Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 22)
Updated: 2025-04-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Toronto Maple Leafs aim to extend their series lead to 2-0 as they host the Ottawa Senators in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff matchup. The Maple Leafs secured a 6-2 victory in Game 1, showcasing their offensive prowess and solid defensive play.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 22, 2025
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs Record: (52-26)
Senators Record: (45-30)
OPENING ODDS
OTT Moneyline: +156
TOR Moneyline: -187
OTT Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
OTT
Betting Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have a 2-3 record against the puck line in their last five games.
TOR
Betting Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have a 1-4 record against the puck line in their last five games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite recent ATS performances, the Maple Leafs are favored with a moneyline of -450, reflecting their strong home-ice advantage and Game 1 performance. The over/under for the game is set at 5.5 goals, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
OTT vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Matthews under 3.5 Hits.
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Ottawa vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/22/25
Players like Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stützle, who were instrumental in Ottawa’s regular-season success, were largely neutralized, and they’ll need to break through Toronto’s tight checking and create chaos in front of the net to make a difference. Goaltending also remains a concern, as the six goals allowed in Game 1 underscore the need for better play from their starter and a more coordinated defensive effort in front of him. Ottawa must also improve on special teams; their power play looked disjointed and their penalty kill was exposed by Toronto’s crisp puck movement and aggressive positioning. This game carries the weight of a potential turning point—either the Senators prove they can adapt and push back, or the Maple Leafs seize a commanding 2-0 series lead and send Ottawa home scrambling. Toronto will look to replicate their Game 1 blueprint: strong puck movement, disciplined defense, and a patient yet punishing attack that wears down the opposition over 60 minutes. Ottawa, by contrast, needs to simplify their game—get pucks deep, establish a forecheck, and force Toronto to defend rather than dictate. Physicality could be a factor, with both teams showing flashes of edge in Game 1, and the Senators may look to ratchet up the intensity to unsettle Toronto’s skilled forwards. As Game 2 unfolds, all eyes will be on how Ottawa responds to adversity and whether Toronto can maintain the discipline and composure that made their Game 1 victory look so complete. Either way, the outcome will heavily influence the shape of this series going forward.
24 hours away from game two! Where will everyone be tuning in from? 📍
— X - Ottawa Senators (@Senators) April 21, 2025
Vingt-quatre heures avant le match numéro deux! Oú serez-vous demain? 📍 pic.twitter.com/kezRngsVsp
Ottawa Senators NHL Preview
The Ottawa Senators enter Game 2 of their first-round playoff series against the Toronto Maple Leafs with their backs partially against the wall following a lopsided 6-2 defeat in Game 1 at Scotiabank Arena. Despite coming into the series as a competitive and fast-developing squad, Ottawa struggled to establish their identity in the opener, overwhelmed by Toronto’s high-octane offense and suffocated by their structured defensive play. The Senators, who have prided themselves on youthful energy and creative puck movement throughout the season, were unable to dictate the pace or generate consistent offensive pressure. Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle, and Claude Giroux were all held in check, largely limited to perimeter chances as Toronto effectively clogged shooting lanes and dominated puck possession. Ottawa’s forecheck, usually a hallmark of their aggressive style, was neutralized early, preventing them from creating the kind of sustained pressure needed to generate rebounds or force defensive miscues from the Leafs. Additionally, turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive lapses inside their own blue line proved costly, often resulting in odd-man rushes or extended zone time for the Maple Leafs. Goaltending was another weak spot for Ottawa in Game 1, as their netminder faced heavy pressure and little support from the defensive core in front of him. Defensive coverage breakdowns led to high-quality scoring chances for Toronto, and while not all goals could be pinned directly on the goalie, a sharper, more composed performance between the pipes will be essential if the Senators are to bounce back in Game 2.
The Senators’ blue line, featuring the likes of Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson, needs to be far more assertive—closing gaps quicker, winning board battles, and breaking the puck out more cleanly to prevent Toronto’s forecheck from hemming them in. Offensively, Ottawa must also be more opportunistic. While they managed a couple of solid scoring chances in the opening frame, they couldn’t capitalize, and once Toronto built a multi-goal cushion, the Senators were forced to chase the game—something that played directly into Toronto’s hands. To turn the tide, Ottawa needs to simplify its offensive zone entries, generate traffic in front of the net, and look for dirty, high-effort goals rather than depending solely on finesse plays. Heading into Game 2, the Senators’ focus will be on recalibrating their approach—tightening their structure, pushing the pace in transition, and increasing their physicality to challenge the Leafs’ rhythm. It’s not just about adjustments on the ice but about attitude and leadership. Players like Tkachuk, Giroux, and Jakob Chychrun must lead by example and inject urgency and belief into a locker room that cannot afford to fall into a 2-0 series hole. Ottawa has the tools and talent to compete, but their game plan must center around resilience, defensive accountability, and disciplined execution. If they can strike early and quiet the home crowd, they can shift momentum and restore confidence. A win in Game 2 not only evens the series but also restores credibility to a team looking to prove they belong on the postseason stage. Anything less, however, and they’ll face a steep climb when the series shifts back to Ottawa.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs return to Scotiabank Arena for Game 2 of their opening-round playoff series against the Ottawa Senators riding high after a resounding 6-2 victory in Game 1 that showcased the full scope of their offensive firepower and playoff poise. From the opening puck drop, the Leafs controlled possession, dictated pace, and capitalized on nearly every opportunity, setting the tone for what they hope will be a commanding series. Auston Matthews led the way with a multi-point night, effortlessly finding space and creating mismatches, while Mitch Marner’s vision and playmaking once again elevated everyone on the ice with him. Toronto’s second and third lines also stepped up, with William Nylander and Matthew Knies each contributing, a promising sign of the scoring depth Toronto will need to make a deep run. Just as critical was the Leafs’ team defense, which limited Ottawa’s top scorers to mostly perimeter looks and denied them sustained zone time. Goalie Ilya Samsonov turned in a focused and efficient performance, making key saves early that prevented Ottawa from gaining confidence, and allowing his teammates to build a multi-goal cushion that quickly deflated the visitors. What made the Leafs’ Game 1 performance particularly impressive was their discipline and structure—two things that have eluded them in past postseasons. They committed minimal turnovers in high-danger areas, kept their defensive zone coverage tight, and transitioned quickly up ice, often catching Ottawa flat-footed in the neutral zone.
Special teams also played a role, with Toronto’s power play striking effectively while their penalty kill neutralized Ottawa’s attempts to close the gap. Head coach Sheldon Keefe will undoubtedly look to replicate that exact blueprint in Game 2: controlled zone entries, puck support across all three zones, and high shot volume from quality areas. But beyond the X’s and O’s, it’s the sense of composure that stands out—this version of the Maple Leafs appears to be more mature, more aware of the stakes, and more committed to executing the kind of consistent, playoff-style hockey that’s eluded them in previous springs. Their top players are leading the way, their supporting cast is delivering, and the crowd at Scotiabank Arena is feeding off the energy and reciprocating it. Heading into Game 2, the Maple Leafs know the importance of not allowing Ottawa back into the series. A 2-0 lead heading into a road swing would put them firmly in control and give them the psychological edge over a younger, less battle-tested Senators squad. Toronto must remain aggressive, but not careless—maintain their physicality, continue their speed-driven puck pursuit, and avoid the penalties or lapses in focus that could give Ottawa life. The key will be to start strong once again, use their speed to stretch the Senators’ defensive structure, and test the goaltender early and often. If Matthews, Marner, and Nylander continue to drive play with the same intensity and the defensive corps holds its form, Toronto has every reason to believe that Game 2 can mirror the success of Game 1. With momentum in hand and a city rallying behind them, the Maple Leafs are poised to reinforce their dominance and take one step closer to advancing deeper into the postseason.
Tonight’s Winning Numbers 📊@Jackpotcity_ONT | #LeafsForever pic.twitter.com/ADuEQV27ht
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) April 21, 2025
Ottawa vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)
Ottawa vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Senators and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing weight emotional bettors often put on Ottawa’s strength factors between a Senators team going up against a possibly deflated Maple Leafs team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Ottawa vs Toronto picks, computer picks Senators vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Senators Betting Trends
The Ottawa Senators have a 2-3 record against the puck line in their last five games.
Maple Leafs Betting Trends
The Toronto Maple Leafs have a 1-4 record against the puck line in their last five games.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends
Despite recent ATS performances, the Maple Leafs are favored with a moneyline of -450, reflecting their strong home-ice advantage and Game 1 performance. The over/under for the game is set at 5.5 goals, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
Ottawa vs. Toronto Game Info
What time does Ottawa vs Toronto start on April 22, 2025?
Ottawa vs Toronto starts on April 22, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.
Where is Ottawa vs Toronto being played?
Venue: Scotiabank Arena.
What are the opening odds for Ottawa vs Toronto?
Spread: Toronto -1.5
Moneyline: Ottawa +156, Toronto -187
Over/Under: 5.5
What are the records for Ottawa vs Toronto?
Ottawa: (45-30) | Toronto: (52-26)
What is the AI best bet for Ottawa vs Toronto?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Matthews under 3.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Ottawa vs Toronto trending bets?
Despite recent ATS performances, the Maple Leafs are favored with a moneyline of -450, reflecting their strong home-ice advantage and Game 1 performance. The over/under for the game is set at 5.5 goals, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
What are Ottawa trending bets?
OTT trend: The Ottawa Senators have a 2-3 record against the puck line in their last five games.
What are Toronto trending bets?
TOR trend: The Toronto Maple Leafs have a 1-4 record against the puck line in their last five games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Ottawa vs Toronto?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Ottawa vs. Toronto Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Ottawa vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Ottawa vs Toronto Opening Odds
OTT Moneyline:
+156 TOR Moneyline: -187
OTT Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
Ottawa vs Toronto Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+134
-155
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+156)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-195)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+208)
+1.5 (-245)
|
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on April 22, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |