Devils vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 18)
Updated: 2025-11-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New Jersey Devils travel to face the Tampa Bay Lightning on November 18, 2025 in a matchup pitting New Jersey’s young, high-upside roster and opportunistic tactics against Tampa Bay’s veteran-rich structure, disciplined puck management and home-ice intensity. With the Lightning aiming to leverage experience, physicality and system execution, and the Devils seeking to sharpen their speed, transition bursts and breakout potential, the game will likely be decided by which team controls tempo, board battles and the key special-teams moments.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 18, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Lightning Record: (9-7)
Devils Record: (13-4)
OPENING ODDS
NJD Moneyline: +141
TBL Moneyline: -170
NJD Spread: +1.5
TBL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
NJD
Betting Trends
- The Devils have an ATS puck-line record of roughly 27-47 in recent seasons, indicating they have struggled to cover consistently in many matchups.
TBL
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have performed strongly at home in straight wins (29-8-4 in one recent full season) but their puck-line cover rate at home has been weaker, with records such as 18-16 or worse in recent samples.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Although Tampa Bay enters with home-ice strength and structural advantage, their poor puck-line cover rate at home invites value on the Devils to cover as underdogs. New Jersey’s transition ability and developing depth may not be fully priced in, especially given Tampa Bay’s history of failing to dominate weaker opponents convincingly. The betting market may lean toward Tampa due to name recognition and home status, but the ATS trends and stylistic contrast create an opportunity to back the Devils as a cover play, especially if they exploit speed and transition against Tampa’s heavier, veteran roster.
NJD vs. TBL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Cirelli under 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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New Jersey vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/18/25
The upcoming matchup between the New Jersey Devils and the Tampa Bay Lightning on November 18, 2025 brings together two franchises at very different points in their competitive arcs, creating a compelling contrast between New Jersey’s youth-driven, pace-heavy identity and Tampa Bay’s veteran structure, methodical execution, and home-ice sharpness. The Devils arrive with the type of roster designed to challenge older, heavier teams through quick transitions, aggressive offensive pushes, and the type of speed that forces opponents into reactive hockey, but their inconsistency, puck-management issues, and tendency to surrender momentum through penalties or defensive lapses remain recurring obstacles, especially on the road in difficult environments. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, continues to operate with the poise and composure of a club that has spent the better part of a decade thriving under high expectations, leaning on crisp breakouts, smart puck distribution, and a defensive structure that limits high-danger chances by funneling attackers into predictable lanes. The strategic battle hinges on whether New Jersey can force the pace into the open ice, turn neutral-zone turnovers into odd-man rushes, and prevent Tampa from establishing the layered defensive structure that becomes suffocating when the Lightning control puck possession. For the Devils, the path forward revolves around clean zone exits, aggressive forechecking that disrupts Tampa’s rhythm, and disciplined defensive coverage that avoids giving the Lightning the power-play situations where their veterans excel. Conversely, Tampa must slow the game where needed, avoid feeding New Jersey’s speed with careless turnovers, and lean heavily on their ability to win puck battles along the walls, control the flow of possession, and cycle the puck effectively to wear down a Devils roster that can run hot or cold depending on game state.
Special teams may prove decisive because New Jersey thrives when their penalty kill generates quick clears and transition bursts, while Tampa’s power play remains dangerous when it can establish quick passing patterns and attack from the half-wall. Rebounding and physicality will define territorial control—Tampa needs to win the net-front wars to neutralize the Devils’ speed, while New Jersey must break through that physical layer to create second-chance scoring opportunities that often determine success in tough road games. Goaltending consistency looms large for both sides, particularly for New Jersey, whose aggressive system can expose defensive gaps if not supported by timely saves. For Tampa, structure and discipline must extend through all four lines, as any lapse could invite a momentum swing fueled by New Jersey’s speed. Emotionally, Tampa enters with both the confidence and pressure that come with a veteran group playing at home, while the Devils benefit from the flexibility of being an underdog capable of turning the game’s rhythm with one burst of speed, one turnover, or one stretch shift that destabilizes Tampa’s structure. Ultimately, the matchup will be defined by whether Tampa can impose its veteran order and possession-focused approach or whether New Jersey can generate enough chaos, pace, and transition imbalance to force the Lightning out of their comfort zone.
Get live NHL odds and precise AI NHL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
#NEWS: Jack Hughes is out with a non-hockey, hand injury. He is being evaluated and we will provide an update as available. pic.twitter.com/4bfOT3tDtH
— New Jersey Devils (@NJDevils) November 14, 2025
New Jersey Devils NHL Preview
The New Jersey Devils enter this road matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning needing to fully embrace their identity as a fast, opportunistic, and transition-oriented team while showing the poise, discipline, and defensive sharpness required to survive against one of the NHL’s most structurally sound home teams. For the Devils, everything begins with pace—if they cannot turn defensive rebounds, blocked shots, and neutral-zone turnovers into immediate north-south attacks, they risk getting trapped in Tampa’s deliberate, possession-heavy game where the Lightning’s veterans excel at wearing opponents down through repeated cycles and extended puck control. New Jersey must execute clean zone exits, move the puck quickly through the neutral zone, and rely on their young legs to pressure Tampa’s defense into hurried decisions rather than allowing the Lightning to dictate rhythm. The Devils’ forwards must attack with layered speed while maintaining enough discipline to avoid the careless turnovers that Tampa converts into odd-man rushes and momentum-shifting goals. Defensively, New Jersey must stay compact, protect the slot, and avoid unnecessary penalties that feed Tampa Bay’s lethal power play; their penalty kill will be tested, and success will depend on aggressive pressure on entries, smart stick positioning, and clearing rebounds efficiently to deny second-chance attempts. Rebounding, in fact, becomes one of the most important components of their road strategy: New Jersey must secure defensive rebounds quickly and cleanly to prevent Tampa from settling into long offensive possessions, and they must crash offensively when possible to generate second-chance chaos that can disrupt the Lightning’s otherwise airtight defensive posture.
Their forecheck must be assertive but disciplined—one of the Devils’ recurring issues is overcommitting, which opens lanes for experienced teams like Tampa to counter with precision. Special teams reliability also plays a large role, as New Jersey cannot afford to waste power-play opportunities on the road; their man-advantage must focus on rapid puck movement, inside-lane attacks, and net-front screens to challenge Tampa’s structure. Bench depth becomes essential in a game like this—the Devils’ younger supporting cast must bring consistent energy, contribute responsibly on both ends, and avoid being exploited by Tampa’s veteran depth lines. Emotionally, New Jersey must approach this matchup with controlled urgency: they must lean into their speed and aggressiveness but remain mentally steady when Tampa inevitably generates sustained pressure or capitalizes on small mistakes. The Devils must avoid being rattled by swings in possession or the crowd’s momentum, instead focusing on converting moments of chaos into scoring chances and turning Tampa’s occasional transitional gaps into opportunities. Their path to success hinges on dictating pace, managing the puck intelligently, staying disciplined defensively, winning the rebound and board battles that determine territorial control, and ensuring that Tampa is constantly forced to defend in open ice rather than comfortably settling into set structure. If New Jersey can do this—push tempo, protect the puck, stay out of the penalty box, and generate timely bursts of speed—they give themselves a legitimate chance to disrupt the Lightning’s home-ice rhythm and position themselves for a competitive road performance.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter this home matchup against the New Jersey Devils knowing that their greatest advantage lies in structure, discipline, and veteran execution, all of which must be applied with precision to neutralize the Devils’ speed-driven, transition-heavy style that thrives when opponents get stretched or rushed out of their shape. Tampa’s first priority is dictating the rhythm of the game by controlling puck possession, executing clean breakouts, and using their veteran core to slow the pace when necessary while maintaining full awareness of New Jersey’s threat to strike quickly off turnovers or loose rebounds. In the defensive zone, Tampa must stay compact, maintain layered coverage, and force the Devils into predictable perimeter shots instead of allowing them to attack the slot with speed or cross-ice passing lanes; clearing the crease, winning net-front positioning, and limiting rebound opportunities will be essential to preventing New Jersey’s opportunistic forwards from creating chaos. Tampa’s blue line must retrieve pucks quickly, communicate efficiently, and make calm reads under pressure, ensuring that New Jersey’s aggressive forecheck cannot generate turnovers in high-danger areas. Offensively, the Lightning must rely on their ability to cycle effectively, move the puck with purpose, and generate sustained zone time that wears down New Jersey’s defenders and prevents the Devils from using their speed in transition; long offensive shifts not only tilt the ice but also reduce New Jersey’s margin for creativity.
Special teams play a major role as Tampa’s power play remains one of the team’s most reliable weapons—quick puck movement, net-front presence, and exploiting seams will be critical to punishing any Devils penalties. On the penalty kill, Tampa must stay aggressive on entries, keep sticks active in the passing lanes, and avoid allowing New Jersey’s speed to open shooting lanes or create backdoor looks. Depth contributions give Tampa another edge at home—third and fourth lines must be physical, smart, and responsible, controlling the pace in their minutes and preventing New Jersey from generating bursts of momentum. Emotionally, Tampa must balance veteran calm with home-ice urgency; they must avoid playing down to the Devils’ pace or getting drawn into the kind of transition-heavy, back-and-forth game that benefits New Jersey’s young roster. Instead, the Lightning must stay committed to structure, maintain puck control, manage the game through disciplined shifts, and leverage the energy of the home crowd without becoming frantic or overextended. If Tampa executes their layered defensive approach, controls possession, wins the physical battles along the boards, dominates the crease, and capitalizes on special teams, they put themselves in an ideal position to dictate the matchup and force New Jersey to adapt rather than allowing the Devils to impose their preferred style of speed and transition.
See ya tomorrow, Bolts Nation 😴 pic.twitter.com/3o1C3KjFhW
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) November 16, 2025
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Devils and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Benchmark International Arena in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Devils and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors regularly put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Devils team going up against a possibly strong Lightning team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI New Jersey vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Devils vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
New Jersey Betting Trends
The Devils have an ATS puck-line record of roughly 27-47 in recent seasons, indicating they have struggled to cover consistently in many matchups.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
The Lightning have performed strongly at home in straight wins (29-8-4 in one recent full season) but their puck-line cover rate at home has been weaker, with records such as 18-16 or worse in recent samples.
Devils vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
Although Tampa Bay enters with home-ice strength and structural advantage, their poor puck-line cover rate at home invites value on the Devils to cover as underdogs. New Jersey’s transition ability and developing depth may not be fully priced in, especially given Tampa Bay’s history of failing to dominate weaker opponents convincingly. The betting market may lean toward Tampa due to name recognition and home status, but the ATS trends and stylistic contrast create an opportunity to back the Devils as a cover play, especially if they exploit speed and transition against Tampa’s heavier, veteran roster.
New Jersey vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay starts on November 18, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Benchmark International Arena.
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: New Jersey +141, Tampa Bay -170
Over/Under: 5.5
New Jersey: (13-4) | Tampa Bay: (9-7)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Cirelli under 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Although Tampa Bay enters with home-ice strength and structural advantage, their poor puck-line cover rate at home invites value on the Devils to cover as underdogs. New Jersey’s transition ability and developing depth may not be fully priced in, especially given Tampa Bay’s history of failing to dominate weaker opponents convincingly. The betting market may lean toward Tampa due to name recognition and home status, but the ATS trends and stylistic contrast create an opportunity to back the Devils as a cover play, especially if they exploit speed and transition against Tampa’s heavier, veteran roster.
NJD trend: The Devils have an ATS puck-line record of roughly 27-47 in recent seasons, indicating they have struggled to cover consistently in many matchups.
TBL trend: The Lightning have performed strongly at home in straight wins (29-8-4 in one recent full season) but their puck-line cover rate at home has been weaker, with records such as 18-16 or worse in recent samples.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New Jersey vs. Tampa Bay Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the New Jersey vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| NJD Moneyline | +141 |
|---|---|
| TBL Moneyline | -170 |
| NJD Spread | +1.5 |
| TBL Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 5.5 |
New Jersey vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
|
–
–
|
+115
-143
|
+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+175)
|
O 6.5 (+102)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+100
|
+1.5 (-265)
|
O 6 (-106)
U 6 (-118)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
|
+205
-265
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-105)
|
O 6 (-124)
U 6 (+100)
|
|
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-141
+114
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-225)
|
O 6.5 (-109)
U 6.5 (-114)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on November 18, 2025 at Benchmark International Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |