Oilers vs. Golden Knights
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 06 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Edmonton Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights face off in Game 1 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Both teams advanced from the first round in six games, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between two Pacific Division rivals.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 06, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: T-Mobile Arena​

Golden Knights Record: (50-22)

Oilers Record: (48-29)

OPENING ODDS

EDM Moneyline: +114

LV Moneyline: -134

EDM Spread: +1.5

LV Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

EDM
Betting Trends

  • The Oilers have a 48-34 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering the puck line in approximately 58.5% of their games.

LV
Betting Trends

  • The Golden Knights have a 32-24 ATS record this season, covering the puck line in about 57.1% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 17 games, the Golden Knights are 13-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS record at home, highlighting their strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.

EDM vs. LV
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Barbashev under 3 Hits.

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Edmonton vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/6/25

The Edmonton Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights are set to kick off their Western Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas in what promises to be a thrilling clash between two of the NHL’s most dynamic and playoff-tested teams. Both clubs advanced through the first round in six games, with the Oilers dispatching the Los Angeles Kings and the Golden Knights taking down the Minnesota Wild, setting up a matchup that features elite talent, postseason experience, and a recent rivalry fueled by physicality and star power. For Edmonton, the path to victory still runs through Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who combined for an eye-popping 21 points in the first round, terrorizing the Kings with their speed, vision, and finishing ability; Draisaitl’s strength in tight spaces and McDavid’s game-breaking acceleration make them the most dangerous duo in the playoffs. Defenseman Evan Bouchard added four goals from the blue line, further enhancing the Oilers’ power play, which remains one of the league’s most potent and momentum-shifting units. The biggest question for Edmonton continues to be goaltending, where Calvin Pickard earned all four wins with a respectable 2.93 goals-against average, while Stuart Skinner, who started the team’s two losses, posted a bloated 6.11 GAA, suggesting Pickard will likely be the Game 1 starter. On the other side, Vegas presents a more balanced and defensively structured team, led by Jack Eichel and Tomas Hertl, each of whom recorded five points in the opening round and who anchor a deep forward corps that emphasizes possession and physicality.

Goaltender Adin Hill turned in a steady first-round performance with a 2.83 GAA, and his calm presence in net allowed Vegas to weather Minnesota’s forecheck while maintaining control in the defensive zone. Defensively, the Golden Knights are anchored by veterans like Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore, who excel at limiting high-danger chances and providing transition support, and their penalty kill will be put to the test immediately against Edmonton’s lethal man advantage. Special teams and depth scoring could be the difference in this series, particularly as both teams’ top lines may neutralize each other at times, and players like Zach Hyman and Chandler Stephenson will need to step up to exploit matchup advantages. The regular season series between these clubs was evenly split at 2-2, and both teams have legitimate reasons to believe they can win this series—Edmonton with its sheer offensive firepower and Vegas with its playoff pedigree, physical edge, and tactical discipline. Game 1 will likely come down to goaltending and the ability to manage pace, as the Oilers prefer a fast, end-to-end style, while the Golden Knights aim to slow the tempo and grind teams down. With the stakes sky-high and both fan bases expecting a deep run, this series figures to be a battle of attrition where physicality, momentum swings, and execution in special teams may ultimately decide who moves on to the Western Conference Final.

Edmonton Oilers NHL Preview

The Edmonton Oilers enter Tuesday’s Game 1 of their second-round series against the Vegas Golden Knights with momentum and confidence after dispatching the Los Angeles Kings in six games, showcasing the elite firepower and high-end talent that has made them one of the most feared offensive teams in the NHL. Led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who combined for 21 points in the first round, the Oilers demonstrated once again that their top-end production is unmatched when it comes to creating scoring chances off the rush, controlling the puck on the power play, and capitalizing in high-leverage moments. McDavid’s blend of acceleration and vision continues to set him apart as the league’s most dangerous transition player, while Draisaitl’s lethal release and strength around the net make him a nightmare matchup for any defensive pairing. Adding to that offensive mix is defenseman Evan Bouchard, who contributed four goals in the opening round and anchors a top power play unit that remains the most dangerous in the NHL, boasting precision puck movement and elite finishing ability. However, Edmonton’s greatest vulnerability remains in goal, where Calvin Pickard and Stuart Skinner have split duties, with Pickard claiming all four wins and holding a 2.93 GAA, while Skinner faltered with a 6.11 GAA in the team’s two losses, creating a goaltending debate heading into the second round.

Pickard is expected to start Game 1 given his more consistent performance, but he’ll face a deeper and more structured opponent in Vegas, which will test his composure and rebound control. Defensively, the Oilers continue to show improvement with Mattias Ekholm providing stability and mentorship alongside Bouchard, while Darnell Nurse brings a physical presence, though defensive breakdowns and lapses in coverage still occasionally haunt this group. Edmonton’s penalty kill showed signs of resilience in the first round but will be challenged by a Golden Knights power play that can move the puck effectively and pressure the net with size and skill. The Oilers’ ability to draw penalties, push the pace, and generate early offense will be key to dictating the series tempo, especially on the road, where silencing the crowd and avoiding undisciplined penalties becomes more critical. Their 48-34 record against the spread this season reflects their tendency to outperform betting expectations, especially when their stars take over games, and that formula will need to hold against a Vegas team built to wear opponents down. For Edmonton to succeed, they must leverage their elite talent, maintain defensive discipline, and get competent, steady goaltending—because if their offense alone is forced to carry the load, they risk being outmaneuvered by a deeper, more balanced Golden Knights roster. Still, with McDavid and Draisaitl in peak form and a power play that can flip a game in a matter of minutes, the Oilers are not just a dangerous underdog—they’re a legitimate Stanley Cup threat if they can round out the edges of their game and match Vegas physically and mentally over the course of a seven-game series.

The Edmonton Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights face off in Game 1 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Both teams advanced from the first round in six games, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between two Pacific Division rivals. Edmonton vs Vegas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights return to T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, to begin their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Edmonton Oilers following a hard-fought six-game victory over the Minnesota Wild in the opening round, reestablishing themselves as one of the most poised and playoff-proven teams in the NHL. The defending Stanley Cup champions once again leaned into their core identity—depth, structure, and discipline—executing a balanced and defensively tight brand of hockey that stifled Minnesota’s attack and allowed them to dictate the flow of the series. Jack Eichel and Tomas Hertl led the charge offensively with five points each, with Hertl’s three goals highlighting the Golden Knights’ ability to finish in key moments and generate scoring from multiple lines. Vegas remains one of the deepest forward groups in the league, with contributions from Chandler Stephenson, Jonathan Marchessault, Mark Stone, and Ivan Barbashev helping to create matchup headaches for opponents and minimize reliance on any single scoring line. On the blue line, the veteran presence of Alex Pietrangelo continues to be a stabilizing force, while Shea Theodore and Brayden McNabb bring physicality, puck-moving ability, and elite defensive positioning that form the backbone of Vegas’ stingy defensive system. Goaltender Adin Hill delivered a strong opening-round performance with a 2.83 goals-against average, showing calm under pressure and delivering timely saves that gave his team breathing room in close games; his ability to manage rebounds and control the pace from the crease will be essential against an Edmonton team that thrives on chaos and quick-strike opportunities.

Special teams were solid for Vegas in Round 1, with a power play that moved the puck effectively and a penalty kill that disrupted Minnesota’s setups, but they’ll face a much stiffer challenge against the Oilers’ lethal man advantage led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. The Golden Knights’ path to success in this series hinges on physical play, forecheck pressure, and neutral zone discipline to frustrate Edmonton’s speed and prevent clean zone entries. Playing at home, where they’ve gone 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games, Vegas will aim to set the tone early, use their crowd energy to build momentum, and grind down Edmonton’s defense with heavy shifts and sustained offensive zone time. Head coach Bruce Cassidy will also look to leverage last-change advantages to control matchups, particularly in neutralizing McDavid’s line with responsible two-way players like Stephenson and Stone. While Vegas doesn’t have the same top-heavy firepower as Edmonton, their ability to win battles, limit high-danger chances, and capitalize on defensive miscues makes them one of the toughest teams to beat in a best-of-seven series. With experience, depth, and goaltending all trending in the right direction, the Golden Knights are well-positioned to defend their crown, and taking Game 1 at home would go a long way in establishing control against a team as explosive—and dangerous—as the Oilers.

Edmonton vs. Vegas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Oilers and Golden Knights play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Arena in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Barbashev under 3 Hits.

Edmonton vs. Vegas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Oilers and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Oilers team going up against a possibly strong Golden Knights team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Edmonton vs Vegas picks, computer picks Oilers vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Oilers Betting Trends

The Oilers have a 48-34 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering the puck line in approximately 58.5% of their games.

Golden Knights Betting Trends

The Golden Knights have a 32-24 ATS record this season, covering the puck line in about 57.1% of their games.

Oilers vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends

In their last 17 games, the Golden Knights are 13-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS record at home, highlighting their strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.

Edmonton vs. Vegas Game Info

Edmonton vs Vegas starts on May 06, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: Edmonton +114, Vegas -134
Over/Under: 6

Edmonton: (48-29)  |  Vegas: (50-22)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Barbashev under 3 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 17 games, the Golden Knights are 13-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS record at home, highlighting their strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.

EDM trend: The Oilers have a 48-34 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering the puck line in approximately 58.5% of their games.

LV trend: The Golden Knights have a 32-24 ATS record this season, covering the puck line in about 57.1% of their games.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Edmonton vs. Vegas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Edmonton vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Edmonton vs Vegas Opening Odds

EDM Moneyline: +114
LV Moneyline: -134
EDM Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Edmonton vs Vegas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+265
-350
+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-125)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-115
-105
+1.5 (-285)
-1.5 (+220)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+145
-185
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights on May 06, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN