Rangers vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Nov 12)
Updated: 2025-11-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning square off on November 12, 2025, in a marquee Eastern Conference matchup featuring two of the league’s most skilled and experienced rosters. Both teams remain among the top contenders in the East, with the Rangers’ structured defense meeting Tampa Bay’s relentless offensive creativity in what could be a playoff-style battle.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 12, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Lightning Record: (8-5)
Rangers Record: (8-7)
OPENING ODDS
NYR Moneyline: +129
TBL Moneyline: -154
NYR Spread: +1.5
TBL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
NYR
Betting Trends
- The Rangers have covered in six of their last nine road games, driven by strong goaltending from Igor Shesterkin and consistent scoring depth beyond their top line.
TBL
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have covered in five of their last eight home contests, buoyed by their elite power play and Andrei Vasilevskiy’s resurgence between the pipes.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The under has hit in seven of the last ten meetings between these teams, as both clubs typically play tighter, more physical hockey against each other, emphasizing defensive structure and goaltending excellence in close, low-scoring games.
NYR vs. TBL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: W. Cuylle over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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New York vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 11/12/25
The November 12, 2025 matchup between the New York Rangers and the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena has all the makings of a midseason measuring stick between two Eastern Conference powerhouses that know each other well from recent postseason battles. Both teams enter the contest playing strong, fundamentally sound hockey built on star power, disciplined systems, and elite goaltending, setting up a chess match between two of the NHL’s most polished squads. The Rangers have leaned heavily on the leadership of Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider, whose chemistry continues to drive New York’s top six, while Artemi Panarin remains one of the league’s most dynamic offensive catalysts, blending creativity and precision on the power play. Vincent Trocheck’s two-way consistency has given the team a reliable veteran pivot presence, and Alexis Lafrenière’s continued emergence as a scoring threat has added another layer to the offense. Defensively, Adam Fox remains the backbone of New York’s blue line, quarterbacking the power play while anchoring a unit that has allowed among the fewest high-danger chances in the league. He and partner Ryan Lindgren have been the stabilizing force behind the Rangers’ puck-moving attack, while K’Andre Miller’s size and mobility have provided matchup flexibility that allows head coach Peter Laviolette to deploy multiple defensive pairings effectively. Between the pipes, Igor Shesterkin has returned to form after a sluggish start, showcasing the poise and reflexes that have made him one of the premier goaltenders in the world. His matchup with Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Lightning represents arguably the best goaltending duel possible in the modern NHL — two Vezina winners with the ability to completely take over games.
For Tampa Bay, the offensive foundation remains anchored by its veteran core of Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, and Brayden Point, who continue to drive the league’s most dangerous power play. Kucherov’s playmaking and scoring have kept him among the top five in the NHL’s point race, while Point’s ability to exploit seams in defensive coverage makes him lethal at both even strength and on the man advantage. Tampa Bay’s blue line, led by Victor Hedman and Mikhail Sergachev, has balanced offensive activation with improved defensive positioning, and the addition of younger, faster skaters like Darren Raddysh has helped modernize their transition game. Head coach Jon Cooper’s system remains one of the league’s best blends of pace and patience, emphasizing structured breakouts and quick counterattacks. The Lightning will look to leverage their home-ice advantage, where they’ve historically dominated through tempo and crowd-fueled energy. However, the Rangers’ disciplined structure and depth across all four lines make them well-equipped to handle Tampa Bay’s rush-based offense. Special teams are likely to play a major role: both clubs rank among the NHL’s top ten on the power play and penalty kill, turning every infraction into a potential momentum swing. In a matchup where both goaltenders are capable of stealing the game outright, the margin of victory may come down to secondary scoring and execution in the final ten minutes. Expect a tactical, playoff-style battle decided by inches, with every shift featuring elite skill and physical intensity — a game that could easily serve as a preview of an Eastern Conference playoff showdown later in the spring.
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Focused on tomorrow’s challenge. pic.twitter.com/xujWqdhqya
— New York Rangers (@NYRangers) November 11, 2025
New York Rangers NHL Preview
The New York Rangers enter their November 12, 2025 clash with the Tampa Bay Lightning as one of the Eastern Conference’s most complete and balanced teams, riding a blend of veteran leadership, defensive discipline, and elite goaltending that has made them a perennial contender. Under head coach Peter Laviolette, New York has continued to evolve into a team that can adapt to any style of play — capable of grinding out low-scoring defensive duels or exploding offensively when space opens up. The Rangers’ forward core is anchored by Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider, who remain the emotional and tactical leaders of the locker room. Zibanejad’s ability to dominate faceoffs and transition play has kept New York consistently on the front foot, while Kreider’s net-front presence and elite finishing on the power play continue to make him one of the league’s most effective scorers in tight spaces. Artemi Panarin remains the team’s creative heartbeat, capable of generating scoring chances seemingly out of nothing with his puck-handling and vision. His chemistry with Vincent Trocheck has produced one of the league’s more dangerous second lines, and the continued development of Alexis Lafrenière and Kaapo Kakko has added youthful energy and speed to a lineup already brimming with talent. Defensively, the Rangers rely on one of the best blue-line groups in hockey, led by the cerebral and dynamic Adam Fox. Fox’s ability to control tempo from the back end and quarterback the power play is unmatched, while Ryan Lindgren’s rugged defensive play provides the perfect counterbalance. K’Andre Miller’s skating and reach make him a nightmare in transition defense, and Jacob Trouba’s physicality ensures that opponents rarely find comfort in the Rangers’ defensive zone.
This well-structured defense has made life easier for Igor Shesterkin, who has regained his Vezina-caliber form after battling inconsistency early in the year. Shesterkin remains the cornerstone of New York’s success, boasting the reflexes, anticipation, and calm under pressure that allow the Rangers to survive prolonged defensive shifts and steal points on the road. Against Tampa Bay, Shesterkin’s ability to track cross-ice passes and handle traffic in front will be crucial, as the Lightning excel at creating chaos around the crease. On special teams, New York’s power play ranks among the league’s elite, driven by the combination of Panarin’s creativity and Fox’s orchestration from the point, while their penalty kill has been among the stingiest thanks to strong positional play and aggressive clears. The Rangers’ biggest key to success against the Lightning will be maintaining puck control through the neutral zone and limiting turnovers that feed Tampa Bay’s lethal counterattack. Expect Laviolette to roll four lines evenly to keep legs fresh against a fast-paced opponent, using depth players like Will Cuylle and Barclay Goodrow to provide physicality and forecheck pressure. If the Rangers can set the tone early, establish their forecheck, and win the special teams battle, they have the tools to frustrate Tampa Bay in its own building. This matchup will serve as a test of New York’s maturity — balancing patience with aggression — and if Shesterkin delivers the type of performance he’s capable of, the Rangers could leave Florida with a statement road win that reaffirms their place among the league’s elite.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning return to Amalie Arena on November 12, 2025, to face the New York Rangers in what promises to be one of the most competitive and high-intensity matchups of the early season. Under the guidance of head coach Jon Cooper, the Lightning remain one of the NHL’s most consistent and structurally sound teams, balancing veteran experience with dynamic offensive execution. Tampa Bay’s identity continues to revolve around its core trio of Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Steven Stamkos, who together form one of the most dangerous top lines in hockey. Kucherov’s elite playmaking and goal-scoring touch have kept him near the top of the league’s point leaders, while Point’s blazing speed and ability to attack seams make him a constant threat to opposing defenses. Stamkos, now in the latter stages of his storied career, continues to be a weapon on the power play, where his one-timer from the left circle remains among the most feared shots in the NHL. Behind them, secondary scoring has been bolstered by the emergence of Brandon Hagel and Nick Paul, whose relentless forechecking and two-way reliability have given Tampa Bay the depth needed to compete in tight, playoff-style games. Defensively, the Lightning are anchored by Victor Hedman, whose poise, size, and hockey IQ continue to make him the foundation of Tampa’s blue line. His pairing with Mikhail Sergachev provides both offensive punch and physical presence, while the addition of younger blueliners such as Darren Raddysh and Nick Perbix has injected mobility and energy into the defensive corps. Tampa Bay’s ability to transition quickly from defense to offense remains one of its greatest strengths, with Hedman often leading the rush or making crisp breakout passes that catch opposing teams flat-footed. In goal, Andrei Vasilevskiy remains the great equalizer.
The former Vezina and Conn Smythe winner has rebounded from injuries with the same combination of power, athleticism, and technical brilliance that has defined his career. His ability to read shooters, handle high-danger chances, and steal games singlehandedly makes Tampa Bay nearly unbeatable when he’s at his best. Against the Rangers, Vasilevskiy’s play will be crucial in neutralizing New York’s creative offense led by Artemi Panarin and Mika Zibanejad, particularly during special-teams situations. The Lightning’s power play continues to be among the NHL’s elite, orchestrated through Kucherov’s vision and Stamkos’s lethal finishing, while their penalty kill has tightened up thanks to disciplined stick work and quick collapses in the defensive zone. Cooper’s tactical approach will likely focus on controlling the pace of play, using Tampa’s ability to stretch the ice with long outlet passes to counter New York’s structured neutral-zone trap. The Lightning will also aim to wear down the Rangers through relentless puck pressure and physicality from their bottom six, led by veterans Anthony Cirelli and Tanner Jeannot, who bring an edge and energy that thrive in home environments. The crowd at Amalie Arena has long served as an emotional catalyst for Tampa Bay, and the Lightning tend to elevate their performance in these marquee matchups. To secure a win, the Lightning must limit turnovers in the defensive zone, stay disciplined to avoid giving the Rangers’ power play opportunities, and capitalize on second-chance rebounds — something their forwards excel at. If Vasilevskiy controls the crease and the top line finds its rhythm early, Tampa Bay has every reason to believe it can outlast the Rangers in a tight, physical, playoff-style contest that reaffirms the Lightning’s place among the Eastern Conference’s elite contenders.
Penciled in a rink day ✏️ pic.twitter.com/T17XBMzks2
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) November 11, 2025
New York vs Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Rangers and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Benchmark International Arena in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Rangers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on New York’s strength factors between a Rangers team going up against a possibly rested Lightning team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Rangers vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NHL | 12/4 | MIN@CGY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NHL | 12/4 | PIT@TB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NHL | 12/4 | SEA@EDM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| NHL | 12/4 | TOR@CAR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
New York Betting Trends
The Rangers have covered in six of their last nine road games, driven by strong goaltending from Igor Shesterkin and consistent scoring depth beyond their top line.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
The Lightning have covered in five of their last eight home contests, buoyed by their elite power play and Andrei Vasilevskiy’s resurgence between the pipes.
Rangers vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
The under has hit in seven of the last ten meetings between these teams, as both clubs typically play tighter, more physical hockey against each other, emphasizing defensive structure and goaltending excellence in close, low-scoring games.
New York vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
New York vs Tampa Bay starts on November 12, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Benchmark International Arena.
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: New York +129, Tampa Bay -154
Over/Under: 5.5
New York: (8-7) | Tampa Bay: (8-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: W. Cuylle over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The under has hit in seven of the last ten meetings between these teams, as both clubs typically play tighter, more physical hockey against each other, emphasizing defensive structure and goaltending excellence in close, low-scoring games.
NYR trend: The Rangers have covered in six of their last nine road games, driven by strong goaltending from Igor Shesterkin and consistent scoring depth beyond their top line.
TBL trend: The Lightning have covered in five of their last eight home contests, buoyed by their elite power play and Andrei Vasilevskiy’s resurgence between the pipes.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Tampa Bay Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| NYR Moneyline | +129 |
|---|---|
| TBL Moneyline | -154 |
| NYR Spread | +1.5 |
| TBL Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 5.5 |
New York vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Buffalo Sabres
Winnipeg Jets
12/5/25 7:10PM
Sabres
Jets
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+185)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
New Jersey Devils
12/5/25 7:10PM
Golden Knights
Devils
|
–
–
|
+105
|
+1.5 (-240)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
12/5/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Stars
|
–
–
|
+220
-275
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Anaheim Ducks
12/5/25 10:10PM
Capitals
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-145
+120
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:40PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
New York Rangers
12/6/25 12:40PM
Avalanche
Rangers
|
–
–
|
-170
+140
|
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
|
O 5.5 (-140)
U 5.5 (+115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 3:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Florida Panthers
12/6/25 3:30PM
Blue Jackets
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
12/6/25 7PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
|
–
–
|
-130
|
-1.5 (+185)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
12/6/25 7PM
Predators
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+190
-240
|
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+105)
|
O 6.5 (+115)
U 6.5 (-140)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Tampa Bay Lightning
12/6/25 7PM
Islanders
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+165
-200
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+120)
|
O 5.5 (-140)
U 5.5 (+115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators
12/6/25 7PM
Blues
Senators
|
–
–
|
+130
-160
|
+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+185)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 7:00PM EST
New Jersey Devils
Boston Bruins
12/6/25 7PM
Devils
Bruins
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-260)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 9:00PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles Kings
12/6/25 9PM
Blackhawks
Kings
|
–
–
|
+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Edmonton Oilers
12/6/25 10PM
Jets
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+136)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
12/6/25 10PM
Red Wings
Kraken
|
–
–
|
-115
-105
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 10:00PM EST
Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks
12/6/25 10PM
Wild
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-1.5 (+190)
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on November 12, 2025 at Benchmark International Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |