Canadiens vs. Capitals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 30 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-28T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Montreal Canadiens face the Washington Capitals in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on April 30, 2025, at Capital One Arena. The Capitals lead the series 3–1 and aim to close it out at home, while the Canadiens fight to extend their postseason run.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 30, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Capital One Arena
Capitals Record: (51-22)
Canadiens Record: (40-31)
OPENING ODDS
MON Moneyline: +158
WAS Moneyline: -191
MON Spread: +1.5
WAS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
MON
Betting Trends
- The Canadiens posted a 48–34 record against the spread (ATS) during the regular season, including a 24–17 ATS mark on the road.
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Capitals achieved a 23–18 ATS record at home in the regular season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The OVER has hit in 23 of Montreal’s 41 regular-season road games, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring contests when the Canadiens play away.
MON vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Wilson under 5.5 Hits.
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Montreal vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/30/25
Special teams could once again play a crucial role in Game 5, with the Capitals’ power play looking far more threatening than Montreal’s, and their penalty kill effectively stifling the Canadiens’ opportunities with the man advantage. Head coach Spencer Carbery will stress the importance of staying disciplined, avoiding the temptation to retaliate in a series that has seen its share of physical moments, and ensuring that Washington maintains the structured, methodical approach that has yielded success so far. For Montreal, head coach Martin St. Louis will likely preach a message of urgency, resilience, and a back-to-basics approach: simplify entries, crash the net, and create chaos in front of Thompson to generate second and third opportunities. Historically, the pressure in Game 5 heavily favors the team with a 3–1 lead, but if the Canadiens can strike first and sow some seeds of doubt, momentum can shift quickly in playoff hockey. Nevertheless, Washington’s depth, confidence, and home-ice advantage make them heavy favorites to close out the series, while Montreal will need to deliver their most complete, determined performance yet if they hope to extend their postseason life and send the series back to Quebec for a Game 6.
113 dB 🔊#GoHabsGo pic.twitter.com/YC6OJTwegH
— x - Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) April 26, 2025
Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview
The Montreal Canadiens head into Game 5 facing the stark reality of elimination but with the resilient spirit of a young team that has consistently punched above its weight throughout the 2024–2025 season and into the playoffs. Despite trailing the series 3–1, the Canadiens have not lacked effort; rather, they have struggled to find enough consistent offense against a well-structured Washington Capitals squad that has done an exceptional job bottling up Montreal’s transition game and limiting time and space for their top scorers. Captain Nick Suzuki will once again be at the center of the Canadiens’ attack, tasked with driving play at both ends of the ice, while sniper Cole Caufield must find a way to break free from the tight checking and unleash his lethal shot if Montreal hopes to extend their season. Rookie defenseman Lane Hutson has shown tremendous poise in his first playoff series, leading the team in assists and moving the puck with confidence under heavy forechecking pressure, but Montreal’s blue line as a whole must do a better job limiting turnovers and clearing rebounds if they are to keep the Capitals from generating second and third chances in tight.
In net, Sam Montembeault will be counted on to deliver his best performance of the postseason, needing to make critical saves early to give the Canadiens a chance to build belief and perhaps play with a rare lead, something they have struggled to do throughout the series. Special teams could prove decisive, as Montreal’s power play must find a way to crack Washington’s aggressive penalty kill, while the Canadiens’ own penalty killers must continue to limit Alexander Ovechkin and the Capitals’ dangerous man-advantage unit. Head coach Martin St. Louis will likely urge his team to play fast but simple hockey, emphasizing the need to get pucks deep, establish a heavy forecheck, and create traffic in front of Thompson to disrupt his vision and rebound control. For the Canadiens, the formula is straightforward but challenging: score first, play with discipline, and manage the puck carefully through the neutral zone to avoid feeding Washington’s transition game. While history and momentum are firmly stacked against them, the Canadiens have embraced their underdog role all season long, and they’ll look to summon one more desperate, courageous effort to push the series back to Montreal and keep their postseason dream alive.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Washington Capitals NHL Preview
The Washington Capitals return to Capital One Arena for Game 5 with a golden opportunity to wrap up their first-round playoff series against the Montreal Canadiens, buoyed by a 3–1 series lead and the kind of complete team performance that has defined their success throughout the opening round. Washington’s recipe for success has been rooted in outstanding goaltending from Logan Thompson, whose postseason numbers—a sparkling 1.47 goals-against average and a .951 save percentage—have provided a steadying influence and allowed the Capitals to play confidently and patiently in front of him. Offensively, Dylan Strome has emerged as a key figure, leading the team in points, while Alexander Ovechkin’s mere presence continues to tilt the ice, drawing defenders and opening lanes for others, even when he’s not lighting up the scoreboard himself. The Capitals’ depth has been on full display, with strong secondary contributions from players like T.J. Oshie and Evgeny Kuznetsov, who have consistently won board battles, kept cycles alive, and generated chances from gritty work in the dirty areas. Defensively, Washington has done an excellent job limiting Montreal’s ability to generate sustained pressure, collapsing quickly to the net and clearing rebounds efficiently to minimize second-chance opportunities.
Their special teams have been sharp as well, with an aggressive penalty kill that has not only neutralized Montreal’s power play but also created occasional shorthanded chances to swing momentum. Head coach Spencer Carbery has managed his bench masterfully, balancing minutes to keep his top stars fresh while trusting his depth players to execute in key situations, a luxury that becomes even more valuable as playoff series wear on. The Capitals’ home record during the season was solid, and they’ve shown an ability to feed off the energy of their fans, often starting games with strong first periods that set the tone early and force opponents to chase the game. Heading into Game 5, Washington’s strategy will likely center around playing fast but disciplined hockey, capitalizing on Montreal’s mistakes without taking unnecessary risks, and ensuring that their power play remains a dagger if the Canadiens lose composure. With experience, depth, and momentum all tilting in their favor, the Capitals are primed to deliver another professional, clinical effort in front of their home crowd and advance to the next round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
“Tough to see Logan go down. You get a chance to go get in the net. You want to go out and do your job.”
— Washington Capitals (@Capitals) April 26, 2025
Charlie Lindgren speaks to the media after playing in relief of Logan Thompson in last night’s Game 3.#ALLCAPS | @MedStarHealth pic.twitter.com/XAtyEjFvWU
Montreal vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)
Montreal vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Canadiens and Capitals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Montreal’s strength factors between a Canadiens team going up against a possibly deflated Capitals team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Montreal vs Washington picks, computer picks Canadiens vs Capitals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Canadiens Betting Trends
The Canadiens posted a 48–34 record against the spread (ATS) during the regular season, including a 24–17 ATS mark on the road.
Capitals Betting Trends
The Capitals achieved a 23–18 ATS record at home in the regular season.
Canadiens vs. Capitals Matchup Trends
The OVER has hit in 23 of Montreal’s 41 regular-season road games, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring contests when the Canadiens play away.
Montreal vs. Washington Game Info
What time does Montreal vs Washington start on April 30, 2025?
Montreal vs Washington starts on April 30, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Montreal vs Washington being played?
Venue: Capital One Arena.
What are the opening odds for Montreal vs Washington?
Spread: Washington -1.5
Moneyline: Montreal +158, Washington -191
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Montreal vs Washington?
Montreal: (40-31) | Washington: (51-22)
What is the AI best bet for Montreal vs Washington?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Wilson under 5.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Montreal vs Washington trending bets?
The OVER has hit in 23 of Montreal’s 41 regular-season road games, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring contests when the Canadiens play away.
What are Montreal trending bets?
MON trend: The Canadiens posted a 48–34 record against the spread (ATS) during the regular season, including a 24–17 ATS mark on the road.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Capitals achieved a 23–18 ATS record at home in the regular season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Montreal vs Washington?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Montreal vs. Washington Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Montreal vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Montreal vs Washington Opening Odds
MON Moneyline:
+158 WAS Moneyline: -191
MON Spread: +1.5
WAS Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Montreal vs Washington Live Odds
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+155
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
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-130
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O 6.5 (+110)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals on April 30, 2025 at Capital One Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |