Canadiens vs Avalanche Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 29)
Updated: 2025-11-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Montreal Canadiens visit the Colorado Avalanche on November 29, 2025 at Ball Arena in Denver — a showdown between a resurgent Canadiens club and a red-hot Avalanche squad riding one of the NHL’s longest winning streaks. The Avalanche enter as modest favorites on the moneyline, but with a 6.5-goal over/under, this game also carries upside for a high-scoring affair if either offense breaks through early.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 29, 2025
Start Time: 4:00 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena
Avalanche Record: (17-1)
Canadiens Record: (13-7)
OPENING ODDS
MTL Moneyline: +204
COL Moneyline: -252
MTL Spread: +1.5
COL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
MTL
Betting Trends
- Montreal comes in off a confidence-boosting 4-1 road win over the Golden Knights, and their recent road form shows improvement — though consistency remains a concern given ongoing defensive and health issues.
COL
Betting Trends
- Colorado has been dominant lately: their latest shutout win snapped a string of shutouts and extended their win streak to 10 games, and they enter this game as one of the hottest teams in the league with exceptional defensive metrics and scoring balance.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The posted total of 6.5 goals appears conservative given both teams’ offensive upticks — notably Colorado’s recent multi-goal games and Montreal’s improving scoring push on the road — signaling potential value on the over if pace and transition play emerge.
MTL vs. COL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Dobson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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Montreal vs Colorado Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/29/25
The upcoming matchup between the Montreal Canadiens and the Colorado Avalanche on November 29, 2025 brings together two teams on markedly different trajectories, creating a compelling test of resilience, structure, and momentum as Montreal attempts to slow down one of the NHL’s hottest clubs on home ice. Colorado enters riding a dominant 10-game winning streak built on complete hockey—relentless offensive pressure, airtight defensive structure, and elite goaltending that has produced multiple shutouts in recent weeks. Their ability to transition quickly, sustain zone time, and attack through all four lines makes them one of the most difficult teams in the league to defend, particularly at Ball Arena where altitude and crowd energy often amplify their tempo. The Avalanche forecheck aggressively, forcing turnovers deep in the offensive zone, and their defensemen join the rush with timing and confidence, creating layered attacks that overwhelm opponents. Their puck movement through the neutral zone is quick and decisive, often turning broken plays into immediate scoring chances that opponents struggle to counter. Montreal, meanwhile, enters the game with renewed confidence after a 4-1 win over the Golden Knights, showing flashes of sharp finishing and improved structure, yet their overall season remains defined by inconsistency, injuries, and challenges in maintaining defensive composure against high-powered opponents. To compete with Colorado, the Canadiens must deliver a nearly perfect game: disciplined puck management, minimized turnovers, and strong defensive-zone coverage that collapses quickly to neutralize rush threats.
Montreal’s counterattack can be effective when they transition quickly and support the puck through the middle of the ice, but against Colorado’s aggressive defensive pressure they will need to make smart decisions, avoid low-percentage stretch passes, and generate offense through controlled zone entries rather than relying solely on opportunistic breaks. Defensively, Montreal must protect the slot, win net-front battles, and maintain tight coverage to prevent Colorado’s skilled forwards from finding time and space. Their goaltender will be under heavy workload from the opening minutes, requiring strong rebound control, composure under traffic, and quick lateral movement to counter Colorado’s east-west passing game. Special teams may become an equalizer; Montreal’s power play will need to convert limited opportunities, while their penalty kill must remain organized and disruptive to avoid giving Colorado momentum boosts. Ultimately, this game pits Montreal’s effort and opportunism against Colorado’s overwhelming structure and depth. If the Canadiens can weather early storms, capitalize on their chances, and force Colorado into uncomfortable defensive sequences, they can stay competitive. But if the Avalanche dictate tempo, dominate puck possession, and extend offensive-zone cycles as they have throughout their streak, they are positioned to control the matchup and continue their march through the Western Conference with another convincing performance.
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Deux points de plus en banque
— Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) November 29, 2025
Cashed out two points
#GoHabsGo pic.twitter.com/qunS0CjN5V
Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview
The Montreal Canadiens enter this matchup against the Colorado Avalanche understanding the weight of the challenge they face, yet carrying enough recent momentum to believe they can make this a competitive contest if they execute with precision, discipline, and sustained effort from the opening shift. Their recent 4–1 win over the Vegas Golden Knights served as a reminder of what this roster can look like when its transition game is sharp, its finishing is opportunistic, and its defensive structure holds together long enough to support confident goaltending. To translate that success into a strong performance in Denver, Montreal must first manage Colorado’s aggressive forecheck, which has dismantled opponents throughout the Avalanche’s 10-game winning streak. That means clean exits, quick puck support, and avoiding the rushed, low-percentage breakout attempts that have occasionally put the Canadiens in trouble. Montreal’s forwards need to stay connected in all three zones, providing short passing options and helping their defensemen alleviate pressure before Colorado’s speed collapses the walls and forces turnovers. Offensively, Montreal must focus on controlled zone entries, sharp passing, and generating traffic around the crease; Colorado’s defense thrives on shot suppression and clearing rebounds, so the Canadiens must crash the net with purpose and take advantage of fleeting loose-puck opportunities. Their cycle game can create chances, but only if they maintain puck protection and avoid the one-and-done offensive trips that feed Colorado’s transition machine.
Defensively, Montreal’s structure will be tested relentlessly. They must collapse quickly to protect the slot, maintain strong backside support to counter Colorado’s east-west passing, and communicate constantly to prevent breakdowns as the Avalanche rotate and activate defensemen into the attack. The Canadiens’ goaltender will likely face heavy volume, meaning rebound control, traffic management, and clear sightlines will be essential to prevent early momentum swings. Special teams could serve as both a lifeline and a liability: Montreal’s penalty kill must stay disciplined and coordinated to counter Colorado’s crisp power play, while their own power play must capitalize on the few opportunities they are likely to receive. Above all, Montreal must avoid undisciplined penalties, neutral-zone turnovers, and breakdowns in coverage—any of which Colorado has been ruthlessly punishing during this run. If the Canadiens can stay committed to structure, lean into their transition opportunities, and rely on timely goaltending, they can keep the pace manageable and give themselves a chance to steal a result. But if they allow Colorado to dictate tempo, extend offensive-zone shifts, and turn mistakes into quick counterattacks, the night could tilt heavily in the Avalanche’s favor.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview
The Colorado Avalanche enter this matchup against the Montreal Canadiens with every advantage working in their favor—home ice, dominant recent form, and a roster performing with the kind of confidence and synchronicity that has powered their impressive 10-game winning streak. Colorado’s recent success is built on an overwhelming blend of speed, structure, and depth; they pressure opponents relentlessly with an aggressive forecheck that forces turnovers, extends offensive-zone time, and wears down defenses through constant motion and layered attack patterns. Their transition game is one of the league’s most dangerous, fueled by quick breakout passes, mobile defensemen who activate seamlessly into rush opportunities, and forwards capable of converting even the smallest mistakes into high-danger chances. At home in Ball Arena, where altitude subtly advantages their high-tempo style, the Avalanche often amplify these strengths by dictating pace from the opening faceoff, rolling four lines with confidence, and leveraging their crowd’s energy to maintain momentum. Defensively, Colorado has been just as impressive. Their recent run includes multiple shutouts, highlighting exceptional communication, disciplined positioning, and quick stickwork that limits slot exposure and pushes opponents to low-danger areas. Their defensemen excel at breaking up entries, clearing rebounds efficiently, and transitioning pucks quickly to initiate counterattacks, while their goaltender has provided stability with strong rebound control and calm execution behind a structured unit.
Against a Montreal team prone to bouts of inconsistency and defensive lapses, Colorado will look to apply early pressure, force turnovers in the neutral zone, and use their speed to stretch gaps and create quality scoring looks. Special teams offer another advantage: the Avalanche penalty kill has been assertive and effective, disrupting puck movement and turning clears into sudden transition rushes, while their power play—though often effective without relying strictly on set formations—thrives on puck movement, quick shots, and net-front congestion. The key for Colorado is simply maintaining focus and discipline; complacency can open doors even against an underdog, and Montreal’s transition attack is capable of creating problems if given space. But if the Avalanche continue executing their system with the precision, pace, and depth that has defined their winning streak—dominating puck possession, protecting high-danger areas defensively, and exploiting turnovers with ruthless efficiency—they are positioned to control this matchup from start to finish. This home performance offers Colorado the chance not only to extend their run, but to further solidify their status as one of the league’s most formidable and complete teams.
THAT'S OUR CAPTAIN 🫡 pic.twitter.com/5jGe1hFPv7
— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) November 28, 2025
Montreal vs Colorado Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Canadiens and Avalanche play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Montreal vs Colorado Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Canadiens and Avalanche and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Canadiens team going up against a possibly unhealthy Avalanche team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Montreal vs Colorado picks, computer picks Canadiens vs Avalanche, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Montreal Betting Trends
Montreal comes in off a confidence-boosting 4-1 road win over the Golden Knights, and their recent road form shows improvement — though consistency remains a concern given ongoing defensive and health issues.
Colorado Betting Trends
Colorado has been dominant lately: their latest shutout win snapped a string of shutouts and extended their win streak to 10 games, and they enter this game as one of the hottest teams in the league with exceptional defensive metrics and scoring balance.
Canadiens vs. Avalanche Matchup Trends
The posted total of 6.5 goals appears conservative given both teams’ offensive upticks — notably Colorado’s recent multi-goal games and Montreal’s improving scoring push on the road — signaling potential value on the over if pace and transition play emerge.
Montreal vs. Colorado Game Info
Montreal vs Colorado starts on November 29, 2025 at 4:00 PM EST.
Venue: Ball Arena.
Spread: Colorado -1.5
Moneyline: Montreal +204, Colorado -252
Over/Under: 6.5
Montreal: (13-7) | Colorado: (17-1)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Dobson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The posted total of 6.5 goals appears conservative given both teams’ offensive upticks — notably Colorado’s recent multi-goal games and Montreal’s improving scoring push on the road — signaling potential value on the over if pace and transition play emerge.
MTL trend: Montreal comes in off a confidence-boosting 4-1 road win over the Golden Knights, and their recent road form shows improvement — though consistency remains a concern given ongoing defensive and health issues.
COL trend: Colorado has been dominant lately: their latest shutout win snapped a string of shutouts and extended their win streak to 10 games, and they enter this game as one of the hottest teams in the league with exceptional defensive metrics and scoring balance.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Montreal vs. Colorado Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Montreal vs Colorado trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| MTL Moneyline | +204 |
|---|---|
| COL Moneyline | -252 |
| MTL Spread | +1.5 |
| COL Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
Montreal vs Colorado Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
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–
–
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+112
-134
|
+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+180)
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O 6.5 (-102)
U 6.5 (-120)
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
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–
–
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+108
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+1.5 (-230)
|
O 5.5 (-138)
U 5.5 (+112)
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Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
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–
–
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+220
-275
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
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–
–
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-140
+116
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-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Montreal Canadiens vs. Colorado Avalanche on November 29, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |