Flyers vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 24)
Updated: 2025-11-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Philadelphia Flyers host the Tampa Bay Lightning on November 24, 2025 in a matchup pitting Philadelphia’s emerging young core and home-ice urgency against Tampa Bay’s veteran presence and high expectations. With both teams experiencing ups and downs this season, the game may turn on rebound control, transition defense, and which side sustains momentum through scoring bursts.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 24, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Lightning Record: (12-7)
Flyers Record: (11-6)
OPENING ODDS
PHI Moneyline: +142
TBL Moneyline: -172
PHI Spread: +1.5
TBL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
PHI
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay has struggled against the puck line this season, recording a 7-12 ATS mark.
TBL
Betting Trends
- The Flyers have posted an approximately 11-7 ATS record this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given Philadelphia’s relatively strong ATS performance at home and Tampa Bay’s notable ATS struggles as the away team, value may lean toward the Flyers covering the spread. The Lightning’s under-performance in this respect suggests that even though they carry higher expectations, they may be vulnerable in matchups where their transition game is disrupted and their veteran core is forced into extended defensive stands.
PHI vs. TBL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Konecny over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/24/25
The November 24 meeting between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Tampa Bay Lightning arrives at a compelling moment for both clubs, as each continues to navigate early-season inconsistencies while attempting to anchor a more reliable identity that can translate into long-term success, and the matchup presents a fascinating contrast between Philadelphia’s youth-driven urgency and Tampa Bay’s veteran poise. The Flyers enter with stronger ATS momentum, a sign that their competitive baseline has been more stable than expected despite clear roster deficiencies, and they come into this contest expecting to leverage their home-ice edge, energetic forecheck, and ability to disrupt zone exits with aggressive pressure. Philadelphia must start by dictating pace, using their youthful legs to pressure Tampa Bay’s defense and forcing turnovers high in the zone to generate immediate scoring looks before the Lightning settle into their structured defensive shape. Their ability to win battles along the boards, especially in the defensive zone, will determine whether they can keep Tampa Bay from establishing its signature possession-and-precision style. At the same time, the Flyers need to remain poised in transition defense, as the Lightning are still one of the league’s most lethal teams when able to stretch the ice and create cross-slot movement that tests goaltender positioning. Tampa Bay, despite recent ATS shortcomings, remains a veteran-loaded roster with deep familiarity and a calm execution style that becomes dangerous if afforded time and space, and they must rely on that experience to stabilize the game early, minimize turnovers, and prevent the Flyers from building emotional momentum through forecheck-driven sequences.
The Lightning’s path begins with crisp breakout execution, controlled entries, and a firm commitment to winning neutral-zone battles that slow Philadelphia’s pace and keep the Flyers from dictating tempo. Rebounding and second-chance control will be pivotal; Tampa Bay cannot allow the Flyers’ net-front scrappiness to create extended shifts, as those sequences energize the home crowd and wear down the visiting defensive core. Conversely, the Lightning’s offensive potential hinges on sustained possession, lateral puck movement, and forcing Philadelphia’s defensive structure into difficult rotations that open lanes for high-danger looks. The battle between Tampa Bay’s veteran power-play precision and Philadelphia’s penalty-killing discipline may also tilt the contest, as special teams have been a differentiator for both clubs in recent matchups. Emotionally, the Flyers must channel home-ice energy into structured effort rather than frantic bursts, ensuring they sustain focus through all three periods; Tampa Bay must bring a road-warrior mentality that neutralizes the crowd and relies on patient, methodical execution rather than trying to outrun a younger team. Ultimately, the matchup hinges on possession and rebound control—if Philadelphia forces chaos, pushes transition pace, and wins board battles, they can tilt the night in their favor; if Tampa Bay steadies the pace, protects the puck, and leverages veteran composure, they can overcome recent ATS trends and reassert their identity against a rising but still volatile Flyers team.
Get live NHL odds and precise AI NHL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
The goal horn somehow did not break in the first period. #NJDvsPHI | @Ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/APh3IeLVsA
— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) November 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers NHL Preview
Tampa Bay enters this November 24 road matchup in Philadelphia with the understanding that their success hinges on restoring the structured, veteran-driven identity that has defined their best stretches in recent seasons, while simultaneously correcting the lapses that have contributed to their poor ATS performance this year. The Lightning must approach this contest with a disciplined, possession-focused plan centered on minimizing turnovers, controlling the neutral zone, and preventing the Flyers from using their youthful legs and home energy to tilt the tempo into a fast, forecheck-heavy game. Tampa Bay’s offense must lean on veteran execution—quick, clean exits from the defensive zone, controlled entries that force Philadelphia’s defenders to pivot and rotate, and sustained possession sequences built on lateral puck movement designed to open seams for high-danger scoring chances. Their top playmakers must impose poise and structure early, slowing the Flyers’ pressure by moving the puck decisively and avoiding extended battles along the boards where Philadelphia thrives. Rebounding becomes a crucial element of Tampa Bay’s game plan; they must secure defensive-zone rebounds with conviction to eliminate second-chance scoring opportunities and allow themselves to dictate pace rather than defend wave after wave of Flyers’ pressure. On the offensive side, winning battles around the crease and generating net-front traffic will be essential to disrupting Philadelphia’s goaltending rhythm, especially against a Flyers team that has shown vulnerability when pinned in its defensive end for prolonged shifts.
Defensively, the Lightning must prioritize slot protection, disciplined rotations, and strong gap control to prevent the Flyers’ forwards from gaining downhill momentum, and they must stay composed in transition defense, ensuring that neutral-zone turnovers or missed assignments do not lead to odd-man rushes that energize the home crowd. Tampa Bay’s penalty kill must be crisp, as Philadelphia has shown an improved ability to generate chaos around the net on special teams, and avoiding unnecessary penalties is essential to preventing momentum swings that can turn a road environment hostile. Depth will play a significant role as well; the Lightning’s third and fourth lines must provide clean shifts, forecheck responsibly, and protect possession rather than merely surviving minutes, as any prolonged defensive shift on the road risks opening the door for the Flyers’ young attackers. Emotionally, Tampa Bay must approach this game with deliberate composure, relying on veteran calm to quiet the crowd and refusing to be drawn into the Flyers’ preferred high-tempo, high-chaos style. If the Lightning control the puck, win the rebound battle, execute disciplined breakouts, and force Philadelphia into a structured, slower-paced contest, they have the experience and offensive precision to tilt the game in their favor. But if they allow the Flyers to swarm them on the forecheck, generate second-chance looks, and feed off the home crowd’s energy, Tampa Bay risks extending its ATS struggles and surrendering control of a matchup they have the tools to manage effectively.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
Philadelphia enters its November 24 home matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with an opportunity to leverage its youthful energy, physical edge, and improving structure to challenge a veteran opponent that has struggled to meet expectations in early-season ATS performance. The Flyers must approach this contest with a clear identity: aggressive forechecking, disciplined structure in the neutral zone, and relentless puck pressure designed to disrupt Tampa Bay’s transition and deny the Lightning the controlled-possession environment in which they excel. Philadelphia’s success begins with pace—not reckless speed, but assertive movement that forces Tampa Bay’s defense into hurried decisions, prevents clean zone exits, and creates turnovers high in the offensive zone that can be immediately converted into scoring chances. Winning puck battles along the boards is central to this approach; the Flyers thrive when able to pin teams in their own end through layered pressure, continuous support from their forwards, and quick, purposeful rotations from their defensemen to keep the cycle alive. Offensively, Philadelphia must apply consistent net-front pressure, using their physicality to create screens, deflections, and rebound chances that challenge Tampa Bay’s goaltending. The Flyers’ ability to generate multi-shot shifts is particularly important, as the Lightning have shown vulnerability this season when forced into prolonged defensive stints that disrupt their line rhythm. Transition offense also plays a key role—by moving the puck quickly off turnovers and turning neutral-zone wins into immediate thrusts, the Flyers can generate high-percentage looks before Tampa Bay’s structure tightens. On the defensive side, Philadelphia must stay organized, maintaining disciplined gap control and avoiding the coverage breakdowns that Tampa Bay’s veteran scorers have historically punished.
Slot protection becomes paramount, as the Lightning excel when able to generate lateral puck movement that opens high-danger shooting lanes. The Flyers must collapse decisively when necessary while still recovering quickly enough to contest back-door opportunities, ensuring their aggressive forecheck does not leave them exposed. Rebounding will be a defining battleground: Philadelphia must secure defensive-zone rebounds to eliminate second-chance threats, while also attacking the offensive glass to generate extended possessions and slow Tampa Bay’s transition game. Special teams discipline is equally important; the Flyers must avoid unnecessary penalties that could allow Tampa Bay’s experienced power-play unit to control momentum. Their own power play must operate with urgency, using puck movement and traffic to prevent Tampa Bay from dictating kill structure. Bench contributions will factor into the equation—Philadelphia’s depth must maintain intensity, forecheck pressure, and defensive structure, preventing the Lightning from exploiting matchup advantages during rotation shifts. Emotionally, the Flyers must harness home-ice energy in productive ways, staying composed even during surges or adversity and maintaining their identity throughout all three periods. If Philadelphia wins the puck battles, controls rebounds, applies consistent forecheck pressure, and sustains defensive discipline, they can force Tampa Bay into uncomfortable stretches and potentially extend the Lightning’s ATS struggles. If the Flyers falter in structure or allow Tampa Bay’s veterans to dictate pace, the balance shifts quickly, but with a committed, detail-driven effort, Philadelphia has the blueprint to turn home ice into a meaningful advantage.
Close out your weekend with one more look at this gem 🤩#GoBolts | @TampaElectric pic.twitter.com/7d5RXYCGBO
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) November 23, 2025
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Flyers and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Benchmark International Arena in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Flyers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending emphasis human bettors often put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Flyers team going up against a possibly tired Lightning team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Flyers vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/5 | BUF@WPG | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/5 | WAS@ANA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Philadelphia Betting Trends
Tampa Bay has struggled against the puck line this season, recording a 7-12 ATS mark.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
The Flyers have posted an approximately 11-7 ATS record this season.
Flyers vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
Given Philadelphia’s relatively strong ATS performance at home and Tampa Bay’s notable ATS struggles as the away team, value may lean toward the Flyers covering the spread. The Lightning’s under-performance in this respect suggests that even though they carry higher expectations, they may be vulnerable in matchups where their transition game is disrupted and their veteran core is forced into extended defensive stands.
Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay starts on November 24, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Benchmark International Arena.
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia +142, Tampa Bay -172
Over/Under: 5.5
Philadelphia: (11-6) | Tampa Bay: (12-7)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Konecny over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Given Philadelphia’s relatively strong ATS performance at home and Tampa Bay’s notable ATS struggles as the away team, value may lean toward the Flyers covering the spread. The Lightning’s under-performance in this respect suggests that even though they carry higher expectations, they may be vulnerable in matchups where their transition game is disrupted and their veteran core is forced into extended defensive stands.
PHI trend: Tampa Bay has struggled against the puck line this season, recording a 7-12 ATS mark.
TBL trend: The Flyers have posted an approximately 11-7 ATS record this season.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| PHI Moneyline | +142 |
|---|---|
| TBL Moneyline | -172 |
| PHI Spread | +1.5 |
| TBL Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 5.5 |
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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In Progress
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
In Progress
Sharks
Stars
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1
1
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+145
-185
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+1.5 (-525)
-1.5 (+333)
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O 3.5 (-102)
U 3.5 (-130)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
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–
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-127
+112
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-1.5 (+184)
+1.5 (-216)
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O 6.5 (-108)
U 6.5 (-108)
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Dec 6, 2025 12:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
New York Rangers
12/6/25 12:40PM
Avalanche
Rangers
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–
–
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-163
+143
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-1.5 (+149)
+1.5 (-170)
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O 6 (-108)
U 6 (-108)
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Dec 6, 2025 3:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Florida Panthers
12/6/25 3:30PM
Blue Jackets
Panthers
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–
–
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+141
-160
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+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+140)
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O 6.5 (-103)
U 6.5 (-113)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
12/6/25 7PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
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-130
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-1.5 (+192)
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O 6.5 (-106)
U 6.5 (-110)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
12/6/25 7PM
Predators
Hurricanes
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–
–
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+200
-230
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+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+110)
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O 6 (-108)
U 6 (-108)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
12/6/25 7PM
Islanders
Lightning
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–
–
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+155
-190
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+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
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O 6 (-105)
U 6 (-115)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators
12/6/25 7PM
Blues
Senators
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–
–
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+130
-148
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+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+180)
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O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
12/6/25 7PM
Devils
Bruins
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–
–
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-115
-105
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+1.5 (-275)
-1.5 (+225)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Dec 6, 2025 9:00PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
12/6/25 9PM
Blackhawks
Kings
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–
–
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+180
-206
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+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+125)
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O 6 (+104)
U 6 (-120)
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Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Edmonton Oilers
12/6/25 10PM
Jets
Oilers
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–
–
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+170
-210
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+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
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Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
12/6/25 10PM
Red Wings
Kraken
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–
–
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-125
+110
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-1.5 (+207)
+1.5 (-250)
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O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-113)
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Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks
12/6/25 10PM
Wild
Canucks
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–
–
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-140
+115
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-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on November 24, 2025 at Benchmark International Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |