Jets vs. Stars
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 17 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 17, 2025, the Dallas Stars host the Winnipeg Jets at the American Airlines Center for Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal series. The Stars lead the series 3-2 and aim to clinch a spot in the Conference Finals, while the Jets fight to force a decisive Game 7.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 17, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Stars Record: (50-26)

Jets Record: (56-22)

OPENING ODDS

WPG Moneyline: +129

DAL Moneyline: -154

WPG Spread: +1.5

DAL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

WPG
Betting Trends

  • The Winnipeg Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 2-3 record in their last five games as a favorite.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Dallas Stars have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the current playoff series, the Stars have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.

WPG vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.75 Time on Ice.

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Winnipeg vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/17/25

The Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets will meet on May 17, 2025, at American Airlines Center for a pivotal Game 6 in their Western Conference Semifinal series, with the Stars leading 3-2 and seeking to close out the Jets in front of their home crowd to punch their ticket to the Conference Final. Dallas has taken control of the series through a combination of balanced scoring, standout goaltending from Jake Oettinger—who boasts a .926 save percentage—and the return of Miro Heiskanen, whose presence on the blue line has stabilized the defense and improved puck movement in transition. The Stars’ special teams have also been a decisive factor, converting four of their eleven power play chances and effectively killing off ten of Winnipeg’s eleven opportunities, giving them a clear edge in tight games. Offensively, Mikael Granlund has stepped into a starring role with 11 postseason points, including a Game 4 hat trick, while Mikko Rantanen has provided consistent pressure and playmaking ability that’s forced Winnipeg to adjust matchups.

The Jets, on the other hand, enter Game 6 facing elimination and needing a turnaround in both execution and urgency; goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who was dominant during the regular season, has allowed three or more goals in multiple games, and the team’s defensive zone coverage has been exposed repeatedly by Dallas’ forecheck and east-west passing. Kyle Connor has underperformed relative to expectations, recording just two points in the series despite leading Winnipeg with 97 points during the regular season, and the team’s failure to generate consistent scoring chances—especially on the power play—has made it difficult to build or maintain leads. If the Jets are to force a Game 7, they’ll need much more from their top six, a resurgent performance from Hellebuyck, and a dramatic improvement in special teams execution, particularly in neutralizing Dallas’ momentum shifts and capitalizing on any chances they get. For Dallas, the formula for closing out the series remains clear: get an early lead, manage puck possession, avoid penalties, and lean on Oettinger to hold off any late surges from a desperate Winnipeg attack. With the home crowd behind them and the Jets on the brink, the Stars are in a prime position to seal the series and continue their postseason run.

Winnipeg Jets NHL Preview

The Winnipeg Jets arrive at Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup against the Dallas Stars with their season on the line, down 3-2 in the series and reeling after two straight losses that have highlighted the cracks in a team that looked poised for a deep playoff run just one week ago. After finishing the regular season with a strong 52-27-3 record and looking like one of the most complete teams in the West, Winnipeg has struggled to carry that momentum into this second-round series, particularly in the areas that had previously defined their success—defensive discipline, elite goaltending, and top-line scoring efficiency. Connor Hellebuyck, their stalwart in net and a perennial Vezina Trophy contender, has uncharacteristically faltered under the Stars’ relentless offensive pressure, allowing three or more goals in multiple outings and failing to come up with game-saving moments when the team has needed him most. While some of the burden certainly falls on defensive breakdowns in front of him, including poor gap control, lost assignments, and weak puck retrieval along the boards, Hellebuyck has not been the game-changer he typically is in the postseason. Compounding the problem has been the team’s lifeless power play, which has managed just one goal in eleven opportunities this series and has often looked out of sync, lacking movement, creativity, and any sustained pressure in the offensive zone. Kyle Connor, the team’s regular-season leader with 97 points, has been nearly invisible through five games, managing just two points and struggling to get quality looks at the net, in large part due to Dallas’ ability to shut down time and space through effective backchecking and layering through the neutral zone.

The Jets’ secondary scoring has been similarly absent, with players like Nikolaj Ehlers, Nino Niederreiter, and Cole Perfetti unable to provide the kind of depth production needed to tilt the momentum, and that has placed an enormous burden on the top line to deliver without support or time to operate freely. Winnipeg’s defensive zone play has also deteriorated as the series has progressed, with turnovers, failed clears, and poor breakouts repeatedly giving Dallas extra possessions and open shooting lanes, making it all the more difficult for Hellebuyck to hold the line. Head coach Rick Bowness faces pressure to spark the team by adjusting his forward lines, inserting more speed into the lineup, and possibly even shaking up the power play units to get some rhythm and unpredictability going. For Winnipeg to push this series to seven games, they must play with urgency and intensity from the opening faceoff, re-establishing a forecheck that forces Dallas’ defensemen into mistakes, while controlling the neutral zone to limit the Stars’ transition opportunities and taking away Jake Oettinger’s sightlines with net-front traffic. Hellebuyck needs to steal this game, plain and simple, and that means holding Dallas to two goals or fewer while giving his teammates the confidence to play their game. If the Jets can rediscover their defensive structure, capitalize on special teams, and get even a modest breakout from Connor or Scheifele, they have the ability to extend this series—but without a full team effort and an emotional response to two straight losses, their promising season could end far earlier than expected.

On May 17, 2025, the Dallas Stars host the Winnipeg Jets at the American Airlines Center for Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal series. The Stars lead the series 3-2 and aim to clinch a spot in the Conference Finals, while the Jets fight to force a decisive Game 7. Winnipeg vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars return to American Airlines Center on May 17, 2025, for Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal series with a 3-2 lead over the Winnipeg Jets and a golden opportunity to eliminate their division rivals and punch their ticket to the Conference Final in front of their home fans, riding a wave of momentum built on strong goaltending, balanced offense, and superior special teams execution that has steadily turned the tide in their favor since falling behind early in the series. Anchored by the steady presence of Jake Oettinger between the pipes, who boasts a .926 save percentage this series and has consistently delivered clutch saves in critical moments, the Stars have established a defensive backbone that has allowed them to stay composed under pressure, control zone exits, and limit second-chance scoring opportunities for Winnipeg’s top offensive threats. The return of Miro Heiskanen has given Dallas a major boost on the blue line, as his elite skating, puck control, and two-way reliability have helped shut down transition chances while also contributing offensively, keeping the Jets off balance and struggling to match Dallas’ defensive mobility. Offensively, the Stars have found contributions throughout their lineup, with veteran Mikael Granlund emerging as the surprise scoring leader with 11 postseason points and a Game 4 hat trick that set the tone for their series comeback, while Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz, and Wyatt Johnston have consistently pressured Winnipeg’s defense with relentless puck pursuit, creative passing, and timely finishing, giving Dallas one of the deepest and most effective top-nine groups remaining in the playoffs.

The Stars’ power play has quietly been one of the most impactful weapons of the series, converting on four of eleven chances while keeping the Jets’ penalty kill chasing the puck with crisp movement and net-front traffic, and on the flip side, their own penalty kill has been equally important, stifling Winnipeg’s power play and keeping the series momentum tilted in Dallas’ favor with aggressive zone clears and disciplined positioning. Coach Pete DeBoer has made sharp tactical adjustments throughout the series, controlling matchups at home and managing ice time to keep his key players fresh while utilizing the energy of the home crowd to sustain pressure, and with the Stars back in their own building where they’ve already taken one win in the series, the coaching staff knows exactly what it takes to close this series out. While Winnipeg will be desperate and physical, Dallas has shown poise and balance in their response, never straying from their structure and winning the small battles in the corners and along the boards, and if they can continue to play disciplined hockey, limit high-danger chances against, and lean on their depth to wear down the Jets’ top players, they’ll be in a strong position to finish the series without needing to travel back to Winnipeg. This Stars team has found its identity through smart, controlled hockey built on all three zones working in sync, and with Oettinger dialed in, Heiskanen commanding the blue line, and the forwards humming across all four lines, Dallas has everything they need to close the door in Game 6 and move one step closer to a shot at the Stanley Cup Final.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Jets and Stars play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in May can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.75 Time on Ice.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Jets and Stars and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending weight emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Jets team going up against a possibly rested Stars team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Winnipeg vs Dallas picks, computer picks Jets vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Jets Betting Trends

The Winnipeg Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 2-3 record in their last five games as a favorite.

Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog.

Jets vs. Stars Matchup Trends

In the current playoff series, the Stars have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Game Info

Winnipeg vs Dallas starts on May 17, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Winnipeg +129, Dallas -154
Over/Under: 5.5

Winnipeg: (56-22)  |  Dallas: (50-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.75 Time on Ice.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the current playoff series, the Stars have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.

WPG trend: The Winnipeg Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 2-3 record in their last five games as a favorite.

DAL trend: The Dallas Stars have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Winnipeg vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Winnipeg vs Dallas Opening Odds

WPG Moneyline: +129
DAL Moneyline: -154
WPG Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Winnipeg vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+265
-350
+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-125)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-115
-105
+1.5 (-285)
-1.5 (+220)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+145
-185
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars on May 17, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN