Sabres vs Senators Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Dec 23)
Updated: 2025-12-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Buffalo Sabres visit the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday, December 23, 2025 in an Atlantic Division matchup featuring two clubs trending in opposite directions — Buffalo riding a season‑high streak and Ottawa enjoying its own surge fueled by key offensive performances. With both teams boasting dynamic scoring threats and recent news highlighting injuries and momentum swings, this game could come down to execution in special teams and goaltending.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 23, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Senators Record: (18-13)
Sabres Record: (17-14)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: +132
OTT Moneyline: -158
BUF Spread: +1.5
OTT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
BUF
Betting Trends
- The Sabres have been middling overall against the spread this season, around .500 ATS or slightly better, with recent trends showing Buffalo covers more often when its offense scores three or more goals — in those games they are roughly 15‑3‑3 ATS vs. opponents when scoring at least three.
OTT
Betting Trends
- The Senators have also been reasonably strong ATS, with their home games often beating or staying close to the spread thanks to Ottawa’s offense (ranked ninth in goals per game) and a power play that’s been among the league’s better units (about 26% conversion).
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Combined scoring trends suggest this could be a moderately high‑scoring contest: Ottawa and its opponents have hit the OVER in 19 of 35 matches this season, while Buffalo’s games have cleared totals of around 6.5 in 16 of 35 outings, emphasizing goal production and defensive unpredictability.
BUF vs. OTT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Thompson over 2.5 Shots on Goal.
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Buffalo vs Ottawa Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 12/23/25
The December 23, 2025 matchup between the Buffalo Sabres and Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre sets the stage for a pivotal Atlantic Division clash between two teams looking to gain momentum before the holiday stretch. Buffalo enters the game riding a season‑high four-game winning streak, including a 5‑3 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers, showcasing a balanced offensive attack led by Tage Thompson, Jack Quinn, and Noah Ostlund. The Sabres’ resurgence has coincided with steady goaltending from Alex Lyon, whose recent performances have stabilized a defense that has been tested by injuries and roster adjustments. Buffalo has demonstrated an ability to generate offense from multiple lines, cycling the puck effectively and capitalizing on opponent turnovers. On the road, the Sabres have maintained a respectable record, using a disciplined approach to neutral-zone transitions and structured defensive coverage to compete in hostile environments. Their penalty kill has been a consistent strength, limiting opposition power-play opportunities and giving the team a chance to stay in tight games. Offensive production is particularly important for Buffalo, as their ability to score three or more goals per contest has historically correlated with positive outcomes, both straight-up and against the spread. The Sabres’ depth scoring and balanced attack will be tested against a Senators squad that has also found its stride in recent weeks. The Ottawa Senators enter this game with confidence, coming off a 6‑4 win against the Chicago Blackhawks, in which three third-period goals underscored Ottawa’s ability to generate offensive bursts at critical moments. Ottawa ranks among the league leaders in goals per game, and their special teams play has been a significant factor, with a power-play conversion rate around 26 percent and a reliable penalty kill.
Captain Brady Tkachuk has been a driving force in the offense, consistently contributing points and energizing teammates, while Tim Stützle continues to create scoring opportunities with his vision and puck-handling ability. Supporting veterans like David Perron and Claude Giroux provide secondary scoring and experience, helping Ottawa maintain balance across all lines. Ottawa’s defense emphasizes structured zone coverage, gap control, and active engagement along the boards, while their goaltending duo has provided stability, allowing the Senators to remain competitive even when opponents generate sustained offensive pressure. The combination of elite forwards, depth scoring, and disciplined defensive play makes Ottawa a formidable opponent at home, particularly against a Sabres team that thrives on transition and opportunistic scoring. This matchup promises to feature a clash of styles, with Buffalo emphasizing structured play, multi-line scoring, and disciplined defense, while Ottawa leverages speed, aggressive forechecking, and high-powered offensive bursts. Special teams could determine momentum, with both clubs possessing units capable of swinging the game through timely conversions or kills. Historical trends highlight Ottawa’s home advantage, but Buffalo’s recent form and offensive depth suggest the Sabres can challenge effectively if they execute with precision. The game may hinge on which team controls neutral-zone play, minimizes turnovers, and converts high-danger chances. Expect a competitive, high-intensity contest where goaltending, finishing, and special teams execution could ultimately decide the victor in this crucial Atlantic Division showdown.
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“Upie kept us in there, and that’s what you need from your goalie. He did a great job. Made a couple highlight-reel saves that kept them at one and allowed us to play the second period we played.”
— Buffalo Sabres (@BuffaloSabres) December 22, 2025
Recapping Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's stellar performance & more from last night's win… pic.twitter.com/KOu5y2nd84
Buffalo Sabres NHL Preview
The Buffalo Sabres head into Canadian Tire Centre on December 23, 2025, looking to extend a four-game winning streak and assert themselves in a crucial Atlantic Division matchup against the Ottawa Senators. Buffalo has shown a remarkable turnaround over the past several weeks, combining balanced scoring, disciplined defensive play, and steady goaltending to elevate the team’s competitiveness. In their most recent outing, a 5‑3 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers, contributions came from multiple areas of the lineup: Tage Thompson provided a scoring punch, Jack Quinn offered consistent offensive production, and young forward Noah Ostlund contributed key plays that exemplified the Sabres’ emerging depth. The team’s ability to generate offense across all four lines is a significant factor in their recent success, as it allows Buffalo to sustain pressure and create high-danger scoring chances even when facing structured defensive systems. Goaltender Alex Lyon has been central to this resurgence, providing reliable netminding that stabilizes a defensive unit adjusting to injuries and lineup shifts. Offensively, Buffalo is more dynamic now than earlier in the season, with the top line of Thompson, Quinn, and Ostlund capable of both finishing plays and generating opportunities for linemates. Secondary scoring from players such as Ryan McLeod and Josh Bailey adds balance, ensuring that Buffalo is not overly reliant on a single line for offensive output. The team has found particular success when scoring three or more goals per game, historically correlating with positive outcomes both straight-up and against the spread. This offensive depth is critical for road contests, as it allows Buffalo to sustain momentum against an Ottawa squad that excels at generating pressure and creating scoring chances in waves. Quick puck movement, aggressive zone entries, and opportunistic finish play are central to the Sabres’ strategy on the road, where they rely on structure and adaptability to compensate for the challenges of playing away from KeyBank Center.
Defensively, Buffalo’s blue line has faced challenges, particularly with Conor Timmins sidelined due to a significant leg injury. His absence has required other defensemen to step into heavier minutes and manage responsibilities in both defensive coverage and transitional play. The Sabres’ defensive system emphasizes gap control, disciplined positioning, and limiting high-danger opportunities, allowing forwards to support the defense while maintaining offensive pressure. Neutral-zone coverage and careful puck management are crucial, especially against a Senators team capable of fast transitions and high-tempo forechecking. The Sabres’ penalty kill has been a relative strength, effectively suppressing opposition power-play chances and giving the team confidence to compete even when shorthanded. Special teams will likely play a decisive role. Buffalo’s power play, while not elite, has shown the ability to convert opportunities into momentum-shifting goals, and disciplined execution can help tilt the game in the Sabres’ favor. Meanwhile, maintaining a strong penalty kill is essential against Ottawa’s top-end scoring threats, including Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stützle, who can capitalize quickly on even minor lapses. Road success hinges on controlling pace, limiting turnovers, and finishing high-quality scoring chances. If Buffalo combines disciplined defensive structure with opportunistic offense and strong special teams execution, the Sabres have a realistic opportunity to extend their winning streak and claim valuable points on the road in this pivotal divisional matchup.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Ottawa Senators NHL Preview
The Ottawa Senators return to Canadian Tire Centre on December 23, 2025 to host the Buffalo Sabres in a critical Atlantic Division matchup. Ottawa enters the game with solid momentum, coming off a 6‑4 victory against the Chicago Blackhawks, in which three third-period goals highlighted the team’s ability to generate offense at key moments. The Senators have combined speed, skill, and scoring depth to position themselves among the more dangerous teams in the division, with a power play converting at roughly 26 percent and a penalty kill that has been steady at suppressing opposition chances. Captain Brady Tkachuk continues to lead by example, providing both goals and physical presence, while Tim Stützle orchestrates the offense with dynamic puck movement and high hockey IQ. Supporting forwards such as Drake Batherson, David Perron, and Claude Giroux provide secondary scoring, helping Ottawa maintain balance and threat across all lines. This multi-dimensional forward group allows Ottawa to apply sustained pressure at even strength while taking advantage of the Sabres’ defensive gaps. Offensively, Ottawa relies on top-end talent to dictate tempo and create scoring opportunities. Tkachuk excels in transition and net-front play, frequently drawing defenders and opening space for linemates. Stützle’s vision and passing accuracy enable him to generate high-danger chances both for himself and others, while Perron and Giroux add veteran savvy and situational awareness that keep the team competitive in tight games. Ottawa’s offense thrives on pace, cycling the puck efficiently in the offensive zone, and exploiting turnovers to create quick scoring chances. The power play adds another dimension, providing the Senators with the ability to tilt momentum and generate critical goals in tightly contested situations. Effective execution on the man advantage is particularly important against a Sabres team that has recently found offensive rhythm and will challenge Ottawa’s defensive discipline.
Defensively, Ottawa emphasizes structured zone coverage, gap control, and active stick work. The Senators’ blue line corps, led by Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson, prioritizes protecting high-danger areas while facilitating transitions out of the defensive zone. Ottawa’s goaltenders have been reliable in net, stabilizing the team when facing heavy pressure and allowing skaters to play with confidence. The penalty kill has been a key component of Ottawa’s defensive success, helping limit the Sabres’ chances on the man disadvantage and keeping Ottawa in control of momentum. Neutral-zone play is equally important, as Ottawa seeks to disrupt Buffalo’s breakout and transition opportunities, forcing turnovers that can quickly convert into scoring chances. Depth and resilience will be critical for Ottawa in this matchup. Injuries to secondary players have occasionally required top-line forwards and defensemen to shoulder heavier workloads, making the team’s ability to sustain effort and maintain execution vital. Coach Jacques Martin has leveraged depth skaters effectively, ensuring that top contributors remain fresh while maintaining competitive balance. Facing a Sabres team with a four-game winning streak, Ottawa must combine disciplined defense, controlled puck possession, and opportunistic offense to protect home ice. Early engagement, limiting turnovers, and capitalizing on special teams opportunities will likely dictate the outcome. If the Senators execute their game plan, leverage top-end scoring, and maintain structural discipline, they are well-positioned to extend their divisional advantage and secure a pivotal home victory over a surging Buffalo squad.
Ully you're a star ⭐️
— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) December 22, 2025
Linus Ullmark has been named the @NHL Second Star of the Week after a monster three-win week led by a shutout against Pittsburgh 👊 pic.twitter.com/mYjZa0BVP8
Buffalo vs Ottawa Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Sabres and Senators play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Canadian Tire Centre in Dec seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Buffalo vs Ottawa Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Sabres and Senators and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Sabres team going up against a possibly unhealthy Senators team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Buffalo vs Ottawa picks, computer picks Sabres vs Senators, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Buffalo Betting Trends
The Sabres have been middling overall against the spread this season, around .500 ATS or slightly better, with recent trends showing Buffalo covers more often when its offense scores three or more goals — in those games they are roughly 15‑3‑3 ATS vs. opponents when scoring at least three.
Ottawa Betting Trends
The Senators have also been reasonably strong ATS, with their home games often beating or staying close to the spread thanks to Ottawa’s offense (ranked ninth in goals per game) and a power play that’s been among the league’s better units (about 26% conversion).
Sabres vs. Senators Matchup Trends
Combined scoring trends suggest this could be a moderately high‑scoring contest: Ottawa and its opponents have hit the OVER in 19 of 35 matches this season, while Buffalo’s games have cleared totals of around 6.5 in 16 of 35 outings, emphasizing goal production and defensive unpredictability.
Buffalo vs. Ottawa Game Info
Buffalo vs Ottawa starts on December 23, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre.
Spread: Ottawa -1.5
Moneyline: Buffalo +132, Ottawa -158
Over/Under: 6.5
Buffalo: (17-14) | Ottawa: (18-13)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Thompson over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Combined scoring trends suggest this could be a moderately high‑scoring contest: Ottawa and its opponents have hit the OVER in 19 of 35 matches this season, while Buffalo’s games have cleared totals of around 6.5 in 16 of 35 outings, emphasizing goal production and defensive unpredictability.
BUF trend: The Sabres have been middling overall against the spread this season, around .500 ATS or slightly better, with recent trends showing Buffalo covers more often when its offense scores three or more goals — in those games they are roughly 15‑3‑3 ATS vs. opponents when scoring at least three.
OTT trend: The Senators have also been reasonably strong ATS, with their home games often beating or staying close to the spread thanks to Ottawa’s offense (ranked ninth in goals per game) and a power play that’s been among the league’s better units (about 26% conversion).
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Buffalo vs. Ottawa Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs Ottawa trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| BUF Moneyline | +132 |
|---|---|
| OTT Moneyline | -158 |
| BUF Spread | +1.5 |
| OTT Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
Buffalo vs Ottawa Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Pittsburgh Penguins
Boston Bruins
3/3/26 7:10PM
Penguins
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+205)
|
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Nashville Predators
Columbus Blue Jackets
3/3/26 7:10PM
Predators
Blue Jackets
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–
–
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+120
-142
|
+1.5 (-218)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
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|
Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Florida Panthers
New Jersey Devils
3/3/26 7:10PM
Panthers
Devils
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–
–
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-115
-105
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-1.5 (+225)
+1.5 (-278)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
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|
|
Mar 3, 2026 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
Buffalo Sabres
3/3/26 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Sabres
|
–
–
|
-142
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 8:10PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Winnipeg Jets
3/3/26 8:10PM
Blackhawks
Jets
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 9:10PM EST
Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames
3/3/26 9:10PM
Stars
Flames
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-1.5 (+190)
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 9:10PM EST
Ottawa Senators
Edmonton Oilers
3/3/26 9:10PM
Senators
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+1.5 (-230)
-1.5 (+190)
|
O 6.5 (-125)
U 6.5 (+105)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 9:40PM EST
Tampa Bay Lightning
Minnesota Wild
3/3/26 9:40PM
Lightning
Wild
|
–
–
|
-142
+120
|
-1.5 (+185)
+1.5 (-225)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 10:10PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
San Jose Sharks
3/3/26 10:10PM
Canadiens
Sharks
|
–
–
|
+110
|
+1.5 (-225)
|
O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Mar 3, 2026 10:10PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
Anaheim Ducks
3/3/26 10:10PM
Avalanche
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-148
+124
|
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-192)
|
O 6.5 (-125)
U 6.5 (+105)
|
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|
Mar 4, 2026 7:00PM EST
Toronto Maple Leafs
New Jersey Devils
3/4/26 7PM
Maple Leafs
Devils
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 7:00PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
Detroit Red Wings
3/4/26 7PM
Golden Knights
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-142
|
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-135)
U 5.5 (+114)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 10:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Seattle Kraken
3/4/26 10PM
Blues
Kraken
|
–
–
|
+114
-135
|
+1.5 (-218)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 10:00PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Vancouver Canucks
3/4/26 10PM
Hurricanes
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-270
+220
|
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 10:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Anaheim Ducks
3/4/26 10PM
Islanders
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-115
-105
|
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-265)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators on December 23, 2025 at Canadian Tire Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA@NYI | NYI +127 | 48.9% | 1 | WIN |
| WPG@NJ | WPG +110 | 49.3% | 1 | WIN |
| NJ@SEA | NJ -120 | 54.9% | 2 | WIN |
| FLA@CHI | OVER 5.5 | 57.1% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@EDM | NJ +151 | 44.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CLB@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@BUF | BUF -120 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| ANA@LA | ANA +128 | 47.6% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@COL | UNDER 6.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CGY@CHI | CHI -118 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@NSH | NSH +115 | 51.0% | 1 | WIN |
| DAL@ANA | DAL -116 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@BUF | BUF -115 | 55.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NJ@WPG | WPG -122 | 55.5% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CGY | SEA +137 | 46.5% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@CGY | CGY -118 | 57.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLB | BUF -108 | 59.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.8% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SJ | SJ +150 | 47.4% | 1 | WIN |
| WAS@FLA | FLA -118 | 56.6% | 3 | WIN |
| MIN@WPG | MIN -113 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@CHI | PHI -125 | 56.1% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@DET | DAL -125 | 58.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| ANA@CLB | ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NSH@STL | NSH -105 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@WPG | OVER 5.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@NYI | TB -130 | 60.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| LV@NYI | NYI +120 | 46.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BUF@CGY | OVER 5.5 | 52.2% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@CGY | MIN -115 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@TB | UNDER 6.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | PUSH |
| MON@LV | OVER 6 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@FLA | SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@WAS | OVER 6.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |