Rangers vs Golden Knights Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 18)
Updated: 2025-11-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Rangers visit the Vegas Golden Knights on November 18, 2025 in a marquee East–West matchup that pits New York’s star-driven, high-skill attack and elite goaltending against Vegas’ deep, playoff-tested, forecheck-heavy structure in one of the league’s toughest road environments. With both clubs built to contend and comfortable in tight, low-scoring, playoff-style games, the outcome is likely to hinge on special teams, net-front battles, and which side better protects the middle of the ice in five-on-five play.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 18, 2025
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights Record: (8-4)
Rangers Record: (10-8)
OPENING ODDS
NYR Moneyline: +119
VGK Moneyline: -143
NYR Spread: +1.5
VGK Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
NYR
Betting Trends
- In the 2023–24 regular season, the Rangers went 45–37 against the puck line, performing slightly above break-even as a spread team, with a notable tendency to be priced as favorites and still cover at a decent clip, especially in low-scoring games where Igor Shesterkin kept them within a goal.
VGK
Betting Trends
- Vegas finished the 2023–24 campaign 44–38 against the puck line, with a strong home profile driven by their usual dominance at T-Mobile Arena and their ability to extend leads with third-period depth scoring and aggressive forechecking.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Both teams have recent histories as solid puck-line performers, but Vegas’ strong home environment and depth have generally supported better home-cover spots, while New York’s reliance on goaltending and special teams has produced tighter, one-goal outcomes that sometimes favor the underdog puck line. This creates a nuanced angle: Vegas holds the situational edge at home, but the Rangers’ ability to keep games close and their strong road record against Western opponents can make the plus goals attractive if the number is generous.
NYR vs. VGK
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Dorofeyev over 2.5 Shots on Goal.
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New York vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/18/25
This matchup between the New York Rangers and the Vegas Golden Knights on November 18, 2025 shapes up as one of those measuring-stick games that looks and feels like late April more than mid-November, with two organizations built for deep playoff runs colliding in a building where Vegas has traditionally been extremely difficult to beat. The Rangers’ identity is anchored by high-end skill up front, elite power-play execution, and top-tier goaltending; they are at their best when they control pace through smart puck management, attack with layered entries, and lean on Igor Shesterkin (or whoever is starting in goal by then) to erase breakdowns and keep them within striking distance in low-event stretches. Against Vegas, they must be particularly sharp in the neutral zone: sloppy passes or slow line changes feed directly into the Golden Knights’ forecheck and counterattack game, which still revolves around forcing turnovers, getting pucks deep, and grinding teams into the boards until coverage breaks down. Vegas, for its part, remains a depth-driven, defensively responsible group that wins with layers—layers on the forecheck, layers in neutral-zone pressure, and layers around the slot, where they box out aggressively and make entries miserable for opposing skill lines. The tactical axis of this game rests on three areas: net-front control, special teams, and defensive-zone exits. New York must be willing to fight through Vegas’ physical net-front presence to create screens and second chances for their shooters, while Vegas must keep Ranger forwards on the outside and clear rebounds quickly to prevent those dangerous second looks.
On special teams, New York’s power play typically gives them an edge, with one-timers from the flank and high-slot rotations that can punish even disciplined killing units, but Vegas has historically been very good at limiting seam passes and forcing power plays into perimeter cycling. Five-on-five, the key is who wins the exits and re-entries battle: if the Rangers can cleanly exit under pressure and carry the puck with support, they can turn Vegas’ aggressive pinches into odd-man chances; if the Golden Knights are consistently stapling New York’s defense to the glass and forcing chip-outs, they will tilt the ice through repetition and attrition. Emotionally, Vegas will feed off one of the loudest home environments in the league, while the Rangers, who are no strangers to high-pressure spots, must show playoff-level composure, managing shifts, avoiding undisciplined penalties, and accepting that long stretches might be spent absorbing pressure. Ultimately, this game will be decided by which team better marries its structural discipline with its star power—New York must find enough clean looks against Vegas’ layers without sacrificing defensive shape, and Vegas must find ways to slow the Rangers’ speed while still generating enough offense of its own to avoid turning this into a goaltending coin flip.
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Group effort got it done 💪 pic.twitter.com/wkgcyvvplc
— New York Rangers (@NYRangers) November 16, 2025
New York Rangers NHL Preview
The New York Rangers come into Vegas needing to blend their high-end skill and potent power play with a level of defensive commitment, puck management, and emotional composure that can withstand one of the league’s toughest road environments. New York’s offensive identity is driven by its elite forwards and a blue line capable of both transporting the puck and contributing offensively; to succeed in Vegas, they must be precise in their breakouts, using short, supported passes under pressure rather than hopeful chips that feed the Golden Knights’ forecheck. Their forwards will need to work back consistently to provide outlets and ensure that Vegas’ attempts to pin them in the zone turn into quick counters instead of extended suffering. In the offensive zone, the Rangers should look to use their skill to change sides, attack seams, and create movement that can pull Vegas’ tight defensive structure out of alignment; this includes high give-and-go actions, slot pops, and quick one-touch plays around the circles designed to create shooting lanes before Vegas can re-layer. The power play, a historic strength, becomes their most reliable lever in a building where five-on-five chances may come at a premium; crisp puck movement, disciplined entries, and layered net-front presence will be essential to break down a penalty kill that prides itself on denying seams and collapsing hard to the crease.
Defensively, the Rangers must be ready for long, heavy shifts against Vegas’ cycle; that means smart stick detail, winning body positioning in front of the net, and not allowing repeated lost battles along the walls to snowball into breakdowns. Their defensemen must pick their spots to activate, understanding that every aggressive pinch carries risk against a Vegas team that counters efficiently when structure is compromised. Goaltending, as usual, will be central for New York—timely saves will not just keep them in the game but also fuel their counterattack opportunities after Vegas commits numbers forward. Emotionally, the Rangers must treat this like a playoff road game: stay out of the box, avoid unnecessary scrums after the whistle, manage shifts conservatively when tired, and trust their structure instead of chasing hits or hero plays. If New York can move the puck cleanly under pressure, protect the middle of the ice in its own zone, generate enough quality looks through its skill and man-advantage, and rely on its goaltending to handle Vegas’ surges, it has a very real path not only to compete but to steal a statement win in one of the most challenging rinks in the league.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights come into this home matchup with the blueprint that has defined their identity since entering the league: roll four lines, forecheck in waves, defend in layers, and let their depth and physicality gradually wear down even the most skilled opponents. Against the Rangers, the first priority for Vegas will be suffocating New York’s entries; their defense and forwards will look to gap up aggressively in the neutral zone, steer puck carriers to the boards, and force dump-ins that allow Vegas’ mobile defense corps to retrieve, reverse, and exit with control. In the offensive zone, the Golden Knights will want heavy, grinding shifts, especially against New York’s top pair, cycling pucks low to high, flooding the corners with support, and creating chaos in front of the crease with traffic and quick puck recoveries. Vegas’ best path lies in forcing the Rangers’ defense to turn and chase repeatedly, tiring them through long possessions, and using their depth scoring to capitalize when matchups soften, rather than relying solely on top-line production. Defensively, they will be intensely focused on eliminating east–west passes through the slot that power the Rangers’ finest sequences; that means strong stick detail, disciplined positioning on penalty kills, and a commitment from centers to sag into the middle and cut off those dangerous seams.
On the penalty kill, they will pressure entry attempts, trying to deny New York clean zone control and force dump-ins that can be cleared quickly; once set up, they must keep shooting lanes clogged and treat every rebound as a fire drill to be extinguished immediately. Goaltending for Vegas must be steady and controlled, limiting rebounds and not allowing New York’s shooters second looks, especially off tip plays and net-front scrambles. Their home crowd and building energy give them an emotional edge, but they must channel that energy into consistent, structured play rather than overly aggressive pinches or retaliatory penalties that could feed the Rangers’ power play. If Vegas can maintain its trademark discipline, win the board and net-front battles, roll its depth with tempo, and keep New York’s skill on the perimeter, it can turn this matchup into the kind of grinding home performance that has been its hallmark in big games.
Let's do this again tomorrow!! 😉 https://t.co/gfO0cFYcfr
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) November 16, 2025
New York vs Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Rangers and Golden Knights play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Arena in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New York vs Vegas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Rangers and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Rangers team going up against a possibly improved Golden Knights team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI New York vs Vegas picks, computer picks Rangers vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
New York Betting Trends
In the 2023–24 regular season, the Rangers went 45–37 against the puck line, performing slightly above break-even as a spread team, with a notable tendency to be priced as favorites and still cover at a decent clip, especially in low-scoring games where Igor Shesterkin kept them within a goal.
Vegas Betting Trends
Vegas finished the 2023–24 campaign 44–38 against the puck line, with a strong home profile driven by their usual dominance at T-Mobile Arena and their ability to extend leads with third-period depth scoring and aggressive forechecking.
Rangers vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
Both teams have recent histories as solid puck-line performers, but Vegas’ strong home environment and depth have generally supported better home-cover spots, while New York’s reliance on goaltending and special teams has produced tighter, one-goal outcomes that sometimes favor the underdog puck line. This creates a nuanced angle: Vegas holds the situational edge at home, but the Rangers’ ability to keep games close and their strong road record against Western opponents can make the plus goals attractive if the number is generous.
New York vs. Vegas Game Info
New York vs Vegas starts on November 18, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST.
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: New York +119, Vegas -143
Over/Under: 6
New York: (10-8) | Vegas: (8-4)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Dorofeyev over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Both teams have recent histories as solid puck-line performers, but Vegas’ strong home environment and depth have generally supported better home-cover spots, while New York’s reliance on goaltending and special teams has produced tighter, one-goal outcomes that sometimes favor the underdog puck line. This creates a nuanced angle: Vegas holds the situational edge at home, but the Rangers’ ability to keep games close and their strong road record against Western opponents can make the plus goals attractive if the number is generous.
NYR trend: In the 2023–24 regular season, the Rangers went 45–37 against the puck line, performing slightly above break-even as a spread team, with a notable tendency to be priced as favorites and still cover at a decent clip, especially in low-scoring games where Igor Shesterkin kept them within a goal.
VGK trend: Vegas finished the 2023–24 campaign 44–38 against the puck line, with a strong home profile driven by their usual dominance at T-Mobile Arena and their ability to extend leads with third-period depth scoring and aggressive forechecking.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Vegas Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| NYR Moneyline | +119 |
|---|---|
| VGK Moneyline | -143 |
| NYR Spread | +1.5 |
| VGK Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6 |
New York vs Vegas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
|
–
–
|
+114
-135
|
+1.5 (-218)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
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|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+110
|
+1.5 (-245)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
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|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
|
+225
-278
|
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-142
+120
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Rangers vs. Vegas Golden Knights on November 18, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |