Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (May 09)
Updated: 2025-05-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers face off in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series on Friday, May 9, 2025, at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. Toronto leads the best-of-seven series 2–0 after securing a narrow 4–3 victory in Game 2, despite losing starting goaltender Anthony Stolarz to injury.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 09, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Panthers Record: (47-31)
Maple Leafs Record: (52-26)
OPENING ODDS
TOR Moneyline: +193
FLA Moneyline: -237
TOR Spread: +1.5
FLA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
TOR
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, posting a 41–19 record, reflecting their consistent performance in covering the puck line.
FLA
Betting Trends
- The Panthers have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–11 record in their last 13 games, indicating challenges in covering the puck line.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, the Panthers have performed well ATS against the Maple Leafs, holding an 11–2 record in their last 13 matchups, suggesting a potential edge in this specific pairing.
TOR vs. FLA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Matthews under 2.5 Hits.
LIVE NHL ODDS
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Toronto vs Florida Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/9/25
Florida’s offense has sputtered in the moments it’s mattered most—while Matthew Tkachuk and Brad Marchand have generated some offensive zone time, finishing has been an issue, with several prime chances failing to beat Woll or ringing off iron. Sergei Bobrovsky has faced a barrage of chances and while he’s made highlight-reel saves, he’s also given up goals at inopportune moments, particularly on screens and second-chance opportunities. Defensively, the Panthers have failed to control Toronto’s transition speed and have looked overwhelmed trying to contain their opponent’s top six, often leaving gaps in the slot that have led directly to goals. Florida’s special teams have also let them down—both the power play and penalty kill have underperformed, and without improvement there, it’s hard to envision a turnaround. Game 3 will hinge on the Panthers’ ability to make the right tactical tweaks, including tightening defensive zone coverage, winning more faceoffs, and finding ways to get traffic in front of Woll to make his night uncomfortable. For the Maple Leafs, the goal is simple: keep executing at the same level, manage momentum swings on the road, and continue trusting their depth, which has outplayed Florida’s bottom six through the first two games. If Toronto maintains its structured play and continues converting on special teams, they’re in prime position to take a commanding 3–0 series lead and place one foot firmly in the Eastern Conference Final. Game 3 is do-or-die for Florida; for Toronto, it’s a chance to crush the opposition’s hope and solidify their playoff identity as a team finally breaking through past postseason disappointments.
And After All
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) May 8, 2025
The Leaf: Blueprint Moment presented by @Rogers pic.twitter.com/nX08Ot071W
Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs head into Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series against the Florida Panthers holding a 2–0 lead, and they’ve earned that edge through a combination of elite offensive execution, defensive structure, and adaptability under pressure. Despite losing starting goaltender Anthony Stolarz to a head injury in Game 1, the Leafs have remained composed and resilient, thanks in large part to the steady presence of backup Joseph Woll, who stopped 25 shots in Game 2 and looked confident in tracking the puck and controlling rebounds. Offensively, the Leafs are led by Auston Matthews, who continues to play like a Hart Trophy finalist, generating consistent scoring chances while also contributing on the defensive side and drawing defenders away from teammates like Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and John Tavares, all of whom have capitalized on Florida’s lapses in defensive coverage. Toronto’s power play has been lethal, using quick puck movement and shot volume to exploit the Panthers’ struggling penalty kill, while their penalty-killing unit has done an excellent job clogging shooting lanes and disrupting Florida’s top-line rhythm. Toronto’s speed through the neutral zone and aggressive forecheck have created extended shifts in the offensive end and worn down Florida’s defensemen, particularly in the second half of games.
Defensively, the Leafs have limited high-danger scoring chances by collapsing effectively in front of Woll and staying out of the box, allowing their systems to dictate the pace rather than giving Florida opportunities with the man advantage. Head coach Sheldon Keefe has managed his bench smartly, rolling all four lines and keeping fresh legs on the ice to match the physicality of Florida’s forecheckers. Perhaps most impressively, the Leafs have maintained their poise in critical moments—a quality that had eluded them in previous playoff runs—closing out tight games and avoiding the kind of emotional swings that plagued them in years past. Heading into Game 3, Toronto knows that the pressure now shifts to the Panthers, and their job is to stay disciplined, control the tempo early, and silence the Florida crowd with another quick start. If the Leafs continue to play their brand of fast, structured hockey, capitalize on special teams, and get another solid outing from Woll, they’ll be in prime position to take a commanding 3–0 series lead and edge closer to their first Eastern Conference Final appearance in two decades. With their stars producing, depth contributing, and team defense clicking, Toronto has the blueprint to not only win this series but to finally take that long-awaited step toward a Stanley Cup run.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Florida Panthers NHL Preview
The Florida Panthers return to Amerant Bank Arena for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series trailing 0–2 and facing the urgent task of regaining control before the series slips completely away. Despite a spirited effort in Game 2 that saw them lose 4–3, the Panthers were once again unable to contain the high-octane attack of the Toronto Maple Leafs and now must find answers both offensively and defensively. Matthew Tkachuk remains the emotional and physical catalyst for this team, bringing energy with his forecheck and net-front presence, but he’s been hounded by Toronto’s defense and hasn’t had the space or puck touches needed to turn the tide. Brad Marchand’s veteran savvy has added some bite to the lineup, but beyond those two, Florida’s depth scoring has been largely neutralized, especially by Toronto’s structured neutral zone coverage. Sergei Bobrovsky has faced a high volume of quality chances, and while he’s made several crucial saves to keep games within reach, lapses on second shots and poor puck tracking have led to goals at key moments. Defensively, Florida has struggled to adjust to Toronto’s speed and forecheck, too often caught flat-footed in transition or giving up clean entries that lead to dangerous scoring chances. On special teams, the Panthers have been outplayed—failing to convert on power plays and giving up goals on the penalty kill, a swing that has tilted the momentum firmly toward Toronto in both games.
The key for Florida heading into Game 3 is discipline and execution; they need to limit unnecessary penalties, simplify their breakout, and create chaos in front of Toronto’s backup goalie Joseph Woll, who has been solid but relatively untested in hostile environments. Head coach Paul Maurice will likely emphasize getting pucks to the net quickly and driving the crease to generate rebounds, hoping to break through against a Leafs team that’s blocked shots and cleared rebounds with efficiency. With their season on the brink, Florida will also need more from their secondary scorers and bottom-six forwards, whose impact has been minimal so far in the series. Defensively, adjustments must be made to tighten up coverage against Toronto’s power play and to reduce turnovers in their own end that have directly led to goals. The Panthers are 11–2 ATS in their last 13 games against the Leafs, and historically they’ve responded well to adversity at home, so a bounce-back performance isn’t out of reach. The energy of the home crowd could provide a needed lift, but only if the team responds with physicality, urgency, and smarter puck management. Game 3 will define Florida’s postseason—either as the start of a comeback or the beginning of the end. To make it the former, the Panthers must play their most complete game of the series, starting from the crease out and ending with consistent, sustained pressure on a Toronto team that, while ahead, has not yet completely closed the door.
Eyes on tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/HmnsfFw6NT
— x - Florida Panthers (@FlaPanthers) May 8, 2025
Toronto vs. Florida Prop Picks (AI)
Toronto vs. Florida Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Maple Leafs and Panthers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Maple Leafs team going up against a possibly improved Panthers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Toronto vs Florida picks, computer picks Maple Leafs vs Panthers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Maple Leafs Betting Trends
The Maple Leafs have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, posting a 41–19 record, reflecting their consistent performance in covering the puck line.
Panthers Betting Trends
The Panthers have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–11 record in their last 13 games, indicating challenges in covering the puck line.
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Matchup Trends
Historically, the Panthers have performed well ATS against the Maple Leafs, holding an 11–2 record in their last 13 matchups, suggesting a potential edge in this specific pairing.
Toronto vs. Florida Game Info
What time does Toronto vs Florida start on May 09, 2025?
Toronto vs Florida starts on May 09, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Toronto vs Florida being played?
Venue: Amerant Bank Arena.
What are the opening odds for Toronto vs Florida?
Spread: Florida -1.5
Moneyline: Toronto +193, Florida -237
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Toronto vs Florida?
Toronto: (52-26) | Florida: (47-31)
What is the AI best bet for Toronto vs Florida?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Matthews under 2.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Toronto vs Florida trending bets?
Historically, the Panthers have performed well ATS against the Maple Leafs, holding an 11–2 record in their last 13 matchups, suggesting a potential edge in this specific pairing.
What are Toronto trending bets?
TOR trend: The Maple Leafs have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, posting a 41–19 record, reflecting their consistent performance in covering the puck line.
What are Florida trending bets?
FLA trend: The Panthers have struggled ATS recently, with a 2–11 record in their last 13 games, indicating challenges in covering the puck line.
Where can I find AI Picks for Toronto vs Florida?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Toronto vs. Florida Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Toronto vs Florida trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Toronto vs Florida Opening Odds
TOR Moneyline:
+193 FLA Moneyline: -237
TOR Spread: +1.5
FLA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Toronto vs Florida Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+137
-163
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+160)
|
O 6 (+100)
U 6 (-120)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-135
+115
|
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-220)
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O 6 (-122)
U 6 (+102)
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|
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
|
–
–
|
-133
+112
|
-1.5 (+185)
+1.5 (-225)
|
O 6 (-117)
U 6 (-103)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers on May 09, 2025 at Amerant Bank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |