Canadiens vs. Senators
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 11 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Montreal Canadiens will face off against the Ottawa Senators on April 11, 2025, at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. This matchup marks the final regular-season meeting between these Atlantic Division rivals, with Montreal leading the season series 3-0.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 11, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Canadian Tire Centre​

Senators Record: (42-30)

Canadiens Record: (39-30)

OPENING ODDS

MON Moneyline: +144

OTT Moneyline: -172

MON Spread: +1.5

OTT Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

MON
Betting Trends

  • The Canadiens have covered the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, going 6-4 ATS.

OTT
Betting Trends

  • The Senators have a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone OVER in 70% of the last 10 games between these teams, with Montreal covering the spread in 60% of those encounters.

MON vs. OTT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Matheson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.

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Montreal vs Ottawa Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/11/25

The final regular-season battle between the Montreal Canadiens and the Ottawa Senators on April 11, 2025, brings a compelling Atlantic Division rivalry to a head at the Canadian Tire Centre. With the Canadiens holding a 3-0 advantage in the season series, they enter this contest with confidence and a desire to complete a season sweep, a feat that would be symbolic of their late-season resurgence. Meanwhile, the Senators, who have shown strong form at home and against the spread recently, are eager to protect their turf and avoid the indignity of a winless series against a historic rival. Both teams, while not among the league’s elite this season, have embraced their roles as disruptors and development-focused franchises, which has led to spirited and often high-scoring encounters. This matchup will likely follow suit, with both squads showcasing young, dynamic talent and motivated leadership on the ice. Montreal enters the game riding a late-season high, having posted a 6-4 record in their last 10 games and showing improved chemistry, especially in their forward lines. Head coach Martin St. Louis has been praised for the team’s structural improvements and the visible progress among core players like Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and Juraj Slafkovsky. The Canadiens’ power play has been sharp during their recent streak, and they’ve taken advantage of defensive lapses from opponents, something Ottawa must be mindful of. On the back end, Montreal’s goaltending tandem led by Sam Montembeault has delivered timely saves, though defensive zone coverage continues to require polish.

Despite being out of the playoff picture, the Canadiens have approached each game with a sense of urgency and pride, making them a dangerous spoiler, particularly against divisional rivals. Ottawa, on the other hand, has enjoyed success against the spread and at home, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and performing strongly in front of their fans. They’ve relied heavily on the leadership of Brady Tkachuk and the playmaking of Tim Stützle to spark their offense, while the defense, backed by strong goaltending from Linus Ullmark, has looked more disciplined over the past few weeks. Head coach Jacques Martin has emphasized accountability and defensive responsibility, both of which have started to show positive returns. Ottawa’s challenge will be to stay out of the penalty box and counter Montreal’s speed through the neutral zone. If they can control puck possession and win battles in the corners, they’ll have an opportunity to dictate the tempo. The Senators will be especially motivated not only to snap their losing streak against Montreal but also to leave a strong impression heading into the offseason. This final meeting of the season could see momentum swings and moments of individual brilliance, especially given the offensive instincts of both rosters. Expect a physical yet skilled affair, with playoff atmosphere energy despite both teams likely outside the postseason. For bettors and fans alike, the tendency for these matchups to go over the total and the spread trends in favor of Montreal make for an intriguing betting profile. With pride and future roles at stake, this game is poised to deliver entertainment, intensity, and perhaps a preview of what these rebuilding rivals might bring in the seasons ahead.

Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview

The Montreal Canadiens arrive in Ottawa on April 11 with a clear objective: complete a clean 4-0 sweep over their Atlantic Division rivals, the Senators, and close their season series on a high note. Though the Canadiens won’t be heading to the playoffs, their recent play has reflected a maturing squad embracing competitive pride and identity building. Montreal has gone 6-4 in its last 10 games and has covered the spread in the majority of those matchups, signaling a team that remains fully engaged despite their standing. The Canadiens’ offense has benefited from a cohesive top line anchored by captain Nick Suzuki, who continues to develop into a complete two-way center and team leader. His chemistry with Cole Caufield has fueled scoring runs, particularly during power-play situations where Montreal has capitalized on breakdowns with quick puck movement and positional awareness. Meanwhile, rookie Juraj Slafkovsky is beginning to show why he was the first overall pick, combining size and vision to generate secondary scoring. Defensively, the Canadiens have shown marked improvement, especially when it comes to defending in transition and clearing pucks under pressure. While their blue line remains young and still prone to lapses, veterans like Mike Matheson have provided a stabilizing presence and leadership.

The goaltending duties have largely been handled by Sam Montembeault, who, though not elite, has performed admirably in high-leverage situations and kept his team in games with key saves. Montreal’s penalty kill has also trended upward, an encouraging sign for a group aiming to carry progress into the offseason. Discipline and puck control will be critical if the Canadiens hope to keep Ottawa’s more physical and aggressive forwards in check. Their ability to respond to in-game adversity—a problem earlier in the season—has improved noticeably, suggesting a mentally tougher team entering the final stretch. As an away team, Montreal has historically had mixed results, but their last few road performances have been energized and tactically sound. They’ve embraced a road warrior mindset, emphasizing responsible hockey and quick counterattacks. The Canadiens’ coaching staff has leaned into giving younger players more minutes, and the development curve for prospects has steepened in the final quarter of the season. This trip to Ottawa represents more than just a chance to sweep a rival; it’s an opportunity to validate the progress of a rebuilding roster and finish with a sense of direction and purpose. Montreal knows that sending a message now—both internally and to future opponents—could set the tone for next season. With momentum, chemistry, and a desire to finish strong, the Canadiens are poised to make this road game a statement performance, regardless of what the standings may say.

The Montreal Canadiens will face off against the Ottawa Senators on April 11, 2025, at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. This matchup marks the final regular-season meeting between these Atlantic Division rivals, with Montreal leading the season series 3-0. Montreal vs Ottawa AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Ottawa Senators NHL Preview

The Ottawa Senators welcome the Montreal Canadiens to the Canadian Tire Centre on April 11 looking to salvage pride and prevent a season sweep at the hands of their divisional rivals. Ottawa has been solid at home this season, with one of the better home-ice ATS records in the league, covering in 65% of their home contests and recently going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. That trend reflects a late-season push for consistency and competitiveness, even as their playoff hopes have faded. Led by captain Brady Tkachuk, who brings an unrelenting physical presence and scoring drive, and Tim Stützle, whose speed and playmaking are dynamic game-changers, the Senators boast a top-six forward group capable of breaking down defenses when they’re firing on all cylinders. The Senators’ offensive zone pressure and net-front activity have improved in recent games, and their challenge now is to translate that into goals against a Montreal team that has been defensively disciplined in the latter stages of the season. Defensively, Ottawa has made strides in structure and execution since the midpoint of the year. Goaltender Linus Ullmark, acquired during the season to solidify their crease, has given the team confidence with timely saves and calm play under pressure. The blue line, anchored by Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson, has done a better job of exiting the zone cleanly and jumping into offensive transitions. However, lapses in defensive assignments and penalties at inopportune times have occasionally derailed their rhythm—issues the coaching staff continues to address.

At home, though, the Senators often play with more pace and poise, taking advantage of line matchups and feeding off the energy of the Ottawa crowd. That environment has been favorable for their young talent, who seem to thrive when given freedom to be aggressive offensively. Ottawa’s motivation entering this game is as much about finishing the season on a strong note as it is about disrupting Montreal’s plans for a perfect series sweep. This rivalry game carries emotional weight, especially for players who have been part of previous battles between the clubs and want to assert Ottawa’s toughness and pride. With no playoff berth to chase, the Senators have shifted focus to player evaluation, long-term development, and building a culture of competitiveness. That makes this contest more than just another game; it’s a measuring stick for character, growth, and readiness to make a leap in future seasons. Ottawa will need to avoid early mistakes, establish physicality without crossing the line, and capitalize on any momentum swings they can generate at home. If they execute with urgency and discipline, the Senators have a strong chance of snapping the losing streak to Montreal and giving their fans something to cheer about in their final home stretch.

Montreal vs. Ottawa Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Canadiens and Senators play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Canadian Tire Centre in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Matheson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.

Montreal vs. Ottawa Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Canadiens and Senators and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on Ottawa’s strength factors between a Canadiens team going up against a possibly strong Senators team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Montreal vs Ottawa picks, computer picks Canadiens vs Senators, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Canadiens Betting Trends

The Canadiens have covered the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, going 6-4 ATS.

Senators Betting Trends

The Senators have a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread.

Canadiens vs. Senators Matchup Trends

In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone OVER in 70% of the last 10 games between these teams, with Montreal covering the spread in 60% of those encounters.

Montreal vs. Ottawa Game Info

Montreal vs Ottawa starts on April 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Venue: Canadian Tire Centre.

Spread: Ottawa -1.5
Moneyline: Montreal +144, Ottawa -172
Over/Under: 5.5

Montreal: (39-30)  |  Ottawa: (42-30)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Matheson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone OVER in 70% of the last 10 games between these teams, with Montreal covering the spread in 60% of those encounters.

MON trend: The Canadiens have covered the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, going 6-4 ATS.

OTT trend: The Senators have a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Montreal vs. Ottawa Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Montreal vs Ottawa trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Montreal vs Ottawa Opening Odds

MON Moneyline: +144
OTT Moneyline: -172
MON Spread: +1.5
OTT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Montreal vs Ottawa Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+240
-300
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+172
-210
+1.5 (-144)
-1.5 (+118)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-140)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-104
-115
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+210)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+145)
O 6 (-107)
U 6 (-121)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+143
-180
+1.5 (-186)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (-109)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+170
-215
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+120)
O 6 (-113)
U 6 (-114)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-175)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (-109)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+138
-155
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-125
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+125
-140
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-115
+102
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-115
+102
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+106)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+178
-200
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+138
-155
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-106
-106
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators on April 11, 2025 at Canadian Tire Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN