Penguins vs Flyers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Oct 28)

Updated: 2025-10-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers on October 28, 2025 in a pivotal early-season matchup of the “Battle of Pennsylvania.” With both teams looking to gain momentum, Pittsburgh carries winning form while Philadelphia looks to capitalize on home opportunity and historic rivalry energy.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 28, 2025

Start Time: 6:00 PM EST​

Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena​

Flyers Record: (4-3)

Penguins Record: (7-2)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +135

PHI Moneyline: -162

PIT Spread: +1.5

PHI Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has started the 2025-26 season strong with a 6-2-1 record, and while specific ATS figures are limited, their solid goals-against (2.50 per game) and decent underlying metrics suggest they’ve been covering in many contests.

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Flyers, with a 3-3-1 record through their first seven games, have shown inconsistency; though home record is 3-1-0, their overall rebuilding status makes them less predictable as favorites or strong covers.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In this rivalry contest, key ATS/betting angles include Pittsburgh’s superior recent form and defense versus Philadelphia’s young, energetic roster and home-ice boost. The all-time series favors Philly in general but Pittsburgh has been stronger lately (Penguins ~25-12-5 vs Flyers in last 10 years). That divergence creates value in the away team underdog or slight favorite depending on line, and the total might lean toward the under if Pittsburgh’s defense holds.

PIT vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Malkin over 0.5 Points.

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Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 10/28/25

The October 28, 2025 matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center renews one of the NHL’s fiercest and longest-standing rivalries—the “Battle of Pennsylvania.” Both teams are in very different phases of their organizational trajectories, but the stakes remain as heated as ever. The Penguins, led by their veteran core of Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Kris Letang, have started the 2025–26 season in strong form at 6–2–1, showcasing balanced offense and defensive composure under head coach Mike Sullivan. With the addition of Erik Karlsson continuing to pay dividends from the blue line, Pittsburgh has been able to transition smoothly and control puck possession, ranking among the league’s top teams in 5-on-5 shot differential. They’re averaging 3.4 goals per game while allowing only 2.5, a product of structured play, elite goaltending from Tristan Jarry, and an efficient power play that hovers near 22%. The Penguins’ success this season has stemmed from their veteran stability—Crosby still anchors one of the NHL’s most effective top lines, while Jake Guentzel’s goal-scoring touch and Bryan Rust’s forechecking tenacity provide secondary spark. Meanwhile, the Flyers enter the matchup at 3–3–1, a record reflecting the team’s inconsistency but also their scrappy competitiveness under head coach John Tortorella. Philadelphia’s young core—highlighted by Owen Tippett, Tyson Foerster, and Morgan Frost—has injected energy and offensive flair into the lineup, though the team continues to face challenges with defensive structure and special teams execution. Carter Hart remains the focal point in net, posting a .912 save percentage through seven starts, and his ability to withstand Pittsburgh’s offensive pressure could be the determining factor in keeping this contest competitive.

The Flyers have shown promise at home, posting a 3–1–0 record thanks to their aggressive forecheck and the emotional boost from their passionate fan base, which often elevates their performance in rivalry games. However, their penalty kill remains a weak point, allowing power-play goals in four of their last five contests, something the Penguins’ veteran unit will look to exploit. Statistically, Pittsburgh’s recent dominance in this rivalry—winning 7 of the last 10 meetings—suggests a mental edge, but games in Philadelphia are rarely predictable. The physicality and emotion that define this matchup often create high-penalty environments, and discipline could decide the outcome. If the Penguins can withstand the early energy surge from the Flyers and play their controlled transition game, they’ll likely dictate tempo and outmatch Philadelphia’s young defense. On the other hand, if the Flyers can clog the neutral zone, pressure the Penguins’ defense on breakouts, and capitalize on turnovers, they could swing momentum with the crowd behind them. From a betting perspective, Pittsburgh enters as a slight favorite (-140 range) with the total set near 6 goals, reflecting the expectation of a moderately high-scoring but structured affair. Given Pittsburgh’s road composure and deeper roster, the Penguins have the edge, but rivalry unpredictability and Tortorella’s ability to inspire disciplined, hard-hitting play could make this closer than the numbers suggest. Expect an intense, physical contest where Pittsburgh’s experience and special teams efficiency face off against Philadelphia’s youthful energy and relentless forecheck—an early-season clash that embodies everything about this storied rivalry.

Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins enter their October 28, 2025 matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center in prime early-season form and with a renewed sense of purpose. Sitting at 6–2–1, the Penguins have shown that even with their aging core, experience and structure still win hockey games. Under head coach Mike Sullivan, Pittsburgh has reestablished its defensive identity without sacrificing the offensive creativity that has long defined the franchise. The Penguins are averaging 3.4 goals per game while allowing just 2.5, a balance that underscores their efficient two-way approach and the resurgence of their veteran stars. Sidney Crosby remains the heartbeat of the team—now in his 20th season, he continues to deliver elite playmaking and leadership, pacing the team with over 10 points through nine games. His chemistry with Jake Guentzel has been a constant weapon, and Bryan Rust’s relentless forecheck has made their line one of the league’s most reliable. Evgeni Malkin, centering the second unit, has rediscovered his offensive spark, combining his trademark power game with poise, while Erik Karlsson’s presence on the back end has transformed Pittsburgh’s breakout play. Karlsson’s puck movement and ability to activate off the rush have given the Penguins a dynamic transition game, complementing Kris Letang’s defensive stability and offensive instincts. Goaltender Tristan Jarry has been outstanding, posting a save percentage above .920 while stealing key games with timely stops. His consistency has restored confidence to the Penguins’ blue line, which features improved depth through players like Ryan Graves and Marcus Pettersson.

The team’s special teams have been crucial in their success, with the power play clicking at roughly 22% and the penalty kill holding firm at around 80%. Against a Flyers team that has struggled with defensive assignments and penalty killing, Pittsburgh’s structured man-advantage could play a decisive role. The Penguins’ game plan will be to silence the Philadelphia crowd early by controlling puck possession, exploiting mismatches on the power play, and forcing turnovers in the neutral zone. Their disciplined approach on the road—where they’ve gone 3–1 so far—has been key to their early success, and this veteran group thrives in emotional, high-stakes environments like this rivalry. The key for Pittsburgh will be composure: the Flyers will look to drag them into a physical, chaotic game, but the Penguins’ experience and puck management should help them avoid unnecessary penalties and counterattack effectively. Statistically, Pittsburgh has dominated the Battle of Pennsylvania over the last few seasons, winning seven of the last ten meetings and outscoring the Flyers 33–20 in that stretch. From a betting standpoint, Pittsburgh holds the edge as a slight favorite thanks to superior goaltending, experience, and special teams execution, but rivalry games often come down to intangibles and grit—areas where Philadelphia always brings energy. If the Penguins stick to their structure, rely on their veteran leadership, and capitalize on their special teams opportunities, they should extend their winning ways and reaffirm their position as a legitimate contender in the Eastern Conference.

The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers on October 28, 2025 in a pivotal early-season matchup of the “Battle of Pennsylvania.” With both teams looking to gain momentum, Pittsburgh carries winning form while Philadelphia looks to capitalize on home opportunity and historic rivalry energy. Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Oct 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Philadelphia Flyers NHL Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers return to Wells Fargo Center on October 28, 2025, ready to defend their home ice and inject new life into one of hockey’s most storied rivalries against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Under head coach John Tortorella, the Flyers have begun the 2025–26 season with a 3–3–1 record, a mark that encapsulates both the promise of their youthful roster and the growing pains of a team still learning to play consistent, disciplined hockey. Philadelphia’s home form has been encouraging—they’ve gone 3–1–0 at Wells Fargo—where energy from the crowd has often sparked their best performances. The Flyers are averaging 2.9 goals per game but allowing 3.4, a statistic that underscores their struggle to balance offensive aggression with defensive stability. Still, their young core continues to develop at a promising pace. Owen Tippett has emerged as the Flyers’ most dynamic scorer, blending speed, strength, and an improving shot to lead the team in goals, while Morgan Frost has begun to find rhythm as a creative playmaker through the middle. New addition Tyson Foerster provides another layer of offensive skill, while veteran leaders like Travis Konecny and Sean Couturier bring experience and two-way reliability that help steady the lineup. Defensively, Philadelphia remains a work in progress. Cam York and Travis Sanheim have taken strides in becoming minute-eating defensemen capable of handling top assignments, but inconsistency in the bottom pairings has left goaltenders Carter Hart and Samuel Ersson exposed to high-danger chances.

Hart, now in his prime, has been a steadying force despite the defensive lapses, posting a .912 save percentage and keeping his team competitive most nights. Against a skilled Penguins squad, Hart’s ability to track pucks through traffic and limit rebound opportunities will be essential, especially against the Crosby-Guentzel line that thrives off net-front chaos. The Flyers’ penalty kill, operating below 75%, remains an area of concern and could be the decisive factor if they cannot stay disciplined—Pittsburgh’s power play, powered by Karlsson and Malkin, has been lethal when given time and space. Offensively, Philadelphia will need to rely on its aggressive forecheck and Tortorella’s trademark grind-it-out system to pressure Pittsburgh’s defense into turnovers. Establishing zone time early and playing a physical game will be key, as the Flyers will look to feed off the home crowd’s intensity to disrupt the Penguins’ structure. Philadelphia’s blueprint for success is clear: outwork their opponent, stay out of the penalty box, and convert on the limited scoring chances they generate. Special teams and defensive awareness will dictate whether they can stay within striking distance of a more experienced Pittsburgh team. From a betting perspective, the Flyers offer underdog value, particularly at home, where they’ve historically performed better in rivalry settings and covered tight spreads despite being outmatched on paper. While the Penguins possess the edge in star power and experience, Philadelphia’s youthful energy, home momentum, and physical brand of hockey make them capable of pulling off the upset if they can force Pittsburgh into a battle of will rather than skill. Expect a fiery, emotional contest where the Flyers’ effort level—not necessarily their talent—will determine if they can hold their ground and remind their rivals that the road through Pennsylvania is never easy.

Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Penguins and Flyers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Malkin over 0.5 Points.

Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Penguins and Flyers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending emphasis human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Penguins team going up against a possibly improved Flyers team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Penguins vs Flyers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Penguins Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has started the 2025-26 season strong with a 6-2-1 record, and while specific ATS figures are limited, their solid goals-against (2.50 per game) and decent underlying metrics suggest they’ve been covering in many contests.

Flyers Betting Trends

The Flyers, with a 3-3-1 record through their first seven games, have shown inconsistency; though home record is 3-1-0, their overall rebuilding status makes them less predictable as favorites or strong covers.

Penguins vs. Flyers Matchup Trends

In this rivalry contest, key ATS/betting angles include Pittsburgh’s superior recent form and defense versus Philadelphia’s young, energetic roster and home-ice boost. The all-time series favors Philly in general but Pittsburgh has been stronger lately (Penguins ~25-12-5 vs Flyers in last 10 years). That divergence creates value in the away team underdog or slight favorite depending on line, and the total might lean toward the under if Pittsburgh’s defense holds.

Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia starts on October 28, 2025 at 6:00 PM EST.

Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +135, Philadelphia -162
Over/Under: 5.5

Pittsburgh: (7-2)  |  Philadelphia: (4-3)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Malkin over 0.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In this rivalry contest, key ATS/betting angles include Pittsburgh’s superior recent form and defense versus Philadelphia’s young, energetic roster and home-ice boost. The all-time series favors Philly in general but Pittsburgh has been stronger lately (Penguins ~25-12-5 vs Flyers in last 10 years). That divergence creates value in the away team underdog or slight favorite depending on line, and the total might lean toward the under if Pittsburgh’s defense holds.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh has started the 2025-26 season strong with a 6-2-1 record, and while specific ATS figures are limited, their solid goals-against (2.50 per game) and decent underlying metrics suggest they’ve been covering in many contests.

PHI trend: The Flyers, with a 3-3-1 record through their first seven games, have shown inconsistency; though home record is 3-1-0, their overall rebuilding status makes them less predictable as favorites or strong covers.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +135
PHI Moneyline: -162
PIT Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
New York Islanders
New Jersey Devils
In Progress
Islanders
Devils
1
1
+105
-135
+1.5 (-335)
-1.5 (+240)
O 5.5 (+125)
U 5.5 (-165)
In Progress
Nashville Predators
New York Rangers
In Progress
Predators
Rangers
1
4
+1400
-4000
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (-110)
O 7.5 (-135)
U 7.5 (+105)
Nov 10, 2025 8:30PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Edmonton Oilers
11/10/25 8:30PM
Blue Jackets
Oilers
+145
-170
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
O 6.5 (-115)
U 6.5 (-105)
Nov 10, 2025 10:00PM EST
Florida Panthers
Las Vegas Golden Knights
11/10/25 10PM
Panthers
Golden Knights
+120
 
+1.5 (-220)
 
O 6 (-105)
U 6 (-115)
Nov 11, 2025 7:10PM EST
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
11/11/25 7:10PM
Maple Leafs
Bruins
-138
+117
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-220)
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
Nov 11, 2025 7:10PM EST
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes
11/11/25 7:10PM
Capitals
Hurricanes
+137
-163
+1.5 (-183)
-1.5 (+158)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-108)
Nov 11, 2025 7:10PM EST
Los Angeles Kings
Montreal Canadiens
11/11/25 7:10PM
Kings
Canadiens
-105
 
+1.5 (-270)
 
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-117)
Nov 11, 2025 7:10PM EST
Dallas Stars
Ottawa Senators
11/11/25 7:10PM
Stars
Senators
-115
-105
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-260)
O 6 (-108)
U 6 (-112)
Nov 11, 2025 8:10PM EST
Calgary Flames
St Louis Blues
11/11/25 8:10PM
Flames
Blues
+127
-147
+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+175)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+102)
Nov 11, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Jose Sharks
Minnesota Wild
11/11/25 8:10PM
Sharks
Wild
+180
-220
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+110)
O 6.5 (-117)
U 6.5 (-103)
Nov 11, 2025 9:40PM EST
Anaheim Ducks
Colorado Avalanche
11/11/25 9:40PM
Ducks
Avalanche
+190
-230
+1.5 (-128)
-1.5 (+107)
O 6.5 (-125)
U 6.5 (+105)
Nov 11, 2025 10:10PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Vancouver Canucks
11/11/25 10:10PM
Jets
Canucks
-128
+107
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-260)
O 6 (+100)
U 6 (-120)
Nov 11, 2025 10:10PM EST
Columbus Blue Jackets
Seattle Kraken
11/11/25 10:10PM
Blue Jackets
Kraken
+100
-120
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+210)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers on October 28, 2025 at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
PIT@TOR OVER 6.5 53.5% 3 WIN
VAN@NSH OVER 5.5 53.9% 3 WIN
NJ@ANA ANA +110 44.8% 1 WIN
DET@ANA DET -100 51.5% 3 LOSS
NYI@CAR UNDER 6.5 54.1% 4 LOSS
WPG@MIN WPG -115 56.4% 4 WIN
NYI@BOS UNDER 6.5 55.0% 3 LOSS
MIN@NYR OVER 5.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
ANA@CHI ANA -125 56.9% 3 LOSS
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS