Panthers vs. Lightning
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 22 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning renew their fierce rivalry in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series at Amalie Arena. Both teams, having split their regular-season meetings, aim to gain an early advantage in this pivotal matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 22, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Amalie Arena​

Lightning Record: (47-27)

Panthers Record: (47-31)

OPENING ODDS

FLA Moneyline: -103

TB Moneyline: -117

FLA Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

FLA
Betting Trends

  • The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, posting a 0-6 record in their last six away games.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have been strong at home, with the total going OVER in each of their last seven home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these teams at Amalie Arena, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon.

FLA vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.

LIVE NHL ODDS

NHL ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
308-221
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+418
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$41,803
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1554-1329
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+376.6
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,661

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Florida vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/22/25

The “Battle of Florida” reignites on April 22, 2025, as the Tampa Bay Lightning host the Florida Panthers in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series at Amalie Arena, promising the kind of fast, physical, and high-stakes hockey that only a true in-state rivalry can deliver. These two franchises are no strangers to each other in the postseason, having met multiple times over the past few years with increasingly intense battles, and this series already carries the tension and familiarity of a longstanding grudge match. The Panthers come in as one of the most balanced teams in the Eastern Conference, finishing the regular season with a potent mix of defensive grit and offensive versatility led by the likes of Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and Sam Reinhart. They’re backed by a goaltending tandem that has been more than serviceable throughout the season, giving them confidence heading into hostile territory. The Lightning, meanwhile, boast one of the most seasoned playoff rosters in recent memory, led by perennial postseason performers like Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and captain Steven Stamkos. With Andrei Vasilevskiy in net and Jon Cooper behind the bench, the Lightning have both the personnel and the experience to shift into another gear when the playoffs begin. During the regular season, the two teams split their head-to-head matchups, and their statistical profiles suggest a tightly contested series. Florida has built their success on defensive structure and transition play, often dominating games with their ability to disrupt passing lanes and counterattack with speed.

Their special teams have been solid, with a top-tier penalty kill and a power play that, while not elite, is capable of striking at opportune moments. What’s made the Panthers particularly dangerous, though, is their commitment to physicality without sacrificing discipline, a trait that becomes increasingly valuable in postseason hockey. On the other side, Tampa Bay’s offensive ceiling remains as high as ever, with Kucherov having put together another MVP-caliber season and Point reaching the 50-goal plateau. Their power play is one of the most dangerous in the league, and in high-leverage moments, they’ve consistently shown the ability to capitalize on mistakes. However, their defensive depth has been tested this season, and they’ll need a tight team game in front of Vasilevskiy to contain Florida’s wave-style attack. Game 1 is always about tone-setting, and both teams know the value of an early series lead—not just in terms of standings, but psychologically. For Florida, stealing a win on the road would tilt the momentum and apply immediate pressure on a Tampa team that’s had to shoulder high expectations for several seasons. For the Lightning, holding serve at home and reinforcing their playoff pedigree would send a strong message that despite some regular-season inconsistencies, they remain a championship-caliber squad. Expect a blend of heavy hitting, tight checking, and moments of explosive offense as both teams probe for weaknesses and attempt to establish dominance early. The rivalry, the stakes, and the star power all point toward a Game 1 that could set the tone for one of the most entertaining series in the first round of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Florida Panthers NHL Preview

The Florida Panthers arrive at Amalie Arena for Game 1 of their first-round playoff matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with the confidence of reigning Stanley Cup champions but the urgency of a team looking to shake off recent road woes. Despite a strong overall regular season that saw them finish third in the Atlantic Division with 98 points, Florida limped into the playoffs with a concerning 0-6 stretch on the road—a trend they’ll need to reverse quickly if they want to gain an early edge in this highly anticipated “Battle of Florida.” The Panthers’ identity remains grounded in structured, physical, and responsible two-way hockey, with elite defensive zone play complimented by a forechecking system that has proven difficult to break down. Sam Reinhart led the club offensively with 81 points, while Aleksander Barkov continued to play his reliable two-way game as one of the league’s most underrated centers. One of the biggest storylines ahead of Game 1 is the expected return of Matthew Tkachuk, who has been practicing and appears ready to rejoin the lineup. Tkachuk’s presence adds more than just offensive firepower—it brings grit, leadership, and playoff savvy that was instrumental during last year’s Cup run. Florida’s ability to contain Tampa Bay’s explosive top-six will hinge on the performance of their defensive core, anchored by veterans like Gustav Forsling, Brandon Montour, and Aaron Ekblad. They’ll be tasked with limiting the space for Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Steven Stamkos while helping transition the puck quickly to avoid extended shifts in their own zone.

The Panthers have excelled at suppressing high-danger chances throughout the year and rank among the league’s best in limiting shots from the slot and net-front area, but Tampa’s power play—one of the most lethal in the NHL—poses a unique challenge. Florida’s penalty kill has been up to the task for most of the season, but playoff intensity and execution are a different beast, and discipline will be critical if they hope to keep Tampa off the board when skating with the man advantage. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is expected to start Game 1, and the veteran netminder’s postseason experience and rebound control will be under scrutiny early, particularly against a Lightning team known for scoring in bunches. The Panthers understand that Game 1 on the road is more than just an opportunity—it’s a pressure test that can define the psychological tone of the series. Stealing a win at Amalie Arena would not only flip home-ice advantage but signal that last season’s championship mentality hasn’t faded. Florida will likely lean on their depth scoring, hard-nosed board play, and ability to frustrate opponents in the neutral zone to level the playing field against Tampa’s skill. They also need their top players to rise to the moment quickly and establish physical presence early to set the tone. The Panthers have the tools, the postseason pedigree, and the edge to make life difficult for any opponent, and if they can find early rhythm and assert their game plan from the opening whistle, they’ll give themselves a legitimate chance to seize control of this series before it returns to Sunrise.

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning renew their fierce rivalry in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series at Amalie Arena. Both teams, having split their regular-season meetings, aim to gain an early advantage in this pivotal matchup. Florida vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning return to Amalie Arena on April 22, 2025, to open their first-round playoff series against the Florida Panthers with the familiarity of postseason pressure and the confidence of a team that has made deep playoff runs part of its DNA. Finishing second in the Atlantic Division with 102 points, Tampa enters this series not only with home-ice advantage but also with the league’s top point scorer in Nikita Kucherov, who put up a dazzling 121-point regular season and continues to be the heartbeat of their offense. Alongside Brayden Point, who hit the 50-goal mark, and a resurgent Jake Guentzel, the Lightning have one of the most dangerous top lines in the NHL—capable of overwhelming defenses with speed, puck movement, and creativity. Add in the leadership of Steven Stamkos and the all-around defensive prowess of Victor Hedman, and Tampa’s core remains as potent and experienced as ever. Their 29-8-4 home record during the regular season underscores how difficult they are to beat at Amalie Arena, where their crowd fuels early surges and amplifies their momentum. The Lightning are also riding the strength of an elite power play and playoff-tested penalty kill, setting up a special teams battle that could heavily influence this opening game. Goaltending is once again a major advantage for the Lightning with Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. Vasilevskiy’s ability to track the puck, stay composed under pressure, and elevate his game in the postseason makes him one of the most valuable assets in this series.

He will be tasked with facing a Florida offense that likes to generate traffic, create chaos in front of the net, and capitalize on second-chance opportunities—areas where he has traditionally excelled. Defensively, Tampa will rely on Hedman and Mikhail Sergachev to handle the Panthers’ aggressive forecheck and transition threats, especially with the potential return of Matthew Tkachuk, who adds another dimension to Florida’s offensive pressure. Tampa Bay’s blue line will need to play a clean game, limiting turnovers and managing puck movement smartly to prevent Florida from generating quick-strike chances. Expect head coach Jon Cooper to roll four lines, trust his veterans in big moments, and look for matchup advantages to exploit Florida’s defensive pairings, particularly when the Panthers’ top pairing isn’t on the ice. Game 1 is more than just the start of the series—it’s an opportunity for the Lightning to reaffirm their identity as perennial contenders and establish dominance early against a divisional rival they know all too well. Tampa has won critical opening games in previous playoff campaigns by setting the tone with their structure, discipline, and relentless offensive zone pressure. To succeed again, they’ll need contributions from all parts of their lineup, including their physical third and fourth lines, who can wear down the Panthers over 60 minutes. With their blend of championship pedigree, elite goaltending, and balanced scoring, the Lightning are built to strike first—and if they can harness the home crowd, apply early pressure, and stay out of the penalty box, they could quickly put the Panthers on the defensive and seize control of the series. Game 1 is theirs to command, and they’ll look to do so with the kind of poised intensity that’s become a playoff hallmark in Tampa.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Panthers and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amalie Arena in Apr can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Panthers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Panthers team going up against a possibly rested Lightning team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Florida vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Panthers vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Panthers Betting Trends

The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, posting a 0-6 record in their last six away games.

Lightning Betting Trends

The Lightning have been strong at home, with the total going OVER in each of their last seven home games.

Panthers vs. Lightning Matchup Trends

The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these teams at Amalie Arena, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Florida vs Tampa Bay starts on April 22, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Florida -103, Tampa Bay -117
Over/Under: 5.5

Florida: (47-31)  |  Tampa Bay: (47-27)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these teams at Amalie Arena, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon.

FLA trend: The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, posting a 0-6 record in their last six away games.

TB trend: The Lightning have been strong at home, with the total going OVER in each of their last seven home games.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Florida vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Florida vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

FLA Moneyline: -103
TB Moneyline: -117
FLA Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Florida vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+265
-350
+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-125)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-115
-105
+1.5 (-285)
-1.5 (+220)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+145
-185
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on April 22, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN