Golden Knights vs. Oilers
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 12 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers continue their Western Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Rogers Place in Edmonton. The Oilers lead the series 2-1, but the Golden Knights are looking to even the series after a dramatic 4-3 victory in Game 3.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 12, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​
Venue: Rogers Place​
Oilers Record: (48-29)
Golden Knights Record: (50-22)
OPENING ODDS
LV Moneyline: +110
EDM Moneyline: -130
LV Spread: +1.5
EDM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
LV
Betting Trends
- The Golden Knights have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 0-5 in their last five games.
EDM
Betting Trends
- The Oilers have been strong ATS at home, with a 4-1 record in their last five home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams when playing in Edmonton, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests at Rogers Place.
LV vs. EDM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Korczak under 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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Vegas vs Edmonton Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/12/25
Meanwhile, the Golden Knights will look to continue leaning on Adin Hill, who has provided stability in goal with sharp positioning and poised saves that have frustrated Edmonton’s usually fluid attack, and whose ability to stop breakaways and odd-man rushes has kept Vegas in close games. Defensively, Vegas relies on the physical and composed presence of Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore, who have effectively limited McDavid’s time and space, forcing him to the outside and reducing high-danger scoring chances. Offensively, Vegas doesn’t have the top-end firepower of Edmonton but thrives on scoring by committee, with players like William Karlsson and Ivan Barbashev contributing in clutch moments and the bottom six chipping in with gritty forechecking and defensive responsibility. With Game 4 being played in front of a raucous Rogers Place crowd, Edmonton will aim to reassert control early by establishing the pace, drawing penalties, and capitalizing on the man advantage while keeping Vegas from grinding the game down with smart puck possession and low-risk entries. Statistically, the OVER has not been as frequent in this building as expected given the firepower, with four of the last five meetings in Edmonton staying UNDER the total—an indication that these teams tend to lock things down when stakes are high. With Vegas needing to win to avoid falling into a 3-1 series hole and Edmonton seeking to take a commanding lead before heading back to T-Mobile Arena, Game 4 has all the makings of a heavyweight chess match, where special teams, goaltending poise, and late-game execution may prove decisive in determining who seizes momentum in this razor-tight series.
good vibes heading into Game 4 🙌https://t.co/aYlLnQ4crg
— y-Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) May 11, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights head into Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Edmonton Oilers with renewed energy and a golden opportunity to even the series after a thrilling 4-3 comeback victory in Game 3 that ended with a buzzer-beating goal from veteran forward Reilly Smith, a dramatic finish that not only reignited the defending champions but also showcased the depth and resilience that has become the Golden Knights’ trademark during their postseason runs. Down 2-1 in the series, Vegas understands the urgency of Game 4 and will look to build on the balanced team effort that earned them the win, which included scoring contributions from multiple lines, strong physical play, and timely goaltending from Adin Hill, who continues to be one of the most quietly reliable netminders in the playoffs. Hill’s calm demeanor and precise rebound control have allowed Vegas to weather Edmonton’s explosive top-line pressure, particularly when Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are buzzing in the offensive zone, and Hill’s performance will once again be pivotal in slowing down a power play that has converted at a 28.29% clip during the postseason. Vegas’s penalty kill, operating at a respectable 75.82%, has improved in execution with smart stick work, aggressive clears, and key shot blocks, and they will need to sustain that level of discipline, particularly on the road in a hostile Rogers Place environment.
Offensively, the Golden Knights continue to rely on a balanced attack that doesn’t center around a singular superstar but rather utilizes a deep and experienced lineup that can generate offense from every line, with Jack Eichel leading the way in transition, Jonathan Marchessault and Chandler Stephenson creating opportunities off the rush, and the fourth line providing energy and forechecking that has tilted the ice at key moments. The blue line, led by Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore, has done a solid job neutralizing Edmonton’s rush chances and forcing the Oilers to the outside, while also jumping into the play offensively when opportunities arise, a hallmark of Vegas’s ability to stretch opposing defensive structures. While Vegas has struggled against the spread recently—going 0-5 ATS in their last five—they have shown a consistent ability to respond in critical moments during the postseason, and Game 4 will test their ability to control the pace, frustrate Edmonton’s stars, and seize momentum before heading back to Las Vegas. Special teams, particularly the ability to stay out of the penalty box and cash in on limited power-play chances, will likely be a deciding factor in whether Vegas can knot the series at 2-2 or fall into a daunting 3-1 hole. Expect coach Bruce Cassidy to continue emphasizing puck possession, zone time, and limiting odd-man rushes while deploying matchups to suppress Edmonton’s dynamic offense. If Hill remains solid in net, Vegas continues to roll all four lines with confidence, and their defense tightens up just enough to contain the Oilers’ elite playmakers, the Golden Knights have every reason to believe they can leave Edmonton with the series tied and momentum swinging in their favor.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Edmonton Oilers NHL Preview
The Edmonton Oilers return to Rogers Place for Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Vegas Golden Knights with a 2-1 series lead but a sense of urgency after letting a late lead slip away in a heartbreaking 4-3 loss in Game 3, a game that could have put them in complete control of the series but instead gave life to the defending champions and underscored the razor-thin margin between these two elite teams. The Oilers had taken the first two games with high-octane offense and timely special teams execution, and they seemed poised to extend their series lead before defensive lapses in the final minutes allowed Vegas to equalize and ultimately steal the game with a last-second goal, highlighting the need for more consistent execution across all three zones. Despite the loss, Edmonton remains confident on home ice where they have been dominant in the playoffs, and Game 4 presents a critical opportunity to regain control of the series before it shifts back to T-Mobile Arena for Game 5. The Oilers’ postseason success continues to hinge on the production of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who have both delivered elite-level offense with speed, creativity, and unmatched puck control, making them nearly impossible to stop when they find rhythm through the neutral zone or work down low on the power play, which is clicking at a league-best 28.29%. Coach Kris Knoblauch’s top-six forwards have created havoc for most opponents, but secondary scoring and tighter defensive play will be crucial in preventing Vegas from leaning on its depth and grinding down Edmonton’s stars over the course of sixty minutes.
Stuart Skinner, back in net following the injury to Calvin Pickard, has looked solid but not spectacular and will need to rebound after allowing four goals in Game 3, including two in the final minutes, with his ability to control rebounds and track deflections being key against a Vegas team that thrives on chaos near the crease and point shots that create traffic. Edmonton’s blue line, led by Darnell Nurse, Mattias Ekholm, and Evan Bouchard, must do a better job boxing out and limiting high-danger looks in front of Skinner, especially when protecting leads, and improved breakouts under pressure will be essential in preventing costly turnovers that Vegas has been quick to convert. Discipline will also be a priority, as the Golden Knights have been drawing penalties at a high rate and forcing extended defensive shifts from Edmonton’s top defensemen. Despite their offensive strength, the Oilers are well aware that playoff success comes from balance and composure, and Game 4 is a prime opportunity to reset defensively, play with physical edge without overcommitting, and reassert their dominance on special teams and even-strength play. A win would give them a commanding 3-1 series lead and place them one win away from advancing to the Western Conference Final, but another late-game collapse could not only tie the series but hand momentum squarely to the defending champions, making Game 4 one of the most pivotal contests of Edmonton’s postseason thus far.
Monday. Game 4. Redemption.
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) May 11, 2025
🎟 https://t.co/CFi44OAane#LetsGoOilers pic.twitter.com/Yv9MrdQ6Ay
Vegas vs. Edmonton Prop Picks (AI)
Vegas vs. Edmonton Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Golden Knights and Oilers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Vegas’s strength factors between a Golden Knights team going up against a possibly healthy Oilers team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Vegas vs Edmonton picks, computer picks Golden Knights vs Oilers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.Â
Golden Knights Betting Trends
The Golden Knights have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 0-5 in their last five games.
Oilers Betting Trends
The Oilers have been strong ATS at home, with a 4-1 record in their last five home games.
Golden Knights vs. Oilers Matchup Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams when playing in Edmonton, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests at Rogers Place.
Vegas vs. Edmonton Game Info
What time does Vegas vs Edmonton start on May 12, 2025?
Vegas vs Edmonton starts on May 12, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Where is Vegas vs Edmonton being played?
Venue: Rogers Place.
What are the opening odds for Vegas vs Edmonton?
Spread: Edmonton -1.5
Moneyline: Vegas +110, Edmonton -130
Over/Under: 6.5
What are the records for Vegas vs Edmonton?
Vegas: (50-22) Â |Â Edmonton: (48-29)
What is the AI best bet for Vegas vs Edmonton?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Korczak under 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Vegas vs Edmonton trending bets?
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams when playing in Edmonton, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests at Rogers Place.
What are Vegas trending bets?
LV trend: The Golden Knights have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 0-5 in their last five games.
What are Edmonton trending bets?
EDM trend: The Oilers have been strong ATS at home, with a 4-1 record in their last five home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Vegas vs Edmonton?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Vegas vs. Edmonton Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Vegas vs Edmonton trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Vegas vs Edmonton Opening Odds
LV Moneyline:
+110 EDM Moneyline: -130
LV Spread: +1.5
EDM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
Vegas vs Edmonton Live Odds
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+165
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U 6.5 (-125)
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
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–
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+155
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+1.5 (-160)
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U 5.5 (+100)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
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+136
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U 6.5 (-130)
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Montreal Canadiens
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-130
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
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+124
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers on May 12, 2025 at Rogers Place.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |