Panthers vs. Lightning
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 22 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning renew their fierce rivalry in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series at Amalie Arena. Both teams, having split their regular-season meetings, aim to gain an early advantage in this pivotal matchup.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 22, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Amalie Arena
Lightning Record: (47-27)
Panthers Record: (47-31)
OPENING ODDS
FLA Moneyline: -103
TB Moneyline: -117
FLA Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
FLA
Betting Trends
- The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, posting a 0-6 record in their last six away games.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have been strong at home, with the total going OVER in each of their last seven home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these teams at Amalie Arena, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon.
FLA vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.
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Florida vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/22/25
Their special teams have been solid, with a top-tier penalty kill and a power play that, while not elite, is capable of striking at opportune moments. What’s made the Panthers particularly dangerous, though, is their commitment to physicality without sacrificing discipline, a trait that becomes increasingly valuable in postseason hockey. On the other side, Tampa Bay’s offensive ceiling remains as high as ever, with Kucherov having put together another MVP-caliber season and Point reaching the 50-goal plateau. Their power play is one of the most dangerous in the league, and in high-leverage moments, they’ve consistently shown the ability to capitalize on mistakes. However, their defensive depth has been tested this season, and they’ll need a tight team game in front of Vasilevskiy to contain Florida’s wave-style attack. Game 1 is always about tone-setting, and both teams know the value of an early series lead—not just in terms of standings, but psychologically. For Florida, stealing a win on the road would tilt the momentum and apply immediate pressure on a Tampa team that’s had to shoulder high expectations for several seasons. For the Lightning, holding serve at home and reinforcing their playoff pedigree would send a strong message that despite some regular-season inconsistencies, they remain a championship-caliber squad. Expect a blend of heavy hitting, tight checking, and moments of explosive offense as both teams probe for weaknesses and attempt to establish dominance early. The rivalry, the stakes, and the star power all point toward a Game 1 that could set the tone for one of the most entertaining series in the first round of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs.
🎧 The Battle of Florida begins
— x - Florida Panthers (@FlaPanthers) April 21, 2025
🎧 X-Factor in the series?
🎧Other R1 series predictions around the NHL.@JamesonCoop and @DougPlagens are back with a new Territory Talk!
Florida Panthers NHL Preview
The Florida Panthers arrive at Amalie Arena for Game 1 of their first-round playoff matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with the confidence of reigning Stanley Cup champions but the urgency of a team looking to shake off recent road woes. Despite a strong overall regular season that saw them finish third in the Atlantic Division with 98 points, Florida limped into the playoffs with a concerning 0-6 stretch on the road—a trend they’ll need to reverse quickly if they want to gain an early edge in this highly anticipated “Battle of Florida.” The Panthers’ identity remains grounded in structured, physical, and responsible two-way hockey, with elite defensive zone play complimented by a forechecking system that has proven difficult to break down. Sam Reinhart led the club offensively with 81 points, while Aleksander Barkov continued to play his reliable two-way game as one of the league’s most underrated centers. One of the biggest storylines ahead of Game 1 is the expected return of Matthew Tkachuk, who has been practicing and appears ready to rejoin the lineup. Tkachuk’s presence adds more than just offensive firepower—it brings grit, leadership, and playoff savvy that was instrumental during last year’s Cup run. Florida’s ability to contain Tampa Bay’s explosive top-six will hinge on the performance of their defensive core, anchored by veterans like Gustav Forsling, Brandon Montour, and Aaron Ekblad. They’ll be tasked with limiting the space for Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Steven Stamkos while helping transition the puck quickly to avoid extended shifts in their own zone.
The Panthers have excelled at suppressing high-danger chances throughout the year and rank among the league’s best in limiting shots from the slot and net-front area, but Tampa’s power play—one of the most lethal in the NHL—poses a unique challenge. Florida’s penalty kill has been up to the task for most of the season, but playoff intensity and execution are a different beast, and discipline will be critical if they hope to keep Tampa off the board when skating with the man advantage. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is expected to start Game 1, and the veteran netminder’s postseason experience and rebound control will be under scrutiny early, particularly against a Lightning team known for scoring in bunches. The Panthers understand that Game 1 on the road is more than just an opportunity—it’s a pressure test that can define the psychological tone of the series. Stealing a win at Amalie Arena would not only flip home-ice advantage but signal that last season’s championship mentality hasn’t faded. Florida will likely lean on their depth scoring, hard-nosed board play, and ability to frustrate opponents in the neutral zone to level the playing field against Tampa’s skill. They also need their top players to rise to the moment quickly and establish physical presence early to set the tone. The Panthers have the tools, the postseason pedigree, and the edge to make life difficult for any opponent, and if they can find early rhythm and assert their game plan from the opening whistle, they’ll give themselves a legitimate chance to seize control of this series before it returns to Sunrise.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning return to Amalie Arena on April 22, 2025, to open their first-round playoff series against the Florida Panthers with the familiarity of postseason pressure and the confidence of a team that has made deep playoff runs part of its DNA. Finishing second in the Atlantic Division with 102 points, Tampa enters this series not only with home-ice advantage but also with the league’s top point scorer in Nikita Kucherov, who put up a dazzling 121-point regular season and continues to be the heartbeat of their offense. Alongside Brayden Point, who hit the 50-goal mark, and a resurgent Jake Guentzel, the Lightning have one of the most dangerous top lines in the NHL—capable of overwhelming defenses with speed, puck movement, and creativity. Add in the leadership of Steven Stamkos and the all-around defensive prowess of Victor Hedman, and Tampa’s core remains as potent and experienced as ever. Their 29-8-4 home record during the regular season underscores how difficult they are to beat at Amalie Arena, where their crowd fuels early surges and amplifies their momentum. The Lightning are also riding the strength of an elite power play and playoff-tested penalty kill, setting up a special teams battle that could heavily influence this opening game. Goaltending is once again a major advantage for the Lightning with Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. Vasilevskiy’s ability to track the puck, stay composed under pressure, and elevate his game in the postseason makes him one of the most valuable assets in this series.
He will be tasked with facing a Florida offense that likes to generate traffic, create chaos in front of the net, and capitalize on second-chance opportunities—areas where he has traditionally excelled. Defensively, Tampa will rely on Hedman and Mikhail Sergachev to handle the Panthers’ aggressive forecheck and transition threats, especially with the potential return of Matthew Tkachuk, who adds another dimension to Florida’s offensive pressure. Tampa Bay’s blue line will need to play a clean game, limiting turnovers and managing puck movement smartly to prevent Florida from generating quick-strike chances. Expect head coach Jon Cooper to roll four lines, trust his veterans in big moments, and look for matchup advantages to exploit Florida’s defensive pairings, particularly when the Panthers’ top pairing isn’t on the ice. Game 1 is more than just the start of the series—it’s an opportunity for the Lightning to reaffirm their identity as perennial contenders and establish dominance early against a divisional rival they know all too well. Tampa has won critical opening games in previous playoff campaigns by setting the tone with their structure, discipline, and relentless offensive zone pressure. To succeed again, they’ll need contributions from all parts of their lineup, including their physical third and fourth lines, who can wear down the Panthers over 60 minutes. With their blend of championship pedigree, elite goaltending, and balanced scoring, the Lightning are built to strike first—and if they can harness the home crowd, apply early pressure, and stay out of the penalty box, they could quickly put the Panthers on the defensive and seize control of the series. Game 1 is theirs to command, and they’ll look to do so with the kind of poised intensity that’s become a playoff hallmark in Tampa.
Add it to the list ☑️@BenjaminJReport has the story: https://t.co/GSVfsTiBfk pic.twitter.com/I8bhAHeFsU
— x - Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) April 22, 2025
Florida vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Florida vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Panthers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Panthers team going up against a possibly rested Lightning team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Florida vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Panthers vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Panthers Betting Trends
The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, posting a 0-6 record in their last six away games.
Lightning Betting Trends
The Lightning have been strong at home, with the total going OVER in each of their last seven home games.
Panthers vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these teams at Amalie Arena, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon.
Florida vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Florida vs Tampa Bay start on April 22, 2025?
Florida vs Tampa Bay starts on April 22, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Florida vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Amalie Arena.
What are the opening odds for Florida vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Florida -103, Tampa Bay -117
Over/Under: 5.5
What are the records for Florida vs Tampa Bay?
Florida: (47-31) | Tampa Bay: (47-27)
What is the AI best bet for Florida vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Florida vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these teams at Amalie Arena, suggesting a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon.
What are Florida trending bets?
FLA trend: The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, posting a 0-6 record in their last six away games.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Lightning have been strong at home, with the total going OVER in each of their last seven home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Florida vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Florida vs. Tampa Bay Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Florida vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Florida vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
FLA Moneyline:
-103 TB Moneyline: -117
FLA Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
Florida vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
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–
–
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+265
-350
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+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-125)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
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Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
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New York Rangers
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Penguins
Rangers
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–
–
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+165
-210
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+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
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O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
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Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
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–
–
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-115
-105
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+1.5 (-285)
-1.5 (+220)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
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-170
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-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
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Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
|
–
–
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+145
-185
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
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O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
|
–
–
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+165
-210
|
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
|
–
–
|
+155
|
+1.5 (-160)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-130
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+124
-148
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+164
-198
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
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+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on April 22, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |