Jets vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (May 11)

Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars are set to clash in Game 3 of their second-round playoff series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. With the series tied 1-1, both teams aim to gain a pivotal advantage in this tightly contested matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 11, 2025

Start Time: 4:30 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Stars Record: (50-26)

Jets Record: (56-22)

OPENING ODDS

WPG Moneyline: +123

DAL Moneyline: -147

WPG Spread: +1.5

DAL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

WPG
Betting Trends

  • The Winnipeg Jets are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as favorites and have gone 5-5 ATS in their last ten home games.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Dallas Stars have covered in three of their last five games as underdogs and are also 5-5 ATS over their last ten road contests.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six day games against Central Division opponents, while the Jets have won each of their last five home games versus Central Division teams.

WPG vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.25 Time on Ice.

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Winnipeg vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/11/25

The pivotal Game 3 of the second-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series between the Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars arrives with the series tied 1-1, and both teams carrying distinct momentum narratives into Sunday’s showdown in Dallas. The Jets, boasting the NHL’s best regular season record at 56-22-4, have looked like a juggernaut for much of the year, thanks to a lethal offensive corps and Vezina-caliber goaltending from Connor Hellebuyck. Their success in the opening round against the St. Louis Blues reaffirmed their strengths: explosive scoring from Kyle Connor, steady two-way play from Mark Scheifele, and an active, mobile blue line led by Josh Morrissey. But in Game 2, the Stars imposed their game, neutralizing Winnipeg’s fast-paced attack and capitalizing on special teams mistakes, which exposed some cracks in the Jets’ otherwise sound structure. Meanwhile, Dallas enters Game 3 with the confidence of a team that has weathered high-pressure hockey, having already dispatched the Colorado Avalanche in a grueling opening-round series. They leaned on veterans like Jamie Benn and Joe Pavelski for poise and leadership, while dynamic younger players like Wyatt Johnston and Thomas Harley have played significant roles in keeping their play fast and aggressive.

Goaltender Jake Oettinger, who faltered at times against Colorado, rebounded with poise in Game 2, outdueling Hellebuyck and stifling a number of high-danger chances. Special teams could play a major factor going forward, as both clubs have shown the ability to score on the power play but have also struggled at times with discipline. Winnipeg will look to reset its rhythm by getting more net-front presence and forcing Dallas to play a heavier defensive game, while the Stars will try to replicate their Game 2 formula of structured zone exits, smart puck movement, and effective forechecking. Both teams are physically engaged and well-coached, which suggests minimal room for error will separate wins from losses. Given how closely matched they are in 5-on-5 play, this game could very well be decided by which team wins the special teams battle or which goalie steps up when the game tightens late. With the series shifting to American Airlines Center, the Stars gain a home-ice boost and last change advantage, but the Jets have been excellent on the road this season and are known for responding well after losses. Expect an intense, physical battle with playoff tension climbing shift by shift, and while the series may ultimately go the distance, Game 3’s outcome could determine who dictates the tone and pace for the remainder.

Winnipeg Jets NHL Preview

The Winnipeg Jets enter Game 3 of their second-round playoff series against the Dallas Stars with the weight of expectations and the urgency to respond after letting a golden opportunity slip away in Game 2. Throughout the 2024-25 season, the Jets carved out an identity as one of the NHL’s most balanced and consistent teams, finishing with a league-best 56-22-4 record and leading the Western Conference thanks to an elite combination of star power and system buy-in. Kyle Connor, the engine of their offense, continues to deliver with both volume scoring and timely goals, while captain Mark Scheifele’s leadership and two-way play provide stability. The return of Nikolaj Ehlers added another dynamic threat to their top six, giving them more offensive versatility. Defensively, Josh Morrissey has stepped into a key leadership role on the back end, logging heavy minutes while also pushing play from the blue line. Connor Hellebuyck remains their ultimate safety valve—his performance throughout the regular season and their first-round triumph over St. Louis underlined his Vezina Trophy candidacy. However, in Game 2, Dallas found a way to rattle the Jets’ structure, particularly by winning the special teams battle and applying sustained pressure in the neutral zone. Winnipeg struggled to break out cleanly and looked uncharacteristically rushed in their transition game, an issue that head coach Rick Bowness will no doubt address ahead of Game 3.

Another point of emphasis will be physicality and puck management, as the Jets will need to match Dallas’s intensity while maintaining composure to avoid costly penalties. Winnipeg has been a strong road team, and they’ll need to tap into that mentality to steal back home-ice advantage. This game will also be a test of depth, as the bottom six forwards must step up and contribute more meaningfully, especially against a deep Dallas forward corps. The Jets know that this series is far from over, but they also understand the psychological weight of falling behind 2-1, especially to a battle-tested team like the Stars. Hellebuyck will likely have a bounce-back performance, and if the defense can limit Grade-A scoring chances and the forwards reestablish their forecheck, Winnipeg has every chance to regain the series edge. The key lies in execution, discipline, and sharpening the power play, which has sputtered under pressure. If the Jets return to their regular-season identity—relentless, cohesive, and opportunistic—they could deliver a statement win in Game 3 and set themselves up for a deep playoff run.

The Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars are set to clash in Game 3 of their second-round playoff series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. With the series tied 1-1, both teams aim to gain a pivotal advantage in this tightly contested matchup. Winnipeg vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars return to their home ice at the American Airlines Center for Game 3 of their second-round playoff clash with the Winnipeg Jets, carrying both momentum and purpose after leveling the series with a statement win in Game 2. That performance underscored the Stars’ defining trait this postseason: resilience rooted in structure, experience, and versatility. Having battled through a demanding first-round matchup against the Colorado Avalanche, the Stars have become hardened to playoff adversity and have shown an ability to adapt their style depending on the situation. In Game 2, they dictated pace through crisp breakouts, disciplined neutral-zone play, and timely scoring, forcing the Jets out of their comfort zone and limiting their normally potent offense. Jake Oettinger, who entered the postseason facing questions about consistency, delivered a composed, efficient effort in goal, calming the team and turning aside several high-danger opportunities. Dallas’s blue line, led by Miro Heiskanen and supported by Thomas Harley, was instrumental in keeping Winnipeg’s top scorers in check while pushing the puck up ice with purpose. Up front, veterans Jamie Benn and Joe Pavelski continue to lead by example with smart, physical play, while players like Roope Hintz, Jason Robertson, and Wyatt Johnston provide the offensive punch and speed necessary to stretch defenses. Special teams also tipped the balance in their favor in Game 2, as the Stars capitalized on a key power-play opportunity and remained stout on the penalty kill, which had faltered at times earlier in the postseason.

Returning home gives head coach Peter DeBoer the benefit of last change, allowing him to better control matchups—especially important when countering Winnipeg’s top line and mobile defense corps. The Stars will look to replicate their Game 2 blueprint while finding even more consistency from their bottom-six forwards, who have shown flashes but need to drive more offensive zone time and draw penalties. Dallas knows the stakes: win Game 3, and they flip the series in their favor while building pressure on a Jets squad that has often looked unbeatable but is now exposed as mortal. Their crowd will play a role, bringing energy and edge, but the team’s focus must remain on structured zone play, clearing the crease for Oettinger, and striking quickly off turnovers. If the Stars maintain their poise, manage the puck well, and continue leveraging their depth and special teams, they are well-positioned not just to take a 2-1 series lead but to assert themselves as the more playoff-hardened and tactically mature side as the series progresses. Game 3 represents a pivotal moment, and this experienced Dallas squad is prepared to seize it with both hands.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Jets and Stars play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.25 Time on Ice.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Jets and Stars and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Dallas’s strength factors between a Jets team going up against a possibly rested Stars team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Winnipeg vs Dallas picks, computer picks Jets vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Jets Betting Trends

The Winnipeg Jets are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as favorites and have gone 5-5 ATS in their last ten home games.

Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars have covered in three of their last five games as underdogs and are also 5-5 ATS over their last ten road contests.

Jets vs. Stars Matchup Trends

The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six day games against Central Division opponents, while the Jets have won each of their last five home games versus Central Division teams.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Game Info

Winnipeg vs Dallas starts on May 11, 2025 at 4:30 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Winnipeg +123, Dallas -147
Over/Under: 5.5

Winnipeg: (56-22)  |  Dallas: (50-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Morrissey under 24.25 Time on Ice.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six day games against Central Division opponents, while the Jets have won each of their last five home games versus Central Division teams.

WPG trend: The Winnipeg Jets are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as favorites and have gone 5-5 ATS in their last ten home games.

DAL trend: The Dallas Stars have covered in three of their last five games as underdogs and are also 5-5 ATS over their last ten road contests.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Winnipeg vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Winnipeg vs Dallas Opening Odds

WPG Moneyline: +123
DAL Moneyline: -147
WPG Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Winnipeg vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+133
-167
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
O 6 (+102)
U 6 (-125)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-143
+115
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-220)
O 6 (-121)
U 6 (-104)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-136
+110
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-112)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars on May 11, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS