Jets vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (May 17)
Updated: 2025-05-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On May 17, 2025, the Dallas Stars host the Winnipeg Jets at the American Airlines Center for Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal series. The Stars lead the series 3-2 and aim to clinch a spot in the Conference Finals, while the Jets fight to force a decisive Game 7.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 17, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Stars Record: (50-26)
Jets Record: (56-22)
OPENING ODDS
WPG Moneyline: +129
DAL Moneyline: -154
WPG Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
WPG
Betting Trends
- The Winnipeg Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 2-3 record in their last five games as a favorite.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Dallas Stars have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In the current playoff series, the Stars have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.
WPG vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.75 Time on Ice.
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Winnipeg vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/17/25
The Jets, on the other hand, enter Game 6 facing elimination and needing a turnaround in both execution and urgency; goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who was dominant during the regular season, has allowed three or more goals in multiple games, and the team’s defensive zone coverage has been exposed repeatedly by Dallas’ forecheck and east-west passing. Kyle Connor has underperformed relative to expectations, recording just two points in the series despite leading Winnipeg with 97 points during the regular season, and the team’s failure to generate consistent scoring chances—especially on the power play—has made it difficult to build or maintain leads. If the Jets are to force a Game 7, they’ll need much more from their top six, a resurgent performance from Hellebuyck, and a dramatic improvement in special teams execution, particularly in neutralizing Dallas’ momentum shifts and capitalizing on any chances they get. For Dallas, the formula for closing out the series remains clear: get an early lead, manage puck possession, avoid penalties, and lean on Oettinger to hold off any late surges from a desperate Winnipeg attack. With the home crowd behind them and the Jets on the brink, the Stars are in a prime position to seal the series and continue their postseason run.
Reeled in a massive win 🎣
— Winnipeg Jets (@NHLJets) May 16, 2025
RUNWAY Moment, presented by @Bell_MTS pic.twitter.com/LipwfgnHkW
Winnipeg Jets NHL Preview
The Winnipeg Jets arrive at Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup against the Dallas Stars with their season on the line, down 3-2 in the series and reeling after two straight losses that have highlighted the cracks in a team that looked poised for a deep playoff run just one week ago. After finishing the regular season with a strong 52-27-3 record and looking like one of the most complete teams in the West, Winnipeg has struggled to carry that momentum into this second-round series, particularly in the areas that had previously defined their success—defensive discipline, elite goaltending, and top-line scoring efficiency. Connor Hellebuyck, their stalwart in net and a perennial Vezina Trophy contender, has uncharacteristically faltered under the Stars’ relentless offensive pressure, allowing three or more goals in multiple outings and failing to come up with game-saving moments when the team has needed him most. While some of the burden certainly falls on defensive breakdowns in front of him, including poor gap control, lost assignments, and weak puck retrieval along the boards, Hellebuyck has not been the game-changer he typically is in the postseason. Compounding the problem has been the team’s lifeless power play, which has managed just one goal in eleven opportunities this series and has often looked out of sync, lacking movement, creativity, and any sustained pressure in the offensive zone. Kyle Connor, the team’s regular-season leader with 97 points, has been nearly invisible through five games, managing just two points and struggling to get quality looks at the net, in large part due to Dallas’ ability to shut down time and space through effective backchecking and layering through the neutral zone.
The Jets’ secondary scoring has been similarly absent, with players like Nikolaj Ehlers, Nino Niederreiter, and Cole Perfetti unable to provide the kind of depth production needed to tilt the momentum, and that has placed an enormous burden on the top line to deliver without support or time to operate freely. Winnipeg’s defensive zone play has also deteriorated as the series has progressed, with turnovers, failed clears, and poor breakouts repeatedly giving Dallas extra possessions and open shooting lanes, making it all the more difficult for Hellebuyck to hold the line. Head coach Rick Bowness faces pressure to spark the team by adjusting his forward lines, inserting more speed into the lineup, and possibly even shaking up the power play units to get some rhythm and unpredictability going. For Winnipeg to push this series to seven games, they must play with urgency and intensity from the opening faceoff, re-establishing a forecheck that forces Dallas’ defensemen into mistakes, while controlling the neutral zone to limit the Stars’ transition opportunities and taking away Jake Oettinger’s sightlines with net-front traffic. Hellebuyck needs to steal this game, plain and simple, and that means holding Dallas to two goals or fewer while giving his teammates the confidence to play their game. If the Jets can rediscover their defensive structure, capitalize on special teams, and get even a modest breakout from Connor or Scheifele, they have the ability to extend this series—but without a full team effort and an emotional response to two straight losses, their promising season could end far earlier than expected.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Stars NHL Preview
The Dallas Stars return to American Airlines Center on May 17, 2025, for Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinal series with a 3-2 lead over the Winnipeg Jets and a golden opportunity to eliminate their division rivals and punch their ticket to the Conference Final in front of their home fans, riding a wave of momentum built on strong goaltending, balanced offense, and superior special teams execution that has steadily turned the tide in their favor since falling behind early in the series. Anchored by the steady presence of Jake Oettinger between the pipes, who boasts a .926 save percentage this series and has consistently delivered clutch saves in critical moments, the Stars have established a defensive backbone that has allowed them to stay composed under pressure, control zone exits, and limit second-chance scoring opportunities for Winnipeg’s top offensive threats. The return of Miro Heiskanen has given Dallas a major boost on the blue line, as his elite skating, puck control, and two-way reliability have helped shut down transition chances while also contributing offensively, keeping the Jets off balance and struggling to match Dallas’ defensive mobility. Offensively, the Stars have found contributions throughout their lineup, with veteran Mikael Granlund emerging as the surprise scoring leader with 11 postseason points and a Game 4 hat trick that set the tone for their series comeback, while Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz, and Wyatt Johnston have consistently pressured Winnipeg’s defense with relentless puck pursuit, creative passing, and timely finishing, giving Dallas one of the deepest and most effective top-nine groups remaining in the playoffs.
The Stars’ power play has quietly been one of the most impactful weapons of the series, converting on four of eleven chances while keeping the Jets’ penalty kill chasing the puck with crisp movement and net-front traffic, and on the flip side, their own penalty kill has been equally important, stifling Winnipeg’s power play and keeping the series momentum tilted in Dallas’ favor with aggressive zone clears and disciplined positioning. Coach Pete DeBoer has made sharp tactical adjustments throughout the series, controlling matchups at home and managing ice time to keep his key players fresh while utilizing the energy of the home crowd to sustain pressure, and with the Stars back in their own building where they’ve already taken one win in the series, the coaching staff knows exactly what it takes to close this series out. While Winnipeg will be desperate and physical, Dallas has shown poise and balance in their response, never straying from their structure and winning the small battles in the corners and along the boards, and if they can continue to play disciplined hockey, limit high-danger chances against, and lean on their depth to wear down the Jets’ top players, they’ll be in a strong position to finish the series without needing to travel back to Winnipeg. This Stars team has found its identity through smart, controlled hockey built on all three zones working in sync, and with Oettinger dialed in, Heiskanen commanding the blue line, and the forwards humming across all four lines, Dallas has everything they need to close the door in Game 6 and move one step closer to a shot at the Stanley Cup Final.
"We have a great opportunity to go home and win this."
— X - Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) May 16, 2025
Heika's Take ⤵@PNCBank | #TexasHockey
Winnipeg vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Winnipeg vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Jets and Stars and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Winnipeg’s strength factors between a Jets team going up against a possibly healthy Stars team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Winnipeg vs Dallas picks, computer picks Jets vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NHL | 10/19 | ANA@CHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Jets Betting Trends
The Winnipeg Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 2-3 record in their last five games as a favorite.
Stars Betting Trends
The Dallas Stars have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog.
Jets vs. Stars Matchup Trends
In the current playoff series, the Stars have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.
Winnipeg vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Winnipeg vs Dallas start on May 17, 2025?
Winnipeg vs Dallas starts on May 17, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Where is Winnipeg vs Dallas being played?
Venue: American Airlines Center.
What are the opening odds for Winnipeg vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Winnipeg +129, Dallas -154
Over/Under: 5.5
What are the records for Winnipeg vs Dallas?
Winnipeg: (56-22) | Dallas: (50-26)
What is the AI best bet for Winnipeg vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.75 Time on Ice.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Winnipeg vs Dallas trending bets?
In the current playoff series, the Stars have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.
What are Winnipeg trending bets?
WPG trend: The Winnipeg Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 2-3 record in their last five games as a favorite.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Dallas Stars have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games as an underdog.
Where can I find AI Picks for Winnipeg vs Dallas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Winnipeg vs. Dallas Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Winnipeg vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Winnipeg vs Dallas Opening Odds
WPG Moneyline:
+129 DAL Moneyline: -154
WPG Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
Winnipeg vs Dallas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+130
-160
|
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-145
+120
|
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-225)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-240)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-140)
|
|
Oct 20, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
New York Rangers
10/20/25 7PM
Wild
Rangers
|
–
–
|
+106
-128
|
+1.5 (-245)
-1.5 (+194)
|
O 5.5 (-124)
U 5.5 (+102)
|
|
Oct 20, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Seattle Kraken
Philadelphia Flyers
10/20/25 7PM
Kraken
Flyers
|
–
–
|
+118
-142
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+172)
|
O 5.5 (-128)
U 5.5 (+104)
|
|
Oct 20, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Buffalo Sabres
Montreal Canadiens
10/20/25 7:30PM
Sabres
Canadiens
|
–
–
|
+140
|
+1.5 (-176)
|
O 6.5 (+114)
U 6.5 (-140)
|
|
Oct 20, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Winnipeg Jets
Calgary Flames
10/20/25 9:30PM
Jets
Flames
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 5.5 (-134)
U 5.5 (+110)
|
|
Oct 20, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Carolina Hurricanes
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/20/25 10PM
Hurricanes
Golden Knights
|
–
–
|
-104
|
+1.5 (-260)
|
O 5.5 (-140)
U 5.5 (+114)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars on May 17, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |