Canadiens vs Senators Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 11)
Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Montreal Canadiens will face off against the Ottawa Senators on April 11, 2025, at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. This matchup marks the final regular-season meeting between these Atlantic Division rivals, with Montreal leading the season series 3-0.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Senators Record: (42-30)
Canadiens Record: (39-30)
OPENING ODDS
MON Moneyline: +144
OTT Moneyline: -172
MON Spread: +1.5
OTT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
MON
Betting Trends
- The Canadiens have covered the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, going 6-4 ATS.
OTT
Betting Trends
- The Senators have a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone OVER in 70% of the last 10 games between these teams, with Montreal covering the spread in 60% of those encounters.
MON vs. OTT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Matheson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
LIVE NHL ODDS
NHL ODDS COMPARISON
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Montreal vs Ottawa Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/11/25
Despite being out of the playoff picture, the Canadiens have approached each game with a sense of urgency and pride, making them a dangerous spoiler, particularly against divisional rivals. Ottawa, on the other hand, has enjoyed success against the spread and at home, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and performing strongly in front of their fans. They’ve relied heavily on the leadership of Brady Tkachuk and the playmaking of Tim Stützle to spark their offense, while the defense, backed by strong goaltending from Linus Ullmark, has looked more disciplined over the past few weeks. Head coach Jacques Martin has emphasized accountability and defensive responsibility, both of which have started to show positive returns. Ottawa’s challenge will be to stay out of the penalty box and counter Montreal’s speed through the neutral zone. If they can control puck possession and win battles in the corners, they’ll have an opportunity to dictate the tempo. The Senators will be especially motivated not only to snap their losing streak against Montreal but also to leave a strong impression heading into the offseason. This final meeting of the season could see momentum swings and moments of individual brilliance, especially given the offensive instincts of both rosters. Expect a physical yet skilled affair, with playoff atmosphere energy despite both teams likely outside the postseason. For bettors and fans alike, the tendency for these matchups to go over the total and the spread trends in favor of Montreal make for an intriguing betting profile. With pride and future roles at stake, this game is poised to deliver entertainment, intensity, and perhaps a preview of what these rebuilding rivals might bring in the seasons ahead.
Our dynamic duo
— Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) April 10, 2025
Read ↓ #GoHabsGohttps://t.co/Xu4MOGXhsr
Montreal Canadiens NHL Preview
The Montreal Canadiens arrive in Ottawa on April 11 with a clear objective: complete a clean 4-0 sweep over their Atlantic Division rivals, the Senators, and close their season series on a high note. Though the Canadiens won’t be heading to the playoffs, their recent play has reflected a maturing squad embracing competitive pride and identity building. Montreal has gone 6-4 in its last 10 games and has covered the spread in the majority of those matchups, signaling a team that remains fully engaged despite their standing. The Canadiens’ offense has benefited from a cohesive top line anchored by captain Nick Suzuki, who continues to develop into a complete two-way center and team leader. His chemistry with Cole Caufield has fueled scoring runs, particularly during power-play situations where Montreal has capitalized on breakdowns with quick puck movement and positional awareness. Meanwhile, rookie Juraj Slafkovsky is beginning to show why he was the first overall pick, combining size and vision to generate secondary scoring. Defensively, the Canadiens have shown marked improvement, especially when it comes to defending in transition and clearing pucks under pressure. While their blue line remains young and still prone to lapses, veterans like Mike Matheson have provided a stabilizing presence and leadership.
The goaltending duties have largely been handled by Sam Montembeault, who, though not elite, has performed admirably in high-leverage situations and kept his team in games with key saves. Montreal’s penalty kill has also trended upward, an encouraging sign for a group aiming to carry progress into the offseason. Discipline and puck control will be critical if the Canadiens hope to keep Ottawa’s more physical and aggressive forwards in check. Their ability to respond to in-game adversity—a problem earlier in the season—has improved noticeably, suggesting a mentally tougher team entering the final stretch. As an away team, Montreal has historically had mixed results, but their last few road performances have been energized and tactically sound. They’ve embraced a road warrior mindset, emphasizing responsible hockey and quick counterattacks. The Canadiens’ coaching staff has leaned into giving younger players more minutes, and the development curve for prospects has steepened in the final quarter of the season. This trip to Ottawa represents more than just a chance to sweep a rival; it’s an opportunity to validate the progress of a rebuilding roster and finish with a sense of direction and purpose. Montreal knows that sending a message now—both internally and to future opponents—could set the tone for next season. With momentum, chemistry, and a desire to finish strong, the Canadiens are poised to make this road game a statement performance, regardless of what the standings may say.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Ottawa Senators NHL Preview
The Ottawa Senators welcome the Montreal Canadiens to the Canadian Tire Centre on April 11 looking to salvage pride and prevent a season sweep at the hands of their divisional rivals. Ottawa has been solid at home this season, with one of the better home-ice ATS records in the league, covering in 65% of their home contests and recently going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. That trend reflects a late-season push for consistency and competitiveness, even as their playoff hopes have faded. Led by captain Brady Tkachuk, who brings an unrelenting physical presence and scoring drive, and Tim Stützle, whose speed and playmaking are dynamic game-changers, the Senators boast a top-six forward group capable of breaking down defenses when they’re firing on all cylinders. The Senators’ offensive zone pressure and net-front activity have improved in recent games, and their challenge now is to translate that into goals against a Montreal team that has been defensively disciplined in the latter stages of the season. Defensively, Ottawa has made strides in structure and execution since the midpoint of the year. Goaltender Linus Ullmark, acquired during the season to solidify their crease, has given the team confidence with timely saves and calm play under pressure. The blue line, anchored by Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson, has done a better job of exiting the zone cleanly and jumping into offensive transitions. However, lapses in defensive assignments and penalties at inopportune times have occasionally derailed their rhythm—issues the coaching staff continues to address.
At home, though, the Senators often play with more pace and poise, taking advantage of line matchups and feeding off the energy of the Ottawa crowd. That environment has been favorable for their young talent, who seem to thrive when given freedom to be aggressive offensively. Ottawa’s motivation entering this game is as much about finishing the season on a strong note as it is about disrupting Montreal’s plans for a perfect series sweep. This rivalry game carries emotional weight, especially for players who have been part of previous battles between the clubs and want to assert Ottawa’s toughness and pride. With no playoff berth to chase, the Senators have shifted focus to player evaluation, long-term development, and building a culture of competitiveness. That makes this contest more than just another game; it’s a measuring stick for character, growth, and readiness to make a leap in future seasons. Ottawa will need to avoid early mistakes, establish physicality without crossing the line, and capitalize on any momentum swings they can generate at home. If they execute with urgency and discipline, the Senators have a strong chance of snapping the losing streak to Montreal and giving their fans something to cheer about in their final home stretch.
A week at home before we kick off playoffs highlights the week ahead for the #Sens 🙌
— X - Ottawa Senators (@Senators) April 10, 2025
📰 Brush up on our upcoming match ups: https://t.co/2FDLAddCoq#GoSensGo | @betwaycanada pic.twitter.com/OklrxZx3eY
Montreal vs. Ottawa Prop Picks (AI)
Montreal vs. Ottawa Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Canadiens and Senators and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Ottawa’s strength factors between a Canadiens team going up against a possibly tired Senators team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Montreal vs Ottawa picks, computer picks Canadiens vs Senators, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Canadiens Betting Trends
The Canadiens have covered the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, going 6-4 ATS.
Senators Betting Trends
The Senators have a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread.
Canadiens vs. Senators Matchup Trends
In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone OVER in 70% of the last 10 games between these teams, with Montreal covering the spread in 60% of those encounters.
Montreal vs. Ottawa Game Info
What time does Montreal vs Ottawa start on April 11, 2025?
Montreal vs Ottawa starts on April 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Montreal vs Ottawa being played?
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre.
What are the opening odds for Montreal vs Ottawa?
Spread: Ottawa -1.5
Moneyline: Montreal +144, Ottawa -172
Over/Under: 5.5
What are the records for Montreal vs Ottawa?
Montreal: (39-30) | Ottawa: (42-30)
What is the AI best bet for Montreal vs Ottawa?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Matheson over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Montreal vs Ottawa trending bets?
In head-to-head matchups, the total has gone OVER in 70% of the last 10 games between these teams, with Montreal covering the spread in 60% of those encounters.
What are Montreal trending bets?
MON trend: The Canadiens have covered the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, going 6-4 ATS.
What are Ottawa trending bets?
OTT trend: The Senators have a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 games, showcasing strong performance against the spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Montreal vs Ottawa?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Montreal vs. Ottawa Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Montreal vs Ottawa trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Montreal vs Ottawa Opening Odds
MON Moneyline:
+144 OTT Moneyline: -172
MON Spread: +1.5
OTT Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
Montreal vs Ottawa Live Odds
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2
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U 5.5 (+154)
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3
0
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-10000
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O 3.5 (-250)
U 3.5 (+180)
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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Bruins
Maple Leafs
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4
3
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-325
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U 8.5 (+175)
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–
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+102
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O 6.5 (-108)
U 6.5 (-108)
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Nov 8, 2025 10:10PM EST
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+183
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U 6.5 (+111)
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Nov 8, 2025 10:10PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
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11/8/25 10:10PM
Avalanche
Oilers
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–
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-125
+110
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-1.5 (+201)
+1.5 (-242)
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O 6.5 (-102)
U 6.5 (-114)
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Nov 8, 2025 10:10PM EST
Florida Panthers
San Jose Sharks
11/8/25 10:10PM
Panthers
Sharks
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–
–
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-250
+200
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-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
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O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-120)
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Detroit Red Wings
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–
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+160
-190
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-135)
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Los Angeles Kings
Pittsburgh Penguins
11/9/25 2:10PM
Kings
Penguins
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–
–
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-150
+125
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-135)
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Nov 9, 2025 7:10PM EST
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Dallas Stars
11/9/25 7:10PM
Kraken
Stars
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–
–
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+200
-250
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
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Nov 9, 2025 7:10PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto Maple Leafs
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Hurricanes
Maple Leafs
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–
–
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-125
+105
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-240)
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O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
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Calgary Flames
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Flames
Wild
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–
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+152
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O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-106)
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Colorado Avalanche
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–
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-170
+140
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-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
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O 6 (-118)
U 6 (-102)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators on April 11, 2025 at Canadian Tire Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
| LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
| NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
| NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |