Avalanche vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (May 03)

Updated: 2025-05-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars are set to clash in a decisive Game 7 of their Western Conference semifinal series on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. With the series tied 3-3, both teams aim to secure a spot in the Western Conference Final, making this matchup a high-stakes battle between two of the NHL’s elite squads.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 03, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Stars Record: (50-26)

Avalanche Record: (49-29)

OPENING ODDS

COL Moneyline: -137

DAL Moneyline: +115

COL Spread: -1.5

DAL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Avalanche have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against the Stars, going 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games when playing Dallas and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas .

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Stars have also faced challenges ATS recently, posting a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 games and a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games at home .

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 games when Colorado plays on the road against Dallas, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games in this setting .

COL vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.

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Colorado vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/3/25

The decisive Game 7 between the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars promises a thrilling conclusion to what has been one of the most tightly contested series of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs. With the series deadlocked at 3-3, both teams face a winner-takes-all scenario that will test their depth, resilience, and poise under pressure. The Avalanche enter with momentum following a clutch 4-2 win in Game 6 in Denver, where their star players stepped up and their defensive structure tightened after a disappointing performance in Game 5. Colorado has leaned heavily on its elite top line led by Nathan MacKinnon, who continues to be a game-breaking force with his speed and scoring touch, supported by the prolific Mikko Rantanen and playmaking defenseman Cale Makar. The Avs’ ability to push the pace and overwhelm defenses in transition remains a defining characteristic, but questions persist about their consistency and ability to close out tough opponents on the road. Meanwhile, the Stars return home to the American Airlines Center, where they’ve traditionally held a strong playoff presence, but recently struggled ATS. Dallas’s identity has been shaped around disciplined, defensive-minded hockey, bolstered by the stellar goaltending of Jake Oettinger, who has bounced back after Game 6 and will be relied upon heavily in this elimination game.

Veterans Joe Pavelski and Jamie Benn bring valuable experience to the forward corps, while Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson provide the offensive creativity and scoring needed to counter Colorado’s firepower. A key storyline is the goaltending duel—Georgiev versus Oettinger—with both having had standout performances at different points in the series. The tactical battle between head coaches Jared Bednar and Peter DeBoer also looms large, as both have made critical mid-series adjustments, especially on special teams. Colorado’s power play, currently operating at an efficient clip, will look to capitalize again if Dallas’s penalty kill falters. Conversely, the Stars will aim to keep the game tight and low scoring, trusting their depth and structure to wear down the Avs over sixty minutes. Puck possession, shot suppression, and disciplined defensive zone coverage will be crucial elements in determining which team prevails. Fatigue may also become a factor, as this series has been physical and fast-paced, potentially benefiting the younger and faster Avalanche skaters if the game becomes a track meet. However, Dallas’s home ice and experience in big-game settings should not be overlooked. Ultimately, Game 7 presents a clash of contrasting styles—Colorado’s high-octane offense against Dallas’s defensive discipline—and the team that best executes its identity while minimizing mistakes under pressure will earn the right to advance to the Western Conference Final. With both teams having already exchanged momentum swings throughout the series, fans can expect a razor-thin margin of victory and potentially overtime drama in a showdown that could be remembered as one of the postseason’s defining moments.

Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview

The Colorado Avalanche head into Game 7 on the road with the momentum of a season-saving Game 6 victory and the confidence that comes with a roster full of playoff-tested stars capable of taking over at any moment. After a shaky Game 5 in Dallas where they were outclassed 6-2, the Avs rebounded at Ball Arena with a more structured and urgent performance, led by their big guns and anchored by timely goaltending. Nathan MacKinnon remains the emotional and offensive catalyst, showcasing not just his blazing speed and scoring touch but also a fierce competitiveness that has lifted his teammates throughout the series. Mikko Rantanen has complemented him with timely goals and strong puck possession in the offensive zone, while Cale Makar’s ability to drive play from the back end and quarterback the power play has created matchup nightmares for the Stars’ defense. Colorado’s offensive zone entries and puck retrievals have been strong, especially when they establish a forecheck that slows down Dallas’s breakout game. The Avalanche’s ability to generate chances in transition and off turnovers will be key in Game 7, especially against a Dallas team that thrives in structured defensive play. One concern remains their occasional lapses in defensive coverage, especially in front of their own net, where the Stars have taken advantage with greasy goals and rebound chances. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has had moments of brilliance but has also struggled with rebound control and positioning under sustained pressure, making his play in Game 7 a potential swing factor.

On special teams, Colorado’s power play has been effective, thanks to quick puck movement and cross-seam passes that force opposing penalty killers to scramble, and they will need to continue capitalizing on limited chances in what is expected to be a tightly officiated game. The Avalanche’s road form has been shaky this postseason, and their recent ATS trends in Dallas are not favorable, but they’ve proven in past seasons—including their 2022 Stanley Cup run—that they can win tough games in hostile environments. Head coach Jared Bednar will be expected to double-shift his stars as needed and deploy creative line matchups to keep Dallas from clogging up the neutral zone and slowing their pace. Colorado’s depth forwards like Artturi Lehkonen, Valeri Nichushkin, and Ross Colton will need to contribute secondary offense and maintain physical intensity to keep the Stars’ checking lines honest. If Colorado can get out to an early lead and avoid costly penalties, their speed and skill could tilt the balance in their favor. But they’ll need to match Dallas’s desperation and feed off the energy of the moment, not be daunted by it. For a team with high expectations and a championship pedigree, this is the kind of game where legacies are made—and Colorado will count on its core to deliver on the road once more.

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars are set to clash in a decisive Game 7 of their Western Conference semifinal series on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. With the series tied 3-3, both teams aim to secure a spot in the Western Conference Final, making this matchup a high-stakes battle between two of the NHL’s elite squads. Colorado vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars return home for Game 7 with their season on the line and an opportunity to close out a fiercely competitive series against the Colorado Avalanche in front of what’s expected to be a raucous crowd at American Airlines Center. Despite squandering a chance to clinch the series in Game 6, the Stars have largely dictated the terms of play when at home this postseason, and they’ll look to return to their defensive blueprint that has stifled Colorado in previous matchups. Jake Oettinger, the calm and composed netminder who has carried the load all season, will once again be pivotal as he aims to rebound from allowing four goals in Denver and rediscover the form that saw him frustrate the Avalanche in Game 5. Oettinger has historically played his best hockey in elimination games, and his ability to control rebounds and limit second-chance opportunities will be essential against a Colorado attack that thrives on puck retrievals and quick follow-ups. On defense, Miro Heiskanen leads a disciplined blue line group that has successfully suppressed high-danger chances when playing at home, and his poised puck movement under pressure has enabled Dallas to escape Colorado’s forecheck and push play up ice. Offensively, the Stars aren’t as flashy as the Avalanche, but they’ve shown an ability to score timely goals through a mix of veteran savvy and young energy. Roope Hintz continues to be one of the Stars’ most dangerous forwards with his blend of speed and skill, while Joe Pavelski and Tyler Seguin provide invaluable playoff experience and clutch scoring.

Jason Robertson’s creativity and ability to find soft spots in defensive coverage will be tested in a matchup likely to feature tight checking and limited time and space. Dallas has also benefited from its depth, with role players like Wyatt Johnston and Jamie Benn chipping in with gritty, momentum-swinging plays in critical moments. Special teams could prove decisive—while the Stars’ penalty kill has held up fairly well, their power play must find more urgency and movement to break down Colorado’s aggressive PK units. Head coach Pete DeBoer will lean heavily on his ability to manage matchups at home, using the last change to keep the MacKinnon line in check and wear down Colorado’s top players through physical play and smart line deployment. Expect Dallas to try to slow the game down, play along the boards, and force Colorado into turnovers in the neutral zone. The crowd will undoubtedly provide a lift, but the Stars will need to generate their own momentum by establishing a strong forecheck early and setting a physical tone. Their path to victory lies in playing within their identity—smart, structured, and opportunistic hockey—while trusting in their defensive system and Oettinger’s ability to rise to the moment. With a trip to the Western Conference Final hanging in the balance, the Stars will seek to draw on their experience, depth, and composure to deliver one final complete performance on home ice and outlast one of the league’s most talented teams in a do-or-die battle.

Colorado vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Avalanche and Stars play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.

Colorado vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Avalanche and Stars and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Avalanche team going up against a possibly rested Stars team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Colorado vs Dallas picks, computer picks Avalanche vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Avalanche Betting Trends

The Avalanche have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against the Stars, going 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games when playing Dallas and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas .

Stars Betting Trends

The Stars have also faced challenges ATS recently, posting a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 games and a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games at home .

Avalanche vs. Stars Matchup Trends

In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 games when Colorado plays on the road against Dallas, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games in this setting .

Colorado vs. Dallas Game Info

Colorado vs Dallas starts on May 03, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas +1.5
Moneyline: Colorado -137, Dallas +115
Over/Under: 5.5

Colorado: (49-29)  |  Dallas: (50-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 games when Colorado plays on the road against Dallas, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games in this setting .

COL trend: The Avalanche have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against the Stars, going 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games when playing Dallas and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas .

DAL trend: The Stars have also faced challenges ATS recently, posting a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 games and a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games at home .

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Colorado vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Colorado vs Dallas Opening Odds

COL Moneyline: -137
DAL Moneyline: +115
COL Spread: -1.5
DAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Colorado vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+135
-165
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-145
+118
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-125
+105
-1.5 (+185)
+1.5 (-225)
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-106)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars on May 03, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS