Canadiens vs Golden Knights Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 28)
Updated: 2025-11-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Montreal Canadiens travel to face the Vegas Golden Knights on November 28, 2025 — a cross-conference showdown that pits Montreal’s recent offensive resurgence against a Vegas squad trying to stabilize after a rough few games. Vegas hopes home ice can help them bounce back, while Montreal looks to build on a solid 5-2 win in their last outing.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 28, 2025
Start Time: 5:00 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights Record: (10-5)
Canadiens Record: (12-7)
OPENING ODDS
MTL Moneyline: +168
VGK Moneyline: -205
MTL Spread: +1.5
VGK Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
MTL
Betting Trends
- Montreal has been inconsistent against the spread on the road this season, covering in fewer than half of its road games due to defensive lapses and volatile performance.
VGK
Betting Trends
- Vegas has shown slightly better ATS performance at home compared with road games, benefiting from structure at home and occasional offensive outbursts.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The over/under for the game is set around 6.5 goals, reflecting expectations for an open, possibly high-scoring contest given Montreal’s offensive uptick and the Golden Knights’ occasional defensive breakdowns.
MTL vs. VGK
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bowman over 0.5 Points.
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Montreal vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/28/25
The upcoming Montreal Canadiens vs. Vegas Golden Knights matchup on November 28, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena sets the stage for a compelling cross-conference battle defined by contrasting recent performances, stylistic differences, and the pressure each team feels to establish a stronger identity heading into December. Montreal arrives with renewed energy after a decisive 5–2 win over Toronto, a performance that showcased balanced scoring, improved puck movement, and a surprisingly impactful offensive push from its defensemen, signaling that the Canadiens may be finding rhythm after an inconsistent month. Their forwards have begun converting chances with more confidence, and their transition game showed sharper execution, but the question remains whether Montreal can sustain such form on the road—particularly against a Vegas team that, despite its recent turbulence, remains dangerous, physical, and system-sound at home. The Golden Knights enter this matchup seeking stability, having dropped several recent games in which defensive miscommunications and goaltending volatility created openings that opponents quickly exploited. Yet Vegas still brings considerable firepower, a deep forward corps capable of controlling possession for long stretches, and the kind of forechecking pressure that has historically troubled Montreal, especially when the Canadiens struggle with zone exits and clearing rebounds. This game’s tempo may swing dramatically depending on which team asserts itself early: if Montreal establishes its speed, connects through the neutral zone, and generates odd-man rushes, it can force Vegas into a reactive posture; but if the Golden Knights win puck battles, grind play down low, and drive traffic to the Montreal crease, they can dictate the rhythm and turn the contest into a heavy, territorial battle that exposes Montreal’s structural vulnerabilities.
Special teams loom large as a potential tipping point, with the over/under set around 6.5 goals indicating expectations for scoring: Montreal’s power play must move the puck quickly to avoid Vegas’s disruptive pressure, while their penalty kill will need to tighten up against a Golden Knights power play that thrives on rebounds and east-west passing. Goaltending may ultimately determine the outcome, as the Canadiens’ netminder will be tasked with absorbing high-slot pressure and controlling rebounds through traffic, while Vegas’s goaltender must avoid the costly miscues that have recently shifted momentum against them. Ultimately, this matchup becomes a test of structure versus surge—can Montreal translate its recent offensive burst into sustainable, disciplined play in a difficult building, or will Vegas capitalize on home ice, physicality, and experience to reassert control and halt its skid? The team that manages zone transitions, limits turnovers, and controls the interior ice will likely shape the narrative of a game with the potential to swing wildly depending on execution and composure.
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399, 400 et 401#GoHabsGo | Casino de Montréal pic.twitter.com/IZ6O7GoDSI
— Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) November 27, 2025
Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview
The Montreal Canadiens enter this matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights looking to prove that their recent 5–2 win over Toronto was more than a momentary spark, and their success in this road test will hinge on their ability to balance renewed offensive confidence with the structural discipline required to withstand Vegas’s physicality and pressure-heavy style. Montreal’s most recent outing displayed encouraging signs: defensemen activating effectively into the rush, secondary scorers contributing with purpose, and their transition game operating with a fluidity that Toronto struggled to contain. That formula—speed through the neutral zone, layered entries, and smart puck support—remains Montreal’s clearest path to generating offense, as their top forwards thrive when they can attack defenders with pace and find passing seams before opponents can set their structure. Against Vegas, Montreal must maintain that pace without sacrificing caution; rushed plays at the blue line or careless turnovers could feed directly into the Golden Knights’ transition game, creating the kind of quick-strike responses that often turn games in their building. In the defensive zone, the Canadiens must commit to strong interior coverage, collapsing quickly to protect the slot and ensuring they clear rebounds efficiently, as Vegas excels at generating second and third chances through relentless net-front pressure and cycles below the dots. Communication between defensemen and forwards will be crucial—if Montreal hesitates on switches or loses positioning under pressure, the Golden Knights’ depth can exploit those breakdowns with precision.
Their goaltender must deliver a composed, technically sound performance, reading through traffic, controlling rebounds, and initiating clean breakouts to avoid extended defensive-zone shifts. Special teams are another key variable: Montreal’s power play has enough passing skill and creativity to challenge Vegas, but they must avoid the predictability and perimeter reliance that can stall momentum. Their penalty kill, meanwhile, needs to stay aggressive and compact to deny Vegas time and space, particularly because the Golden Knights thrive when they can move pucks east-west and overload the slot. Above all, Montreal must stay disciplined—emotionally and structurally. Road games in Vegas can become chaotic, and the Canadiens cannot afford lapses in composure, retaliation penalties, or sequences where they chase the game instead of dictating pace. If Montreal can manage the puck smartly, maintain their transition identity, and keep Vegas from imposing a grinding, physical rhythm, they have a legitimate opportunity to build on their recent offensive surge. But if old patterns resurface—missed clears, turnover-heavy sequences, or prolonged defensive-zone pressure—the game could tilt quickly toward a Golden Knights team eager to reestablish dominance at home.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights enter this matchup intent on stabilizing their form and reasserting the identity that has historically made them so difficult to beat at T-Mobile Arena, and facing a Montreal Canadiens team coming off a confidence-building offensive performance only heightens the urgency for Vegas to lean into its strengths: physicality, puck pressure, and structured possession play. Despite recent struggles marked by defensive miscues and inconsistent goaltending, the Golden Knights remain a team with formidable depth, experienced play drivers, and a well-established system built around controlled aggression and territorial dominance. At home, their forecheck becomes a weapon—relentless pressure that forces opponents into rushed decisions, creates turnovers below the goal line, and leads to extended cycles that suffocate defenses and open seam passes for shooters drifting into high-danger areas. Against a Montreal squad that has shown vulnerability with defensive-zone exits and rebound control, Vegas must commit early to driving traffic to the crease, creating layers of screens, and generating second-chance opportunities that punish any hesitation. Their blue line, though inconsistent of late, has the skating ability and physical presence to hold pucks in at the line and funnel attempts back toward the slot, helping maintain the structured zone time that fuels their offense. Defensively, Vegas must tighten its rotations and avoid the breakdowns that have surfaced in recent losses; Montreal’s renewed transition game and opportunistic shooting can expose gaps if Vegas’s forwards fail to support the puck or if defensemen are caught pinching without coverage.
For the Golden Knights, disciplined structure through the neutral zone and sharp backchecking efforts will be essential to prevent the Canadiens from attacking with speed. Special teams offer another potential fulcrum—Vegas’s power play can capitalize if it moves the puck quickly, establishes net-front screens, and forces Montreal’s penalty killers into scrambling, while their penalty kill must maintain its pressure-heavy identity to disrupt the Canadiens’ east-west passing tendencies. Goaltending will inevitably factor into Vegas’s success, as the ability to control rebounds, handle traffic, and deliver timely saves can shift momentum dramatically, especially in a building where one big stop often ignites the crowd. Ultimately, Vegas must seize control early, assert their physical game, and force Montreal into the kind of grinding, defensive sequences that have historically exposed the Canadiens’ structural weaknesses. If the Golden Knights execute with discipline, maintain puck pressure, and avoid self-inflicted mistakes, they have a clear path to leveraging home-ice intensity and depth to secure a much-needed rebound performance and a statement win.
final from Wednesday night pic.twitter.com/jGnOOYFuGZ
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) November 27, 2025
Montreal vs Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Canadiens and Golden Knights play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Arena in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Montreal vs Vegas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Canadiens and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors regularly put on Vegas’s strength factors between a Canadiens team going up against a possibly strong Golden Knights team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Montreal vs Vegas picks, computer picks Canadiens vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/5 | BUF@WPG | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NHL | 12/5 | WAS@ANA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Montreal Betting Trends
Montreal has been inconsistent against the spread on the road this season, covering in fewer than half of its road games due to defensive lapses and volatile performance.
Vegas Betting Trends
Vegas has shown slightly better ATS performance at home compared with road games, benefiting from structure at home and occasional offensive outbursts.
Canadiens vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
The over/under for the game is set around 6.5 goals, reflecting expectations for an open, possibly high-scoring contest given Montreal’s offensive uptick and the Golden Knights’ occasional defensive breakdowns.
Montreal vs. Vegas Game Info
Montreal vs Vegas starts on November 28, 2025 at 5:00 PM EST.
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: Montreal +168, Vegas -205
Over/Under: 6.5
Montreal: (12-7) | Vegas: (10-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bowman over 0.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The over/under for the game is set around 6.5 goals, reflecting expectations for an open, possibly high-scoring contest given Montreal’s offensive uptick and the Golden Knights’ occasional defensive breakdowns.
MTL trend: Montreal has been inconsistent against the spread on the road this season, covering in fewer than half of its road games due to defensive lapses and volatile performance.
VGK trend: Vegas has shown slightly better ATS performance at home compared with road games, benefiting from structure at home and occasional offensive outbursts.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Montreal vs. Vegas Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Montreal vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MTL Moneyline | +168 |
|---|---|
| VGK Moneyline | -205 |
| MTL Spread | +1.5 |
| VGK Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
Montreal vs Vegas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+192)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+115
|
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 6 (+100)
U 6 (-120)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
|
+230
-275
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-1.5 (+176)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 6.5 (-125)
U 6.5 (+105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
New York Rangers
12/6/25 12:40PM
Avalanche
Rangers
|
–
–
|
-170
+140
|
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
|
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 3:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Florida Panthers
12/6/25 3:30PM
Blue Jackets
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
12/6/25 7PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
|
–
–
|
-135
|
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
12/6/25 7PM
Predators
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+190
-235
|
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+105)
|
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
12/6/25 7PM
Islanders
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+155
-190
|
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
|
O 6 (-105)
U 6 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators
12/6/25 7PM
Blues
Senators
|
–
–
|
+125
-155
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
12/6/25 7PM
Devils
Bruins
|
–
–
|
-115
-105
|
+1.5 (-275)
-1.5 (+225)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 9:00PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
12/6/25 9PM
Blackhawks
Kings
|
–
–
|
+180
-220
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+110)
|
O 6 (-102)
U 6 (-118)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Edmonton Oilers
12/6/25 10PM
Jets
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+170
-210
|
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
12/6/25 10PM
Red Wings
Kraken
|
–
–
|
-115
-105
|
+1.5 (-275)
-1.5 (+220)
|
O 6 (-105)
U 6 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks
12/6/25 10PM
Wild
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Montreal Canadiens vs. Vegas Golden Knights on November 28, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |