Islanders vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 18)
Updated: 2025-11-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Islanders head on the road to face the Dallas Stars on November 18, 2025 in a matchup where the Islanders’ younger, transition-oriented attack meets the Stars’ veteran-weighted, structure-driven home identity. With Dallas riding momentum and home-ice advantage, and New York looking to generate speed and disrupt rhythm, the outcome will likely pivot on rebound control, neutral-zone execution, and special-teams impact.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 18, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Stars Record: (12-4)
Islanders Record: (10-7)
OPENING ODDS
NYI Moneyline: +138
DAL Moneyline: -166
NYI Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
NYI
Betting Trends
- While specific seasonal ATS numbers are not publicly detailed, the Islanders have shown inconsistency on the road and especially against teams that control pace and bench depth.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Stars have performed strongly at home overall, boasting a 6-3-1 home record in their recent stretch, suggesting improved form when playing in front of their crowd.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Although Dallas is favored at home and carries positive momentum, the Islanders have shown the capacity to punch above expectations in earlier match-ups and transitions, offering possible value for bettors backing the road club to cover if they can dictate tempo and limit high-danger chances. Conversely, Dallas’s home advantage and depth invite confidence in their ability to assert control, so the game presents multiple nuanced angles—whether you lean into the favorite’s structure or the underdog’s speed.
NYI vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Heiskanen over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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New York vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/18/25
The upcoming matchup between the New York Islanders and the Dallas Stars on November 18, 2025 presents a compelling contrast in identity, tempo, roster construction, and game-flow preference, making it the kind of cross-conference showdown defined less by headline star power and more by commitment to structure, execution under pressure, and the ability to dictate terms in pivotal moments that swing momentum and scoring tone. The Islanders arrive as one of the league’s younger, more transition-dependent teams, leaning heavily on pace, forechecking pressure, opportunistic scoring, and defensive-zone rebounds that immediately trigger north-south movement, but their Achilles heels—stretches of inconsistency, struggles with sustained offensive-zone time, and periodic difficulty handling structured, possession-driven opponents—make this a particularly difficult road test. Dallas enters with a veteran-heavy core, a deep and intelligent defensive structure, and a system built on crisp exits, controlled offensive entries, responsible puck management, and a methodical cycling attack that drains energy from opponents, forces overly aggressive teams into risky pinches, and gradually takes the air out of transition-oriented clubs like the Islanders. From a strategic standpoint, the game hinges on whether New York can force the Stars into an up-tempo, back-and-forth rhythm where mistakes become more frequent and skating legs matter more than set structure, or whether Dallas can impose a slower, more deliberate pace that traps the Islanders in extended defensive shifts where fatigue leads to missed assignments and late-arriving support. For the Islanders, the path to competitiveness requires winning defensive-zone battles quickly, clearing rebounds decisively, protecting the middle of the ice, and ensuring that every retrieval leads to either a clean breakout or a safe exit that prevents Dallas from settling into long stretches of possession. Offensively, they must attack with urgency, generating early chances in each shift to avoid being stuck in the Stars’ layered defensive coverage; they must also remain poised, disciplined, and precise in puck management, as Dallas thrives on punishing sloppy neutral-zone passes and uncontrolled entries.
Conversely, Dallas must play to its strengths by absorbing initial pressure, collapsing effectively around the slot, forcing New York’s attackers to the perimeter, and using their predictable structure to turn defensive wins into controlled, systematic attacks that wear down the Islanders’ younger roster. Special teams loom significantly over the matchup: the Islanders depend on scoring efficiency when given man-advantage opportunities, while Dallas uses its disciplined penalty kill and smooth power-play rotations to exploit positional gaps and create mismatches. Rebound control, both offensively and defensively, becomes a foundational deciding factor because Dallas loves to generate second-chance scoring sequences off prolonged cycles, whereas New York’s attack often relies on quick-strike rebounds and redirections that come from rapid puck movement and unpredictable attacking angles. Line depth and bench stamina also feed directly into this matchup, as Dallas leverages stable, well-rounded tertiary units to maintain control even when stars rest, while New York looks to younger legs to spark periodic bursts of energy that can flip momentum quickly. Emotionally, Dallas holds the home-ice advantage and the strategic comfort of playing their preferred style in front of their crowd; meanwhile, the Islanders enter with less pressure, more freedom to dictate chaos, and the knowledge that converting early chances may be essential to preventing Dallas from suffocating the game as it progresses. Ultimately, the outcome will be shaped by whether the Islanders can pressure Dallas into an uncharacteristic tempo and force transitional unpredictability, or whether the Stars can smother New York’s rhythm, elongate possessions, and grind away the speed advantage that the Islanders depend on.
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Playing this on repeat RN. pic.twitter.com/IxZVaOaV4h
— New York Islanders (@NYIslanders) November 15, 2025
New York Islanders NHL Preview
The New York Islanders enter this road matchup against the Dallas Stars needing to lean fully into their speed-driven, transition-focused style while finding the discipline, defensive sharpness, and puck-management consistency required to survive against one of the league’s most structured and possession-oriented home teams. For New York, the blueprint begins with turning defensive-zone rebounds into immediate north–south movement, as their most dangerous scoring sequences emerge from quick breakouts, activated wingers, and cross-ice transition plays that punish opponents who hesitate in the neutral zone. To make that possible, the Isles must win defensive boards cleanly, avoid extended shifts hemmed in their own zone, and maintain tight support so that retrievals do not become giveaways that feed Dallas’s relentless cycle game. Their forecheck must be aggressive but controlled—pressuring Dallas’s defense enough to force hurried exits without overcommitting and leaving the neutral zone vulnerable to counters from a veteran lineup that punishes positional mistakes. Offensively, New York must attack early in possessions, generate quality before Dallas collapses into its layered defensive shell, and rely on quick puck movement rather than hoping to grind out lengthy zone time against a team built to suffocate and neutralize slow-developing plays. The Islanders cannot afford sloppy entries or hopeful dump-ins that allow Dallas to retrieve comfortably and reestablish control; instead, every entry must be purposeful, supported, and designed to create immediate pressure. Defensively, the Islanders must stay compact in front of their net, avoid chasing the puck into the corners, and deny Dallas the second-chance looks that fuel their structured offense; protecting the slot, clearing rebounds, and staying disciplined in their coverage rotations are critical to preventing the Stars from generating momentum that snowballs over shifts.
Their penalty kill must be sharp, aggressive on entries, and quick to collapse on net-front threats, while their power play must be opportunistic, efficient, and capable of producing at least one impactful moment—road underdogs rarely get multiple golden chances in hostile buildings. Emotionally and mentally, the Islanders must remain composed through long stretches where Dallas controls possession; they cannot become rattled if the Stars dictate the early rhythm or if long defensive shifts force them into survival mode. Instead, they must trust that their speed, their transition game, and their ability to strike quickly can flip the momentum with a single clean breakout or a mistake they capitalize on. Depth contributions also matter greatly—New York’s younger supporting cast must bring energy, protect the puck, and avoid being overwhelmed by Dallas’s experienced third and fourth lines. Ultimately, the Islanders’ path to success rests on executing a disciplined, fast, and opportunistic road game: breaking out cleanly, limiting turnovers, pushing pace whenever possible, converting off the rush, staying out of the penalty box, and refusing to allow Dallas to turn the matchup into a slow, grinding, possession-heavy contest where the Stars’ structured style suffocates their strengths.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Stars NHL Preview
The Dallas Stars enter this home matchup against the New York Islanders with a clear mandate to impose their structure, veteran discipline, and possession-heavy identity on a game that the Islanders will desperately try to turn into a speed-driven, transition-oriented contest, making the Stars’ ability to control tempo, manage rebounds, and dictate the rhythm absolutely essential. Dallas thrives when they can execute clean breakouts, establish controlled entries, and settle into extended offensive-zone cycles that grind down opponents, force mismatches, and steadily generate high-danger chances through net-front pressure, intelligent puck rotation, and coordinated support from their blue line. Against an Islanders team that leans heavily on counterattacks and quick-strike offense, the Stars must eliminate the careless neutral-zone turnovers that feed New York’s rush game, instead prioritizing crisp passing, strong puck support, and calm, veteran decision-making that prevents the Isles from turning live pucks into instant transition opportunities. Defensively, Dallas must collapse efficiently around the slot, win net-front positioning, and clear rebounds decisively to deny New York any second-chance chaos; the Islanders’ offensive identity often relies on loose pucks, redirected shots, and unexpected angles, so box-outs, stick control, and disciplined in-zone communication are essential. The Stars’ defensemen must retrieve pucks quickly under forecheck pressure, avoid overhandling in dangerous areas, and maintain tight gap control through the neutral zone to blunt the Islanders’ attempts to build speed.
Special teams play will loom large—Dallas’s power play must lean on its precise puck movement, veteran patience, and shot-layering ability to break through a New York penalty kill that often thrives on disruption, while their penalty kill must remain structured, aggressive on entries, and quick to collapse on the net-front threats that the Islanders use to generate momentum. Depth contributions further strengthen Dallas’s edge, as their bottom-six forwards and third-pair defense play disciplined, reliable hockey that protects leads, maintains territorial control, and prevents opponents from gaining traction during rotation windows. Emotionally, the Stars benefit from home ice and a crowd that energizes their methodical, grinding identity, but they must resist the temptation to chase the Islanders into a run-and-gun style; the goal is not to match tempo but to impose a slower, more deliberate pace that frustrates New York and forces them into mistakes born from impatience. Dallas must rely on their veteran composure in pressure moments, controlling puck battles along the boards, managing shifts intelligently, and wearing down the Islanders with repeated possessions that pull their younger roster out of structure. If the Stars control the pace, dominate the slot, avoid feeding New York’s transition game, and capitalize on special-teams opportunities, they position themselves to dictate the entire flow of the matchup and create a home-ice performance that forces the Islanders to chase the game rather than steer it.
Big milestone, bigger energy 💪
— Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) November 14, 2025
Go inside the glass with Tyler Seguin during his 1000th career NHL game: pic.twitter.com/x5BUiBw2oM
New York vs Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Islanders and Stars play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs Dallas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Islanders and Stars and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Islanders team going up against a possibly unhealthy Stars team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI New York vs Dallas picks, computer picks Islanders vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/5 | BUF@WPG | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NHL | 12/5 | WAS@ANA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
New York Betting Trends
While specific seasonal ATS numbers are not publicly detailed, the Islanders have shown inconsistency on the road and especially against teams that control pace and bench depth.
Dallas Betting Trends
The Stars have performed strongly at home overall, boasting a 6-3-1 home record in their recent stretch, suggesting improved form when playing in front of their crowd.
Islanders vs. Stars Matchup Trends
Although Dallas is favored at home and carries positive momentum, the Islanders have shown the capacity to punch above expectations in earlier match-ups and transitions, offering possible value for bettors backing the road club to cover if they can dictate tempo and limit high-danger chances. Conversely, Dallas’s home advantage and depth invite confidence in their ability to assert control, so the game presents multiple nuanced angles—whether you lean into the favorite’s structure or the underdog’s speed.
New York vs. Dallas Game Info
New York vs Dallas starts on November 18, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: American Airlines Center.
Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: New York +138, Dallas -166
Over/Under: 6.5
New York: (10-7) | Dallas: (12-4)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Heiskanen over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Although Dallas is favored at home and carries positive momentum, the Islanders have shown the capacity to punch above expectations in earlier match-ups and transitions, offering possible value for bettors backing the road club to cover if they can dictate tempo and limit high-danger chances. Conversely, Dallas’s home advantage and depth invite confidence in their ability to assert control, so the game presents multiple nuanced angles—whether you lean into the favorite’s structure or the underdog’s speed.
NYI trend: While specific seasonal ATS numbers are not publicly detailed, the Islanders have shown inconsistency on the road and especially against teams that control pace and bench depth.
DAL trend: The Stars have performed strongly at home overall, boasting a 6-3-1 home record in their recent stretch, suggesting improved form when playing in front of their crowd.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Dallas Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the New York vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| NYI Moneyline | +138 |
|---|---|
| DAL Moneyline | -166 |
| NYI Spread | +1.5 |
| DAL Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
New York vs Dallas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
In Progress
Golden Knights
Devils
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1
0
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+250
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+1.5 (-145)
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O 4 (+100)
U 4 (-130)
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In Progress
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
In Progress
Sabres
Jets
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1
2
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+210
-285
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+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 6.5 (-135)
U 6.5 (+105)
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In Progress
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
In Progress
Sharks
Stars
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0
0
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+220
-300
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 5.5 (+110)
U 5.5 (-145)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
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–
–
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-142
+122
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-1.5 (+173)
+1.5 (-205)
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O 6.5 (-125)
U 6.5 (+105)
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Dec 6, 2025 12:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
New York Rangers
12/6/25 12:40PM
Avalanche
Rangers
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–
–
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-170
+145
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-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-168)
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O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
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Dec 6, 2025 3:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Florida Panthers
12/6/25 3:30PM
Blue Jackets
Panthers
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–
–
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+140
-165
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+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+140)
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O 6.5 (-108)
U 6.5 (-112)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
12/6/25 7PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
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-130
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-1.5 (+190)
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O 6.5 (-112)
U 6.5 (-108)
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|
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
12/6/25 7PM
Predators
Hurricanes
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–
–
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+200
-240
|
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+110)
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O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
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|
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
12/6/25 7PM
Islanders
Lightning
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–
–
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+158
-183
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+1.5 (-147)
-1.5 (+127)
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O 5.5 (-133)
U 5.5 (+112)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators
12/6/25 7PM
Blues
Senators
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–
–
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+130
-150
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+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+175)
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O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
12/6/25 7PM
Devils
Bruins
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–
–
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-120
+100
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-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-250)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Dec 6, 2025 9:00PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
12/6/25 9PM
Blackhawks
Kings
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–
–
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+178
-215
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+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+125)
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O 6 (+100)
U 6 (-120)
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Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Edmonton Oilers
12/6/25 10PM
Jets
Oilers
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–
–
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+170
-200
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+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 6.5 (-108)
U 6.5 (-112)
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Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
12/6/25 10PM
Red Wings
Kraken
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–
–
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-120
+100
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-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-260)
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O 6 (+100)
U 6 (-120)
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Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks
12/6/25 10PM
Wild
Canucks
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–
–
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-137
+117
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-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-220)
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O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+102)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Islanders vs. Dallas Stars on November 18, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |