Stars vs Flames Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 22)
Updated: 2025-11-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Dallas Stars head into a home matchup with the Calgary Flames on November 22, 2025 as they look to leverage strong early-season form against a Flames club still searching for offensive consistency and defensive stability. With Dallas ranking among the NHL’s better teams in goal differential and Calgary among the weakest in many key metrics, this game positions Dallas to impose its pace and goaltending advantage while Calgary must find a way to generate momentum on the road.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames Record: (6-13)
Stars Record: (13-5)
OPENING ODDS
DAL Moneyline: -146
CGY Moneyline: +122
DAL Spread: -1.5
CGY Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
DAL
Betting Trends
- Calgary’s performance against the puck line (ATS) this season has been modest—one data point shows an 11-10 mark for the Flames in ATS outcomes.
CGY
Betting Trends
- Dallas’s recent ATS results are less encouraging, with figures indicating a 7-13 record against the puck line for the season, pointing to some under-performance relative to expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given the contrasting statistical profiles—with Dallas strong in performance but weak ATS relative to expectations, and Calgary modest ATS on the road—the line may favour Dallas to win, but value could exist in Dallas covering a moderate spread or Calgary keeping this within a narrow margin, especially if they can find early offense; additionally, the total goals line may lean toward the “under” given Calgary’s offensive struggles and Dallas’s defensive steadiness.
DAL vs. CGY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Mikael Backlund over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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Dallas vs Calgary Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/22/25
The November 22 matchup between the Dallas Stars and the Calgary Flames arrives as a clear collision of two teams traveling in opposite competitive directions, with Dallas entering the contest as a structured, deep, and confident contender while Calgary searches urgently for traction amid one of the league’s most challenging offensive and defensive stretches. Dallas has built its early-season success on disciplined two-way play, strong puck management, efficient scoring depth, and a defensive structure that often forces opponents into low-danger attempts while converting turnovers into controlled transition opportunities. Calgary, by contrast, enters the game struggling to establish any reliable rhythm, ranking near the bottom of the league in goal production and often surrendering momentum quickly due to breakdowns in coverage, inconsistent goaltending confidence, and difficulty sustaining offensive-zone time. This creates a stylistic contrast that shapes the matchup from the outset: Dallas wants to dictate pace through puck possession, layered forechecking pressure, and deliberate offensive sequencing, while Calgary thrives only when it can disrupt structure, create chaos in open ice, and lean on opportunistic finishes that allow them to stay in games despite underlying weaknesses. The rebounding battle becomes an immediate hinge point—Dallas excels when they limit second-chance opportunities and secure defensive rebounds that fuel transition entries with speed and purpose, while Calgary must fight for every loose puck to compensate for the scoring challenges that demand extra-chance generation simply to keep pace. Turnovers loom just as large, particularly because Dallas thrives at turning opponent mistakes into high-quality looks, and Calgary has frequently struggled with puck management in the neutral zone and defensive end, areas that Dallas can exploit quickly if given any opening.
Special teams add another defining layer: Dallas’s power play tends to punish teams that collapse late or chase too aggressively, while Calgary must find a way to maintain composure and clear lanes on the penalty kill to avoid early deficits that can widen rapidly in a road environment. Emotionally, Dallas enters with confidence but must avoid complacency; playing a struggling team at home can create traps when focus dips or when players expect the game to unfold naturally in their favor. Calgary, meanwhile, arrives with desperation as both a liability and a motivator—if they channel that urgency into disciplined forechecking, smart puck decisions, and sustained effort, they can create competitive pockets within the game, but if desperation becomes overextension, Dallas will punish every lapse. Depth scoring may ultimately widen the gap, as Dallas’s third and fourth lines have shown the ability to control pace and produce momentum-shifting shifts, whereas Calgary requires those lines simply to survive and avoid conceding. In the end, this matchup likely hinges on which team asserts its identity more consistently: Dallas by controlling tempo, dominating the boards, protecting the puck, and executing with structure, or Calgary by disrupting rhythm, generating transition rushes, and manufacturing offensive energy from effort plays. Both teams possess clear pathways, but the execution gap entering this matchup suggests that Dallas holds the upper hand unless Calgary plays with near-perfect urgency and precision on the road.
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Still thinking about this... pic.twitter.com/UoZiCbEjDN
— Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) November 21, 2025
Dallas Stars NHL Preview
Dallas enters its November 22 road matchup in Calgary with the confidence of a team that has established itself as one of the league’s most structured, disciplined, and reliable clubs, yet they also understand that road games—especially against desperate teams—require sharp execution, emotional composure, and an ability to impose their identity even when the environment pushes back. For the Stars, the formula begins with control: controlling pace, controlling possession, controlling the quality of chances on both ends, and controlling momentum swings that Calgary will try to generate early with energy from their home crowd. Dallas’s transition game is one of its core strengths, and on the road it becomes even more essential; clean exits, smart puck management, and well-timed support through the neutral zone allow the Stars to break pressure and enter the offensive zone with structure rather than relying on rushed, chaotic sequences that Calgary could turn into counterattacks. Offensively, Dallas must be patient and deliberate, using their depth to rotate fresh legs, cycle effectively below the goal line, and attack seams created by Calgary’s tendency to overcommit defensively when under sustained pressure. Their forwards must maintain heavy net-front presence to screen Calgary’s goaltender, attack rebounds, and convert on second-chance opportunities, an area where Dallas has excelled and Calgary has struggled. Defensively, the Stars must stay compact, protect the interior, and stay alert for Calgary’s attempts to jump on loose pucks or generate point-shot traffic; Dallas’s defensive core thrives when play is predictable and structured, but they must stay disciplined against a Flames team that will try to create offense through effort plays, scrambles, and broken sequences.
The Stars must not gift Calgary momentum through turnovers or unnecessary penalties—Calgary’s power play has been inconsistent, but road penalties can energize a struggling team, and Dallas must keep the game five-on-five where their depth and balance shine. Special teams will still matter, as Dallas’s power play can punish even a single lapse in Calgary’s coverage if they move the puck quickly and attack the slot with purpose. Goaltending stands as a major asset for Dallas on the road, and their netminder must provide early stability, handle Calgary’s initial surges, and quiet the crowd by managing rebounds and controlling traffic. Dallas’s depth lines also carry significant responsibility in this matchup; they must maintain defensive detail, protect pucks along the boards, and avoid stretches where shifts become extended due to failed clears or lost battles. Emotionally, the Stars must approach the game with calm confidence—never allowing Calgary’s urgency to dictate tempo or knock them out of structure, and never assuming that Calgary’s early-season struggles guarantee an easy night. If Dallas manages the puck cleanly, wins the middle of the ice, controls defensive rebounds, and sustains disciplined, detail-oriented pressure across all four lines, they can turn this road matchup into another statement win built on identity and execution. But if they fall into careless puck decisions, lose defensive assignments, or allow Calgary’s desperation to escalate into extended zone time, they risk letting a vulnerable opponent find belief, which is the one variable that can complicate a road game more than any tactical challenge.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Calgary Flames NHL Preview
Calgary enters its November 22 home matchup against the Dallas Stars carrying the weight of a difficult start to the season and fully aware that this game represents both an opportunity to reset momentum and a test of whether their roster can respond with the urgency and structure required to compete with a disciplined, playoff-caliber opponent. For the Flames, playing at home must mean establishing identity early—bringing energy through the forecheck, engaging physically to disrupt Dallas’s rhythm, and leaning on crowd support to build confidence that has been hard to sustain through long stretches this year. Offensively, Calgary must focus on generating high-quality chances rather than settling for low-danger point shots that Dallas’s structured defense can easily absorb; that means driving the net with assertiveness, using motion to create seams, and pushing pace when they recover loose pucks. This is a team that has struggled in the offensive zone largely because possessions have been too brief or too predictable, so Calgary must extend plays, win battles on the boards, and attack the interior with commitment. Rebounding and second-chance opportunities are especially critical—Calgary cannot afford to generate one-and-done sequences against a Dallas team that thrives when it can exit cleanly and transition with control. Defensively, the Flames must remain fully connected, as Dallas’s depth scoring and balanced forward lines demand attention on every shift; Calgary’s defense must control the slot, prevent layered passing plays, and ensure that rebounds are cleared quickly to avoid prolonged pressure or back-door finishes. Their gap control through the neutral zone must be firm, preventing Dallas from carrying speed into the offensive end where their structure becomes difficult to break once established.
Goaltending will play a significant role, and Calgary needs a steady, composed performance that limits second looks and manages screens effectively, as Dallas tends to generate traffic and look for redirect opportunities. Special teams execution must also elevate: Calgary’s power play needs to commit to quicker puck movement, improved entries, and shot selection that forces the Stars to collapse, while the penalty kill must pressure puck carriers and avoid sinking too deep, which has led to breakdowns in recent games. The Flames’ depth lines must support this overall effort with responsible defensive play, hard forechecking shifts, and the kind of detail work that prevents Dallas from taking over the middle stages of the game. Emotionally, Calgary must play with desperation balanced by discipline—home ice offers energy, but that energy must be funneled into smart puck decisions, timely pressure, and resilience when Dallas inevitably pushes back. This cannot be a game where an early mistake turns into an extended slide; instead, Calgary must counter adversity immediately and lean on the crowd’s lift. If the Flames win puck battles, control the slot defensively, generate sustained offensive pressure, protect the puck in transition, and maintain a composed identity rooted in structure rather than chaos, they can turn this into a competitive and meaningful home performance. But if they revert to familiar issues—slow starts, turnover clusters, passive defensive shifts, or lack of finish in premium scoring areas—the game risks tilting heavily toward a Dallas team that rarely wastes opportunities, making Calgary’s home ice feel far less forgiving.
Episode 3 of The Chase is here!
— Calgary Flames (@NHLFlames) November 22, 2025
Go behind-the-scenes with the #Flames on the road and get an exclusive look at Nazem Kadri's 1000th NHL game 🔥
Watch Episode 3 now: https://t.co/lzRerXd8Lv pic.twitter.com/0wiNwTAyTx
Dallas vs Calgary Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Stars and Flames play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Dallas vs Calgary Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Stars and Flames and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Calgary’s strength factors between a Stars team going up against a possibly tired Flames team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Dallas vs Calgary picks, computer picks Stars vs Flames, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Dallas Betting Trends
Calgary’s performance against the puck line (ATS) this season has been modest—one data point shows an 11-10 mark for the Flames in ATS outcomes.
Calgary Betting Trends
Dallas’s recent ATS results are less encouraging, with figures indicating a 7-13 record against the puck line for the season, pointing to some under-performance relative to expectations.
Stars vs. Flames Matchup Trends
Given the contrasting statistical profiles—with Dallas strong in performance but weak ATS relative to expectations, and Calgary modest ATS on the road—the line may favour Dallas to win, but value could exist in Dallas covering a moderate spread or Calgary keeping this within a narrow margin, especially if they can find early offense; additionally, the total goals line may lean toward the “under” given Calgary’s offensive struggles and Dallas’s defensive steadiness.
Dallas vs. Calgary Game Info
Dallas vs Calgary starts on November 22, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST.
Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome.
Spread: Calgary +1.5
Moneyline: Dallas -146, Calgary +122
Over/Under: 5.5
Dallas: (13-5) | Calgary: (6-13)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Mikael Backlund over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Given the contrasting statistical profiles—with Dallas strong in performance but weak ATS relative to expectations, and Calgary modest ATS on the road—the line may favour Dallas to win, but value could exist in Dallas covering a moderate spread or Calgary keeping this within a narrow margin, especially if they can find early offense; additionally, the total goals line may lean toward the “under” given Calgary’s offensive struggles and Dallas’s defensive steadiness.
DAL trend: Calgary’s performance against the puck line (ATS) this season has been modest—one data point shows an 11-10 mark for the Flames in ATS outcomes.
CGY trend: Dallas’s recent ATS results are less encouraging, with figures indicating a 7-13 record against the puck line for the season, pointing to some under-performance relative to expectations.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Dallas vs. Calgary Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Calgary trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| DAL Moneyline | -146 |
|---|---|
| CGY Moneyline | +122 |
| DAL Spread | -1.5 |
| CGY Spread | +1.5 |
| Over / Under | 5.5 |
Dallas vs Calgary Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
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–
–
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+111
-136
|
+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+161)
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O 6.5 (-103)
U 6.5 (-119)
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|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+104
|
+1.5 (-236)
|
O 6 (-107)
U 6 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
|
+212
-270
|
+1.5 (-116)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 6 (-120)
U 6 (-102)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
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–
–
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-139
+113
|
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-216)
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O 6.5 (-119)
U 6.5 (-102)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames on November 22, 2025 at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |