Lightning vs Senators Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 03)
Updated: 2025-04-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Lightning will visit the Ottawa Senators on April 3, 2025, at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. This Atlantic Division matchup features two teams vying for crucial points as the regular season approaches its conclusion.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 03, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Senators Record: (39-29)
Lightning Record: (44-25)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: -118
OTT Moneyline: -101
TB Spread: -1.5
OTT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
TB
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road this season, covering in only 11 of their 34 away games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations when playing away from home.
OTT
Betting Trends
- Conversely, the Senators have performed better ATS at home, covering in 18 of their 35 games at the Canadian Tire Centre, showcasing a more consistent ability to meet or exceed betting lines on home ice.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last ten head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread in seven instances, suggesting a notable home-ice advantage in this series.
TB vs. OTT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Tkachuk under 18 Time on Ice.
LIVE NHL ODDS
NHL ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
320-239
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+373.2
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,319
VS. SPREAD
1593-1363
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+375.9
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,592
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Tampa Bay vs Ottawa Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/3/25
The team’s resilience is evident in their ability to secure victories in closely contested games, often leveraging their physical style of play to disrupt opponents. Goaltender Linus Ullmark has been a reliable presence, contributing to the team’s competitiveness in a challenging division. Historically, the head-to-head matchups between these teams have been closely contested. In their most recent encounter on February 19, 2024, the Senators secured a 4-2 victory over the Lightning, highlighting their capability to challenge top-tier opponents. Notably, the home team has covered the spread in seven of the last ten meetings, underscoring the significance of home-ice advantage in this series. As both teams prepare for this pivotal game, key factors to watch include the performance of special teams, the ability to generate and capitalize on scoring opportunities, and the impact of goaltending. The Lightning will aim to leverage their offensive firepower and power play efficiency, while the Senators will look to utilize their physicality and home crowd support to gain an edge. Given the stakes and the proximity in the standings, this matchup is poised to be a high-intensity contest with playoff implications.
Keeping the Mac celly going 📲#GoBolts | #WallpaperWednesday pic.twitter.com/TVx61B5KqI
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) April 2, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter their April 3, 2025, road matchup against the Ottawa Senators with a record of 25-18-3, striving to maintain their grip on a playoff spot in a tightly packed Atlantic Division. The Lightning have had a mixed season marked by dominant stretches of offensive firepower and occasional lapses in consistency, particularly on the road where they have struggled against the spread and in closing out tight games. Despite those road challenges, Tampa Bay’s high-end talent and postseason pedigree continue to make them one of the most dangerous teams in the league. Their offensive production remains one of the best in the NHL, averaging 3.61 goals per game, driven by elite winger Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team with 70 points and continues to be a difference-maker in both even-strength and special teams situations. Veteran captain Steven Stamkos and dynamic center Brayden Point have added critical scoring depth and leadership, forming one of the most potent forward cores in the league. Tampa Bay’s power play is another weapon, operating at a lethal 31.9% conversion rate, which consistently forces opponents to be cautious and stay disciplined. Defensively, the Lightning allow just 2.43 goals per game, a credit to their structured play in the defensive zone and the elite goaltending of Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has maintained a high level of play throughout the season, with quick reflexes and poise under pressure that allow him to bail out his team in high-danger situations.
Tampa Bay’s penalty kill has also been effective, complementing their aggressive yet calculated approach to both sides of special teams play. The challenge for the Lightning lies in tightening their play on the road, where defensive lapses and slow starts have occasionally put them behind early. As they face a scrappy Ottawa team that has proven difficult to beat at home, Tampa Bay must emphasize fast starts, clean breakouts, and neutral zone efficiency to control the pace of the game. The team’s experience in high-pressure environments will be crucial as they enter the final stretch of the season, with every point counting in the playoff race. Head coach Jon Cooper will likely rely on his veterans to set the tone early and dictate play against a Senators team that thrives on physicality and momentum shifts. The Lightning’s ability to weather Ottawa’s surges, silence the crowd, and capitalize on power play chances could be the keys to success in this contest. With the postseason in sight, Tampa Bay is looking to fine-tune its performance, build momentum, and demonstrate the consistency that has made them perennial contenders. This road test presents both a challenge and an opportunity for the Lightning to assert their dominance, sharpen their execution, and pick up valuable points in what promises to be a tightly contested divisional battle.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Ottawa Senators NHL Preview
The Ottawa Senators enter the April 3, 2025, matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a season record of 36-26-5, reflecting a campaign marked by growth and competitiveness. Occupying the fourth spot in the Atlantic Division, the Senators have demonstrated a balanced approach, combining offensive prowess with defensive resilience. Captain Brady Tkachuk has been instrumental in leading the team’s offense, providing both scoring and physical presence on the ice. Defenseman Thomas Chabot continues to anchor the blue line, contributing significantly to both defensive stability and offensive transitions. Goaltender Linus Ullmark has emerged as a key figure in the Senators’ success, delivering consistent performances that have kept the team competitive in tightly contested games. His ability to make crucial saves under pressure has been a cornerstone of the team’s defensive strategy. The Senators’ special teams have also played a vital role, with the power play unit capitalizing on opportunities and the penalty kill effectively neutralizing opponents’ advantages.
At the Canadian Tire Centre, the Senators have established a formidable home-ice presence, supported by a passionate fan base that creates an electrifying atmosphere. This environment has contributed to their strong home record and has often provided the team with a psychological edge over visiting opponents. As they prepare to host the Lightning, the Senators will focus on leveraging their physical style of play to disrupt Tampa Bay’s offensive rhythm. Emphasizing disciplined defense, effective forechecking, and capitalizing on scoring chances will be critical components of their game plan. Given the Lightning’s potent power play, maintaining discipline to minimize penalties will also be a priority. The outcome of this game holds significant implications for the Senators’ playoff aspirations. A victory would not only bolster their position in the standings but also serve as a statement win against a formidable division rival. The team’s ability to execute their strategy, coupled with the support of their home crowd, positions them well to rise to the occasion in this crucial matchup.
Sandy keeps carving his name into the #Sens record books 📕
— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) April 2, 2025
With his third period goal last night, Jake Sanderson became the fifth defenceman in Sens history to record a 50-point season!#GoSensGo pic.twitter.com/Y58rYCHC7D
Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Lightning and Senators and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors regularly put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Lightning team going up against a possibly tired Senators team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Ottawa picks, computer picks Lightning vs Senators, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
![]() |
DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Lightning Betting Trends
The Lightning have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road this season, covering in only 11 of their 34 away games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations when playing away from home.
Senators Betting Trends
Conversely, the Senators have performed better ATS at home, covering in 18 of their 35 games at the Canadian Tire Centre, showcasing a more consistent ability to meet or exceed betting lines on home ice.
Lightning vs. Senators Matchup Trends
In their last ten head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread in seven instances, suggesting a notable home-ice advantage in this series.
Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Ottawa start on April 03, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs Ottawa starts on April 03, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Ottawa being played?
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Ottawa?
Spread: Ottawa +1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -118, Ottawa -101
Over/Under: 5.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Ottawa?
Tampa Bay: (44-25) | Ottawa: (39-29)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Ottawa?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Tkachuk under 18 Time on Ice.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Ottawa trending bets?
In their last ten head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread in seven instances, suggesting a notable home-ice advantage in this series.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Lightning have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road this season, covering in only 11 of their 34 away games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations when playing away from home.
What are Ottawa trending bets?
OTT trend: Conversely, the Senators have performed better ATS at home, covering in 18 of their 35 games at the Canadian Tire Centre, showcasing a more consistent ability to meet or exceed betting lines on home ice.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Ottawa?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Ottawa trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Tampa Bay vs Ottawa Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
-118 OTT Moneyline: -101
TB Spread: -1.5
OTT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
Tampa Bay vs Ottawa Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+134
-155
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+156)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-195)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+208)
+1.5 (-245)
|
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators on April 03, 2025 at Canadian Tire Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
![]() |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |