Penguins vs Rangers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Oct 07)

Updated: 2025-10-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Penguins open their 2025–26 campaign with a road tilt at Madison Square Garden against the New York Rangers on October 7. Early betting lines peg the Rangers as favorites (around –207) with the game’s total set near 5.5 goals.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 07, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Madison Square Garden​

Rangers Record: (0-0)

Penguins Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +171

NYR Moneyline: -207

PIT Spread: +1.5

NYR Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Penguins have had a tough time covering large spreads on the road in recent seasons, especially during their rebuilding stretches.

NYR
Betting Trends

  • The Rangers as home favorites have shown better success covering in matchups where they control pace and leverage last change.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • New York enters this matchup with a lineup intact and key players like Artemi Panarin and J.T. Miller “good to go,” which provides depth and scoring options that could challenge Pittsburgh’s defense early.

PIT vs. NYR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Jarry under 3.5 Goals Allowed.

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Pittsburgh vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 10/7/25

The October 7, 2025 matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden opens the season with two storied franchises looking to chart very different paths. The Rangers, coming off a strong playoff run and bolstered by veteran experience and youthful depth, enter the year with legitimate Stanley Cup aspirations. The Penguins, meanwhile, are in the midst of a transition, balancing the leadership of their aging core with the energy of developing talent as they attempt to reestablish relevance in the Eastern Conference. This early-season test will be as much about identity as results: for New York, it’s about asserting dominance and proving their roster cohesion under new head coach Mike Sullivan, while for Pittsburgh, it’s about proving that despite roster turnover and an organizational reset, the competitive DNA of Sidney Crosby’s Penguins still burns. The Rangers boast a stacked top six featuring Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad, and J.T. Miller, supported by a mobile defense led by Adam Fox and Jacob Trouba. Their biggest advantage lies in goal, where Igor Shesterkin remains among the NHL’s elite netminders, capable of stealing games even when the team struggles defensively. Offensively, New York will look to dictate pace through aggressive forechecking and quick puck transitions, leveraging Panarin’s creativity and Miller’s physical edge to create space for their linemates. The Rangers’ power play, which ranked near the top of the league last season, should again be lethal with Fox quarterbacking from the blue line and Shesterkin’s puck-handling helping to generate clean breakouts. Pittsburgh enters this matchup as an underdog with plenty to prove.

The Penguins’ new head coach, Dan Muse, is emphasizing structure and accountability as the team attempts to cut down on defensive lapses and regain consistency. Crosby, still playing at a remarkably high level, will once again lead the top line, flanked by creative playmakers who can finish around the net, while Evgeni Malkin centers a second line capable of controlling possession if healthy. The Penguins’ defense, anchored by Kris Letang and Ryan Graves, faces the difficult task of containing New York’s speed while initiating clean exits under pressure. Goaltending remains an area of uncertainty for Pittsburgh — Tristan Jarry is expected to start, though his consistency has been questioned, and the newly acquired Arturs Silovs could see time if the team struggles early. Pittsburgh’s offensive success will depend on special teams execution and generating traffic in front of Shesterkin, as clean shots rarely beat him. For the Penguins to stay competitive, they must limit penalties, slow the game’s tempo, and capitalize on counterattacks. For the Rangers, the formula is clear: attack early, sustain pressure, and use their depth to wear down an older Penguins core. Expect New York to dominate possession and outshoot Pittsburgh significantly, though the Penguins’ experience and resilience could keep the game close into the third period. This matchup represents an early measuring stick for both sides — a chance for the Rangers to reaffirm their elite status and for the Penguins to show that while they may be rebuilding, they’re not ready to be counted out just yet.

Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins enter their October 7, 2025, season opener at Madison Square Garden with a mix of nostalgia and uncertainty, as they attempt to navigate the balance between their aging championship core and a wave of new faces brought in to reshape the franchise’s future. Sidney Crosby remains the heart of the team, entering his 21st season still playing at a remarkably high level and serving as both the emotional and tactical anchor of the roster. Alongside Evgeni Malkin and Kris Letang, he continues to represent the last link to Pittsburgh’s golden era, but head coach Dan Muse has made it clear that this season’s focus is about structure, accountability, and the development of the next generation. The Penguins have invested heavily in youth movement this year, giving forwards like Ville Koivunen, Frank Nazar, and Samuel Poulin larger opportunities to prove themselves. The goal is to create a faster, more adaptive team — one that can compete with elite, high-tempo squads like the Rangers even if it lacks the same star depth. The Penguins’ defensive structure remains a work in progress, with Letang and Ryan Graves anchoring a blue line that must improve its puck management and neutral zone coverage. Last season’s Penguins often struggled with turnovers and slow transitions, areas that Muse has spent training camp trying to clean up. Offensively, the Penguins will continue to lean on Crosby’s line for stability while looking to get secondary scoring from Malkin and wingers such as Reilly Smith and Rickard Rakell. Depth scoring will be crucial if they hope to keep pace with a Rangers team that can roll three scoring lines effectively.

On the power play, Pittsburgh still has enough talent to be dangerous, particularly with Letang quarterbacking from the point and Crosby working below the goal line, but execution will need to be crisp to challenge Igor Shesterkin, one of the NHL’s most technically sound goaltenders. In net, Tristan Jarry enters the season with something to prove after a year of inconsistency that saw flashes of brilliance mixed with frustrating lapses. He’ll need to be sharp early, as the Rangers’ offensive pressure and shot volume can overwhelm opponents quickly if they don’t establish defensive structure. The Penguins’ best path to success will be to slow the game down, stay disciplined, and limit high-danger chances. They’ll need to block shots, win battles along the boards, and capitalize on transition plays when opportunities arise. Chicago’s youth movement last season showed flashes of what energy and hunger can do, and Pittsburgh will hope its younger players provide similar spark shifts to change momentum. In many ways, this game is a chance for the Penguins to redefine themselves — to prove they can still frustrate top-tier teams with patience, veteran savvy, and smart hockey. If they can hang around through the first forty minutes and turn it into a low-scoring grind, Crosby’s leadership and late-game poise could give them a chance to steal points on the road, but doing so will require near-perfect execution against one of the league’s deepest and most polished teams.

The Pittsburgh Penguins open their 2025–26 campaign with a road tilt at Madison Square Garden against the New York Rangers on October 7. Early betting lines peg the Rangers as favorites (around –207) with the game’s total set near 5.5 goals. Pittsburgh vs New York AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Oct 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Rangers NHL Preview

The New York Rangers open their 2025–26 season at Madison Square Garden with confidence, depth, and renewed energy under head coach Mike Sullivan, who inherits a roster that is both battle-tested and hungry to reclaim its place among the NHL’s elite. After a disappointing postseason exit last year, the Rangers spent the offseason refining their identity, focusing on defensive structure and lineup balance while keeping their high-end offensive firepower intact. The team’s foundation remains its dynamic core — Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad, and Adam Fox — all of whom are expected to set the tone in this home opener. Panarin’s creativity and Zibanejad’s two-way consistency make them one of the most dangerous duos in the league, while Fox remains the engine on the blue line, capable of dictating play and anchoring both special teams. The addition of J.T. Miller in free agency provides a physical, high-IQ forward who can thrive in the top six and add an element of grit the Rangers lacked in key playoff moments. Meanwhile, young players like Alexis Lafrenière and Kaapo Kakko are expected to take another step forward, giving New York a deep, skilled forward rotation that can attack from multiple angles. Defensively, the Rangers are well-equipped to handle fast, creative opponents like Pittsburgh. Adam Fox leads a mobile, puck-moving blue line complemented by the physical presence of Jacob Trouba and the steady play of K’Andre Miller and Braden Schneider. This balance allows New York to maintain its aggressive forechecking style while remaining defensively sound in transition — a combination that gives them control over both pace and possession.

In goal, Igor Shesterkin remains the X-factor and one of the league’s most dominant goaltenders, capable of shutting down games singlehandedly. His technical precision, rebound control, and poise under pressure have made him a consistent difference-maker, and against a Penguins team that relies heavily on its top line, Shesterkin’s ability to read plays will be crucial. Expect the Rangers to establish tempo early, using their speed and physical play to pressure Pittsburgh’s defense and disrupt zone exits. New York’s power play, which finished among the league’s best last season, should also be a major advantage in this matchup, with Panarin and Fox orchestrating crisp puck movement and Zibanejad providing a lethal one-timer from the circle. The Rangers’ game plan will be to wear down the Penguins with layered forechecking and sustained offensive zone pressure, forcing turnovers and capitalizing on tired legs. With the crowd behind them and a clear coaching philosophy emphasizing disciplined aggression, New York is well-positioned to start strong. If they maintain puck possession, limit neutral-zone mistakes, and continue their trademark shot suppression around the crease, the Rangers should dictate play for most of the game. More importantly, this opener is about setting a tone for the season — a message that the Rangers are reloaded, restructured, and ready to contend. Expect a focused, confident performance from a team with both the star power and the system discipline to turn potential into dominance from the very first drop of the puck.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Penguins and Rangers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Madison Square Garden in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Jarry under 3.5 Goals Allowed.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Penguins and Rangers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the trending factor emotional bettors regularly put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Penguins team going up against a possibly deflated Rangers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs New York picks, computer picks Penguins vs Rangers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NHL 10/21 FLA@BOS GET FREE PICK NOW 7
NHL 10/21 CLB@DAL UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NHL 10/21 SEA@WAS UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Penguins Betting Trends

The Penguins have had a tough time covering large spreads on the road in recent seasons, especially during their rebuilding stretches.

Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers as home favorites have shown better success covering in matchups where they control pace and leverage last change.

Penguins vs. Rangers Matchup Trends

New York enters this matchup with a lineup intact and key players like Artemi Panarin and J.T. Miller “good to go,” which provides depth and scoring options that could challenge Pittsburgh’s defense early.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Game Info

Pittsburgh vs New York starts on October 07, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Venue: Madison Square Garden.

Spread: New York -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +171, New York -207
Over/Under: 5.5

Pittsburgh: (0-0)  |  New York: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Jarry under 3.5 Goals Allowed.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

New York enters this matchup with a lineup intact and key players like Artemi Panarin and J.T. Miller “good to go,” which provides depth and scoring options that could challenge Pittsburgh’s defense early.

PIT trend: The Penguins have had a tough time covering large spreads on the road in recent seasons, especially during their rebuilding stretches.

NYR trend: The Rangers as home favorites have shown better success covering in matchups where they control pace and leverage last change.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs New York Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +171
NYR Moneyline: -207
PIT Spread: +1.5
NYR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Pittsburgh vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Florida Panthers
Boston Bruins
In Progress
Panthers
Bruins
4
3
-10000
+1850
-1.5 (+250)
+1.5 (-350)
O 7.5 (+185)
U 7.5 (-250)
In Progress
Columbus Blue Jackets
Dallas Stars
In Progress
Blue Jackets
Stars
4
1
-330
+240
-3.5 (+170)
+3.5 (-225)
O 6 (+140)
U 6 (-185)
In Progress
Los Angeles Kings
St Louis Blues
In Progress
Kings
Blues
1
1
-110
-120
+1.5 (-1750)
-1.5 (+850)
O 3.5 (+280)
U 3.5 (-410)
In Progress
Anaheim Ducks
Nashville Predators
In Progress
Ducks
Predators
4
2
-1800
+800
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-120)
O 7.5 (+140)
U 7.5 (-185)
Oct 22, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
New Jersey Devils
10/22/25 7PM
Wild
Devils
+120
-140
+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+185)
O 6 (+100)
U 6 (-120)
Oct 22, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Detroit Red Wings
Buffalo Sabres
10/22/25 7:30PM
Red Wings
Sabres
-105
-115
+1.5 (-260)
-1.5 (+215)
O 6 (-117)
U 6 (-103)
Oct 22, 2025 8:30PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Calgary Flames
10/22/25 8:30PM
Canadiens
Flames
 
+102
 
+1.5 (-250)
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-117)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Rangers on October 07, 2025 at Madison Square Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS