Capitals vs Islanders Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 06)
Updated: 2025-04-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Capitals will face the New York on April 6, 2025, at UBS Arena, with the game scheduled to start at 12:30 p.m. ET. This matchup is particularly notable as Capitals’ captain Alex Ovechkin is poised to break Wayne Gretzky’s all-time goal-scoring record, having tied it with his 894th goal in his previous game.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 06, 2025
Start Time: 12:30 PM EST
Venue: UBS Arena
Islanders Record: (33-32)
Capitals Record: (49-18)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: -147
NYI Moneyline: +123
WAS Spread: -1.5
NYI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Capitals have been consistent against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 47 of their 68 games, reflecting a strong 69% cover rate.
NYI
Betting Trends
- The Islanders have struggled recently, failing to cover the spread in their last five games, which aligns with their current five-game losing streak.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, matchups between the Capitals and Islanders have been competitive, with Washington holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters. Additionally, the total has gone over in five of the Islanders’ last five home games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring contests at UBS Arena.
WAS vs. NYI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Beauvillier under 1.5 Hits.
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Washington vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/6/25
A win here would not only stall Washington’s momentum and delay Ovechkin’s crowning moment but also provide the Islanders a much-needed spark to keep their postseason aspirations alive. Historically, matchups between these teams have been tightly contested, and recent trends suggest scoring may be up in this one—the total has gone over in five straight home games for the Islanders. While the Capitals clearly enter as favorites, both statistically and emotionally, this game has all the ingredients for a trap spot if they allow the media attention and milestone distractions to interfere with execution. The Islanders, while statistically weaker, have a core of experienced players capable of elevating their game when the lights are brightest. The x-factors may come down to goaltending—if Washington’s netminder remains sharp and the Isles fail to capitalize on limited power-play chances, the game could tilt quickly in the Caps’ favor. However, if the Islanders can strike early, frustrate Ovechkin, and bring physicality that disrupts Washington’s rhythm, this game could turn into a nail-biter. In essence, this matchup blends playoff-level intensity with a dose of hockey history, making it more than just another divisional contest—it’s a stage for legacy, resilience, and potentially, a once-in-a-generation moment.
NEWS | The Capitals have re-assigned defenseman Leon Muggli from EV Zug of the Swiss National League (NL) to the Hershey Bears. Muggli is not expected to play for Hershey tonight or on Sunday.#ALLCAPS | @Shift4 https://t.co/pZ27hGfvk8
— x - Washington Capitals (@Capitals) April 5, 2025
Washington Capitals NHL Preview
The Washington Capitals approach Sunday’s road contest against the New York with the swagger and intensity of a team firmly in control of its destiny, not just chasing postseason success but also historical immortality. At the center of the hockey world’s attention is captain Alex Ovechkin, who, after netting his 894th career goal to tie Wayne Gretzky’s once untouchable NHL goal-scoring record, now stands on the precipice of rewriting history. The Capitals’ season, however, is far more than a one-man show. They’ve compiled a formidable 47-15-9 record to sit atop the Metropolitan Division and have done so with a cohesive, balanced style of hockey that combines firepower with disciplined defensive play. Averaging 3.63 goals per game, Washington boasts one of the league’s most potent offenses, powered not only by Ovechkin’s legendary one-timer but also by strong contributions from Dylan Strome, T.J. Oshie, and Tom Wilson. On the back end, the Caps are equally sound, allowing just 2.38 goals per game thanks to a blend of responsible defensive zone coverage and steady goaltending anchored by Darcy Kuemper. Special teams play has been a significant advantage as well; their power play clicks at a blistering 30.1% efficiency, while their penalty kill operates at an elite 84.9%, often shifting momentum in tight contests. From a betting standpoint, the Capitals have been one of the most reliable teams in the league, covering the spread in 47 of 68 games—an impressive 69% ATS rate that underscores both their consistency and ability to outperform expectations.
Their road performance has also stood out, having beaten elite opponents away from home and handling tough environments with poise and experience. The team’s structure, orchestrated by a veteran coaching staff, enables them to adapt to different playing styles while maintaining their identity rooted in fast, physical play and opportunistic scoring. The emotional backdrop of Ovechkin’s record chase adds a compelling layer to the matchup, yet the Capitals have shown no signs of distraction. On the contrary, the captain’s pursuit seems to be galvanizing the group, uniting younger players with seasoned veterans around a shared mission. While media frenzy surrounds Ovechkin’s milestone, the Capitals have remained focused on clinching the division and entering the playoffs at full throttle. Sunday’s matchup, while important historically, is also an ideal setting for Washington to send a message: they are not just along for the storybook narrative—they’re a powerhouse contender. They’ll look to exploit the Islanders’ fragile confidence and underperforming special teams by pressing aggressively in the offensive zone and drawing penalties early. Should Ovechkin indeed break the record on Long Island, it would be fitting for a franchise icon whose career has blended brilliance with longevity, and whose team is once again peaking at the perfect time. For the Capitals, this isn’t just a game—it’s an inflection point in a season that’s already rich in achievement and promise, and their collective focus, execution, and emotional maturity are aligned to ensure they seize the moment and keep the train rolling toward the postseason.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Islanders NHL Preview
The New York come into Sunday’s home game against the Washington Capitals in a precarious position, fighting both the standings and their own recent form as the regular season winds to a close. With a record hovering at 32-31-10 and just a handful of games remaining, the Islanders find themselves clinging to dwindling playoff hopes that have been further shaken by a demoralizing five-game losing streak. During that stretch, they’ve managed only one point, gone 0-4-1, and been outscored by a combined margin of 21-11, underscoring a breakdown in both offensive production and defensive responsibility. A team once defined by its structured defense, the Isles have struggled with consistency on the back end, allowing 3.04 goals per game on the season—well above the league average and a far cry from the stingy teams of the Barry Trotz era. Meanwhile, their offense remains inefficient, averaging just 2.72 goals per game, one of the lowest outputs in the NHL. Special teams have only compounded their issues; their power play is anemic at 12.7%, dead last in the league, and their penalty kill operates at a disappointing 70.25%, which has made it difficult to recover from early deficits. Key players like Mathew Barzal and Bo Horvat have had stretches of strong individual play but haven’t been able to sustain scoring across lines or find the chemistry needed to threaten teams like Washington consistently.
Goaltending has also seen a downturn, with Ilya Sorokin facing a heavy workload behind a porous defense and lacking the elite-level performances that defined his earlier seasons. Even UBS Arena, once considered a fortress, has shown cracks lately; though the Islanders posted a solid 5-0 ATS home run in recent months, their current momentum has reversed that trend. Sunday’s matchup presents both a challenge and an opportunity: with the hockey world’s eyes on Alex Ovechkin’s pursuit of history, the Islanders have a chance to play spoiler and simultaneously regain credibility. Doing so will require a focused, physical effort, capitalizing on turnovers, and exploiting any complacency in the Capitals’ defensive zone coverage. The coaching staff may consider lineup shake-ups or more aggressive forechecking to disrupt Washington’s transition game, while veterans will need to set the tone early to avoid being overwhelmed by the occasion. This team has shown flashes of grit and playoff-caliber urgency earlier in the year but must now summon that same intensity with even greater desperation. For the Islanders, it’s not just about delaying Ovechkin’s record-breaking goal—it’s about salvaging pride, finding identity, and reigniting a season that’s dangerously close to slipping away. A win here wouldn’t just boost morale; it could reignite belief in a locker room that’s been battered by doubt. In the face of narrative and momentum working against them, the Islanders must now turn UBS Arena into a hostile battleground, play mistake-free hockey, and dig deep to claw back into playoff contention, one monumental win at a time.
Jersey off our Backs is back on Fan Appreciation Night!
— New York (@NYIslanders) April 5, 2025
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Washington vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. New York Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Capitals and Islanders and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Capitals team going up against a possibly healthy Islanders team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs New York picks, computer picks Capitals vs Islanders, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Capitals Betting Trends
The Capitals have been consistent against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 47 of their 68 games, reflecting a strong 69% cover rate.
Islanders Betting Trends
The Islanders have struggled recently, failing to cover the spread in their last five games, which aligns with their current five-game losing streak.
Capitals vs. Islanders Matchup Trends
Historically, matchups between the Capitals and Islanders have been competitive, with Washington holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters. Additionally, the total has gone over in five of the Islanders’ last five home games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring contests at UBS Arena.
Washington vs. New York Game Info
What time does Washington vs New York start on April 06, 2025?
Washington vs New York starts on April 06, 2025 at 12:30 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs New York being played?
Venue: UBS Arena.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs New York?
Spread: New York +1.5
Moneyline: Washington -147, New York +123
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Washington vs New York?
Washington: (49-18) | New York: (33-32)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs New York?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Beauvillier under 1.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs New York trending bets?
Historically, matchups between the Capitals and Islanders have been competitive, with Washington holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters. Additionally, the total has gone over in five of the Islanders’ last five home games, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring contests at UBS Arena.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Capitals have been consistent against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 47 of their 68 games, reflecting a strong 69% cover rate.
What are New York trending bets?
NYI trend: The Islanders have struggled recently, failing to cover the spread in their last five games, which aligns with their current five-game losing streak.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs New York?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. New York Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs New York Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
-147 NYI Moneyline: +123
WAS Spread: -1.5
NYI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
Washington vs New York Live Odds
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10/19/25 12:40PM
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–
–
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+133
-167
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+1.5 (-190)
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O 6 (+102)
U 6 (-125)
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-143
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O 6 (-121)
U 6 (-104)
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Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
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–
–
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-136
+110
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-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
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O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-112)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Capitals vs. New York Islanders on April 06, 2025 at UBS Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |