Stars vs. Avalanche
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 01 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche are set to face off in Game 6 of their first-round playoff series on May 1, 2025, with the Stars leading the series 3-2. Dallas aims to close out the series on home ice, while Colorado looks to force a decisive Game 7.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 01, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: Ball Arena​

Avalanche Record: (49-29)

Stars Record: (50-26)

OPENING ODDS

DAL Moneyline: +151

COL Moneyline: -181

DAL Spread: +1.5

COL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Avalanche have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, demonstrating strong performance against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups.

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Stars have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations during the playoffs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In this series, the Avalanche have consistently outperformed the spread in away games, while the Stars have struggled to cover at home. This trend suggests a potential edge for bettors favoring the Avalanche in upcoming matchups.

DAL vs. COL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.

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Dallas vs Colorado Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/1/25

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche prepare to battle in a pivotal Game 6 on May 1, 2025, with Dallas leading the series 3-2 and holding the chance to clinch at home. The series has unfolded with the intensity and physicality expected from two Central Division rivals, featuring high-end skill, grinding defensive play, and goaltending performances that have shaped each game’s momentum. Dallas has leveraged its home-ice advantage, structured team play, and consistent depth scoring to seize the upper hand, while Colorado—despite flashes of brilliance—has struggled to find offensive consistency against the Stars’ well-organized system. Throughout the series, Dallas has frustrated Colorado’s transition game, denying clean zone entries and forcing the Avalanche to chase puck possession, often rendering stars like Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen less effective at even strength. Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell have anchored the Stars’ blue line with poise, disrupting rushes and blocking shots with a tenacity that has set the tone for their defensive corps. Offensively, the Stars have received timely contributions from Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Jamie Benn, who have all elevated their play and helped exploit gaps in Colorado’s defensive coverage. For the Avalanche, their game plan hinges on dictating pace through quick zone transitions and capitalizing on open ice, but Dallas’s disciplined neutral zone coverage has significantly muted that strategy. Cale Makar continues to be a difference-maker from the blue line, generating chances through evasive skating and precise passing, but he has lacked sustained support from the rest of the defense corps.

Goaltending has been a swing factor in this series, with Jake Oettinger delivering composed, timely saves for the Stars, often providing the safety net during defensive breakdowns, whereas Colorado’s Alexandar Georgiev has had inconsistent stretches and allowed momentum-shifting goals that have placed the Avalanche in difficult positions. The special teams battle has slightly tilted in Dallas’s favor, with their power play finding key goals in tight situations and the penalty kill largely neutralizing Colorado’s top unit. Heading into Game 6, the Stars will emphasize defensive structure, efficient puck management, and capitalizing on counterattacks to stifle Colorado’s speed game, knowing full well the dangers of letting a talented opponent force a Game 7. Meanwhile, the Avalanche are likely to come out with urgency, pressing the forecheck and trying to create chaos in front of the net to disrupt Oettinger’s rhythm and energize their own offense. Emotionally and mentally, this game will be a test of poise and execution—Dallas must avoid playing cautiously with the lead, while Colorado must balance desperation with discipline. Each shift will matter, each line change must be calculated, and each mistake could turn the tide of the series. With playoff survival on the line for Colorado and a chance to advance for Dallas, fans can expect a fast-paced, heavy-hitting, and fiercely contested game filled with playoff drama, where momentum can swing on a single shot, a single save, or a single turnover. This is playoff hockey at its most intense, and Game 6 promises to be a defining chapter in what has been a thrilling and evenly fought series.

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Colorado Avalanche arrive in Dallas for Game 6 on May 1, 2025, facing elimination and needing a complete performance to force a decisive Game 7 in their first-round series against the Stars. While the Avalanche possess the talent, experience, and championship pedigree to rally, their inability to string together consistent performances has put them on the brink. Colorado’s offense, usually one of the most explosive in the league, has been bottled up by Dallas’s structured and physical defensive approach, limiting time and space for their star players. Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Artturi Lehkonen have each had moments of offensive brilliance, but the Avalanche have struggled to maintain zone time and penetrate the Stars’ defensive layers with any regularity. Their trademark speed through the neutral zone has been neutralized by Dallas’s commitment to clogging lanes and denying clean entries, forcing Colorado to dump and chase—a tactic that has not yielded high-percentage chances. Cale Makar remains their most dynamic force from the blue line, and while he continues to create opportunities with his skating and vision, he has been met with physical resistance and targeted matchups designed to frustrate his offensive flow. One of the most concerning trends for the Avalanche has been their lack of scoring depth in this series; secondary lines have been ineffective, failing to sustain offensive pressure or capitalize on rebounds and turnovers. Defensively, Colorado has struggled with coverage gaps, particularly when Dallas executes quick puck movement and aggressive cycles below the goal line, exposing weaknesses in communication and positioning.

Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has faced a barrage of quality shots and must elevate his play in Game 6 if Colorado is to survive—rebound control and high-danger saves will be paramount. Special teams have also been a sore spot, with the Avalanche power play misfiring under pressure and the penalty kill yielding costly goals at inopportune moments. For Colorado to respond and even the series, they must return to their identity: pushing the pace, playing clean through the neutral zone, and driving the net with intent. Head coach Jared Bednar may consider adjusting line combinations or shortening the bench to emphasize urgency and maximize the impact of top-tier talent. Mentally, the Avalanche must embrace the do-or-die scenario and use their playoff scars from previous years as fuel for a galvanizing performance. Emotional control will be critical—they cannot afford retaliatory penalties or breakdowns resulting from frustration. Above all, the Avalanche must rediscover their confidence and rhythm early in Game 6; if they establish momentum in the first period, their high-octane offense can turn the tide. However, if they fall behind or become bogged down in Dallas’s grinding style, their season could end prematurely. With their backs to the wall, the Avalanche’s best players need to be their best players, and their team game must be sharper than it has been at any point in the series. Game 6 represents a final stand, and Colorado must play like a team unwilling to surrender their Stanley Cup aspirations without a fight.

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche are set to face off in Game 6 of their first-round playoff series on May 1, 2025, with the Stars leading the series 3-2. Dallas aims to close out the series on home ice, while Colorado looks to force a decisive Game 7. Dallas vs Colorado AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars return home for Game 6 of their first-round playoff series against the Colorado Avalanche with a 3-2 series lead and an opportunity to clinch a second-round berth on May 1, 2025. Their performance thus far has been emblematic of a team built for playoff success: structured, composed, and opportunistic. The Stars have effectively executed a disciplined game plan that has neutralized Colorado’s explosive speed and forced the Avalanche into uncomfortable positions throughout the series. Their defensive layers, orchestrated by standout defensemen Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell, have frustrated Colorado’s transition game and closed down time and space in the defensive zone. The Stars have demonstrated an ability to win in multiple styles—tight checking contests, opportunistic bursts, or holding leads with smart, conservative play. Offensively, Dallas has received contributions throughout the lineup, with Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson leading the charge. Robertson’s creativity and scoring touch have been pivotal, while Hintz’s speed and forechecking have consistently tilted the ice. Veteran Jamie Benn has added his usual blend of physicality and timely scoring, and Wyatt Johnston has emerged as a confident presence capable of seizing the moment in key stretches. Their power play has provided critical momentum swings and goals in key moments, and the penalty kill has excelled at denying space and clearing rebounds, a major factor in their ability to limit Colorado’s potent man advantage.

In goal, Jake Oettinger has been a model of calm and consistency, turning aside high-danger chances and providing the kind of backstop confidence that ripples through the entire bench. His ability to read the play and make composed, timely saves has been a significant edge in a series where goaltending has often tipped the balance. Dallas’s ability to strike first and control tempo has been another consistent advantage; when the Stars score early, they’ve managed to dictate the pace of the game and impose their style. Heading into Game 6, head coach Peter DeBoer will stress the importance of starting strong, staying disciplined, and minimizing turnovers in vulnerable areas—especially against a desperate Avalanche team that will undoubtedly push with urgency. The Stars will benefit from the home crowd at American Airlines Center, a crucial emotional boost that has helped energize the team during tight playoff moments. However, Dallas must remain wary of the dangers of playing with a lead in the series; complacency can be lethal against a team with Colorado’s firepower. A full sixty-minute effort is non-negotiable, and every shift must be treated with playoff-level urgency. If the Stars can replicate their suffocating defensive pressure, maintain the rhythm on special teams, and get the kind of netminding Oettinger has delivered all series, they will be well-positioned to close out the Avalanche and move forward. With an identity rooted in accountability, structure, and opportunistic execution, Dallas has shown they have the tools and mentality to contend—and Game 6 presents the perfect chance to prove it once more.

Dallas vs. Colorado Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Stars and Avalanche play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.

Dallas vs. Colorado Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Stars and Avalanche and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors tend to put on Colorado’s strength factors between a Stars team going up against a possibly improved Avalanche team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Dallas vs Colorado picks, computer picks Stars vs Avalanche, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Stars Betting Trends

The Avalanche have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, demonstrating strong performance against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups.

Avalanche Betting Trends

The Stars have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations during the playoffs.

Stars vs. Avalanche Matchup Trends

In this series, the Avalanche have consistently outperformed the spread in away games, while the Stars have struggled to cover at home. This trend suggests a potential edge for bettors favoring the Avalanche in upcoming matchups.

Dallas vs. Colorado Game Info

Dallas vs Colorado starts on May 01, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Colorado -1.5
Moneyline: Dallas +151, Colorado -181
Over/Under: 6

Dallas: (50-26)  |  Colorado: (49-29)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Nelson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In this series, the Avalanche have consistently outperformed the spread in away games, while the Stars have struggled to cover at home. This trend suggests a potential edge for bettors favoring the Avalanche in upcoming matchups.

DAL trend: The Avalanche have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, demonstrating strong performance against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups.

COL trend: The Stars have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations during the playoffs.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Dallas vs. Colorado Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Colorado trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Dallas vs Colorado Opening Odds

DAL Moneyline: +151
COL Moneyline: -181
DAL Spread: +1.5
COL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Dallas vs Colorado Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+280
-350
+1.5 (+115)
-1.5 (-135)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+170
-210
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+120)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-110
-110
-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-275)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+145
-185
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+138
-155
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-125
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+125
-140
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-115
+102
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-115
+102
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+106)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+178
-200
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+138
-155
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-106
-106
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)

NHL Past Picks

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche on May 01, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN