Capitals vs. Canadiens
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 27 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Capitals lead the Montreal Canadiens 2–1 in their first-round playoff series, with Game 4 scheduled for Sunday, April 27, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal. After a commanding 6–3 victory in Game 3, the Canadiens aim to even the series on home ice, while the Capitals look to regain momentum and move closer to advancing.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 27, 2025

Start Time: 6:30 PM EST​

Venue: Bell Centre​

Canadiens Record: (40-31)

Capitals Record: (51-22)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: -117

MON Moneyline: -103

WAS Spread: -1.5

MON Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 6

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Capitals have struggled against the puck line recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record stands at 35–47, indicating challenges in surpassing betting expectations.

MON
Betting Trends

  • The Canadiens have been more reliable for bettors, with a 44–32 record against the puck line this season. They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing improved performance in recent matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the puck line in 4 games, suggesting a potential home-ice advantage. Additionally, the total has gone over in 3 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring affairs.

WAS vs. MON
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.

LIVE NHL ODDS

NHL ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
308-221
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+418
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$41,803
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1554-1329
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+376.6
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,661

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Washington vs Montreal Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/27/25

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens meet for Game 4 of their first-round playoff series at the Bell Centre, with the Capitals holding a narrow 2–1 series lead but facing mounting pressure after a lopsided 6–3 defeat in Game 3 that reignited Montreal’s hopes. The Canadiens delivered their most complete performance of the series on Friday night, dominating puck possession, applying relentless forechecking pressure, and exposing Washington’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly after Capitals goaltender Logan Thompson exited with an injury; his availability for Game 4 remains uncertain and backup Charlie Lindgren is expected to step in if needed. Montreal’s youthful energy, spearheaded by Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki, overwhelmed the Capitals’ veteran core in Game 3, with Caufield’s scoring touch and Suzuki’s playmaking proving too much for a Washington defense that struggled to contain zone entries and second-chance opportunities. The Capitals, meanwhile, will look to regroup and reassert their identity behind their battle-tested leaders, with Alex Ovechkin and Dylan Strome expected to shoulder much of the offensive burden and John Carlson tasked with stabilizing a blue line that must be sharper in transition. Special teams loom large as a deciding factor, with Washington’s power play still a major weapon, while Montreal’s penalty kill, buoyed by strong goaltending from Cayden Primeau, has shown greater resilience after a rocky start to the series.

The Canadiens’ aggressive approach—pushing the pace, driving the net, and forcing turnovers—paid huge dividends in Game 3, and they will likely stick to the same formula to disrupt Washington’s rhythm and take advantage of a shaken defensive corps. For Washington, minimizing turnovers in the neutral zone, regaining structure in their defensive zone coverage, and getting secondary scoring from the likes of Tom Wilson and Anthony Mantha will be critical if they hope to reclaim momentum. Montreal’s ability to feed off the energy of a raucous Bell Centre crowd cannot be overstated, and if the Canadiens can strike early, the Capitals may find themselves in an uphill battle throughout Game 4. Conversely, if Washington can weather the early storm, slow down Montreal’s transition game, and capitalize on their special teams opportunities, they could put themselves in prime position to return home with a commanding 3–1 series lead. With emotions running high and the series finely poised, Sunday’s showdown promises a blend of physicality, urgency, and playoff drama, with every shift potentially swinging the balance of the series. Both teams understand the stakes: for Montreal, it’s about evening the series and making this a long, grueling battle; for Washington, it’s an opportunity to tighten their grip and inch closer to a second-round berth. Expect a fast-paced, hard-hitting game where discipline, goaltending, and execution in key moments will ultimately determine the outcome.

Washington Capitals NHL Preview

The Washington Capitals head into Game 4 looking to regroup and reestablish control after suffering a 6–3 defeat at the hands of a surging Montreal Canadiens team, a result that exposed some cracks in their defensive structure and raised questions about their ability to adapt without starting goaltender Logan Thompson, whose status remains uncertain following his Game 3 injury. If Thompson is unable to go, backup Charlie Lindgren will step in, bringing a wealth of experience and familiarity with Montreal’s arena, though the pressure on the Capitals’ defensive corps to tighten up and limit quality chances will be immense. Offensively, the Capitals continue to rely heavily on their veteran core, with Alex Ovechkin leading the charge as both a scorer and emotional catalyst, while Dylan Strome and T.J. Oshie provide critical secondary scoring and net-front presence. Washington’s power play remains one of its deadliest weapons, capable of swinging momentum with a single opportunity, but they will need to draw more penalties and be sharper at even strength after being largely outskated and outworked in Game 3.

Defensively, John Carlson and Rasmus Sandin must do a better job containing Montreal’s transition game and cutting off passing lanes that allowed the Canadiens to generate multiple odd-man rushes last time out. Head coach Spencer Carbery will likely emphasize a return to the Capitals’ more structured, physical style of play, focusing on controlling the neutral zone, winning board battles, and playing smart, disciplined hockey to minimize mistakes that could feed Montreal’s speed game. Special teams execution and managing the emotional swings of a hostile road environment will be critical, especially against a Canadiens team riding the wave of home-ice momentum. A victory in Game 4 would not only restore a 3–1 series advantage for the Capitals but also give them a chance to close out the series at home, avoiding a scenario where a young, fearless Montreal team gains even more belief. With playoff survival instincts kicking in and their championship pedigree on the line, expect a more focused, urgent Washington team determined to regain the upper hand and impose their will on a series that is far from decided.

The Washington Capitals lead the Montreal Canadiens 2–1 in their first-round playoff series, with Game 4 scheduled for Sunday, April 27, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal. After a commanding 6–3 victory in Game 3, the Canadiens aim to even the series on home ice, while the Capitals look to regain momentum and move closer to advancing. Washington vs Montreal AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview

The Montreal Canadiens come into Game 4 with a surge of confidence and renewed belief after a commanding 6–3 victory in Game 3, a win that not only trimmed their series deficit to 2–1 but also reignited their playoff aspirations in front of a raucous Bell Centre crowd. Montreal’s formula for success was on full display Friday night: relentless forechecking, quick transitions, opportunistic finishing, and an energetic tempo that kept the Capitals on their heels for large stretches of the game. Led by the dynamic duo of Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki, the Canadiens’ young core has risen to the occasion, with Caufield’s finishing ability and Suzuki’s two-way excellence providing the kind of spark needed to overcome the experience gap against Washington’s veteran-heavy lineup. In goal, Cayden Primeau delivered a poised performance stepping in for the injured Sam Montembeault, showing excellent rebound control and calmness under pressure, traits that will again be crucial in Game 4 as the Capitals are expected to push harder to reclaim control. Montreal’s defensive structure tightened considerably in Game 3, with David Savard and Mike Matheson anchoring a group that did a much better job boxing out Washington’s forwards and clearing traffic in front of the net.

Special teams continue to play a pivotal role, with the Canadiens’ penalty kill neutralizing the Capitals’ potent power play at critical moments, while their own man advantage showed better puck movement and shot selection. Head coach Martin St. Louis will likely stick with the high-energy approach that has served them well, emphasizing quick zone exits, aggressive puck pursuit, and creating chaos around the Capitals’ net, particularly if backup Charlie Lindgren gets the start in goal. The emotional edge provided by the Bell Centre crowd cannot be underestimated, as the Canadiens have consistently fed off the home atmosphere, turning it into a genuine advantage. A win in Game 4 would even the series at 2–2, completely shifting the dynamic and putting all the pressure back on Washington ahead of a pivotal Game 5, while continuing to build belief that this young, resilient Canadiens team can pull off a major first-round upset.

Washington vs. Montreal Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Capitals and Canadiens play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Bell Centre in Apr can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.

Washington vs. Montreal Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Capitals and Canadiens and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors tend to put on Washington’s strength factors between a Capitals team going up against a possibly unhealthy Canadiens team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Montreal picks, computer picks Capitals vs Canadiens, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Capitals Betting Trends

The Capitals have struggled against the puck line recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record stands at 35–47, indicating challenges in surpassing betting expectations.

Canadiens Betting Trends

The Canadiens have been more reliable for bettors, with a 44–32 record against the puck line this season. They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing improved performance in recent matchups.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Matchup Trends

In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the puck line in 4 games, suggesting a potential home-ice advantage. Additionally, the total has gone over in 3 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring affairs.

Washington vs. Montreal Game Info

Washington vs Montreal starts on April 27, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST.

Spread: Montreal +1.5
Moneyline: Washington -117, Montreal -103
Over/Under: 6

Washington: (51-22)  |  Montreal: (40-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the puck line in 4 games, suggesting a potential home-ice advantage. Additionally, the total has gone over in 3 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring affairs.

WAS trend: The Capitals have struggled against the puck line recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record stands at 35–47, indicating challenges in surpassing betting expectations.

MON trend: The Canadiens have been more reliable for bettors, with a 44–32 record against the puck line this season. They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing improved performance in recent matchups.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Montreal Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Montreal trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Washington vs Montreal Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: -117
MON Moneyline: -103
WAS Spread: -1.5
MON Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6

Washington vs Montreal Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+240
-315
+1.5 (+102)
-1.5 (-130)
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-127)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+160
-200
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+128)
O 6 (-114)
U 6 (-114)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-117
-107
-1 (+145)
+1 (-190)
O 5.5 (-124)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+145)
O 6 (-107)
U 6 (-121)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+143
-180
+1.5 (-186)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (-109)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+170
-215
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+120)
O 6 (-113)
U 6 (-114)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-175)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (-109)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens on April 27, 2025 at Bell Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN