Lightning vs Panthers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 15)
Updated: 2025-11-13T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to face the Florida Panthers on November 15, 2025 in what promises to be a high-stakes Atlantic Division showdown between longtime rivals whose recent playoff meetings have intensified the competition. Both clubs enter this contest with momentum and narrative weight, making this meeting more than just another regular-season game.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 15, 2025
Start Time: 6:00 PM EST
Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Panthers Record: (9-7)
Lightning Record: (8-6)
OPENING ODDS
TBL Moneyline: +114
FLA Moneyline: -136
TBL Spread: +1.5
FLA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
TBL
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have struggled to consistently cover the spread in recent seasons, indicating caution for bettors backing them on the road versus divisional rivals.
FLA
Betting Trends
- The Panthers at home have exhibited a more favorable ATS trend when playing within the division, fueled by their strong finish last season and home-ice comfort.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Key betting angles in this game include the Lightning’s road consistency in goals scored versus the Panthers’ home dominance in physicality and transition chances, along with historical playoff tension between the two teams that often leads to higher scoring and momentum swings — factors which influence both the puck-line and total-goals bets.
TBL vs. FLA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Rodrigues over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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Tampa Bay vs Florida Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/15/25
The upcoming clash between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Florida Panthers on November 15, 2025 brings together two long-time Atlantic Division rivals in a matchup defined by intensity, structural contrasts, and the lingering competitive weight of their recent playoff meetings, making this early-season contest feel far closer to a spring-caliber test than a mid-November fixture, and both teams enter with distinct tactical identities that promise a game shaped by pace control, physicality, special-teams precision, and the ability to convert small momentum swings into extended advantages. The Panthers step onto home ice with the confidence of a group that thrives in its own building—backed by a crowd that feeds their aggressive forecheck, their willingness to pressure puck carriers, and their capacity to turn neutral-zone turnovers into quick-strike scoring chances—and they will aim to assert themselves early through physical board play, layered defensive pressure, and a transition game that can overwhelm visiting teams before they settle. Florida’s structure is built on depth, relentless pace, and the ability to roll four lines that contribute both offensively and defensively without compromising pressure, allowing them to generate waves of momentum that play directly into their home-ice strengths, but this structure will be tested by a Tampa Bay team that remains one of the most composed and battle-hardened groups in the league, even as their roster evolves around their veteran core.
The Lightning approach road games with a measured, disciplined identity that prioritizes controlled breakouts, clean defensive layers, and a willingness to absorb early pressure before counter-attacking with calculated efficiency, and their experience in hostile environments gives them confidence to quiet crowds by limiting high-danger chances, protecting the slot, and relying on veteran poise to defuse Florida’s rush attempts. The key battlegrounds revolve around rebound control, neutral-zone structure, and the ability to sustain possession under pressure: Florida thrives when they can disrupt Tampa Bay’s rhythm through aggressive pinches and heavy forechecking, while the Lightning excel when they can break out cleanly, win puck battles along the walls, and advance with structured, east-west entries that stretch defenders and slow Florida’s tempo. Special teams loom large in this matchup due to the rivalry’s physical energy and penalty tendencies—Florida’s power play thrives at home due to movement and shot volume, while Tampa Bay’s disciplined penalty kill seeks to collapse the interior and force perimeter attempts—and whoever dictates the special-teams battle will likely seize momentum in key stretches. The psychological dimension also matters: Florida’s recent postseason successes against strong opponents have solidified belief in their system, while Tampa Bay’s veteran core carries an ingrained refusal to be rushed or intimidated, giving this matchup the feel of a chess match layered onto a rivalry fistfight. Ultimately the outcome hinges on execution rather than raw skill: if the Panthers impose their pace, generate turnovers and sustain offensive-zone cycles they can tilt control firmly in their direction, but if the Lightning defend with structure, slow the interior, counterpunch off controlled exits and weather early storms, they have the experience and tactical composure to turn this rivalry test into a statement road performance.
Get live NHL odds and precise AI NHL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Pre-plane practice 🏒 pic.twitter.com/uHR9X0iGWc
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) November 14, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter this road matchup against the Florida Panthers with the mindset of a veteran, playoff-tested group that understands the demands of navigating one of the league’s most hostile and emotionally charged environments, and their ability to impose structure amid chaos will determine whether this rivalry game bends toward Tampa Bay’s disciplined template or slips into the fast, physical, momentum-driven style that Florida thrives on inside its home arena. The Lightning’s road identity has long been shaped by patience, layered defensive pressure, and the ability to withstand opening surges without abandoning their tactical foundation, and they will need all of those traits here because the Panthers’ forecheck, crowd energy, and aggressive pace can overwhelm visiting teams who fail to control the neutral zone or manage breakout timing. Tampa Bay’s success will hinge on their capacity to exit their own zone cleanly—using short support passes, staggered lanes, and timing through the middle of the ice to prevent Florida from swarming loose pucks—and once they neutralize that pressure, their transition and cycle game can begin to dictate tempo in ways that silence the crowd and frustrate the Panthers’ attempts to impose rhythm. Offensively the Lightning must rely on their veteran playmakers to manage possession, extend offensive zone time, and generate high-danger chances through east–west puck movement that forces Florida’s defenders to rotate rather than simply pressure straight lines; this is particularly important because the Panthers excel when they can collapse aggressively and force rushed shots or hurried decisions.
Tampa Bay also must avoid penalty trouble in this building, as Florida’s home power play thrives on movement, screens, and rapid puck circulation that punishes undisciplined stick infractions or retaliatory plays—historical flashpoints that often emerge in rivalry games if Tampa Bay’s composure wavers. Defensively the Lightning must focus on protecting the slot and eliminating rebound opportunities, as the Panthers’ layered attack often creates chaos net-front, and if Tampa Bay cannot clear loose pucks or prevent second-chance scoring, the momentum could swing quickly and decisively. Tampa Bay’s depth plays a pivotal role on the road because their ability to roll responsible third and fourth lines can disrupt Florida’s tempo, slow the game, and keep shifts predictable rather than allowing Florida’s depth to generate the rapid-fire chances that typically establish their home dominance. The Lightning’s path to covering or winning involves controlling pace, minimizing turnovers, absorbing early pressure without conceding, and gradually turning the game into a structured, possession-oriented battle in which their experience, timing, and shot creation can create breakout moments. But if they allow Florida to dictate forecheck pressure, attack off turnovers, or build waves of momentum through extended zone time, the game tips rapidly toward the Panthers’ preferred chaos. Ultimately Tampa Bay enters with both the challenge and opportunity of testing their evolving structure against one of the league’s most intense home atmospheres, and their performance will hinge not on matching Florida’s energy but on neutralizing it through poise, patience, and a commitment to the disciplined, tactical hockey that has defined their greatest successes.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Florida Panthers NHL Preview
The Florida Panthers enter this home matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a clear understanding that their success hinges on turning home-ice energy, forechecking pressure, and physical tempo into a sustained structural advantage against a rival that thrives on poise, discipline, and low-mistake hockey, and Florida’s challenge is not simply to out-skate Tampa Bay but to enforce the kind of chaotic, momentum-swinging environment that neutralizes the Lightning’s veteran calm and replaces it with reactive, rushed decision-making. Playing at home allows the Panthers to unlock the full identity of their system—fast, layered, aggressive, and relentless—and they will look to leverage their crowd, matchup control, and zone-start advantages to tilt the ice early, especially by pressuring Tampa Bay’s breakouts, forcing hurried clears, and generating turnovers in the neutral zone that lead directly to high-danger rushes. Florida’s ability to dictate flow begins with an assertive forecheck that demands constant puck support, physical board battles, and rapid transition from retrieval to attack, and when executed cleanly this identity overwhelms visiting teams who struggle to maintain composure in the face of sustained pressure shifts.
Offensively the Panthers rely not only on top-line scoring but also on their depth’s ability to maintain pace, extend offensive-zone cycles, and create second-chance opportunities through net-front traffic and constant shooting volume, and at home this depth becomes even more potent because they can control matchups and ensure their most disruptive lines see the ice against Tampa Bay’s weaker pairings. Defensively Florida must stay disciplined, as their system thrives when they can aggressively close gaps without taking unnecessary penalties—something particularly important in a rivalry game where emotions can run high and power-play swings can determine momentum and scoreboard impact. They must focus on boxing out effectively, collapsing quickly into the slot, eliminating second chances, and forcing Tampa Bay into perimeter cycles that drain time without generating interior danger. The Panthers’ transition game is another essential lever; when they recover pucks with speed and push immediately through the middle of the ice, they force Tampa Bay into retreat mode and prevent the Lightning from setting their preferred defensive layers. The bench must maintain intensity, with third and fourth lines sustaining forecheck pressure and preventing Tampa Bay from regaining rhythm during reserved minutes, and coaching decisions around defensive pair deployment and shift matching will be crucial to neutralizing Tampa Bay’s playmakers. If the Panthers control rebounds, win board battles, pressure with intent, and convert the crowd’s energy into disciplined aggression rather than undirected physicality, they can tilt the entire game script toward their strengths and force the Lightning into uncomfortable territory. But if they allow Tampa Bay to slow the pace, exit cleanly, or neutralize their forecheck, the Panthers risk losing the very advantages that make their home ice so formidable. Ultimately this matchup tests Florida’s ability to blend emotional intensity with structural discipline, and if they strike that balance, they possess all the tools to assert themselves, dictate momentum, and reaffirm their dominance in one of hockey’s most heated rivalries.
🎧 Marchy makes history
— Florida Panthers (@FlaPanthers) November 14, 2025
🎧 Catch up with Roddy
🎧 Breaking down our current 5-2-1 stretch @JamesonCoop and @DougPlagens are back with the latest episode of Territory Talk ⤵️
Tampa Bay vs Florida Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Lightning and Panthers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amerant Bank Arena in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs Florida Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Lightning and Panthers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Lightning team going up against a possibly improved Panthers team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Florida picks, computer picks Lightning vs Panthers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
The Lightning have struggled to consistently cover the spread in recent seasons, indicating caution for bettors backing them on the road versus divisional rivals.
Florida Betting Trends
The Panthers at home have exhibited a more favorable ATS trend when playing within the division, fueled by their strong finish last season and home-ice comfort.
Lightning vs. Panthers Matchup Trends
Key betting angles in this game include the Lightning’s road consistency in goals scored versus the Panthers’ home dominance in physicality and transition chances, along with historical playoff tension between the two teams that often leads to higher scoring and momentum swings — factors which influence both the puck-line and total-goals bets.
Tampa Bay vs. Florida Game Info
Tampa Bay vs Florida starts on November 15, 2025 at 6:00 PM EST.
Venue: Amerant Bank Arena.
Spread: Florida -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +114, Florida -136
Over/Under: 5.5
Tampa Bay: (8-6) | Florida: (9-7)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Rodrigues over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Key betting angles in this game include the Lightning’s road consistency in goals scored versus the Panthers’ home dominance in physicality and transition chances, along with historical playoff tension between the two teams that often leads to higher scoring and momentum swings — factors which influence both the puck-line and total-goals bets.
TBL trend: The Lightning have struggled to consistently cover the spread in recent seasons, indicating caution for bettors backing them on the road versus divisional rivals.
FLA trend: The Panthers at home have exhibited a more favorable ATS trend when playing within the division, fueled by their strong finish last season and home-ice comfort.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Florida Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Florida trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| TBL Moneyline | +114 |
|---|---|
| FLA Moneyline | -136 |
| TBL Spread | +1.5 |
| FLA Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 5.5 |
Tampa Bay vs Florida Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+107
|
+1.5 (-240)
|
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-117)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
|
+230
-280
|
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
|
O 6 (-122)
U 6 (+102)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 6.5 (-120)
U 6.5 (+100)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
New York Rangers
12/6/25 12:40PM
Avalanche
Rangers
|
–
–
|
-180
+143
|
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-175)
|
O 6.5 (+114)
U 6.5 (-135)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 3:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Florida Panthers
12/6/25 3:30PM
Blue Jackets
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+125
-155
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
12/6/25 7PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
|
–
–
|
-150
|
-1.5 (+190)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
12/6/25 7PM
Predators
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+188
-240
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
|
O 5.5 (-142)
U 5.5 (+120)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
12/6/25 7PM
Islanders
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+133
-167
|
+1.5 (-142)
-1.5 (+120)
|
O 5.5 (-135)
U 5.5 (+114)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators
12/6/25 7PM
Blues
Senators
|
–
–
|
+123
-152
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
12/6/25 7PM
Devils
Bruins
|
–
–
|
-141
+114
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 9:00PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
12/6/25 9PM
Blackhawks
Kings
|
–
–
|
+170
-220
|
+1.5 (-148)
-1.5 (+124)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Edmonton Oilers
12/6/25 10PM
Jets
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+148
-186
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
12/6/25 10PM
Red Wings
Kraken
|
–
–
|
-112
-112
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks
12/6/25 10PM
Wild
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-148
+120
|
-1.5 (+190)
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers on November 15, 2025 at Amerant Bank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |