Stars vs Avalanche Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 26)

Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche face off in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver. The Stars currently lead the series 2-1, having secured a pivotal victory in Game 3 to regain home-ice advantage.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 26, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: Ball Arena​

Avalanche Record: (49-29)

Stars Record: (50-26)

OPENING ODDS

DAL Moneyline: +158

COL Moneyline: -189

DAL Spread: +1.5

COL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Stars have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread (ATS) recently.

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Avalanche have struggled ATS at home, covering in only 3 of their last 10 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games when the Stars and Avalanche clash.

DAL vs. COL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. MacKinnon under 11.5 Faceoffs Won.

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Dallas vs Colorado Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/26/25

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche are set for a crucial battle in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, with Dallas currently holding a 2-1 edge and looking to tighten their grip on the series at Ball Arena in Denver. After splitting the first two games, the Stars made a major statement in Game 3 with a convincing 4-1 victory that showcased their ability to control pace, capitalize on mistakes, and limit the Avalanche’s dynamic offensive threats. Dallas’ defensive structure has been a hallmark of their success thus far, with goaltender Jake Oettinger playing a critical role, posting a .930 save percentage and standing tall under Colorado’s bursts of pressure. Led by a steady combination of veterans like Joe Pavelski, Jamie Benn, and young stars like Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnston, the Stars have found ways to consistently apply pressure and finish their chances, taking advantage of Colorado’s defensive breakdowns and slower zone exits. Their penalty kill has been sharp, and their forecheck has disrupted the Avalanche’s transition game, which is typically one of Colorado’s most dangerous weapons. The Avalanche, meanwhile, find themselves facing a pivotal moment in the series, needing a bounce-back performance to avoid going down 3-1 against an opponent that is proving extremely difficult to break down at even strength. Colorado’s biggest challenge in this series has been secondary scoring and defensive consistency. While Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar have generated opportunities, the rest of the lineup has not consistently supported them, leaving the Avalanche vulnerable when their top players are neutralized. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has faced a high volume of high-danger chances and has struggled at times to contain rebounds and manage traffic in front, putting additional strain on a defense corps that has been too easily stretched by Dallas’ quick puck movement.

The potential return of Gabriel Landeskog looms large; his presence would inject grit, leadership, and a scoring threat that could balance out Colorado’s forward groups and create matchup problems for Dallas. But beyond individual returns, the Avalanche need to play a more disciplined game, reduce turnovers, and re-establish their speed through the neutral zone if they hope to put Dallas on its heels. Special teams will also be critical, as Colorado’s power play has yet to significantly impact the series, while their penalty kill has struggled against Dallas’ precise puck movement. Game 4 offers the Avalanche a chance to recalibrate and reassert themselves on home ice—but it will require a level of urgency and defensive commitment that has not consistently been present in the series thus far. For the Stars, the formula heading into Game 4 remains simple: stick to the disciplined, structured hockey that has carried them through the regular season and the first three games of the series. They’ve successfully minimized Colorado’s rush chances, managed the puck smartly in their own end, and made life difficult for the Avalanche defense with aggressive cycles and pressure off the boards. Oettinger’s calm presence has allowed Dallas’ skaters to play confidently, knowing that mistakes won’t necessarily end up in the back of the net. Offensively, the Stars have received contributions throughout the lineup, with their depth players stepping up at key moments, taking the pressure off their top scorers, and keeping Colorado’s defense spread thin. Winning Game 4 would give Dallas a commanding 3-1 series lead heading back to American Airlines Center and put them on the brink of advancing in what was expected to be one of the tighter Western Conference matchups. If the Stars stay the course, remain disciplined, and continue frustrating the Avalanche’s stars, they’ll position themselves perfectly to close out the series in front of their home crowd.

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars come into Game 4 of their first-round series against the Colorado Avalanche brimming with momentum and confidence, having grabbed a 2-1 series lead by executing a near-perfect road game in their 4-1 victory in Game 3. Dallas has demonstrated throughout this series why they were considered one of the deepest and most disciplined teams in the Western Conference, combining opportunistic offense, suffocating defensive structure, and outstanding goaltending to neutralize Colorado’s typically dynamic attack. Jake Oettinger has been a rock in goal, posting a stellar .930 save percentage and delivering clutch saves when needed most, allowing the Stars to stay composed even when Colorado generates offensive flurries. The Stars’ blue line, anchored by Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell, has been remarkably efficient in cutting down the Avalanche’s speed through the neutral zone, forcing turnovers, and clearing rebounds before they can develop into second-chance opportunities. Up front, Dallas is getting balanced scoring, with Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Wyatt Johnston leading the charge, while veterans like Joe Pavelski and Jamie Benn continue to provide the critical experience and leadership needed in high-pressure postseason games. What has separated the Stars so far in this series is their commitment to structured team play—every player buying into their roles and executing the details that win playoff games. Their forecheck has been relentless, applying pressure to Colorado’s defensemen and forcing rushed outlet passes, which in turn feeds Dallas’ transition game and creates scoring opportunities. The Stars’ penalty kill has also been a difference-maker, effectively neutralizing the Avalanche’s dangerous power play and frustrating key weapons like Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar.

Meanwhile, offensively, Dallas has shown patience and creativity, avoiding low-percentage perimeter shots and instead working the puck into dangerous areas and crashing the net hard for rebounds and tips. Head coach Pete DeBoer has pushed the right buttons in terms of matchups and line deployment, maintaining fresh legs and creating constant pressure shifts that keep Colorado from finding any sustained rhythm. If Dallas continues this style of play, forcing Colorado into mistakes and capitalizing quickly, they will have a prime opportunity to take a commanding 3-1 lead back to Texas and put the Avalanche on the brink of elimination. The stakes for the Stars in Game 4 are massive: a victory would not only seize complete control of the series but also crush much of the Avalanche’s spirit heading into a potential closeout game on home ice. Dallas must expect an aggressive push from Colorado early, but their calm, methodical style under pressure suggests they will be ready for the initial surge and able to respond by sticking to their game plan. Key areas of focus for the Stars will include staying disciplined to avoid giving Colorado unnecessary power play opportunities, winning puck battles along the boards, and maintaining their aggressive net-front presence to disrupt Colorado goaltender Alexandar Georgiev. With Oettinger in peak form, their defense committed to smart, physical hockey, and the offense clicking across all four lines, Dallas has the blueprint not just to win Game 4, but to establish themselves as a serious threat for a deep playoff run. The message from the Stars’ locker room is clear: stay the course, outwork and outlast the Avalanche, and take a decisive step toward advancing.

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche face off in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver. The Stars currently lead the series 2-1, having secured a pivotal victory in Game 3 to regain home-ice advantage. Dallas vs Colorado AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview

The Colorado Avalanche enter Game 4 of their first-round playoff series against the Dallas Stars facing an urgent need for a response after falling behind 2-1 with a disheartening 4-1 loss on home ice in Game 3, putting them in a precarious position against one of the Western Conference’s most structured and opportunistic teams. After taking Game 2 to even the series, the Avalanche were unable to match Dallas’ pace, discipline, and opportunistic finishing in Game 3, leading to mounting concerns about their ability to generate consistent offense beyond the top-heavy firepower of Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has faced an overwhelming volume of high-danger chances, and while he’s made key saves, the defensive breakdowns in front of him have left too many rebound opportunities and open looks for the Stars to exploit. Colorado’s trademark speed through the neutral zone has been clogged effectively by Dallas’ suffocating gap control, and the Avalanche’s top players have been forced to carry an unsustainable workload, with secondary scorers struggling to break through or provide the timely goals that are critical in tight postseason battles. Offensively, the Avalanche continue to rely heavily on their top stars, with MacKinnon and Makar generating the bulk of the scoring chances, but the lack of sustained offensive zone time and support scoring has left Colorado vulnerable to counterattacks and scrambling in transition.

Players like Mikko Rantanen and Valeri Nichushkin need to find ways to be more impactful in Game 4, driving possession and creating chaos around Jake Oettinger, who has been near unbeatable when seeing the puck cleanly. Colorado’s forecheck, typically a strength, has been inconsistent, allowing Dallas defensemen to exit their zone with relative ease and establish the tempo. Special teams have also been an issue—the Avalanche’s power play, once lethal during the regular season, has been stifled by Dallas’ aggressive penalty kill, while Colorado’s own penalty kill has struggled to contain Dallas’ sharp puck movement. The potential emotional lift of playing another home game in Ball Arena, backed by a passionate crowd, could help reignite the Avalanche’s energy, but the team must stay composed, manage the puck far better, and find ways to crack Dallas’ defensive shell. Game 4 represents a defining moment for Colorado’s postseason hopes; losing would mean heading back to Dallas down 3-1, a mountain even for this talented group to climb against a team that thrives when playing with a lead in a series. The Avalanche need to rediscover the urgency, pace, and physicality that made them one of the NHL’s most feared teams when playing their brand of fast, aggressive hockey. Head coach Jared Bednar may consider mixing up the line combinations to create more matchup problems for Dallas and ignite secondary scorers, while a more assertive, physical gameplan could disrupt Dallas’ clean exits and create the kind of turnovers that lead to quick strike chances. Colorado must also do a better job in front of Georgiev, clearing rebounds and limiting second-chance opportunities, while staying disciplined to avoid gifting the Stars unnecessary power plays. If the Avalanche can strike first, feed off the crowd, and play the type of relentless, aggressive hockey that has defined their identity at their best, they still have the weapons and the experience to turn the series in their favor—but it must start with a full 60-minute effort in Game 4.

Dallas vs. Colorado Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Stars and Avalanche play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. MacKinnon under 11.5 Faceoffs Won.

Dallas vs. Colorado Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Stars and Avalanche and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Colorado’s strength factors between a Stars team going up against a possibly tired Avalanche team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Dallas vs Colorado picks, computer picks Stars vs Avalanche, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Stars Betting Trends

The Stars have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread (ATS) recently.

Avalanche Betting Trends

The Avalanche have struggled ATS at home, covering in only 3 of their last 10 home games.

Stars vs. Avalanche Matchup Trends

The total has gone OVER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games when the Stars and Avalanche clash.

Dallas vs. Colorado Game Info

Dallas vs Colorado starts on April 26, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Colorado -1.5
Moneyline: Dallas +158, Colorado -189
Over/Under: 6

Dallas: (50-26)  |  Colorado: (49-29)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. MacKinnon under 11.5 Faceoffs Won.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games when the Stars and Avalanche clash.

DAL trend: The Stars have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread (ATS) recently.

COL trend: The Avalanche have struggled ATS at home, covering in only 3 of their last 10 home games.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Dallas vs. Colorado Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Colorado trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Dallas vs Colorado Opening Odds

DAL Moneyline: +158
COL Moneyline: -189
DAL Spread: +1.5
COL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Dallas vs Colorado Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+134
-155
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+156)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-140
+120
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-195)
O 6 (-120)
U 6 (+100)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-120
+100
-1.5 (+208)
+1.5 (-245)
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche on April 26, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS