goaltending and defensive structure will be critical for Washington if they hope to contain Dallas’ skilled forwards like Jason Robertson and Mikko Rantanen, who can exploit turnovers and create high-danger scoring opportunities. Special teams could have a significant impact as well, given Dallas’ elite power play versus Washington’s need to tighten up on the penalty kill. With both teams capable of producing offense but also prone to giving up chances, this game could swing late and hinge on momentum shifts and timely goaltending performances from either side. This matchup promises to be fast-paced and closely contested.

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Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars arrive in Washington on the heels of a difficult stretch of play, marked by recent losses that have tested their defensive resolve and goaltending depth. Dallas’ normally dynamic offensive identity remains intact — they rank near the top of the NHL in goals scored this season with 143 offensive outputs — but that production has been counterbalanced by inconsistency at the other end of the ice. Over their last several games, including a 6-3 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes and an overtime defeat to the Montreal Canadiens, the Stars have struggled to sustain leads and have seen their typically reliable goaltending waver. Jason Robertson and Mikko Rantanen continue to be the engines of Dallas’ attack, combining vision and finishing prowess to keep the Stars competitive in most matchups. Robertson’s ability to create high-danger scoring opportunities and Rantanen’s playmaking give Dallas a legitimate chance to score on any given shift, even when facing pressure. Wyatt Johnston has also been a consistent contributor, adding depth scoring that forces opponents to defend more than just the top line.

However, the Stars’ recent skid underscores some ongoing vulnerabilities. Defensively, Dallas has allowed a high volume of scoring chances in key moments, and their larger defensive corps has sometimes struggled to contain speed and transition plays by opposition forwards. Goaltending has been a concern in this cold stretch; Dallas has seen starters pulled in recent contests, and save percentages have dipped below their typical standard. The penalty kill — while statistically competent over the full season — hasn’t sealed tight leads late in games, leading to opportunities for opponents to claw back into contests. On the road, Dallas’ depth and offensive firepower are still reasons for optimism. If they tighten up turnovers, limit odd-man rushes against, and get a strong performance from their netminder, the Stars can stay competitive throughout 60 minutes. But to reverse their current slide and challenge a Capitals team capable of potent scoring, Dallas will need to address these defensive lapses and find a spark early in the game.

The Dallas Stars travel to take on the Washington Capitals on January 7, 2026 at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., with puck drop set for 7:00 p.m. ET. Washington enters as the favorite in what shapes up to be a high-scoring divisional battle between two offensively dynamic but defensively inconsistent teams. Dallas vs Washington AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Jan 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Capitals NHL Preview

The Washington Capitals enter this key mid-season matchup at Capital One Arena with plenty of firepower but also questions surrounding their recent consistency and defensive execution. Historically a high-scoring franchise, Washington has been averaging strong offensive production this season — with players like Tom Wilson and Alex Ovechkin leading the charge and contributing at a pace that keeps opposing defenses on edge — and that trend continued in their latest outing with Justin Sourdif scoring his first NHL hat trick and contributing two assists in a 7-4 win over the Anaheim Ducks. The Capitals’ ability to generate scoring from multiple lines gives them a dangerous edge at home, especially when the top forwards find their rhythm early. Veteran contributors such as Dylan Strome complement the star power up front, helping Washington control the puck and create high-danger chances throughout the lineup. Goaltending has showcased strong moments as well, with Logan Thompson generally posting solid save percentages and keeping the Capitals competitive even through periods of defensive breakdowns. Despite these offensive strengths, the Capitals have also been navigating through some challenges that temper expectations.

Their recent stretch has seen inconsistency with defensive lapses and results, including a pattern of giving up leads and struggling to close out games — illustrated by losses where they surrendered advantage late — and a mixed record over their past 14 contests. Injuries and lineup fluctuations have contributed to this uneven run, forcing Washington to adapt on the fly and rely on depth players to step up in key roles. The schedule compression due to the Olympic break hasn’t helped, with limited practice time making it tougher to develop cohesion in defensive zones. Still, the Capitals have shown resilience at home and benefit from the energy of their fans, which can be a difference-maker in tight playoff-race situations. As Washington prepares to face a potent Dallas offense, their success will hinge on balancing their scoring talent with a tighter defensive structure and disciplined play. If they can limit odd-man rushes against and convert on power-play opportunities, the Caps should be in strong position to leverage home ice and add to their win column in this divisional showdown.

Dallas vs Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Stars and Capitals play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Capital One Arena in Jan rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Robertson over 2.5 Shots on Goal.

Dallas vs Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Stars and Capitals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing weight emotional bettors often put on Washington’s strength factors between a Stars team going up against a possibly unhealthy Capitals team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Dallas vs Washington picks, computer picks Stars vs Capitals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Dallas Betting Trends

The Stars have struggled against the spread recently, posting an 0–5 ATS mark in their last five games, reflecting their uneven form despite strong offensive metrics this season.

Washington Betting Trends

Washington has been more reliable ATS of late, going 4–2 ATS over its last six contests, showing better ability to cover as a favorite at home.

Stars vs. Capitals Matchup Trends

These teams have combined for above-average scoring this season, with games involving both clubs frequently going over betting totals, and historical head-to-head results slightly favor the Stars despite their current ATS skid.

Dallas vs. Washington Game Info

January 07, 2026 • 7:00 PM EST • Capital One Arena

Dallas vs. Washington Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Dallas vs Washington

Dallas vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Dallas Stars
Washington Capitals
In Progress
Stars
Capitals
1
0
-103
-117
+1.5 (-245)
-1.5 (+205)
O 6.5 (+102)
U 6.5 (-122)
In Progress
Calgary Flames
Montreal Canadiens
In Progress
Flames
Canadiens
+126
 
+1.5 (-196)
 
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
Jan 7, 2026 9:30PM EST
St Louis Blues
Chicago Blackhawks
1/7/26 9:30PM
Blues
Blackhawks
-115
-104
-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-280)
O 5.5 (+100)
U 5.5 (-122)
Jan 7, 2026 10:30PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Los Angeles Kings
1/7/26 10:30PM
Sharks
Kings
+202
-250
+1.5 (-122)
-1.5 (+100)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-138)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Calgary Flames
Boston Bruins
1/8/26 7PM
Flames
Bruins
+126
-152
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-134)
U 5.5 (+110)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia Flyers
1/8/26 7PM
Maple Leafs
Flyers
+106
-128
+1.5 (-235)
-1.5 (+186)
O 5.5 (-132)
U 5.5 (+108)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Anaheim Ducks
Carolina Hurricanes
1/8/26 7PM
Ducks
Hurricanes
+184
-225
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+106)
O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Florida Panthers
Montreal Canadiens
1/8/26 7PM
Panthers
Canadiens
-140
 
-1.5 (+172)
 
O 5.5 (-138)
U 5.5 (+112)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Pittsburgh Penguins
1/8/26 7PM
Devils
Penguins
-104
-115
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+198)
O 6.5 (+114)
U 6.5 (-140)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
New York Rangers
1/8/26 7PM
Sabres
Rangers
-118
-102
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-260)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Vancouver Canucks
Detroit Red Wings
1/8/26 7PM
Canucks
Red Wings
+146
-176
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-142)
U 5.5 (+116)
Jan 8, 2026 8:00PM EST
Edmonton Oilers
Winnipeg Jets
1/8/26 8PM
Oilers
Jets
-113
-106
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-265)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
Jan 8, 2026 8:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Nashville Predators
1/8/26 8PM
Islanders
Predators
+104
-125
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+198)
O 5.5 (-128)
U 5.5 (+104)
Jan 8, 2026 9:00PM EST
Ottawa Senators
Colorado Avalanche
1/8/26 9PM
Senators
Avalanche
+220
-275
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-106)
O 6.5 (+106)
U 6.5 (-130)
Jan 8, 2026 10:00PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Las Vegas Golden Knights
1/8/26 10PM
Blue Jackets
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
Jan 8, 2026 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Seattle Kraken
1/8/26 10PM
Wild
Kraken
-162
+134
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-188)
O 5.5 (-138)
U 5.5 (+112)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals on January 07, 2026 at Capital One Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
WPG@TOR TOR -133 58.8% 4 WIN
MIN@SJ SJ +150 47.4% 1 WIN
WAS@FLA FLA -118 56.6% 3 WIN
MIN@WPG MIN -113 55.1% 4 WIN
PHI@CHI PHI -125 56.1% 4 WIN
DAL@DET DAL -125 58.0% 6 LOSS
ANA@CLB ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS 54.4% 4 LOSS
NSH@STL NSH -105 53.3% 3 WIN
OTT@WPG OVER 5.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
TB@NYI TB -130 60.9% 6 LOSS
LV@NYI NYI +120 46.1% 1 WIN
BUF@CGY OVER 5.5 52.2% 1 WIN
MIN@CGY MIN -115 56.5% 6 LOSS
PIT@TB UNDER 6.5 54.8% 3 LOSS
TOR@FLA OVER 6 53.8% 3 PUSH
MON@LV OVER 6 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@FLA SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.1% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYI MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
CLB@WAS OVER 6.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CLB@DET DET -135 67.0% 6 WIN
STL@PHI UNDER 5.5 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@MIN OVER 6 56.4% 4 WIN
PHI@STL JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES 54.4% 4 LOSS
CLB@SEA CLB +110 44.6% 1 WIN
MIN@NYI MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@NSH NSH -122 55.7% 3 LOSS
SJ@SEA JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
CAR@NYR OVER 5.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
PIT@TOR OVER 6.5 53.5% 3 WIN
VAN@NSH OVER 5.5 53.9% 3 WIN
NJ@ANA ANA +110 44.8% 1 WIN
DET@ANA DET -100 51.5% 3 LOSS
NYI@CAR UNDER 6.5 54.1% 4 LOSS
WPG@MIN WPG -115 56.4% 4 WIN
NYI@BOS UNDER 6.5 55.0% 3 LOSS
MIN@NYR OVER 5.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
ANA@CHI ANA -125 56.9% 3 LOSS
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS