Oilers vs. Stars
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 21 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars will face off in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final on Wednesday, May 21, 2025, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. This marks the second consecutive year these two teams meet at this stage, with the Oilers having eliminated the Stars in six games last postseason.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 21, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Stars Record: (50-26)
Oilers Record: (48-29)
OPENING ODDS
EDM Moneyline: +105
DAL Moneyline: -125
EDM Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
EDM
Betting Trends
- The Edmonton Oilers have a 37-45 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Dallas Stars hold a 35-44 ATS record this season, reflecting similar difficulties in surpassing betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last regular-season meeting on March 26, 2025, the Stars edged the Oilers 4-3, with Jason Robertson recording a hat trick.
EDM vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McDavid over 2.5 Shots on Goal.
LIVE NHL ODDS
NHL ODDS COMPARISON
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Edmonton vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/21/25
Dallas thrives on balance and control, and their system under coach Peter DeBoer is built to wear down opponents through smart puck possession and patient execution. Special teams will be a key battleground in this series, as both teams boast elite power plays and above-average penalty kills, meaning the difference may lie in who can stay out of the box and capitalize on limited chances. Dallas holds home-ice advantage and a strong 34-11-3 record at American Airlines Center, where their crowd energizes the Stars and often helps them jump out to early leads. Edmonton, meanwhile, is no stranger to hostile territory, having won multiple road games during their playoff run already, and they’ll aim to start the series strong and swipe momentum early. Both teams are evenly matched in many ways, but their styles are distinct: the Oilers play fast, high-risk, high-reward hockey driven by their stars, while the Stars are more methodical, defensively disciplined, and opportunistic. The outcome of this series may ultimately hinge on goaltending consistency and which team can better impose their style over a seven-game stretch. With a trip to the Stanley Cup Final on the line, fans can expect physical battles, high-scoring affairs, momentum swings, and superstar performances from two of the league’s most talented and determined clubs.
All smiles from skate 😀 #LetsGoOilers pic.twitter.com/ZjPBSUpjZ6
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) May 19, 2025
Edmonton Oilers NHL Preview
The Edmonton Oilers arrive at the 2025 Western Conference Final eager to build on their recent postseason success and return to the Stanley Cup Final for the first time since 2006, armed with a roster that thrives on speed, offensive firepower, and elite-level talent. At the forefront of their attack are Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, two of the most prolific players in the NHL, who have been electric in the playoffs, with McDavid leading all players in assists and Draisaitl producing clutch goals in key moments. Their chemistry on the power play, along with Evan Bouchard’s confidence from the blue line, has helped the Oilers maintain a jaw-dropping 40% efficiency with the man advantage, a number that puts enormous pressure on opposing penalty kills. Supplementing the core duo are valuable contributors like Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, both of whom bring a relentless work ethic and secondary scoring that has become essential as teams key in on the top line. Edmonton’s transition game is one of the league’s best, turning quick zone exits into odd-man rushes that few defenses can keep up with. Defensively, the team has grown in structure and discipline, with Mattias Ekholm providing a steady veteran presence and Darnell Nurse logging heavy minutes in all situations. Goaltender Stuart Skinner has stepped up with a composed playoff performance, silencing critics with several big-game outings and maintaining a calm presence in net that has stabilized Edmonton’s back end. While their 37-45 ATS record highlights some inconsistencies against betting expectations, particularly on the road, the Oilers have proven capable of elevating their game in high-pressure environments, already winning two road series in these playoffs.
Their ability to stay out of the penalty box and avoid giving up unnecessary man-advantage chances will be critical, especially against a Stars team that executes efficiently on special teams. Edmonton’s path to victory in this series will rely on their ability to push the pace, dominate on the power play, and withstand Dallas’ structured, physical forecheck. They’ll also look to exploit Jake Oettinger’s occasional lapses in high-traffic situations by creating chaos around the crease and peppering him with quality chances. Another key storyline is their motivation from last year’s Conference Final, where they defeated Dallas in six games, giving the Oilers both a mental edge and a sense of unfinished business as they now strive to reach hockey’s biggest stage. Their top players are in peak form, their special teams are lethal, and their depth has started to contribute more consistently, giving Edmonton all the tools they need to challenge for the Cup. However, their margin for error is slim, and they will need to maintain intensity, discipline, and goaltending sharpness across all four lines if they are to outlast a deep and determined Stars squad over the course of what promises to be a grueling, closely contested series.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Stars NHL Preview
The Dallas Stars enter the 2025 Western Conference Final poised and prepared, determined to exact revenge on the Edmonton Oilers for last year’s six-game series defeat at this same stage, and they look every bit the part of a mature, complete team built for playoff success. Under the guidance of head coach Peter DeBoer, Dallas has emerged as one of the NHL’s most balanced and structurally disciplined squads, boasting depth, experience, and star power at every position. Their playoff run has been marked by consistency and poise, as they overcame the Winnipeg Jets with strong defensive play, timely scoring, and outstanding goaltending. At the forefront of their attack is Jason Robertson, who continues to establish himself as one of the league’s premier wingers, highlighted by a hat trick in the Stars’ most recent regular season win over the Oilers. Alongside him, Roope Hintz brings elite skating, two-way intelligence, and scoring touch, while veterans Joe Pavelski and Jamie Benn provide leadership, grit, and the ability to rise in key moments. The Stars’ strength lies in their ability to roll four effective lines, each capable of generating offense while maintaining defensive responsibility, making it difficult for opposing coaches to find favorable matchups. On the back end, Miro Heiskanen continues to shine as a top-tier defenseman, capable of shutting down elite forwards while transitioning the puck quickly to fuel the offense.
Esa Lindell and Thomas Harley complement the blue line with smart, positionally sound play that frustrates opponents and limits high-danger opportunities. Between the pipes, Jake Oettinger has been a steady presence, posting a .912 save percentage in the playoffs and coming up with crucial saves when the Stars need him most. His calm demeanor and ability to track the puck through traffic make him a dependable last line of defense against a potent Oilers offense. Special teams will be a critical component of this series, and the Stars have excelled with a power play that punishes undisciplined teams and a penalty kill that consistently disrupts even the best setups. While their 35-44 ATS record reflects some inconsistencies in covering the spread, particularly in high-total games, their 34-11-3 home record this season speaks volumes about their comfort and control at American Airlines Center. The Stars thrive off their home crowd’s energy and often come out strong in the first period, using quick transitions and puck possession to tilt the ice early. Their ability to clog the neutral zone and force turnovers is key against a fast Oilers squad that thrives on pace and space. To succeed in this rematch, Dallas will need to play to its strengths: manage puck possession, limit mistakes in the defensive zone, and capitalize on Edmonton’s occasional lapses in coverage. If they can contain McDavid and Draisaitl by limiting time and space and force the Oilers into extended defensive zone shifts, the Stars will put themselves in position to control the tempo and seize early momentum in the series. With home ice, elite goaltending, and a burning desire to reverse last year’s outcome, the Dallas Stars are fully equipped to battle their way back to the Stanley Cup Final.
The kid just keeps delivering ✅
— X - Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) May 19, 2025
Thomas Harley's heroics and a blossoming NHL career.
📰⤵@MikeHeika | #TexasHockey
Edmonton vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Edmonton vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Oilers and Stars and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Dallas’s strength factors between a Oilers team going up against a possibly rested Stars team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Edmonton vs Dallas picks, computer picks Oilers vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Oilers Betting Trends
The Edmonton Oilers have a 37-45 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.
Stars Betting Trends
The Dallas Stars hold a 35-44 ATS record this season, reflecting similar difficulties in surpassing betting expectations.
Oilers vs. Stars Matchup Trends
In their last regular-season meeting on March 26, 2025, the Stars edged the Oilers 4-3, with Jason Robertson recording a hat trick.
Edmonton vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Edmonton vs Dallas start on May 21, 2025?
Edmonton vs Dallas starts on May 21, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Where is Edmonton vs Dallas being played?
Venue: American Airlines Center.
What are the opening odds for Edmonton vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Edmonton +105, Dallas -125
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Edmonton vs Dallas?
Edmonton: (48-29) | Dallas: (50-26)
What is the AI best bet for Edmonton vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McDavid over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Edmonton vs Dallas trending bets?
In their last regular-season meeting on March 26, 2025, the Stars edged the Oilers 4-3, with Jason Robertson recording a hat trick.
What are Edmonton trending bets?
EDM trend: The Edmonton Oilers have a 37-45 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Dallas Stars hold a 35-44 ATS record this season, reflecting similar difficulties in surpassing betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Edmonton vs Dallas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Edmonton vs. Dallas Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Edmonton vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Edmonton vs Dallas Opening Odds
EDM Moneyline:
+105 DAL Moneyline: -125
EDM Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Edmonton vs Dallas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
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–
–
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+265
-350
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+1.5 (+105)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
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New York Rangers
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+165
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O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
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Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
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Los Angeles Kings
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Avalanche
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-115
-105
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+1.5 (-285)
-1.5 (+220)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
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Maple Leafs
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–
–
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-170
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-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
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Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
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–
–
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+145
-185
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+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
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–
–
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+165
-210
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+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
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–
–
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+155
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+1.5 (-160)
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O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
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–
–
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+136
-162
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+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
|
–
–
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-130
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-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
|
–
–
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+124
-148
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
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–
–
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-120
+100
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-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
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Islanders
Penguins
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–
–
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-120
+100
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-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
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–
–
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+164
-198
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+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
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O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
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New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
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–
–
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+136
-162
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+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
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Wild
Blues
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–
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-110
-110
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+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars on May 21, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |