Penguins vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 05)
Updated: 2025-04-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Penguins are set to face the Dallas Stars on April 5, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. This inter-conference matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons, as the Stars aim to solidify their playoff positioning while the Penguins seek to play spoiler.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 05, 2025
Start Time: 3:00 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Stars Record: (50-21)
Penguins Record: (30-34)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +238
DAL Moneyline: -298
PIT Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Penguins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Stars have been strong at home, boasting a 10-2-0 record, reflecting their ability to cover the spread in most home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone UNDER in eight of Pittsburgh’s last nine road games, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when they play away from home.
PIT vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Duchene over 1.5 Shots on Goal.
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Pittsburgh vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/5/25
On the back end, Dallas remains one of the stingiest outfits in the NHL, allowing just 2.47 goals per game. Jake Oettinger has bounced back from early-season inconsistency to reestablish himself as a reliable starter, and their defensive core, though not flashy, is brutally effective in limiting high-danger chances. They kill penalties with structure, clear traffic quickly, and limit rebounds. Dallas doesn’t rely on chaos or puck luck — they play like a veteran team that knows who they are and how they win. And it works. The Penguins, meanwhile, feel like a ghost of their former selves. Sitting at 11-12-4, they’ve shown flashes — often thanks to Sidney Crosby, who continues to defy age with a team-leading 74 points — but those moments are buried under an avalanche of defensive breakdowns and inconsistent goaltending. Pittsburgh’s 3.00 goals per game is respectable, and their power play still commands respect with a 23.83% success rate, but their inability to keep the puck out of their own net has been fatal. They allow 3.62 goals per game, and neither Alex Nedeljkovic nor Tristan Jarry has provided the kind of reliability needed to steal games. The penalty kill is subpar, and turnovers in the neutral zone often lead to extended defensive-zone shifts that sap their offensive momentum. The Penguins can still score, but they can’t stop bleeding long enough to control the pace. Against a clinical team like Dallas, that’s a recipe for disaster. If Pittsburgh wants to surprise anyone on Saturday, they’ll need to outwork the Stars for three full periods — and that’s been in short supply this year.
👋😀 https://t.co/oJF3d05lyb pic.twitter.com/d8yL2GNv6v
— Pittsburgh Penguins (@penguins) April 4, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins come limping into their April 5, 2025 matchup against the Dallas Stars as a team that feels like it’s holding on with duct tape and vibes. With an 11-12-4 record and little room for error, the Penguins are clinging to the ghost of postseason relevance while being dragged down by a barrage of defensive lapses, underwhelming goaltending, and a level of inconsistency that could make a therapist cry. Their recent games have been a roller coaster — not the fun kind with loops, but the kind with rickety tracks and a questionable safety record. What’s more concerning is how predictable their struggles have become. The Penguins have given up 3.62 goals per game, and when you match that against a team like Dallas that scores over 3.5, it’s like handing over the keys to the Ferrari and asking politely not to crash it. Their road form hasn’t offered much salvation either, and the idea of going into American Airlines Center — where Dallas is 10-2-0 — doesn’t scream “rebound opportunity.” If the Penguins want to keep this thing from becoming a one-sided tutorial, they’ll need to find something they haven’t had much of this year: discipline, structure, and pushback. Offensively, the Penguins aren’t hopeless. In fact, they’re passably competent. They average a decent 3.00 goals per game, and as always, they go as far as Sidney Crosby drags them. The 37-year-old captain is still putting up elite numbers, leading the team with 74 points and showing up in every shift like it’s Game 7.
He’s had help from Rickard Rakell, who has rediscovered his scoring touch and already banked 31 goals. The power play is also alive and occasionally dangerous, converting at 23.83%, which gives them a shot at keeping games competitive — provided they actually draw penalties and don’t spend the whole night chasing the puck. But there’s no escaping the fact that this offense can’t afford mistakes. Every goal they score feels like it has to do double duty, because their defense has developed a habit of collapsing like a folding chair in a thunderstorm. Turnovers, missed assignments, and poor puck support have turned their own blue line into a danger zone. When your best strategy is “score more than we give up,” it might be time to take a long look at the whiteboard. Defensively, the Penguins’ season is basically being held together by tape and goalie pads. They’re allowing 3.62 goals per game, which is, to put it gently, a mess. Neither Alex Nedeljkovic nor Tristan Jarry has been able to seize control of the crease, and both are posting save percentages in the underwhelming .890s. To make matters worse, the team’s penalty kill sits at a middling 77.54%, which is just asking for trouble against Dallas’s lethal power play. The lack of stability on the back end has put too much pressure on their top six to carry the load every night, and it shows. Against a methodical, structured, and offensively deep Stars squad, the Penguins’ bad habits — if not corrected — could spiral into a blowout. They’ll need to play above their heads, protect the puck like it’s playoff overtime, and get some miracle-tier goaltending to escape Dallas with anything other than another tick in the “L” column.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Stars NHL Preview
The Dallas Stars enter their April 5, 2025 showdown against the Pittsburgh Penguins with confidence, cohesion, and a 10-2-0 home record that should make any visitor uncomfortable. Sitting comfortably near the top of the Western Conference, the Stars are not just playoff-bound — they’re building the kind of momentum that teams crave heading into the postseason. A 16-9-0 overall record reflects a campaign built on two-way dominance, with an offense that scores in waves and a defense that rarely breaks. What’s made them particularly deadly at home is their ability to dictate the tempo, adapt to different styles of play, and simply outlast opponents in tight games. Their crowd knows it too — American Airlines Center has become a cauldron for visiting teams who find themselves quickly overwhelmed by Dallas’s speed, structure, and depth. Against a struggling Penguins team with a paper-thin margin for error, the Stars will look to pounce early and continue their trend of handling weaker competition with professional, borderline merciless efficiency. Offensively, the Stars are rolling. Averaging 3.56 goals per game, they rank near the top of the league in scoring, and it’s not just one line doing the damage. Mikko Rantanen leads the charge, playing with a level of controlled aggression and elite puck protection that opens space for his teammates. His 69 points on the season include a healthy blend of goals and assists, making him one of the most complete forwards in the league.
Alongside him, Matt Duchene has been a quiet revelation, putting up impressive numbers while also anchoring the second power-play unit and providing leadership in key moments. Their top power play unit is lethal, boasting a 28% success rate, which means undisciplined teams like the Penguins — who have a bottom-third penalty kill — are at serious risk every time they go down a man. What makes Dallas’s power play so effective isn’t just skill; it’s movement. They rotate through the umbrella, constantly creating new passing lanes, and they’re not afraid to shoot from distance with traffic in front. Defensively, Dallas has been as solid as they come. They’re giving up just 2.47 goals per game, a testament to both their structured defensive system and Jake Oettinger’s bounce-back season between the pipes. After an uneven start to the year, Oettinger has settled into a rhythm, consistently delivering quality starts and big saves in tight games. He benefits from a blue line that doesn’t overcomplicate things — Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell play clean, simple hockey that neutralizes opposing forechecks and limits second-chance opportunities. Dallas’s penalty kill has also been quietly effective, shutting down high-powered units and transitioning quickly into offensive pressure. When you factor in their overall discipline, puck management, and line depth, it’s clear why the Stars have been able to bully teams at home. They don’t beat themselves. Against a Pittsburgh squad that’s hemorrhaging goals and struggling to find rhythm, the Stars will look to strike early, play from ahead, and turn this into another home-ice tutorial in how a playoff team handles business.
Old school, new photos 📸 pic.twitter.com/qZ4g2n1KAR
— X - Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) April 4, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Penguins and Stars and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the growing factor human bettors regularly put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Penguins team going up against a possibly tired Stars team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Dallas picks, computer picks Penguins vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Penguins Betting Trends
The Penguins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.
Stars Betting Trends
The Stars have been strong at home, boasting a 10-2-0 record, reflecting their ability to cover the spread in most home games.
Penguins vs. Stars Matchup Trends
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Pittsburgh’s last nine road games, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when they play away from home.
Pittsburgh vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Dallas start on April 05, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Dallas starts on April 05, 2025 at 3:00 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Dallas being played?
Venue: American Airlines Center.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +238, Dallas -298
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Dallas?
Pittsburgh: (30-34) | Dallas: (50-21)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Duchene over 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Dallas trending bets?
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Pittsburgh’s last nine road games, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when they play away from home.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Penguins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Stars have been strong at home, boasting a 10-2-0 record, reflecting their ability to cover the spread in most home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Dallas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Dallas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Dallas Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+238 DAL Moneyline: -298
PIT Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Pittsburgh vs Dallas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+133
-167
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 6 (+102)
U 6 (-125)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-143
+115
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-220)
|
O 6 (-121)
U 6 (-104)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
|
–
–
|
-136
+110
|
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
|
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-112)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars on April 05, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |