Oilers vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (May 21)

Updated: 2025-05-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars will face off in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final on Wednesday, May 21, 2025, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. This marks the second consecutive year these two teams meet at this stage, with the Oilers having eliminated the Stars in six games last postseason.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 21, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Stars Record: (50-26)

Oilers Record: (48-29)

OPENING ODDS

EDM Moneyline: +105

DAL Moneyline: -125

EDM Spread: +1.5

DAL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

EDM
Betting Trends

  • The Edmonton Oilers have a 37-45 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Dallas Stars hold a 35-44 ATS record this season, reflecting similar difficulties in surpassing betting expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last regular-season meeting on March 26, 2025, the Stars edged the Oilers 4-3, with Jason Robertson recording a hat trick.

EDM vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McDavid over 2.5 Shots on Goal.

LIVE NHL ODDS

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Edmonton vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/21/25

The 2025 Western Conference Final between the Edmonton Oilers and the Dallas Stars is a compelling clash between two elite teams with unfinished business and a shared history, setting the stage for a rematch of last year’s six-game series in which the Oilers prevailed. Edmonton, spearheaded by the electric duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, brings an explosive, high-octane offense that can overwhelm even the stingiest defenses, as evidenced by their 40% power-play success rate in the playoffs thus far. McDavid’s incredible ability to create scoring chances at top speed and Draisaitl’s deadly one-timer make them a nightmare to defend, especially when given time and space. Supplementing their star power is a deeper offensive unit than in years past, with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Zach Hyman contributing timely goals, and Evan Bouchard quarterbacking the power play from the blue line with confidence and precision. Edmonton has also received solid goaltending from Stuart Skinner, whose calm play and timely saves have helped stabilize a team that has often relied too heavily on outscoring opponents. Yet, they’ll face one of their toughest tests against a Dallas Stars team that combines structure, physicality, and a similarly dangerous offensive arsenal. Dallas, fresh off a convincing series win over the Winnipeg Jets, features Jason Robertson as their primary offensive weapon; his hat trick in their most recent meeting with Edmonton serves as a stark reminder of his ability to dominate games. Roope Hintz and Joe Pavelski provide scoring depth and veteran presence, while the defense, led by the smooth-skating Miro Heiskanen, excels at breaking up transitions and turning defense into quick offense. Jake Oettinger in net has been quietly excellent, boasting a .912 save percentage and showing poise in late-game situations.

Dallas thrives on balance and control, and their system under coach Peter DeBoer is built to wear down opponents through smart puck possession and patient execution. Special teams will be a key battleground in this series, as both teams boast elite power plays and above-average penalty kills, meaning the difference may lie in who can stay out of the box and capitalize on limited chances. Dallas holds home-ice advantage and a strong 34-11-3 record at American Airlines Center, where their crowd energizes the Stars and often helps them jump out to early leads. Edmonton, meanwhile, is no stranger to hostile territory, having won multiple road games during their playoff run already, and they’ll aim to start the series strong and swipe momentum early. Both teams are evenly matched in many ways, but their styles are distinct: the Oilers play fast, high-risk, high-reward hockey driven by their stars, while the Stars are more methodical, defensively disciplined, and opportunistic. The outcome of this series may ultimately hinge on goaltending consistency and which team can better impose their style over a seven-game stretch. With a trip to the Stanley Cup Final on the line, fans can expect physical battles, high-scoring affairs, momentum swings, and superstar performances from two of the league’s most talented and determined clubs.

Edmonton Oilers NHL Preview

The Edmonton Oilers arrive at the 2025 Western Conference Final eager to build on their recent postseason success and return to the Stanley Cup Final for the first time since 2006, armed with a roster that thrives on speed, offensive firepower, and elite-level talent. At the forefront of their attack are Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, two of the most prolific players in the NHL, who have been electric in the playoffs, with McDavid leading all players in assists and Draisaitl producing clutch goals in key moments. Their chemistry on the power play, along with Evan Bouchard’s confidence from the blue line, has helped the Oilers maintain a jaw-dropping 40% efficiency with the man advantage, a number that puts enormous pressure on opposing penalty kills. Supplementing the core duo are valuable contributors like Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, both of whom bring a relentless work ethic and secondary scoring that has become essential as teams key in on the top line. Edmonton’s transition game is one of the league’s best, turning quick zone exits into odd-man rushes that few defenses can keep up with. Defensively, the team has grown in structure and discipline, with Mattias Ekholm providing a steady veteran presence and Darnell Nurse logging heavy minutes in all situations. Goaltender Stuart Skinner has stepped up with a composed playoff performance, silencing critics with several big-game outings and maintaining a calm presence in net that has stabilized Edmonton’s back end. While their 37-45 ATS record highlights some inconsistencies against betting expectations, particularly on the road, the Oilers have proven capable of elevating their game in high-pressure environments, already winning two road series in these playoffs.

Their ability to stay out of the penalty box and avoid giving up unnecessary man-advantage chances will be critical, especially against a Stars team that executes efficiently on special teams. Edmonton’s path to victory in this series will rely on their ability to push the pace, dominate on the power play, and withstand Dallas’ structured, physical forecheck. They’ll also look to exploit Jake Oettinger’s occasional lapses in high-traffic situations by creating chaos around the crease and peppering him with quality chances. Another key storyline is their motivation from last year’s Conference Final, where they defeated Dallas in six games, giving the Oilers both a mental edge and a sense of unfinished business as they now strive to reach hockey’s biggest stage. Their top players are in peak form, their special teams are lethal, and their depth has started to contribute more consistently, giving Edmonton all the tools they need to challenge for the Cup. However, their margin for error is slim, and they will need to maintain intensity, discipline, and goaltending sharpness across all four lines if they are to outlast a deep and determined Stars squad over the course of what promises to be a grueling, closely contested series.

The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars will face off in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final on Wednesday, May 21, 2025, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. This marks the second consecutive year these two teams meet at this stage, with the Oilers having eliminated the Stars in six games last postseason. Edmonton vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 21. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars enter the 2025 Western Conference Final poised and prepared, determined to exact revenge on the Edmonton Oilers for last year’s six-game series defeat at this same stage, and they look every bit the part of a mature, complete team built for playoff success. Under the guidance of head coach Peter DeBoer, Dallas has emerged as one of the NHL’s most balanced and structurally disciplined squads, boasting depth, experience, and star power at every position. Their playoff run has been marked by consistency and poise, as they overcame the Winnipeg Jets with strong defensive play, timely scoring, and outstanding goaltending. At the forefront of their attack is Jason Robertson, who continues to establish himself as one of the league’s premier wingers, highlighted by a hat trick in the Stars’ most recent regular season win over the Oilers. Alongside him, Roope Hintz brings elite skating, two-way intelligence, and scoring touch, while veterans Joe Pavelski and Jamie Benn provide leadership, grit, and the ability to rise in key moments. The Stars’ strength lies in their ability to roll four effective lines, each capable of generating offense while maintaining defensive responsibility, making it difficult for opposing coaches to find favorable matchups. On the back end, Miro Heiskanen continues to shine as a top-tier defenseman, capable of shutting down elite forwards while transitioning the puck quickly to fuel the offense.

Esa Lindell and Thomas Harley complement the blue line with smart, positionally sound play that frustrates opponents and limits high-danger opportunities. Between the pipes, Jake Oettinger has been a steady presence, posting a .912 save percentage in the playoffs and coming up with crucial saves when the Stars need him most. His calm demeanor and ability to track the puck through traffic make him a dependable last line of defense against a potent Oilers offense. Special teams will be a critical component of this series, and the Stars have excelled with a power play that punishes undisciplined teams and a penalty kill that consistently disrupts even the best setups. While their 35-44 ATS record reflects some inconsistencies in covering the spread, particularly in high-total games, their 34-11-3 home record this season speaks volumes about their comfort and control at American Airlines Center. The Stars thrive off their home crowd’s energy and often come out strong in the first period, using quick transitions and puck possession to tilt the ice early. Their ability to clog the neutral zone and force turnovers is key against a fast Oilers squad that thrives on pace and space. To succeed in this rematch, Dallas will need to play to its strengths: manage puck possession, limit mistakes in the defensive zone, and capitalize on Edmonton’s occasional lapses in coverage. If they can contain McDavid and Draisaitl by limiting time and space and force the Oilers into extended defensive zone shifts, the Stars will put themselves in position to control the tempo and seize early momentum in the series. With home ice, elite goaltending, and a burning desire to reverse last year’s outcome, the Dallas Stars are fully equipped to battle their way back to the Stanley Cup Final.

Edmonton vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Oilers and Stars play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McDavid over 2.5 Shots on Goal.

Edmonton vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Oilers and Stars and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Oilers team going up against a possibly strong Stars team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Edmonton vs Dallas picks, computer picks Oilers vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Oilers Betting Trends

The Edmonton Oilers have a 37-45 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.

Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars hold a 35-44 ATS record this season, reflecting similar difficulties in surpassing betting expectations.

Oilers vs. Stars Matchup Trends

In their last regular-season meeting on March 26, 2025, the Stars edged the Oilers 4-3, with Jason Robertson recording a hat trick.

Edmonton vs. Dallas Game Info

Edmonton vs Dallas starts on May 21, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Edmonton +105, Dallas -125
Over/Under: 6

Edmonton: (48-29)  |  Dallas: (50-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McDavid over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last regular-season meeting on March 26, 2025, the Stars edged the Oilers 4-3, with Jason Robertson recording a hat trick.

EDM trend: The Edmonton Oilers have a 37-45 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.

DAL trend: The Dallas Stars hold a 35-44 ATS record this season, reflecting similar difficulties in surpassing betting expectations.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Edmonton vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Edmonton vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Edmonton vs Dallas Opening Odds

EDM Moneyline: +105
DAL Moneyline: -125
EDM Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Edmonton vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Anaheim Ducks
Las Vegas Golden Knights
In Progress
Ducks
Golden Knights
4
3
-105
 
-1.5 (+190)
 
O 6.5 (-195)
U 6.5 (+150)
In Progress
Colorado Avalanche
Edmonton Oilers
In Progress
Avalanche
Oilers
8
1
-10000
+3300
-7.5 (-833)
+7.5 (+400)
O 10.5 (+205)
U 10.5 (-333)
In Progress
Florida Panthers
San Jose Sharks
In Progress
Panthers
Sharks
1
2
+3300
-10000
+2.5 (-625)
-2.5 (+375)
O 4.5 (-160)
U 4.5 (+124)
In Progress
Columbus Blue Jackets
Vancouver Canucks
In Progress
Blue Jackets
Canucks
3
4
+2200
-10000
+1.5 (-700)
-1.5 (+425)
O 7.5 (+325)
U 7.5 (-500)
Nov 9, 2025 1:10PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Detroit Red Wings
11/9/25 1:10PM
Blackhawks
Red Wings
+155
-180
+1.5 (-168)
-1.5 (+142)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-108)
Nov 9, 2025 2:10PM EST
Los Angeles Kings
Pittsburgh Penguins
11/9/25 2:10PM
Kings
Penguins
-155
+133
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-195)
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:10PM EST
Seattle Kraken
Dallas Stars
11/9/25 7:10PM
Kraken
Stars
+195
-235
+1.5 (-133)
-1.5 (+112)
O 6 (-117)
U 6 (-103)
Nov 9, 2025 7:10PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto Maple Leafs
11/9/25 7:10PM
Hurricanes
Maple Leafs
-130
+110
-1.5 (+190)
+1.5 (-230)
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 8:10PM EST
Calgary Flames
Minnesota Wild
11/9/25 8:10PM
Flames
Wild
+140
-165
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+153)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-108)
Nov 9, 2025 10:10PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
Vancouver Canucks
11/9/25 10:10PM
Avalanche
Canucks
-170
+145
-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-167)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Nov 9, 2025 10:10PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Anaheim Ducks
11/9/25 10:10PM
Jets
Ducks
-135
+115
-1.5 (+173)
+1.5 (-205)
O 5.5 (-135)
U 5.5 (+115)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars on May 21, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
PIT@TOR OVER 6.5 53.5% 3 WIN
VAN@NSH OVER 5.5 53.9% 3 WIN
NJ@ANA ANA +110 44.8% 1 WIN
DET@ANA DET -100 51.5% 3 LOSS
NYI@CAR UNDER 6.5 54.1% 4 LOSS
WPG@MIN WPG -115 56.4% 4 WIN
NYI@BOS UNDER 6.5 55.0% 3 LOSS
MIN@NYR OVER 5.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
ANA@CHI ANA -125 56.9% 3 LOSS
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS