Islanders vs Avalanche Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 16)
Updated: 2025-11-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Islanders head into Denver on November 16, 2025 to face the Colorado Avalanche in a matchup that pairs New York’s resilient road mindset with Colorado’s elite home-ice form and offensive firepower. With the Avalanche sitting undefeated at home this season and the Islanders looking to continue their upward momentum, the game is poised to be a clash of identity, pace and strategic execution.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 16, 2025
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena
Avalanche Record: (12-1)
Islanders Record: (10-6)
OPENING ODDS
NYI Moneyline: +213
COL Moneyline: -264
NYI Spread: +1.5
COL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
NYI
Betting Trends
- The Islanders’ recent record against the puck-line shows competitive play but limited dominance—specific puck-line data for New York this season is less publicised, but historical matchups note slow ATS trends when facing elite teams on the road.
COL
Betting Trends
- Colorado’s home puck-line trends are modest; this season the Avalanche are recorded as 2-4 against the puck-line at home, reflecting that while they win games strongly, covering large margins remains inconsistent.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Key angles include Colorado’s dominant home record (4-0-2) indicating they win often and by margin, yet the modest puck-line show suggests value for the visitor in spread situations. Historical head-to-head shows the “over” has hit frequently in this pairing—last year the total went over in 13 of the last 15 meetings.
NYI vs. COL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Palmieri over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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New York vs Colorado Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/16/25
The upcoming matchup between the New York Islanders and the Colorado Avalanche on November 16, 2025 arrives as a fascinating clash of identities, momentum profiles, and stylistic contrasts, with Colorado entering as one of the league’s most formidable home teams and the Islanders arriving with the poise and resilience required to challenge opponents in difficult buildings. Colorado’s strong home record underscores how effectively they leverage altitude, pace, and their ability to swarm in layers, using quick-strike offense, relentless transition pressure, and a home crowd that amplifies every surge to overwhelm visiting teams, yet their modest puck-line performance suggests that while they win often, they do not always control margins decisively, leaving room for opponents to hang close if they manage the early storm. The Islanders, meanwhile, come in with a road identity built on structure, discipline, and counterpunch capability; their game is grounded in limiting high-danger chances, forcing opponents to play through layers, and capitalizing on mistakes rather than attempting to outgun teams in open ice. This creates a compelling tactical duel, as Colorado will attempt to open the game through speed, width, and aggressive forechecking, while New York will look to slow pace, manage risk, and turn defensive stands into transition bursts that test the Avalanche’s commitment to structure. Colorado’s route to success begins with early zone dominance: quick exits fueling speed through the neutral zone, clean entries establishing possession, and heavy slot activity that forces the Islanders’ defense into scramble mode.
Meanwhile, the Islanders must be sharp in their neutral-zone posture, closing gaps early to deny the Avalanche clean paths to the interior and preventing Colorado’s defense from activating freely. Special teams could become the hinge point; Colorado’s power play is most dangerous at home when crowd energy produces long sequences of pressure, and the Islanders’ penalty kill must remain composed, aggressive, and fully connected to avoid momentum swings. Conversely, New York must be opportunistic with their own man-advantage, understanding that their best chance to control tempo may come from capitalizing on limited power-play opportunities rather than attempting to manufacture long 5-on-5 cycles against a team built for pace. Goaltending may ultimately be the deciding factor, as the Avalanche will test New York’s netminder early and often with layered shooting lanes, while the Islanders will rely on their goalie to manage rebounds, freeze pucks at key moments, and quiet the building during Colorado surges. Depth scoring also looms large: Colorado’s bottom six must sustain pace and forecheck energy, while New York’s depth must win enough shifts to alleviate pressure on their top units and prevent the Avalanche from dictating matchups through last change. The opening ten minutes may determine the game’s direction—if Colorado strikes early, establishes pace, and forces New York into chase mode, the Avalanche can tilt the ice with growing confidence; but if the Islanders withstand the initial push, enforce their preferred tempo, and frustrate Colorado with structured defensive layers, they can transform the matchup into a tight, methodical contest that challenges the Avalanche’s patience. Ultimately, the winner will be the team that imposes its identity with the greater consistency, manages momentum with maturity, and avoids the costly sequences that swing games in high-energy buildings like Ball Arena.
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Playing this on repeat RN. pic.twitter.com/IxZVaOaV4h
— New York Islanders (@NYIslanders) November 15, 2025
New York Islanders NHL Preview
The New York Islanders enter this road matchup against the Colorado Avalanche with the mindset of a team that must rely on structure, discipline, and composure to survive and compete in one of the most challenging buildings in the NHL, where Colorado’s pace, altitude advantage, and crowd-driven momentum often overwhelm opponents before they can settle into their preferred rhythm. For the Islanders, the priority begins in the neutral zone: they must apply layered pressure, maintain tight gaps, and deny Colorado the controlled entries that fuel their transition engines and allow their skilled forwards to generate east-west movement that tests defensive coverage. New York’s defensive foundation must be crisp and unified—quick retrievals, efficient breakout decisions, low-risk plays under pressure, and consistent backchecking support—because any hesitation or misread can turn into an Avalanche surge that tilts momentum sharply. Offensively, the Islanders need to lean into opportunism rather than volume; they must convert what Colorado gives them, attacking off turnovers, odd-man situations, or broken sequences and focusing on direct interior routes rather than prolonged cycle attempts that often stall against Colorado’s pace-aware defensive structure. Their special teams become a major factor—the penalty kill must remain organized and aggressive, challenging Colorado’s skilled power-play unit before they can set seams or create layered screens, while their own power play must be decisive, generating traffic and finishing opportunities to counterbalance the Avalanche’s ability to score in bunches.
Goaltending plays an outsized role in any Islanders road performance, and in Denver it becomes even more pivotal; their netminder must manage rebounds, freeze pucks at crucial moments, and provide stabilizing saves during Colorado’s multi-shift pushes to keep the game within reach. Depth scoring will also be essential, as New York cannot rely solely on its top lines to carry the load—every unit needs to contribute responsible minutes, maintain structure, and prevent Colorado from exploiting mismatches through last change. The Islanders’ bottom six must forecheck with precision, avoid turnovers near the offensive blue line, and extend offensive-zone sequences long enough to relieve pressure while creating secondary scoring chances. The opening ten minutes of each period will dictate much of the Islanders’ fate; they must withstand the early Avalanche surge, quiet the building, and avoid falling into a reactive posture that allows Colorado to dictate every layer of play. If the Islanders can impose their defensive structure, win small-area battles, and turn defensive resilience into timely transition chances, they carry a blueprint for success even in a difficult venue. But if they start slowly, allow Colorado clean exits and entries, or surrender the slot in moments of fatigue, the Avalanche can quickly turn the game into a track meet that New York does not want to chase. Ultimately, the Islanders’ road success will depend on their ability to stay patient, capitalize on limited chances, and maintain commitment to a defensive identity that can withstand Colorado’s pace, depth, and home-ice advantage.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview
The Colorado Avalanche enter this home matchup against the New York Islanders with the confidence of a team that has made Ball Arena one of the league’s most difficult places for opponents to establish rhythm, but they also understand that the Islanders’ defensive discipline and counterattacking maturity demand a performance rooted in sustained detail rather than assumptions about home-ice momentum. Colorado’s success begins with pace: when the Avalanche control the first five minutes with quick exits, layered neutral-zone speed, and clean offensive-zone entries that immediately test the Islanders’ structure, they can tilt the game into a high-tempo environment that New York often prefers to avoid. Their forecheck must be aggressive yet connected—pressuring puck carriers without overcommitting, winning retrieval races, and forcing the Islanders into hurried clears that Colorado’s defense can quickly convert back into offensive possession. Offensively, the Avalanche must generate interior presence early, driving the net, collapsing defensive layers, and creating second-chance looks off rebounds that challenge the Islanders’ goaltender’s ability to manage traffic. Colorado’s defensemen must remain active in the offensive zone, extending plays along the blue line, providing deception with point movement, and helping sustain pressure so the Islanders cannot reset their structure easily.
Defensively, Colorado must prioritize slot protection and quick puck recovery, avoiding the lulls that allow New York’s opportunistic forwards to capitalize on broken plays or transition seams; the Islanders excel at turning defensive stops into immediate counterattacks, and the Avalanche must stay alert in the neutral zone to intercept those attempts. Special teams represent a critical layer of Colorado’s home strength—the power play must operate with its characteristic pace and precision, using cross-ice movement and layered screens to break down the Islanders’ typically composed penalty kill, while the penalty kill must maintain aggression and deny New York the time needed to generate interior passing lanes. The Avalanche’s goaltender becomes a stabilizing force, needing to handle rush attempts, control rebounds against a team that thrives on chaos, and maintain calm when New York seeks to slow the tempo. Depth is equally important, as Colorado relies not only on star talent but also on the pace and forecheck of its lower lines to wear down opponents, extend shifts, and prevent the Islanders from dictating matchups. The opening ten minutes will dictate whether Colorado can impose its home identity—if they strike early, maintain possession, and keep New York pinned in the defensive zone, they can stretch the game into the style that maximizes their firepower. If they instead allow the Islanders to settle, slow the pace, or force Colorado into overextended shifts, the Avalanche may find themselves battling a rhythm that undermines their strengths. Ultimately, Colorado’s path to victory is rooted in relentless pace, disciplined structure, sustained forecheck pressure, and converting home-ice advantages into a controlled, assertive performance that prevents the Islanders from dragging the game into low-event, opportunistic territory.
You’ll never guess who fell for it 😂 pic.twitter.com/Y5U1Ih3LAy
— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) November 15, 2025
New York vs Colorado Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Islanders and Avalanche play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New York vs Colorado Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Islanders and Avalanche and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Islanders team going up against a possibly strong Avalanche team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI New York vs Colorado picks, computer picks Islanders vs Avalanche, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
New York Betting Trends
The Islanders’ recent record against the puck-line shows competitive play but limited dominance—specific puck-line data for New York this season is less publicised, but historical matchups note slow ATS trends when facing elite teams on the road.
Colorado Betting Trends
Colorado’s home puck-line trends are modest; this season the Avalanche are recorded as 2-4 against the puck-line at home, reflecting that while they win games strongly, covering large margins remains inconsistent.
Islanders vs. Avalanche Matchup Trends
Key angles include Colorado’s dominant home record (4-0-2) indicating they win often and by margin, yet the modest puck-line show suggests value for the visitor in spread situations. Historical head-to-head shows the “over” has hit frequently in this pairing—last year the total went over in 13 of the last 15 meetings.
New York vs. Colorado Game Info
New York vs Colorado starts on November 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.
Venue: Ball Arena.
Spread: Colorado -1.5
Moneyline: New York +213, Colorado -264
Over/Under: 6.5
New York: (10-6) | Colorado: (12-1)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Palmieri over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Key angles include Colorado’s dominant home record (4-0-2) indicating they win often and by margin, yet the modest puck-line show suggests value for the visitor in spread situations. Historical head-to-head shows the “over” has hit frequently in this pairing—last year the total went over in 13 of the last 15 meetings.
NYI trend: The Islanders’ recent record against the puck-line shows competitive play but limited dominance—specific puck-line data for New York this season is less publicised, but historical matchups note slow ATS trends when facing elite teams on the road.
COL trend: Colorado’s home puck-line trends are modest; this season the Avalanche are recorded as 2-4 against the puck-line at home, reflecting that while they win games strongly, covering large margins remains inconsistent.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Colorado Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the New York vs Colorado trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| NYI Moneyline | +213 |
|---|---|
| COL Moneyline | -264 |
| NYI Spread | +1.5 |
| COL Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 |
New York vs Colorado Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
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–
–
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+117
-138
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+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+178)
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O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
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Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+112
|
+1.5 (-235)
|
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-117)
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Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
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+220
-270
|
+1.5 (-117)
-1.5 (-103)
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O 6.5 (+102)
U 6.5 (-122)
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Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
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–
–
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-142
+122
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Islanders vs. Colorado Avalanche on November 16, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |