Golden Knights vs Wild Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 16)
Updated: 2025-11-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Vegas Golden Knights travel to face the Minnesota Wild on November 16, 2025—an intriguing clash between Vegas’ offensive ambitions and Minnesota’s home-ice structure in what could become a defining moment in the early part of their seasons. With both teams showing flashes of quality but also vulnerabilities, this game may hinge less on star power and more on execution, tempo control, and how well each side imposes its identity.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 16, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Wild Record: (8-7)
Golden Knights Record: (8-4)
OPENING ODDS
VGK Moneyline: -126
MIN Moneyline: +105
VGK Spread: -1.5
MIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
VGK
Betting Trends
- The Golden Knights have recorded a modest 3-7 record against the puck line in their last 10 games.
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Wild have posted a 4-6 record against the puck line in their last 10 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Notable angles for this matchup include both teams’ challenges with covering margins—Vegas has struggled to dominate games even when winning, and Minnesota at home similarly has found difficulty covering the puck line consistently. The total-goals market is also compelling: if Vegas successfully pushes pace and opens the game up, the over could become viable; however, if Minnesota sets the tempo early and controls possession, the game could tilt toward a tighter, under-type affair.
VGK vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Dorofeyev over 2.5 Shots on Goal.
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Vegas vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/16/25
The upcoming matchup between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Minnesota Wild on November 16, 2025 arrives at a pivotal moment for both teams, as each enters the contest searching for continuity, clarity, and a more convincing expression of its identity after stretches of inconsistent results that have left unanswered questions about ceiling, structure, and overall trajectory. Vegas comes into this matchup with a disappointing recent puck-line trend, a sign that despite their offensive talent and transition capability, they have struggled to impose control for full sixty-minute efforts or generate the decisive margins expected from a team with their scoring depth and pace. Their challenge in this matchup is not simply to score but to transform their flashes of dominance into sustainable rhythm—something that has eluded them through bouts of defensive lapses, inconsistent puck management, and occasional breakdowns in neutral-zone structure that erase leads or swing momentum. Minnesota, meanwhile, returns home with their own questions, having posted a similarly discouraging puck-line run in their last ten home games, a reminder that while their building offers strong energy and matchup positioning, they have often failed to capitalize fully on those advantages. Their inconsistencies typically arise from difficulty sustaining offense through multi-shift sequences, occasional softness in slot protection, and challenges in generating transition pressure against teams with strong neutral-zone discipline.
The tactical core of this matchup hinges on tempo manipulation: Vegas will attempt to open the ice, push pace off controlled exits, create multi-layered rushes, and pressure Minnesota’s defensive spacing with east-west movement, quick entries, and an assertive forecheck designed to overload retrievals. Minnesota will counter with a more methodical approach, aiming to slow Vegas’ rhythm, control the puck deep in the offensive zone, and grind down the Knights’ defensive structure through cycling, net-front traffic, and smart board play. Whatever team controls the middle of the ice—and whichever side wins the battle between Vegas’ transition engine and Minnesota’s desire for a more contained, managed tempo—will likely tilt the game sharply in its favor. Special teams may provide a decisive hinge, as Vegas tends to flourish when their power play finds pace and interior shooting lanes, while Minnesota’s penalty kill must stay connected and aggressive to prevent extended possession sequences that Vegas converts with accuracy. At the same time, any lack of discipline from the Golden Knights could give Minnesota’s power play enough opportunities to generate momentum and create the kind of low-event, slowed-down environment that advantages the Wild. Goaltending on both sides may become the equalizer, particularly in a game where neither team has recently demonstrated the ability to consistently cover margins; timely saves, rebound control, and poise under multi-chance pressure may be the difference between a narrow win and another frustrating setback. Ultimately, this matchup is defined not by which team flashes brilliance in moments but by which can impose its preferred identity over long stretches, manage momentum responsibly, and avoid the structural lapses that have plagued both clubs. The winner is likely to be the side that asserts its style first, sustains it longest, and adapts most effectively when the game tilts into those inevitable pockets of chaos.
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Let's do this again tomorrow!! 😉 https://t.co/gfO0cFYcfr
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) November 16, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights enter this road matchup against the Minnesota Wild with a pressing need to convert their offensive skill, transition speed, and roster depth into a more consistent and complete road identity, especially after a recent stretch in which they have gone just 3–7 against the puck line—a sign that even when competitive, they have struggled to control margins, sustain pressure, or close out games with authority. For Vegas, the path forward in this matchup begins with discipline and structure, as their most common issues have stemmed from defensive lapses, mismanaged puck movement in the neutral zone, and over-aggressive forechecking sequences that create openings for opponents to counter. Against Minnesota on the road, the Golden Knights must maintain connected layers through the neutral zone to deny the Wild clean entries and prevent them from settling into the grinding, possession-heavy style they prefer at home. Offensively, Vegas must lean into their strengths—quick-strike transition attacks, controlled entries that challenge Minnesota’s defensive gaps, east–west puck movement that tests slot coverage, and consistent net-front pressure that forces the Wild’s defense into uncomfortable pivots and scrambles.
Their depth scoring must play a central role, especially because Minnesota will use last change to target Vegas’ lower lines and defensive pairings; the Golden Knights cannot afford drop-offs in pace or detail when their top unit is off the ice. Special teams may determine major momentum swings, and Vegas must remain disciplined to avoid gifting Minnesota power-play opportunities that feed crowd energy. Their own power play, meanwhile, must be assertive and interior-driven, using quick puck movement to exploit Minnesota’s sometimes inconsistent penalty kill. Goaltending becomes a stabilizing force—Vegas’ netminder must control rebounds, manage traffic, and make key saves during Wild surges to prevent momentum from shifting sharply in the home team’s favor. The Golden Knights must also avoid the lulls that have plagued recent performances, those stretches of play where puck support thins, decision-making slows, or defensive-zone exits become shaky; such lapses on the road can turn close periods into uphill battles. The opening ten minutes of each period will be critical—Vegas must establish pace early, generate controlled entries, and prevent Minnesota from dictating rhythm through extended offensive-zone time. If the Golden Knights maintain structure, lean into transition, and capitalize on quick offensive windows, they can quiet the arena and tilt the matchup toward their style of play. But if they fall into reactive shifts, lose board battles, or allow Minnesota to establish the slower, controlled tempo they seek, Vegas risks being dragged into a low-event game that minimizes their offensive advantage. Ultimately, their success hinges on pairing their high-end talent with road-specific discipline, focus, and composure—turning potential into sustained execution rather than short-lived flashes.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Wild NHL Preview
The Minnesota Wild enter this home matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights with the advantage of their building, their matchup control through last change, and a style of play tailored to disrupt the up-tempo, transition-driven attack that Vegas relies on, yet they also carry the weight of a 4–6 puck-line mark in their last ten home games—a reflection of inconsistencies in execution, defensive spacing, and game management that must be corrected if they intend to reestablish home-ice dominance. To succeed in this matchup, Minnesota must commit fully to the structured, grinding, possession-oriented style that has historically given the Golden Knights trouble, beginning with disciplined defensive layers in the neutral zone that force Vegas into dump-ins rather than controlled entries, and continuing with strong puck-retrieval support that prevents the Golden Knights from sustaining forecheck pressure. In the offensive zone, the Wild must lean into their strengths: heavy board play, net-front traffic, layered cycling, and sustained shifts that tax Vegas’ defenders and wear down their structure over time. The Wild do not benefit from trading rushes with Vegas; instead, their best path is to slow the pace, control territorial play, and turn the matchup into a series of long, grinding sequences where their physicality and structure can erode Vegas’ rhythm.
Defensively, Minnesota must tighten the areas that have cost them margins—slot protection must be sharper, rotations must be quicker on broken plays, and rebound control must be prioritized to deny Vegas second-chance looks that their skilled forwards can quickly convert. Special teams become critical in a game where momentum can turn sharply; Minnesota must remain disciplined to avoid unnecessary penalties that hand Vegas power-play opportunities, and their own man-advantage must operate with conviction, using interior puck movement and sustained presence around the crease to crack a Vegas penalty kill that can be aggressive but sometimes overcommits. Goaltending will be a central pillar for the Wild—their netminder must manage traffic, provide timely saves when Vegas creates east–west movement, and help stabilize defensive sequences before they turn chaotic. Depth contributions will also matter, as Minnesota must rely on all four lines to match Vegas’ pace, contain their top-end talent, and prevent the Golden Knights’ secondary scoring from exploiting mismatches. Early in the game, Minnesota must establish its tempo: winning board battles, controlling exits, suppressing Vegas’ transition attempts, and generating zone time that rallies the crowd and pushes the Knights into uncomfortable defensive patterns. If Minnesota starts slowly or allows Vegas to dictate pace through quick entries and counterattacks, the Wild may find themselves chasing a style of game that neutralizes their strengths. Ultimately, Minnesota’s path to success lies in imposing structure, controlling rhythm, maintaining discipline, and using home-ice to turn the contest into a battle of attrition rather than a track meet—a formula that, when executed cleanly, gives them the tools to outlast a Vegas team that has not consistently proven it can dictate full sixty-minute road performances.
let's do it again tomorrow pic.twitter.com/xehX3kULUP
— Minnesota Wild (@mnwild) November 16, 2025
Vegas vs Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Golden Knights and Wild play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Grand Casino Arena in Nov can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Vegas vs Minnesota Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Golden Knights and Wild and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Golden Knights team going up against a possibly strong Wild team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Vegas vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Golden Knights vs Wild, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Vegas Betting Trends
The Golden Knights have recorded a modest 3-7 record against the puck line in their last 10 games.
Minnesota Betting Trends
The Wild have posted a 4-6 record against the puck line in their last 10 home games.
Golden Knights vs. Wild Matchup Trends
Notable angles for this matchup include both teams’ challenges with covering margins—Vegas has struggled to dominate games even when winning, and Minnesota at home similarly has found difficulty covering the puck line consistently. The total-goals market is also compelling: if Vegas successfully pushes pace and opens the game up, the over could become viable; however, if Minnesota sets the tempo early and controls possession, the game could tilt toward a tighter, under-type affair.
Vegas vs. Minnesota Game Info
Vegas vs Minnesota starts on November 16, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Venue: Grand Casino Arena.
Spread: Minnesota +1.5
Moneyline: Vegas -126, Minnesota +105
Over/Under: 6.5
Vegas: (8-4) | Minnesota: (8-7)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Dorofeyev over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Notable angles for this matchup include both teams’ challenges with covering margins—Vegas has struggled to dominate games even when winning, and Minnesota at home similarly has found difficulty covering the puck line consistently. The total-goals market is also compelling: if Vegas successfully pushes pace and opens the game up, the over could become viable; however, if Minnesota sets the tempo early and controls possession, the game could tilt toward a tighter, under-type affair.
VGK trend: The Golden Knights have recorded a modest 3-7 record against the puck line in their last 10 games.
MIN trend: The Wild have posted a 4-6 record against the puck line in their last 10 home games.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Vegas vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Vegas vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| VGK Moneyline | -126 |
|---|---|
| MIN Moneyline | +105 |
| VGK Spread | -1.5 |
| MIN Spread | +1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
Vegas vs Minnesota Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
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–
–
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+107
-121
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+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+189)
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O 6.5 (-104)
U 6.5 (-112)
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Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
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–
–
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+116
|
+1.5 (-230)
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O 6 (+104)
U 6 (-120)
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Stars
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–
–
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+235
-273
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 6 (-113)
U 6 (-103)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
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Anaheim Ducks
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Capitals
Ducks
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–
–
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-140
+123
|
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-197)
|
O 6.5 (-116)
U 6.5 (+100)
|
|
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Dec 6, 2025 12:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
New York Rangers
12/6/25 12:40PM
Avalanche
Rangers
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–
–
|
-167
+147
|
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-180)
|
O 6 (-106)
U 6 (-110)
|
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Dec 6, 2025 3:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Florida Panthers
12/6/25 3:30PM
Blue Jackets
Panthers
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–
–
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+143
-163
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
|
O 6.5 (-106)
U 6.5 (-110)
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|
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
12/6/25 7PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
|
-140
|
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 6.5 (-106)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
12/6/25 7PM
Predators
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+208
-240
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-104)
|
O 6 (-106)
U 6 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
12/6/25 7PM
Islanders
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+133
-167
|
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 6.5 (+104)
U 6.5 (-128)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators
12/6/25 7PM
Blues
Senators
|
–
–
|
+132
-150
|
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+154)
|
O 5.5 (-118)
U 5.5 (+102)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
12/6/25 7PM
Devils
Bruins
|
–
–
|
-141
+114
|
-1.5 (+198)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 5.5 (-112)
U 5.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 9:00PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
12/6/25 9PM
Blackhawks
Kings
|
–
–
|
+180
-206
|
+1.5 (-142)
-1.5 (+116)
|
O 6 (+104)
U 6 (-120)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Edmonton Oilers
12/6/25 10PM
Jets
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+148
-186
|
+1.5 (-142)
-1.5 (+116)
|
O 6.5 (-104)
U 6.5 (-118)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
12/6/25 10PM
Red Wings
Kraken
|
–
–
|
-115
+101
|
-1.5 (+198)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 6 (-101)
U 6 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks
12/6/25 10PM
Wild
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-148
+120
|
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 6.5 (+114)
U 6.5 (-140)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild on November 16, 2025 at Grand Casino Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |