Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 11)

Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Detroit Red Wings are set to face the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 11, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. This matchup features two Atlantic Division teams with contrasting seasons; the Lightning are vying for playoff positioning, while the Red Wings aim to finish their season on a high note.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 11, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Amalie Arena​

Lightning Record: (45-26)

Red Wings Record: (36-35)

OPENING ODDS

DET Moneyline: +225

TB Moneyline: -278

DET Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

DET
Betting Trends

  • The Red Wings have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 40% of their last 10 games, reflecting their inconsistent performance.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have been more reliable for bettors, covering the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, showcasing their strong form as they push for the playoffs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread 80% of the time, indicating a significant home-ice advantage in this series.

DET vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Kane over 2.5 Shots on Goal.

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Detroit vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/11/25

The Detroit Red Wings and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet on April 11, 2025, in a matchup that contrasts two teams on different paths as the regular season concludes. Tampa Bay is making its final push to solidify playoff seeding in the Eastern Conference, while Detroit is looking to end its campaign with dignity, pride, and momentum for the future. The Lightning, true to form, have once again found their stride at the right time of year. They’ve won four of their last six games and delivered a commanding 5-1 victory over the Rangers in their most recent outing. Offensively, Tampa Bay remains one of the most dangerous teams in the league, averaging over 3.5 goals per game and benefiting from the elite playmaking of Nikita Kucherov and the reliable finishing of Brandon Hagel. Kucherov, in particular, continues to be a top MVP candidate with 112 total points this season, showing no signs of slowing down. Behind them, Andrei Vasilevskiy has delivered the kind of consistent, playoff-caliber goaltending that has defined Tampa’s success over the past several years. Meanwhile, the Red Wings arrive in Tampa hoping to salvage what has become another season of disappointment. Despite the emergence of young talents and the leadership of captain Dylan Larkin, Detroit’s recent 2-1 loss to St. Louis summed up much of their season—strong effort, flashes of potential, but not enough finishing or defensive reliability to close out games. Their offense, though capable, has lacked the consistent secondary scoring to keep pace with high-octane teams like the Lightning.

Larkin, Lucas Raymond, and Alex DeBrincat have done the bulk of the heavy lifting, but depth and special teams woes have limited the team’s overall ceiling. On the defensive side, Detroit has allowed over three goals per game, and while Alex Lyon has played admirably in net, he’s been forced to make up for frequent breakdowns in front of him. The penalty kill has struggled against elite units, and that spells trouble going up against Tampa’s 24.8% power-play efficiency. What makes this game intriguing is how Detroit will approach the challenge. With no playoff pressure, they could play loose and aggressive, trying to prove a point against a team heading into the postseason. Conversely, Tampa Bay will treat this game as an opportunity to sharpen their systems, test playoff line combinations, and fine-tune their power play and penalty kill units. Expect the Lightning to come out with urgency, particularly at home, where they’ve been dominant throughout the season. The Red Wings, if they want to pull off an upset, will need to control the pace early, stay out of the penalty box, and rely heavily on Lyon to steal high-danger chances. Ultimately, the matchup pits an experienced, polished contender against a rebuilding group still learning how to win consistently, and that contrast may very well define the tone and outcome of the game. For fans and bettors alike, Tampa’s home-ice advantage, superior form, and playoff motivation make them the clear favorites, but the Red Wings’ unpredictable nature could still produce some fireworks.

Detroit Red Wings NHL Preview

The Detroit Red Wings enter their April 11 matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning seeking to end a difficult season with a competitive showing against one of the NHL’s most consistent playoff-bound teams. The Red Wings, despite flashes of brilliance throughout the year, have struggled to establish momentum, particularly in recent weeks, going just 4-6 in their last 10 games and covering the spread in only 40% of those contests. Their most recent 2-1 loss to the St. Louis Blues reflected a recurring theme—an inability to finish offensive chances despite adequate effort and solid puck possession. Leading the charge offensively is captain Dylan Larkin, who has once again proven himself as Detroit’s emotional anchor and most dynamic forward, combining speed, vision, and defensive responsibility. He is complemented by young standouts Lucas Raymond and Alex DeBrincat, both of whom have contributed consistently in the top six. However, the lack of consistent scoring from the bottom half of the roster has left the team overly reliant on its stars, a vulnerability that elite opponents like Tampa Bay are quick to exploit. Defensively, the Red Wings have been a mixed bag, often alternating between structured, competitive play and breakdowns that lead to high-danger scoring chances against. Goaltender Alex Lyon has carried much of the workload down the stretch and has shown himself to be a steady presence between the pipes, posting a respectable goals-against average near 2.70 and a save percentage around .901.

Yet Lyon’s efforts have frequently been overshadowed by a defensive corps that has struggled with both puck management and net-front coverage, allowing over three goals per game. The Red Wings’ penalty kill has been another area of concern, operating below league average and particularly vulnerable against top-tier power-play units like Tampa’s. Detroit’s blue line, though infused with some promising young talent, still lacks the elite shutdown pairing necessary to handle the wave-style attack of playoff-caliber teams, and it shows when they’re hemmed in for extended stretches. As the road team in a hostile playoff-ready environment, Detroit’s challenge will be as much mental as it is tactical. Playing spoiler can be a motivating factor for a team with nothing to lose, and if the Red Wings approach this game with urgency, it could result in a high-energy performance that tests Tampa Bay’s discipline. For head coach Derek Lalonde, the focus will likely be on maintaining competitive structure, limiting penalties, and encouraging his young core to play freely and with confidence. The Red Wings are not devoid of skill or heart—they’ve simply lacked the experience and depth to string together consistent success. While they are clearly the underdogs, this game represents an opportunity to lay a foundation for next season, evaluate player readiness, and prove they can compete with the best. In doing so, Detroit may not only challenge Tampa Bay but also give its loyal fan base a glimpse of a brighter future.

The Detroit Red Wings are set to face the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 11, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. This matchup features two Atlantic Division teams with contrasting seasons; the Lightning are vying for playoff positioning, while the Red Wings aim to finish their season on a high note. Detroit vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning welcome the Detroit Red Wings to Amalie Arena on April 11 as they continue their final tune-up ahead of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, where they are expected to once again make a serious push. Tampa Bay enters the game with a 44-26-6 record and has been surging at the right time, winning four of their last six contests and solidifying their place among the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Their most recent victory, a dominant 5-1 performance over the New York, served as a reminder of the Lightning’s ability to elevate their game against top-tier competition. Nikita Kucherov continues to drive Tampa Bay’s elite offense, leading the team with 33 goals and an astonishing 79 assists. His vision and puck control are unmatched, and he remains the centerpiece of both even-strength and power-play setups. Brandon Hagel has emerged as a perfect complement, tallying 34 goals and 48 assists of his own, providing the Lightning with dangerous depth on their top lines. This offensive core is supported by a team system that encourages speed, puck possession, and relentless pressure in the offensive zone. Defensively, the Lightning have once again leaned on the stability of Victor Hedman and the elite goaltending of Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is having another outstanding season with a 2.16 goals-against average and a .922 save percentage. Vasilevskiy’s calm presence and ability to make high-difficulty saves in critical moments provide a psychological advantage few teams can match. Tampa Bay allows just 2.61 goals per game—one of the better marks league-wide—thanks to their cohesive back-end play and disciplined team structure.

The penalty kill has been sharp, operating at 81.9%, and their ability to clear pucks quickly and efficiently under pressure has kept them out of prolonged defensive trouble. This defensive consistency is particularly valuable when paired with a potent offense, allowing the Lightning to control game tempo and wear down opponents with sustained zone time and forechecking pressure. Special teams remain a cornerstone of Tampa’s identity, with their power play clicking at 24.8%—a lethal weapon that can swing momentum in an instant. Whether it’s Kucherov quarterbacking from the wall or Steven Stamkos unleashing one-timers from his signature circle spot, the Lightning’s man-advantage units demand discipline from opponents. At home, Tampa Bay has been dominant, both statistically and psychologically, often feeding off the energy of their crowd and quickly turning routine shifts into momentum surges. Facing a struggling Detroit team, the Lightning will look to impose their will early, execute their systems with precision, and avoid any letdown that could jeopardize seeding or chemistry heading into the postseason. With playoff implications still on the table and a roster brimming with veterans who understand the stakes, Tampa Bay is expected to approach this game with sharp focus, controlled aggression, and the championship mentality that has defined their identity in recent years. This is a prime opportunity for the Lightning to reinforce their postseason readiness while extending their dominance over a divisional opponent.

Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Red Wings and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amalie Arena in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Kane over 2.5 Shots on Goal.

Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Red Wings and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Red Wings team going up against a possibly tired Lightning team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Detroit vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Red Wings vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Red Wings Betting Trends

The Red Wings have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 40% of their last 10 games, reflecting their inconsistent performance.

Lightning Betting Trends

The Lightning have been more reliable for bettors, covering the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, showcasing their strong form as they push for the playoffs.

Red Wings vs. Lightning Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread 80% of the time, indicating a significant home-ice advantage in this series.

Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Detroit vs Tampa Bay starts on April 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Detroit +225, Tampa Bay -278
Over/Under: 6

Detroit: (36-35)  |  Tampa Bay: (45-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Kane over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread 80% of the time, indicating a significant home-ice advantage in this series.

DET trend: The Red Wings have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 40% of their last 10 games, reflecting their inconsistent performance.

TB trend: The Lightning have been more reliable for bettors, covering the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, showcasing their strong form as they push for the playoffs.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Detroit vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

DET Moneyline: +225
TB Moneyline: -278
DET Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Detroit vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+140
-170
+1.5 (-176)
-1.5 (+142)
O 5.5 (-132)
U 5.5 (+108)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-144
+120
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-205)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-138)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-130
+108
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-225)
O 6.5 (+106)
U 6.5 (-130)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on April 11, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS