Capitals vs. Canadiens
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 25 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens face off in Game 3 of their first-round Stanley Cup Playoff series on April 25, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal. The Capitals lead the series 2-0, having secured victories in the first two games, including a 3-2 overtime win in Game 1 and a 3-1 win in Game 2.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 25, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Bell Centre​

Canadiens Record: (40-31)

Capitals Record: (51-22)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: -121

MON Moneyline: +101

WAS Spread: -1.5

MON Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Capitals are 9-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 12 road games, demonstrating strong performance on the road.

MON
Betting Trends

  • The Canadiens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, indicating a solid recent performance against the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington’s last 16 games, suggesting high-scoring affairs. Conversely, Montreal has seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 5 games, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games for both teams.

WAS vs. MON
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.

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Washington vs Montreal Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/25/25

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens will battle in Game 3 of their opening-round playoff series on April 25, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, with the Capitals holding a commanding 2-0 series lead and the Canadiens fighting to regain footing on home ice. Washington has capitalized on momentum and veteran leadership, securing a dramatic 3-2 overtime win in Game 1 before a more controlled 3-1 victory in Game 2, showcasing their ability to win in both chaotic and structured game settings. Goaltender Logan Thompson has been a cornerstone of the Capitals’ early playoff success, stopping 58 of the 61 shots he’s faced and giving the team consistent back-end stability that has allowed them to weather offensive surges from Montreal. Meanwhile, key offensive pieces like Alex Ovechkin, who netted the Game 1 overtime winner, and young forward Connor McMichael, who tallied two goals in Game 2, have provided the offensive punch needed to build a multi-game cushion. Washington’s penalty kill and defensive structure have remained solid despite the absence of Martin Fehervary and Aliaksei Protas, both sidelined with injuries, a testament to the team’s depth and coaching adjustments under pressure. The Capitals have also succeeded in slowing down Montreal’s transition game, cutting off clean entries and forcing the Canadiens to work harder for every scoring chance. On the other end, the Canadiens find themselves in a critical situation—down 2-0 and needing a win in Game 3 to avoid a nearly insurmountable series hole. While they’ve competed well, particularly in Game 1, they’ve yet to solve Logan Thompson with consistency and have lacked the high-danger chances needed to capitalize on their bursts of offensive zone time.

Sam Montembeault has performed admirably in goal, keeping Montreal in both games with timely saves and a composed demeanor, but he’s been given little margin for error due to the team’s scoring drought and occasional defensive lapses. Young stars like Juraj Slafkovsky and rookie Ivan Demidov have been bright spots, showcasing speed, puck control, and shot generation, but the Habs have struggled to get meaningful contributions from their bottom six and have been outmatched in special teams situations, particularly on the penalty kill. As the series shifts to Montreal, the Canadiens will need to feed off the energy of the Bell Centre crowd, simplify their offensive zone strategies, and find a way to put consistent pressure on Washington’s defense to open up scoring opportunities. For both teams, Game 3 represents a psychological and strategic turning point—Washington has the opportunity to virtually close out the series with a win, while Montreal is fighting to extend its season and regain belief. The Capitals will look to continue their balanced attack, taking advantage of Montreal’s neutral zone turnovers and maintaining their aggressive forecheck to suppress scoring chances and frustrate the Canadiens’ top lines. On the flip side, Montreal will likely adjust by deploying more physicality early, creating chaos in front of Thompson, and ramping up pressure on the Capitals’ blue line to generate second-chance opportunities. Whether the Canadiens can claw their way back into the series or the Capitals tighten their grip and move within one win of advancing will depend on which team adapts better under playoff pressure. One thing is clear: with the stakes rising, every shift in Game 3 will be decisive.

Washington Capitals NHL Preview

The Washington Capitals enter Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Montreal Canadiens with confidence and momentum firmly on their side after securing two straight wins to open the series. Their Game 1 overtime thriller set the tone, and they followed it up with a poised and effective 3-1 win in Game 2, allowing them to take a commanding 2-0 series lead heading into Montreal. The Capitals have executed their playoff plan with remarkable discipline—showcasing responsible defensive structure, opportunistic scoring, and strong goaltending from Logan Thompson, who has stopped 58 of the 61 shots he’s faced and has emerged as a critical piece of their postseason puzzle. Offensively, Washington is getting meaningful contributions from its leadership core and younger talent alike. Alex Ovechkin continues to prove his postseason mettle, delivering the Game 1 overtime winner, while emerging forward Connor McMichael exploded in Game 2 with a two-goal performance that tilted the ice in Washington’s favor. With the top lines producing and depth players providing energy and solid shifts, the Capitals are looking every bit the part of a team poised for a deep playoff run. Defensively, the Capitals have held the Canadiens to just three goals over two games by limiting time and space in the slot, winning puck battles along the boards, and maintaining tight neutral zone control that has disrupted Montreal’s transition game.

Even without key defenseman Martin Fehervary and forward Aliaksei Protas, both sidelined due to injury, the Capitals have shown resilience and tactical awareness, leaning on their system and trusting their depth to fill gaps without overcompensating or sacrificing structure. Special teams have also played a crucial role in their early success; the penalty kill has been sharp, closing down shooting lanes and clearing second-chance opportunities, while the power play—though yet to fully erupt—has created dangerous sequences that have drawn momentum and penalties from the Canadiens. Head coach Spencer Carbery has managed his lines with precision, keeping the tempo high and ensuring favorable matchups against Montreal’s key threats while spreading minutes effectively to keep his top players fresh. As the series shifts to the Bell Centre, the Capitals know they’ll face an energized Montreal squad and a crowd that will look to lift the home team back into contention. But if Washington can maintain its composure, continue to forecheck aggressively, and dictate the pace of play through its puck management and transition execution, the opportunity is there to seize full control of the series. Game 3 becomes not just a chance to go up 3-0, but a moment to assert that the Capitals are not simply surviving the playoffs—they’re thriving. With momentum, experience, and a battle-tested roster led by one of the game’s most prolific scorers and a goaltender finding his stride, Washington is in a strong position to continue their dominance and put the Canadiens on the brink of elimination.

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens face off in Game 3 of their first-round Stanley Cup Playoff series on April 25, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal. The Capitals lead the series 2-0, having secured victories in the first two games, including a 3-2 overtime win in Game 1 and a 3-1 win in Game 2. Washington vs Montreal AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 25. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview

The Montreal Canadiens return home to the Bell Centre for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Washington Capitals trailing 0-2, but with a firm belief that a shift in energy and strategy could breathe life into their postseason hopes. Despite dropping the first two games in Washington—a 3-2 overtime heartbreaker in Game 1 and a more decisive 3-1 loss in Game 2—the Canadiens have shown competitiveness and resilience, particularly through the play of their youthful core. Juraj Slafkovsky and rookie standout Ivan Demidov have injected offensive spark, creating scoring chances with speed and creativity, but their efforts have yet to translate into the kind of consistent pressure needed to overwhelm Washington’s structured defense. Montreal has outshot the Capitals in stretches and had moments of control, yet the absence of high-danger finishes and sustained forecheck pressure has prevented them from tilting the series in their favor. With the home crowd behind them in what’s expected to be a high-energy atmosphere, the Canadiens will look to reassert themselves physically, set the tone early, and find a way to disrupt the rhythm of a Capitals team that’s grown increasingly confident. One of the Canadiens’ most consistent bright spots has been goaltender Sam Montembeault, who has delivered poised, composed performances in both starts, making several key stops to keep his team within striking distance.

However, the defensive unit in front of him has been susceptible to lapses in coverage, especially when dealing with Washington’s secondary scoring threats and cycle game. If Montreal wants to shift the momentum in Game 3, it will require a more disciplined and tighter defensive approach—limiting rebound chances, closing gaps quicker in the neutral zone, and ensuring support down low. The penalty kill, which has bent but not broken thus far, will need to maintain structure and intensity, particularly against a Capitals power play that has generated momentum even when not converting. Offensively, Montreal must find ways to generate more net-front presence and capitalize on second-chance looks—an area where they’ve struggled through two games. Slafkovsky, Demidov, and Nick Suzuki will be relied upon to lead the charge, but the Canadiens will need more from the middle and bottom six if they hope to wear down Washington’s blueline depth. This game represents a critical juncture not only for the Canadiens’ playoff chances but for their identity as a young team learning how to compete in the postseason. A loss puts them on the brink of elimination, but a win breathes new life into the series and affirms that this group is capable of adapting and responding under pressure. Head coach Martin St. Louis will likely emphasize simplicity—short shifts, clean zone exits, and winning battles along the boards—as the keys to building momentum early and feeding off the home crowd. With their season effectively on the line, Montreal must bring a relentless, structured effort and a fearless mentality to the ice. Game 3 is more than just a must-win—it’s a moment for the Canadiens to take ownership of their playoff fate, shift the narrative, and reestablish themselves as a force capable of challenging the Capitals on every inch of the ice.

Washington vs. Montreal Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Capitals and Canadiens play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Bell Centre in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.

Washington vs. Montreal Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Capitals and Canadiens and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Capitals team going up against a possibly deflated Canadiens team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Montreal picks, computer picks Capitals vs Canadiens, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Capitals Betting Trends

The Capitals are 9-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 12 road games, demonstrating strong performance on the road.

Canadiens Betting Trends

The Canadiens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, indicating a solid recent performance against the spread.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Matchup Trends

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington’s last 16 games, suggesting high-scoring affairs. Conversely, Montreal has seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 5 games, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games for both teams.

Washington vs. Montreal Game Info

Washington vs Montreal starts on April 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Montreal +1.5
Moneyline: Washington -121, Montreal +101
Over/Under: 5.5

Washington: (51-22)  |  Montreal: (40-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Guhle under 3.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington’s last 16 games, suggesting high-scoring affairs. Conversely, Montreal has seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 5 games, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games for both teams.

WAS trend: The Capitals are 9-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 12 road games, demonstrating strong performance on the road.

MON trend: The Canadiens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, indicating a solid recent performance against the spread.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Montreal Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Montreal trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Washington vs Montreal Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: -121
MON Moneyline: +101
WAS Spread: -1.5
MON Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Washington vs Montreal Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
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Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+240
-300
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
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Rangers
+172
-210
+1.5 (-144)
-1.5 (+118)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-140)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
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-104
-115
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+210)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
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Maple Leafs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
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10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
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+145
-185
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens on April 25, 2025 at Bell Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN