Capitals vs. Canadiens
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 27 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Capitals lead the Montreal Canadiens 2–1 in their first-round playoff series, with Game 4 scheduled for Sunday, April 27, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal. After a commanding 6–3 victory in Game 3, the Canadiens aim to even the series on home ice, while the Capitals look to regain momentum and move closer to advancing.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 27, 2025
Start Time: 6:30 PM EST
Venue: Bell Centre
Canadiens Record: (40-31)
Capitals Record: (51-22)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: -117
MON Moneyline: -103
WAS Spread: -1.5
MON Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Capitals have struggled against the puck line recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record stands at 35–47, indicating challenges in surpassing betting expectations.
MON
Betting Trends
- The Canadiens have been more reliable for bettors, with a 44–32 record against the puck line this season. They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing improved performance in recent matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the puck line in 4 games, suggesting a potential home-ice advantage. Additionally, the total has gone over in 3 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring affairs.
WAS vs. MON
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.
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Washington vs Montreal Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/27/25
The Canadiens’ aggressive approach—pushing the pace, driving the net, and forcing turnovers—paid huge dividends in Game 3, and they will likely stick to the same formula to disrupt Washington’s rhythm and take advantage of a shaken defensive corps. For Washington, minimizing turnovers in the neutral zone, regaining structure in their defensive zone coverage, and getting secondary scoring from the likes of Tom Wilson and Anthony Mantha will be critical if they hope to reclaim momentum. Montreal’s ability to feed off the energy of a raucous Bell Centre crowd cannot be overstated, and if the Canadiens can strike early, the Capitals may find themselves in an uphill battle throughout Game 4. Conversely, if Washington can weather the early storm, slow down Montreal’s transition game, and capitalize on their special teams opportunities, they could put themselves in prime position to return home with a commanding 3–1 series lead. With emotions running high and the series finely poised, Sunday’s showdown promises a blend of physicality, urgency, and playoff drama, with every shift potentially swinging the balance of the series. Both teams understand the stakes: for Montreal, it’s about evening the series and making this a long, grueling battle; for Washington, it’s an opportunity to tighten their grip and inch closer to a second-round berth. Expect a fast-paced, hard-hitting game where discipline, goaltending, and execution in key moments will ultimately determine the outcome.
“Tough to see Logan go down. You get a chance to go get in the net. You want to go out and do your job.”
— Washington Capitals (@Capitals) April 26, 2025
Charlie Lindgren speaks to the media after playing in relief of Logan Thompson in last night’s Game 3.#ALLCAPS | @MedStarHealth pic.twitter.com/XAtyEjFvWU
Washington Capitals NHL Preview
The Washington Capitals head into Game 4 looking to regroup and reestablish control after suffering a 6–3 defeat at the hands of a surging Montreal Canadiens team, a result that exposed some cracks in their defensive structure and raised questions about their ability to adapt without starting goaltender Logan Thompson, whose status remains uncertain following his Game 3 injury. If Thompson is unable to go, backup Charlie Lindgren will step in, bringing a wealth of experience and familiarity with Montreal’s arena, though the pressure on the Capitals’ defensive corps to tighten up and limit quality chances will be immense. Offensively, the Capitals continue to rely heavily on their veteran core, with Alex Ovechkin leading the charge as both a scorer and emotional catalyst, while Dylan Strome and T.J. Oshie provide critical secondary scoring and net-front presence. Washington’s power play remains one of its deadliest weapons, capable of swinging momentum with a single opportunity, but they will need to draw more penalties and be sharper at even strength after being largely outskated and outworked in Game 3.
Defensively, John Carlson and Rasmus Sandin must do a better job containing Montreal’s transition game and cutting off passing lanes that allowed the Canadiens to generate multiple odd-man rushes last time out. Head coach Spencer Carbery will likely emphasize a return to the Capitals’ more structured, physical style of play, focusing on controlling the neutral zone, winning board battles, and playing smart, disciplined hockey to minimize mistakes that could feed Montreal’s speed game. Special teams execution and managing the emotional swings of a hostile road environment will be critical, especially against a Canadiens team riding the wave of home-ice momentum. A victory in Game 4 would not only restore a 3–1 series advantage for the Capitals but also give them a chance to close out the series at home, avoiding a scenario where a young, fearless Montreal team gains even more belief. With playoff survival instincts kicking in and their championship pedigree on the line, expect a more focused, urgent Washington team determined to regain the upper hand and impose their will on a series that is far from decided.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview
The Montreal Canadiens come into Game 4 with a surge of confidence and renewed belief after a commanding 6–3 victory in Game 3, a win that not only trimmed their series deficit to 2–1 but also reignited their playoff aspirations in front of a raucous Bell Centre crowd. Montreal’s formula for success was on full display Friday night: relentless forechecking, quick transitions, opportunistic finishing, and an energetic tempo that kept the Capitals on their heels for large stretches of the game. Led by the dynamic duo of Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki, the Canadiens’ young core has risen to the occasion, with Caufield’s finishing ability and Suzuki’s two-way excellence providing the kind of spark needed to overcome the experience gap against Washington’s veteran-heavy lineup. In goal, Cayden Primeau delivered a poised performance stepping in for the injured Sam Montembeault, showing excellent rebound control and calmness under pressure, traits that will again be crucial in Game 4 as the Capitals are expected to push harder to reclaim control. Montreal’s defensive structure tightened considerably in Game 3, with David Savard and Mike Matheson anchoring a group that did a much better job boxing out Washington’s forwards and clearing traffic in front of the net.
Special teams continue to play a pivotal role, with the Canadiens’ penalty kill neutralizing the Capitals’ potent power play at critical moments, while their own man advantage showed better puck movement and shot selection. Head coach Martin St. Louis will likely stick with the high-energy approach that has served them well, emphasizing quick zone exits, aggressive puck pursuit, and creating chaos around the Capitals’ net, particularly if backup Charlie Lindgren gets the start in goal. The emotional edge provided by the Bell Centre crowd cannot be underestimated, as the Canadiens have consistently fed off the home atmosphere, turning it into a genuine advantage. A win in Game 4 would even the series at 2–2, completely shifting the dynamic and putting all the pressure back on Washington ahead of a pivotal Game 5, while continuing to build belief that this young, resilient Canadiens team can pull off a major first-round upset.
113 dB 🔊#GoHabsGo pic.twitter.com/YC6OJTwegH
— x - Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) April 26, 2025
Washington vs. Montreal Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Montreal Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Capitals and Canadiens and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors tend to put on Washington’s strength factors between a Capitals team going up against a possibly unhealthy Canadiens team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Montreal picks, computer picks Capitals vs Canadiens, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Capitals Betting Trends
The Capitals have struggled against the puck line recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record stands at 35–47, indicating challenges in surpassing betting expectations.
Canadiens Betting Trends
The Canadiens have been more reliable for bettors, with a 44–32 record against the puck line this season. They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing improved performance in recent matchups.
Capitals vs. Canadiens Matchup Trends
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the puck line in 4 games, suggesting a potential home-ice advantage. Additionally, the total has gone over in 3 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring affairs.
Washington vs. Montreal Game Info
What time does Washington vs Montreal start on April 27, 2025?
Washington vs Montreal starts on April 27, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Montreal being played?
Venue: Bell Centre.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Montreal?
Spread: Montreal +1.5
Moneyline: Washington -117, Montreal -103
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Washington vs Montreal?
Washington: (51-22) | Montreal: (40-31)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Montreal?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Montreal trending bets?
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the puck line in 4 games, suggesting a potential home-ice advantage. Additionally, the total has gone over in 3 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring affairs.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Capitals have struggled against the puck line recently, covering in only 4 of their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record stands at 35–47, indicating challenges in surpassing betting expectations.
What are Montreal trending bets?
MON trend: The Canadiens have been more reliable for bettors, with a 44–32 record against the puck line this season. They’ve covered in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing improved performance in recent matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Montreal?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Montreal Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Montreal trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Montreal Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
-117 MON Moneyline: -103
WAS Spread: -1.5
MON Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
Washington vs Montreal Live Odds
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-130
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens on April 27, 2025 at Bell Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |