Avalanche vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Jan 06)
Updated: 2026-01-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Colorado Avalanche (31‑2‑7) head into Tampa Bay to face the Lightning (25‑13‑3) on Tuesday, January 6, 2026 in a marquee matchup between two division leaders in different conferences that could have significant playoff seeding implications. Colorado brings league‑best form and a dominant points streak, while Tampa Bay enters on a multi‑game winning run and aims to defend home ice with a high‑tempo attack.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 06, 2026
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Lightning Record: (25-13)
Avalanche Record: (31-3)
OPENING ODDS
COL Moneyline: -125
TBL Moneyline: +105
COL Spread: -1.5
TBL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
COL
Betting Trends
- The Avalanche have been strong against the spread on the road, consistently covering in tough environments and maintaining a record that reflects how often they outperform oddsmakers as a road favorite.
TBL
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have shown resilience at Amalie Arena, posting a solid ATS record in home games this season with Tampa Bay keeping games close and competitive versus tough opponents.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 10 head‑to‑head matchups, Colorado has struggled to cover the puck line versus Tampa Bay, going 2‑8 ATS, a trend bettors might find interesting despite Colorado’s overall dominance this season.
COL vs. TBL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 0.5 Goals.
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Colorado vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 1/6/26
The January 6 matchup between the Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning promises a high-stakes clash between two of the NHL’s elite squads, pitting Colorado’s dominant regular-season form against Tampa Bay’s home-ice resilience. Colorado enters with a remarkable 31‑2‑7 record, boasting league-leading offense and defensive structure that have allowed them to control possession and limit high-danger chances throughout the season. Nathan MacKinnon leads a versatile and deep offensive unit, supported by secondary scorers across all four lines who consistently generate scoring chances. The Avalanche have combined this offensive firepower with reliable goaltending and a disciplined defensive system, making them one of the most complete teams in the league. Despite their dominance, Colorado has struggled historically against Tampa Bay in terms of covering the spread, which adds an interesting wrinkle for bettors, but on the ice, the Avalanche remain the team to beat. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, brings its own strengths to Amalie Arena, sporting a strong 25‑13‑3 record bolstered by a multi-game winning streak and an offense built around stars like Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Anthony Cirelli.
The Lightning rely on fast transitions, aggressive forechecking, and the ability to capitalize on opponents’ turnovers to generate scoring opportunities. Tampa Bay’s home-ice advantage allows them to impose tempo early, challenge breakouts, and sustain pressure through multiple offensive zone shifts. Defensively, the Lightning have tightened coverage and limited rebounds, giving goaltending a chance to shine in crucial moments, particularly in close games against high-powered teams like Colorado. This matchup will hinge on special teams execution, puck possession, and which team can dictate tempo early. Colorado aims to control play with structured entries and sustained zone time, while Tampa Bay will look to disrupt that rhythm with quick transitions and high-pressure forechecking. Goaltending will be pivotal, as timely saves could shift momentum, and both teams are capable of exploiting small mistakes. With contrasting styles—Colorado’s possession-heavy, balanced attack versus Tampa Bay’s fast-paced, opportunistic offense—this game promises to be a tightly contested, high-quality showdown where execution in critical moments may decide the outcome.
Get live NHL odds and precise AI NHL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Brock Nelson's continues to add to his family's Team USA legacy.
— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) January 5, 2026
📰: https://t.co/zPZOX56Ikv pic.twitter.com/eZf4il507J
Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview
The Colorado Avalanche enter Tampa Bay on January 6 as one of the NHL’s most dominant teams this season, sporting a 31‑2‑7 record and a level of play few opponents can match. Colorado’s offense has been relentless, led by Nathan MacKinnon and supported by a deep, balanced roster capable of producing secondary scoring across all four lines. Their ability to generate offense at even strength and capitalize on power-play opportunities has allowed them to maintain consistency throughout the season, even in high-pressure road environments. Recent performances show the Avalanche can respond to adversity, whether bouncing back after a loss or breaking open tight contests with timely scoring bursts late in regulation. This resilience will be key in Tampa Bay, where the Lightning play with high energy and aggressive forechecking. Defensively, Colorado has been equally impressive. Their defensemen actively participate in transitions while maintaining strong gap control, limiting opponents’ high-danger chances and protecting the crease. Goaltending has been solid and reliable, giving the Avalanche the confidence to play aggressively in both the offensive and defensive zones.
Their system emphasizes disciplined positioning and controlled zone exits, allowing them to dictate tempo even in hostile arenas. On the road, Colorado has historically performed well, maintaining a strong ATS record and showing the ability to control puck possession regardless of crowd noise or travel fatigue. In this matchup, Colorado will aim to assert its structured, possession-heavy style early, forcing Tampa Bay to react rather than dictate play. Winning battles along the boards, capitalizing on rebounds, and sustaining pressure in the offensive zone will be critical. Special teams execution, particularly the power play, could create pivotal momentum swings. If the Avalanche maintain composure, execute disciplined defense, and utilize their depth scoring effectively, they have a strong chance to control the game and leave Amalie Arena with a key road victory over a talented and motivated Lightning squad.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning return to Amalie Arena on January 6 facing the league-leading Colorado Avalanche in what promises to be a high-intensity matchup between two elite teams. Tampa Bay comes in on a multi-game winning streak, with recent performances showing the Lightning’s ability to impose tempo, execute in transition, and capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. Their home record reflects consistent competitiveness, with the team thriving in high-pressure situations thanks to a combination of structured defense, quick puck movement, and timely scoring. Stars like Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Anthony Cirelli lead a balanced offensive group capable of generating scoring opportunities across all four lines, while younger contributors have provided secondary scoring that keeps opponents from focusing on just one line. Defensively, the Lightning have emphasized disciplined gap control, limiting rebounds, and suppressing high-danger scoring chances. Goaltending has stabilized in recent games, giving the team confidence in tight situations and allowing Tampa Bay to maintain composure when the Avalanche push offensively.
The Lightning’s aggressive forecheck and high-energy home crowd create opportunities to force turnovers, generate odd-man rushes, and tilt momentum in their favor. Special teams also play a key role; the power play has been effective at exploiting space, while the penalty kill has prevented opponents from gaining momentum with man-advantage goals. Against Colorado, Tampa Bay will look to dictate tempo early, disrupt the Avalanche’s structured possession game, and capitalize on transition opportunities. Winning battles along the boards and generating traffic in front of the net will be critical to limiting Colorado’s scoring chances. The Lightning must balance aggression with defensive discipline to prevent breakdowns that could be exploited by Colorado’s elite forwards. If Tampa Bay executes its game plan, leverages home-ice energy, and converts key chances, the Lightning can challenge the Avalanche and potentially secure a crucial victory in a matchup that may come down to execution, special teams, and timely goaltending.
The boys are back in town 😄 pic.twitter.com/GPbRsGTk7U
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) January 5, 2026
Colorado vs Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Avalanche and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Benchmark International Arena in Jan can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Colorado vs Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Avalanche and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Avalanche team going up against a possibly improved Lightning team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Colorado vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Avalanche vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Colorado Betting Trends
The Avalanche have been strong against the spread on the road, consistently covering in tough environments and maintaining a record that reflects how often they outperform oddsmakers as a road favorite.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
The Lightning have shown resilience at Amalie Arena, posting a solid ATS record in home games this season with Tampa Bay keeping games close and competitive versus tough opponents.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
In their last 10 head‑to‑head matchups, Colorado has struggled to cover the puck line versus Tampa Bay, going 2‑8 ATS, a trend bettors might find interesting despite Colorado’s overall dominance this season.
Colorado vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
Colorado vs Tampa Bay starts on January 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Benchmark International Arena.
Spread: Tampa Bay +1.5
Moneyline: Colorado -125, Tampa Bay +105
Over/Under: 6.5
Colorado: (31-3) | Tampa Bay: (25-13)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 0.5 Goals.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In their last 10 head‑to‑head matchups, Colorado has struggled to cover the puck line versus Tampa Bay, going 2‑8 ATS, a trend bettors might find interesting despite Colorado’s overall dominance this season.
COL trend: The Avalanche have been strong against the spread on the road, consistently covering in tough environments and maintaining a record that reflects how often they outperform oddsmakers as a road favorite.
TBL trend: The Lightning have shown resilience at Amalie Arena, posting a solid ATS record in home games this season with Tampa Bay keeping games close and competitive versus tough opponents.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Colorado vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| COL Moneyline | -125 |
|---|---|
| TBL Moneyline | +105 |
| COL Spread | -1.5 |
| TBL Spread | +1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
Colorado vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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In Progress
Dallas Stars
Washington Capitals
In Progress
Stars
Capitals
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1
0
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-103
-117
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+1.5 (-245)
-1.5 (+205)
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O 6.5 (+102)
U 6.5 (-122)
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Jan 7, 2026 7:30PM EST
Calgary Flames
Montreal Canadiens
1/7/26 7:30PM
Flames
Canadiens
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–
–
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+126
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+1.5 (-196)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
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Jan 7, 2026 9:30PM EST
St Louis Blues
Chicago Blackhawks
1/7/26 9:30PM
Blues
Blackhawks
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–
–
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-115
-104
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-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-280)
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O 5.5 (+100)
U 5.5 (-122)
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Jan 7, 2026 10:30PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Los Angeles Kings
1/7/26 10:30PM
Sharks
Kings
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–
–
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+202
-250
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+1.5 (-122)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-138)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Calgary Flames
Boston Bruins
1/8/26 7PM
Flames
Bruins
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–
–
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+126
-152
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+164)
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O 5.5 (-134)
U 5.5 (+110)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia Flyers
1/8/26 7PM
Maple Leafs
Flyers
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–
–
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+106
-128
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+1.5 (-235)
-1.5 (+186)
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O 5.5 (-132)
U 5.5 (+108)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Anaheim Ducks
Carolina Hurricanes
1/8/26 7PM
Ducks
Hurricanes
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–
–
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+184
-225
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+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+106)
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O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Florida Panthers
Montreal Canadiens
1/8/26 7PM
Panthers
Canadiens
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–
–
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-140
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-1.5 (+172)
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O 5.5 (-138)
U 5.5 (+112)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Pittsburgh Penguins
1/8/26 7PM
Devils
Penguins
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–
–
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-104
-115
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+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+198)
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O 6.5 (+114)
U 6.5 (-140)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
New York Rangers
1/8/26 7PM
Sabres
Rangers
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–
–
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-118
-102
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-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-260)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
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Jan 8, 2026 7:00PM EST
Vancouver Canucks
Detroit Red Wings
1/8/26 7PM
Canucks
Red Wings
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–
–
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+146
-176
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+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-142)
U 5.5 (+116)
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Jan 8, 2026 8:00PM EST
Edmonton Oilers
Winnipeg Jets
1/8/26 8PM
Oilers
Jets
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–
–
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-113
-106
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-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-265)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
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Jan 8, 2026 8:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Nashville Predators
1/8/26 8PM
Islanders
Predators
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–
–
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+104
-125
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+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+198)
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O 5.5 (-128)
U 5.5 (+104)
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Jan 8, 2026 9:00PM EST
Ottawa Senators
Colorado Avalanche
1/8/26 9PM
Senators
Avalanche
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–
–
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+220
-275
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+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-106)
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O 6.5 (+106)
U 6.5 (-130)
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Jan 8, 2026 10:00PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Las Vegas Golden Knights
1/8/26 10PM
Blue Jackets
Golden Knights
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–
–
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+155
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+1.5 (-160)
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O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
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Jan 8, 2026 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Seattle Kraken
1/8/26 10PM
Wild
Kraken
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–
–
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-162
+134
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-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-188)
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O 5.5 (-138)
U 5.5 (+112)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on January 06, 2026 at Benchmark International Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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NHL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.8% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SJ | SJ +150 | 47.4% | 1 | WIN |
| WAS@FLA | FLA -118 | 56.6% | 3 | WIN |
| MIN@WPG | MIN -113 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@CHI | PHI -125 | 56.1% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@DET | DAL -125 | 58.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| ANA@CLB | ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NSH@STL | NSH -105 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@WPG | OVER 5.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@NYI | TB -130 | 60.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| LV@NYI | NYI +120 | 46.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BUF@CGY | OVER 5.5 | 52.2% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@CGY | MIN -115 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@TB | UNDER 6.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | PUSH |
| MON@LV | OVER 6 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@FLA | SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@WAS | OVER 6.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
