Oilers vs. Golden Knights
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 06 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Edmonton Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights face off in Game 1 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Both teams advanced from the first round in six games, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between two Pacific Division rivals.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 06, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​
Venue: T-Mobile Arena​
Golden Knights Record: (50-22)
Oilers Record: (48-29)
OPENING ODDS
EDM Moneyline: +114
LV Moneyline: -134
EDM Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
EDM
Betting Trends
- The Oilers have a 48-34 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering the puck line in approximately 58.5% of their games.
LV
Betting Trends
- The Golden Knights have a 32-24 ATS record this season, covering the puck line in about 57.1% of their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 17 games, the Golden Knights are 13-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS record at home, highlighting their strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.
EDM vs. LV
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Barbashev under 3 Hits.
LIVE NHL ODDS
NHL ODDS COMPARISON
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Edmonton vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/6/25
Goaltender Adin Hill turned in a steady first-round performance with a 2.83 GAA, and his calm presence in net allowed Vegas to weather Minnesota’s forecheck while maintaining control in the defensive zone. Defensively, the Golden Knights are anchored by veterans like Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore, who excel at limiting high-danger chances and providing transition support, and their penalty kill will be put to the test immediately against Edmonton’s lethal man advantage. Special teams and depth scoring could be the difference in this series, particularly as both teams’ top lines may neutralize each other at times, and players like Zach Hyman and Chandler Stephenson will need to step up to exploit matchup advantages. The regular season series between these clubs was evenly split at 2-2, and both teams have legitimate reasons to believe they can win this series—Edmonton with its sheer offensive firepower and Vegas with its playoff pedigree, physical edge, and tactical discipline. Game 1 will likely come down to goaltending and the ability to manage pace, as the Oilers prefer a fast, end-to-end style, while the Golden Knights aim to slow the tempo and grind teams down. With the stakes sky-high and both fan bases expecting a deep run, this series figures to be a battle of attrition where physicality, momentum swings, and execution in special teams may ultimately decide who moves on to the Western Conference Final.
May the 4th be with you ✨ pic.twitter.com/mQB3sSsmMI
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) May 4, 2025
Edmonton Oilers NHL Preview
The Edmonton Oilers enter Tuesday’s Game 1 of their second-round series against the Vegas Golden Knights with momentum and confidence after dispatching the Los Angeles Kings in six games, showcasing the elite firepower and high-end talent that has made them one of the most feared offensive teams in the NHL. Led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who combined for 21 points in the first round, the Oilers demonstrated once again that their top-end production is unmatched when it comes to creating scoring chances off the rush, controlling the puck on the power play, and capitalizing in high-leverage moments. McDavid’s blend of acceleration and vision continues to set him apart as the league’s most dangerous transition player, while Draisaitl’s lethal release and strength around the net make him a nightmare matchup for any defensive pairing. Adding to that offensive mix is defenseman Evan Bouchard, who contributed four goals in the opening round and anchors a top power play unit that remains the most dangerous in the NHL, boasting precision puck movement and elite finishing ability. However, Edmonton’s greatest vulnerability remains in goal, where Calvin Pickard and Stuart Skinner have split duties, with Pickard claiming all four wins and holding a 2.93 GAA, while Skinner faltered with a 6.11 GAA in the team’s two losses, creating a goaltending debate heading into the second round.
Pickard is expected to start Game 1 given his more consistent performance, but he’ll face a deeper and more structured opponent in Vegas, which will test his composure and rebound control. Defensively, the Oilers continue to show improvement with Mattias Ekholm providing stability and mentorship alongside Bouchard, while Darnell Nurse brings a physical presence, though defensive breakdowns and lapses in coverage still occasionally haunt this group. Edmonton’s penalty kill showed signs of resilience in the first round but will be challenged by a Golden Knights power play that can move the puck effectively and pressure the net with size and skill. The Oilers’ ability to draw penalties, push the pace, and generate early offense will be key to dictating the series tempo, especially on the road, where silencing the crowd and avoiding undisciplined penalties becomes more critical. Their 48-34 record against the spread this season reflects their tendency to outperform betting expectations, especially when their stars take over games, and that formula will need to hold against a Vegas team built to wear opponents down. For Edmonton to succeed, they must leverage their elite talent, maintain defensive discipline, and get competent, steady goaltending—because if their offense alone is forced to carry the load, they risk being outmaneuvered by a deeper, more balanced Golden Knights roster. Still, with McDavid and Draisaitl in peak form and a power play that can flip a game in a matter of minutes, the Oilers are not just a dangerous underdog—they’re a legitimate Stanley Cup threat if they can round out the edges of their game and match Vegas physically and mentally over the course of a seven-game series.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights return to T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, to begin their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Edmonton Oilers following a hard-fought six-game victory over the Minnesota Wild in the opening round, reestablishing themselves as one of the most poised and playoff-proven teams in the NHL. The defending Stanley Cup champions once again leaned into their core identity—depth, structure, and discipline—executing a balanced and defensively tight brand of hockey that stifled Minnesota’s attack and allowed them to dictate the flow of the series. Jack Eichel and Tomas Hertl led the charge offensively with five points each, with Hertl’s three goals highlighting the Golden Knights’ ability to finish in key moments and generate scoring from multiple lines. Vegas remains one of the deepest forward groups in the league, with contributions from Chandler Stephenson, Jonathan Marchessault, Mark Stone, and Ivan Barbashev helping to create matchup headaches for opponents and minimize reliance on any single scoring line. On the blue line, the veteran presence of Alex Pietrangelo continues to be a stabilizing force, while Shea Theodore and Brayden McNabb bring physicality, puck-moving ability, and elite defensive positioning that form the backbone of Vegas’ stingy defensive system. Goaltender Adin Hill delivered a strong opening-round performance with a 2.83 goals-against average, showing calm under pressure and delivering timely saves that gave his team breathing room in close games; his ability to manage rebounds and control the pace from the crease will be essential against an Edmonton team that thrives on chaos and quick-strike opportunities.
Special teams were solid for Vegas in Round 1, with a power play that moved the puck effectively and a penalty kill that disrupted Minnesota’s setups, but they’ll face a much stiffer challenge against the Oilers’ lethal man advantage led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. The Golden Knights’ path to success in this series hinges on physical play, forecheck pressure, and neutral zone discipline to frustrate Edmonton’s speed and prevent clean zone entries. Playing at home, where they’ve gone 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games, Vegas will aim to set the tone early, use their crowd energy to build momentum, and grind down Edmonton’s defense with heavy shifts and sustained offensive zone time. Head coach Bruce Cassidy will also look to leverage last-change advantages to control matchups, particularly in neutralizing McDavid’s line with responsible two-way players like Stephenson and Stone. While Vegas doesn’t have the same top-heavy firepower as Edmonton, their ability to win battles, limit high-danger chances, and capitalize on defensive miscues makes them one of the toughest teams to beat in a best-of-seven series. With experience, depth, and goaltending all trending in the right direction, the Golden Knights are well-positioned to defend their crown, and taking Game 1 at home would go a long way in establishing control against a team as explosive—and dangerous—as the Oilers.
ON 2 ROUND 2 ✌️ #ForTheRealm pic.twitter.com/uAULxG1Ws2
— y-Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) May 2, 2025
Edmonton vs. Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
Edmonton vs. Vegas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Oilers and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Oilers team going up against a possibly strong Golden Knights team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Edmonton vs Vegas picks, computer picks Oilers vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.Â
Oilers Betting Trends
The Oilers have a 48-34 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering the puck line in approximately 58.5% of their games.
Golden Knights Betting Trends
The Golden Knights have a 32-24 ATS record this season, covering the puck line in about 57.1% of their games.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
In their last 17 games, the Golden Knights are 13-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS record at home, highlighting their strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.
Edmonton vs. Vegas Game Info
What time does Edmonton vs Vegas start on May 06, 2025?
Edmonton vs Vegas starts on May 06, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Where is Edmonton vs Vegas being played?
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
What are the opening odds for Edmonton vs Vegas?
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: Edmonton +114, Vegas -134
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Edmonton vs Vegas?
Edmonton: (48-29) Â |Â Vegas: (50-22)
What is the AI best bet for Edmonton vs Vegas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Barbashev under 3 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Edmonton vs Vegas trending bets?
In their last 17 games, the Golden Knights are 13-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS record at home, highlighting their strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.
What are Edmonton trending bets?
EDM trend: The Oilers have a 48-34 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering the puck line in approximately 58.5% of their games.
What are Vegas trending bets?
LV trend: The Golden Knights have a 32-24 ATS record this season, covering the puck line in about 57.1% of their games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Edmonton vs Vegas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Edmonton vs. Vegas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Edmonton vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Edmonton vs Vegas Opening Odds
EDM Moneyline:
+114 LV Moneyline: -134
EDM Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Edmonton vs Vegas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
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–
–
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+265
-350
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+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-125)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
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New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
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–
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+165
-210
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+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
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Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
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–
–
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-115
-105
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+1.5 (-285)
-1.5 (+220)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
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-170
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-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
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Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
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–
–
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+145
-185
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+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+165
-210
|
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
|
–
–
|
+155
|
+1.5 (-160)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-130
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+124
-148
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
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-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
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|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
|
–
–
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+164
-198
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+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
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O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
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–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
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–
–
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-110
-110
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+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights on May 06, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |